Showing posts with label Pew Research. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Pew Research. Show all posts

Thursday, October 27, 2016

Poll Watch: Pew Research 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 50% [47%] (51%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 43% [43%] (42%)
 Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 46% {43%} [41%] (45%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 40% {34%} [37%] (36%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6% {8%} [10%] (11%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 3% {5%} [4%]
Survey of 2,120 registered voters was conducted October 20-25, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 23 - September 2, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-16, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 15-26, 2016 are in parentheses.

Thursday, August 18, 2016

Poll Watch: Pew Research 2016 Presidential Survey

Pew Research 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (45%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 37% (36%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 10% (11%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 4%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 10%
  • Jill Stein (G) 5%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Donald Trump (R) 30%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9%
  • Jill Stein (G) 4%
Survey of 1,567 registered voters was conducted August 9-16, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 15-26, 2016 are in parentheses.

Thursday, July 07, 2016

Poll Watch: Pew Research 2016 Presidential Survey

Pew Research 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Donald Trump (R) 36%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 11%
If you had to choose between:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Donald Trump (R) 42%
Survey of 1,655 registered voters was conducted June 15-26, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.

Wednesday, July 31, 2013

Poll Watch: Pew Research 2016 Republican Net Favorability Survey

Pew Research 2016 GOP Net Favorability Poll

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Paul Ryan 65% / 15% {+50%}
  • Rand Paul 55% / 19% {+36%}
  • Marco Rubio 50% / 20% {+30%}
  • Ted Cruz 33% / 13% {+20%}
  • Chris Christie 47% / 30% {+17%}
Among Tea Party Republicans
  • Paul Ryan 81% / 7% {+74%}
  • Rand Paul 70% / 12% {+58%}
  • Ted Cruz 48% / 9% {+39%}
  • Marco Rubio 59% / 23% {+36%} 
  • Chris Christie 47% / 35% {+12%}
Among Non-Tea Party Republicans
  • Paul Ryan 54% / 21% {+33%}
  • Marco Rubio 43% / 18% {+25%}
  • Chris Christie 48% / 26% {+22%}
  • Rand Paul 43% / 25% {+18%
  • Ted Cruz 23% / 17% {+6%}
Survey of 497 registered Republican and GOP-leaning Independent voters was conducted July 17-21, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points.

Monday, July 29, 2013

Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on Abortion



















Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases, or illegal in all cases?
  • Legal in all cases 20%
  • Legal in most cases 34%
  • Illegal in most cases 24%
  • Illegal in all cases 15%
State Restrictions and Views about Legal Abortion  
Wide Regional Differences in Attitudes about Abortion
Survey of 1,480 adults was conducted July 17-21, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points.

Monday, July 22, 2013

Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on the George Zimmerman Trial

Pew Research Poll on the George Zimmerman Trial

As you may know, a jury found George Zimmerman not guilty in the death of Florida teen Trayvon Martin. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with this verdict?

Among Registered Voters
  • Satisfied 43%
  • Dissatisfied 40% 
Not Registered to Vote
  • Satisfied 28%
  • Dissatisfied 47%
Among Whites
  • Approve 49%
  • Disapprove 30%
Among Blacks
  • Approve 5%
  • Disapprove 86%
Among Men
  • Approve 44%
  • Disapprove 36%
Among Women
  • Approve 35%
  • Disapprove 48%
Among Republicans
  • Approve 61%
  • Disapprove 20%
Among Tea Party Republicans
  • Approve 80%
  • Disapprove 7%
Among Democrats
  • Approve 22%
  • Disapprove 68%
Among Independents
  • Approve 42%
  • Disapprove 37%
Among Liberals
  • Approve 22%
  • Disapprove 64%
Among Moderates
  • Approve 37%
  • Disapprove 45%
Among Conservatives
  • Approve 54%
  • Disapprove 26%
Among College Graduates
  • Approve 44%
  • Disapprove 38%
High School Education or Less
  • Approve 35%
  • Disapprove 48%
National survey of 1,480 adults was conducted July 17-21, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points.

Monday, April 29, 2013

Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on the Situation in Syria

Pew Research Poll on the Situation in Syria 

If it is confirmed that the Syrian government has used chemical weapons against anti-government groups, would you favor or oppose the U.S. and its allies taking military action against the Syrian government? 
  • Favor 45% 
  • Oppose 31% 
Among Democrats
  • Favor 46% 
  • Oppose 34%
Among Republicans
  • Favor 56% 
  • Oppose 24%
Among Independents
  • Favor 41% 
  • Oppose 36%
Among Men
  • Favor 54% 
  • Oppose 29%
Among Women
  • Favor 37% 
  • Oppose 33% 
Among adults following news stories about Syria very closely
  • Favor 55% 
  • Oppose 28% 
Survey of 1,003 adults, including a subsample of 191 adults following news about Syria very closely, was conducted April 25-28, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points among all adults; +/- 8.5 percentage points among adults following news about Syria very closely.

Thursday, April 04, 2013

Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on Marijuana Legalization

Pew Research Poll on Pot Legalization  

Do you think the use of marijuana should be made legal, or not? 
  • Yes, legal 52% 
  • No, illegal 45% 
Among Democrats 
  • Yes, legal 59% 
Among Republicans 
  • Yes, legal 37% 
Among Independents
  • Yes, legal 60% 
Among Men
  • Yes, legal 57%
Among Women
  • Yes, legal 48%
Age 18-29
  • Yes, legal 64% 
Age 30-49
  • Yes, legal 55% 
Age 50-64
  • Yes, legal 53%
Age 65+
  • Yes, legal 33%
Do you agree or disagree that, for most people, the use of marijuana leads to the use of hard drugs? 
  • Agree 38%
  • Disagree 58% 
Do you agree or disagree that government efforts to enforce marijuana laws cost more than they are worth?
  • Agree 72%
  • Disagree 23% 
Do you think marijuana does or does not have legitimate medical uses? 
  • Does 77%
  • Does not 16% 
As you may know, some states have decided to allow marijuana use, but it is still prohibited under federal law. Do you think the federal government should or should not enforce federal marijuana laws in these states?  
  • Should 35%
  • Should not 60%
Keeping in mind that all of your answers in this survey are confidential, have you, yourself, ever happened to try marijuana?  
  • Yes 48%
  • No 51%
National survey of 1,501 adults was conducted March 13-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 33% Democrat; 26% Republican; 34% Independent.

Inside the numbers: 
Only about three-in-ten conservative Republicans (29%) say marijuana use should be legal. Moderate and liberal Republicans are far more likely than conservatives to favor legalization (53%).
Like Republicans, Democrats are ideologically divided over legalizing marijuana. While 73% of liberal Democrats favor legalizing use of marijuana, only about half of conservