Poll Watch: Gallup Foreign Policy Survey

Gallup Foreign Policy Poll

For each of the following countries, please say whether you consider it an ally of the United States, friendly, but not an ally, unfriendly, or an enemy of the United States.

Great Britain

• Ally 66%
• Friendly, but not an ally 25%
• Unfriendly 2%
• Enemy 1%

Canada

• Ally 61%
• Friendly, but not an ally 33%
• Unfriendly 2%
• Enemy 1%

Israel

• Ally 46%
• Friendly, but not an ally 32%
• Unfriendly 10%
• Enemy 6%

Japan

• Ally 44%
• Friendly, but not an ally 40%
• Unfriendly 7%
• Enemy 3%

Mexico

• Ally 31%
• Friendly, but not an ally 47%
• Unfriendly 15%
• Enemy 4%

India

• Ally 25%
• Friendly, but not an ally 53%
• Unfriendly 10%
• Enemy 3%

Saudi Arabia

• Ally 12%
• Friendly, but not an ally 37%
• Unfriendly 26%
• Enemy 16%

China

• Ally 11%
• Friendly, but not an ally 44%
• Unfriendly 26%
• Enemy 14%

Russia

• Ally 11%
• Friendly, but not an ally 41%
• Unfriendly 30%
• Enemy 12%

Egypt

• Ally 11%
• Friendly, but not an ally 39%
• Unfriendly 28%
• Enemy 11%

Pakistan

• Ally 4%
• Friendly, but not an ally 18%
• Unfriendly 42%
• Enemy 28%

Iraq

• Ally 4%
• Friendly, but not an ally 17%
• Unfriendly 40%
• Enemy 35%

North Korea

• Ally 3%
• Friendly, but not an ally 7%
• Unfriendly 26%
• Enemy 58%

Iran

• Ally 2%
• Friendly, but not an ally 8%
• Unfriendly 34%
• Enemy 51%

Survey of 1,529 adults each were conducted on June 1-4, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Egypt

Rasmussen (R) Poll on Egypt

Is Egypt an ally or an enemy of the United States, or somewhere in between?

• Ally 14% [23%] (34%) {42%} [39%]
  
• Enemy 15% [21%] (14%) {8%} [9%]
• In between 55% [48%] (43%) {39%} [42%] 
• Not sure 16%

Has the change in the government of Egypt brought about by last year’s Arab Spring protests been good for the United States, bad for the United States or has it had no impact on the United States?

• Good for the U.S. 12%
  
• Bad for the U.S. 37%
• No impact on U.S. 21%
• Not sure 30%

Over the next few years, how likely is that Egypt will become a free, democratic, and peaceful nation?

• Very likely 9%
• Somewhat likely 26%
• Not very likely 34%
• Not at all likely 13%
• Not sure 18%
  

Should the United States get more directly involved in the Egypt situation or leave the situation alone? 

• Get more directly involved 18%
• Leave the situation alone 57%
• Undecided 25%
  

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 26-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the polls conducted October 16-17, 2012 and October 18-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the polls conducted October 17-18, 2011 and October 19-20, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the polls conducted August 20-21, 2010 and August 22-23, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the polls conducted August 5-8, 2009 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers: 

Republicans and voters not affiliated with either major political party are twice as supportive of U.S. involvement in Egypt as Democrats are.

But then only 21% of voters in President Obama’s party see the change in the Egyptian government as bad for the United States, compared to 60% of Republicans and 34% of unaffiliateds. Democrats are also much more optimistic that Egypt will become free, democratic and peaceful in the new few years.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of all voters say they have been following recent news reports about the political unrest in Egypt, including 39% who have been following very closely.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on the Situation in the Middle East

Rasmussen (R) Poll on the Situation in the Middle East

Who is more to blame for the escalating military conflict between the Israelis and the Palestinians – Israel or the Palestinians? 

• Palestinians 50%
• Israel 12%
• Not sure 38%
  

Should the United States help defend Israel, help defend the Palestinians, or stay out of the Middle East conflict entirely? 

• Help defend Israel 43%
• Help defend the Palestinians 2%
  
• Stay out of Middle East conflict entirely 47%

Has the recent change of government in Egypt made Israel more safe or less safe, or has it had no impact? 

• More safe 5%
  
• Less safe 45%
• No impact 23%
• Not sure 26%
  

Generally speaking, is the United States too supportive or not supportive enough of Israel? Or is America's support for Israel just about right?

• Too supportive 16%
• Not supportive enough 31%
• Support just about right 37%

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 18-19, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. 

Inside the numbers:

Republicans (75%) are far more likely than Democrats (38%) and voters not affiliated with either of the major parties (40%) to blame the Palestinians for the increasingly violent situation in Gaza.

While 57% of Republicans feel America is not supportive enough of Israel, 51% of Democrats view the current level of support as about right. Unaffiliated voters are more narrowly divided. 

Male voters and those over 40 are more supportive of Israel than female voters and those 18 to 39.

Seventy percent (70%) of GOP voters believe the United States should help defend Israel. Sixty-two percent (62%) of Democrats and 52% of unaffiliated voters think the United States should stay out of the Middle East conflict.

Seventy-six percent (76%) of voters say they have followed recent news stories about Israel, including 38% who have been following very closely.

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Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Foreign Policy Survey

Rasmussen (R) Foreign Policy Poll

I’m going to read you a short list of countries. For each, please let me know if that country is an ally of the United States, an enemy of the United States or somewhere in between.

Canada

• Ally 93% (89%) {87%} [86%] (84%)
• Enemy 1% (3%) {2%} [4%] (2%)
• In between 3% (4%) {6%} [7%] (11%)

Great Britain

• Ally 90% (88%) {85%} [85%] (92%) {76%}
• Enemy 3% (2%) {2%} [5%] (2%) {4%}
• In between 3% (5%) {8%} [6%] (4%) {14%}

Israel

• Ally 74% (70%) {71%} [70%] (67%)
• Enemy 8% (8%) {6%} [8%] (9%)
• In between 13% (17%) {17%} [16%] (18%)

Japan

• Ally 73% (71%) {63%} [59%] (77%)
• Enemy 4% (6%) {7%} [10%] (3%)
• In between 18% (17%) {22%} [24%] (16%)

Germany

• Ally 73% (71%) {66%} [66%]
• Enemy 2% (4%) {4%} [5%]
• In between 19% (19%) {23%} [26%]

France

• Ally 69% (63%) {60%} [61%] (49%) {18%}
  
• Enemy 2% (4%) {6%} [4%] (12%) {16%}
• In between 23% (25%) {26%} [29%] (35%) {57%}

Mexico

• Ally 56% (53%) {50%} [54%] (51%)
• Enemy 9% (11%) {12%} [11%] (10%)
• In between 30% (30%) {31%} [29%] (35%)

Vietnam

• Ally 27% (31%) {21%} [21%]
  
• Enemy 13% (18%) {15%} [21%]
• In between 49% (42%) {52%} [47%]

Saudi Arabia

• Ally 27% (24%) {21%} [23%] (32%)
  
• Enemy 21% (29%) {26%} [25%] (21%)
• In between 46% (42%) {44%} [46%] (43%)

China

• Ally 23% (22%) {9%} {20%} [19%] (12%) (19%)
  
• Enemy 25% (21%) {27%} {20%} [26%] (12%) (21%)
• In between 47% (51%) {58% {52%} [51%] (69%) (56%)

Egypt

• Ally 23% (34%) {42%} [39%]
  
• Enemy 21% (14%) {8%} [9%]
• In between 48% (43%) {39%} [42%]

Russia

• Ally 22% {9%} (19%) {19%} [17%] (12%)
  
• Enemy 29% {15%} (27%) {25%} [27%] (10%)
• In between 43% {59%} (48%) {45%} [50%] (74%)

Venezuela

• Ally 20% (22%) {22%} [20%] (19%)
  
• Enemy 34% (30%) {35%} [34%] (39%)
• In between 38% (34%) {32%} [34%] (36%)

Afghanistan

• Ally 12% (18%) {19%} [15%]
  
• Enemy 37% (43%) {41%} [40%]
• In between 47% (34%) {35%} [39%]

Iraq

• Ally 9% (12%) {10%} [17%]
  
• Enemy 46% (47%) {44%} [41%]
• In between 40% (36%) {39%} [37%]

Pakistan

• Ally 8% (13%) [5%] {15%} [12%] (21%)
  
• Enemy 38% (40%) [26%] {31%} [28%] (22%)
• In between 51% (39%) [61%] {46%} [53%] (54%)

North Korea

• Ally 3% (9%) {5%} [4%]
  
• Enemy 82% (72%) {74%} [75%]
• In between 10% (11%) {12%} [15%]

Iran

• Ally 3% (5%) {7%} [5%]
  
• Enemy 83% (75%) {72%} [70%]
• In between 7% (13%) {15%} [20%]

Two surveys of 1,000 adults each were conducted on October 16-17, 2012 and October 18-19, 2012. The margin of error for each survey is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the polls conducted March 6-7, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the polls conducted October 17-18, 2011 and October 19-20, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the polls conducted September 27-28, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the polls conducted May 4-5, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the polls conducted August 20-21, 2010 and August 22-23, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the polls conducted August 5-8, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the polls conducted November 2-3, 2008 are in parentheses. Results from the polls conducted February 13-15, 2007 and March 6, 2007 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2006 are in curly brackets.

Third Presidential Debate (Foreign Policy Edition)

Poll Watch: Foster McCollum White/Baydoun Consulting (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

FMW/Baydoun (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49.30% {45.49%} [43.88%] (46.89%)
• Mitt Romney 45.85% {43.65%} [47.68%] (45.48%)
• Another candidate 2.24% {5.48%} [3.96%] (3.56%)
• Undecided 2.61% {5.38%} [4.01%] (4.07%) 

Which candidate are you more confident in to address our country’s domestic challenges such as the economy, healthcare, energy and education?

• Barack Obama 49.24% 
• Mitt Romney 45.76%
• Have no confidence in either candidate to address domestic challenges 5.00%

Which candidate are you more confident in to address the challenges our country faces in the areas of national security and foreign policy?

• Barack Obama 50.01% 
• Mitt Romney 44.82%
• Have no confidence in either candidate to address foreign policy 5.17%

Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and others have demanded that President Obama take a hard line against Iran on its nuclear program. Others have favored more diplomacy. Should President Obama deliver an ultimatum and threaten military action against Iran?

• You believe the President should threaten Iran with the use of military action 35.35%
• You believe the President should not threaten Iran with the use of military action, but rather continue diplomacy 48.42%

Republicans and others have criticized President Obama’s handling of the attacks on our embassies and consulates in the Middle East, do you approve of President Obama’s handling of the recent violence in the Middle East? 

• Approve 41.40% 
• Disapprove 47.70%  

Mitt Romney has been heavily criticized for his comment at a fundraiser that 47% of the American voters pay no income taxes, are dependent and don’t want to take personal responsibility, and that he can’t worry about the choices of those voters. Romney initially defended his comments but now says he made a mistake and that he will focus on being a President for 100% of Americans. Has this 47% statement impacted your view of Mitt Romney?  

• View positively 32.62%
• View negatively 53.70%
  

Survey of 1,122 likely voters was conducted October 5, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.93 percentage points.  Party ID: 42.15% {41.99%} Democrat; 32.08% {33.07%} Republican; 25.76% {24.94%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 12, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 12, 2012 are in parentheses.

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Poll Watch: Washington Times/Zogby 2012 Presidential Survey

Washington Times/Zogby 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama (D) 49.7% {45.7%} (42.0%) [43.2%]
• Mitt Romney (R) 41.1% {45.7%} (42.8%) [43.6%]
• Not sure 9.2% {5%} [13.0%]

(Among Obama Voters) Which of the following best describes why you are voting for Barack Obama?

• Want to see him re-elected 61.3%
• Really dislike Romney 14.5%
• He is the lesser of two evils 11.7%
• Simply voting for Democrat 9.1%
• Not sure 3.4%

(Among Romney Voters) Which of the following best describes why you are voting for Mitt Romney?

• Think he is the best candidate 58.2%
• He is the lesser of two evils 16.1%
• Really dislike Obama 16.0%
• Simply voting for GOP 5.8%
• Not sure 3.9%

If the presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote?

• Barack Obama (D) 48.7%
• Mitt Romney (R) 41.2%
• Gary Johnson (L) 1.2%
• Jill Stein (G) 0.7%
• Virgil Goode (C) 0.2%
• Not sure 8.0%

Did President Obama's handling of the attacks on the U.S. embassies earlier this month make you more or less likely to vote for him?

• Much more likely 10.5%
• More likely 18.9%
  
• Less likely 16.3%
• Much less likely 23.0%
• Makes no difference 25.8%
• Not sure 5.6%
  

Mitt Romney said recently that 47 percent of Americans pay no income taxes, are dependent on government and see themselves as victims. Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagree?

• Strongly agree 20.1%
• Somewhat agree 20.7%
  
• Somewhat disagree 13.5%
• Strongly disagree 39.6%
• Not sure 6.1%
  

Regardless of whom you support, who do you think will win November's presidential election?

• Barack Obama 57.4% {48%} (44.9%)
• Mitt Romney 29.9% {37%} (32.8%)
• Not sure 12.7%

Are you better off now than you were four years ago?

• Yes 46.1%
• No 48.8%
• Not sure 5.2%

Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted September 27-29, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 23-25, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 6-8, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-12, 2012 are in square brackets.

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Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on President Obama and Mitt Romney's Reactions to Turmoil in the Middle East

Pew Research Poll on Obama and Romney's Reactions to Turmoil in the Middle East

Thinking about the recent attacks on U.S. embassies and consulates in the Middle East and the killing of the U.S. ambassador in Libya:

From what you’ve seen and heard, do you approve or disapprove of how Barack Obama has handled this situation? 

• Approve 45%
• Disapprove 36%

Have Followed Middle East Turmoil Very Closely

• Approve 46%
• Disapprove 43%

Do you approve or disapprove of the comments Mitt Romney has made about this situation? 

• Approve 26%
• Disapprove 48%

Have Followed Middle East Turmoil Very Closely

• Approve 34%
• Disapprove 49%

National survey of 854 adults who have followed news stories about the attacks on American embassies and consulates in the Middle East and the killing of the U.S. ambassador in Libya was conducted September 13-16, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.

Inside the numbers: 

While 75% of Democrats approve of Obama’s handling of Middle East turmoil, fewer Republicans (58%) approve of Romney’s comments on the situation.

There are only modest partisan differences in attentiveness to the recent attacks on the embassies and the killing of the U.S. ambassador: 48% of Republicans, 41% of Democrats and 45% of independents have followed this story very closely.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2012 Presidential Survey

Monmouth University 2012 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 48% [46%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 45% [45%] (46%)
• Other candidate 3% [4%] (3%)
• Undecided 4% [6%] (4%)

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 48% [45%] (46%)
• Mitt Romney 41% [41%] (42%)
• Other candidate 4% [6%] (5%)
• Undecided 6% [8%] (7%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 41% [37%] (41%)
• Mitt Romney 41% [40%] (39%)
• Other candidate 8% [11%] (9%)
• Undecided 10% [13%] (12%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 45% [44%] (44%)
• Barack Obama 43% [40%] (43%)
• Other candidate 5% [7%] (5%)
• Undecided 7% [9%] (7%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 53% [50%] (49%)
• Mitt Romney 39% [38%] (40%)
• Other candidate 3% [4%] (5%)
• Undecided 6% [7%] (6%)

Who do you trust more to handle the economy and jobs – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?  

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 48% [45%]
• Mitt Romney 45% [45%]

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 48% [44%]
• Mitt Romney 43% [42%]

Who do you trust more to handle Social Security and Medicare – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 50% [46%]
• Mitt Romney 42% [43%]

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 50% [46%]
• Mitt Romney 39% [39%]

Who do you trust more to handle the federal budget and national debt – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 47% [44%]
• Mitt Romney 47% [46%]

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 47% [43%]
• Mitt Romney 44% [43%]

Who do you trust more to handle foreign policy – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 42%

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 52%
• Mitt Romney 39%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  
Likely Voters

• Paul Ryan 38% [35%] / 33% [30%] {+5%}
• Barack Obama 46% [45%] (45%) / 43% [43%] (43%) {+3%}
• Mitt Romney 41% [40%] (38%) / 40% [39%] (37%) {+1%}
• Joe Biden 34% [32%] / 39% [39%] {-5%} 

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 46% [42%] (43%) / 39% [40%] (40%) {+7%}
• Paul Ryan 33% [31%] / 30% [27%] {+3%}
• Mitt Romney 37% [35%] (34%) / 39% [38%] (34%) {-2%}
• Joe Biden 32% [30%] / 35% [35%] {-3%}

Among Independents

• Paul Ryan 34% [28%] / 27% [23%] {+7%}
• Mitt Romney 33% [34%] (30%) / 34% [32%] (35%) {-1%}
  
• Barack Obama 36% [33%] (39%) / 40% [42%] (39%) {-4%}
• Joe Biden 24% [22%] / 35% [35%] {-11%} 

Among Men

• Paul Ryan 36% [35%] / 28% [25%] {+8%} 
• Mitt Romney 39% [39%] (38%) / 34% [32%] (34%) {+5%}
• Barack Obama 42% [38%] (41%) / 42% [44%] (43%) {0%}
• Joe Biden 29% [27%] / 40% [39%] {-11%} 

Among Women

• Barack Obama 50% [47%] (45%) / 37% [36%] (37%) {+13%}
• Joe Biden 35% [32%] / 31% [32%] {+4%} 
• Paul Ryan 30% [27%] / 33% [29%] {-3%}
• Mitt Romney 36% [32%] (31%) / 43% [43%] (34%) {-7%}

How much have you read or heard about recent violence and protests at U.S. embassies in Africa and the Middle East – a lot, a little, or nothing at all? 

Likely Voters

• A lot 61% 
• A little 29%
• Nothing at all 10% 
  

Registered Voters

• A lot 54% 
• A little 32%
• Nothing at all 14%

Do you approve or disapprove of how Barack Obama has publicly responded to the situation, or haven’t you heard his response?

Likely Voters

• Strongly approve 27% 
• Somewhat approve 12% 
• Somewhat disapprove 7% 
• Strongly disapprove 20% 
• Haven’t heard response 20%
• Don't know 3%
• Not aware of situation 10%

Registered Voters

• Strongly approve 23% 
• Somewhat approve 14% 
• Somewhat disapprove 7% 
• Strongly disapprove 18% 
• Haven’t heard response 21%
• Don't know 3%
• Not aware of situation 14% 
  

Do you approve or disapprove of how Mitt Romney has publicly responded to the situation, or haven’t you heard his response?

Likely Voters

• Strongly approve 17% 
• Somewhat approve 8% 
• Somewhat disapprove 5% 
• Strongly disapprove 24% 
• Haven’t heard response 31%
• Don't know 3%
• Not aware of situation 10%

Registered Voters

• Strongly approve 15% 
• Somewhat approve 7% 
• Somewhat disapprove 6% 
• Strongly disapprove 21% 
• Haven’t heard response 34%
• Don't know 3%
• Not aware of situation 14% 

National survey of 1,571 registered voters, including a subsample of 1,344 likely voters, was conducted September 13-16, 2012 by Braun Research and SurveyUSA. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points among likely voters; +/- 2.5 percentage points among registered voters. Party ID (among likely voters): 35% Democrat; 31% Republican; 34% Independent. Party ID (among registered voters): 35% [33%] (35%) Democrat; 29% [27%] (30%) Republican; 36% [40%] (35%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 4-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

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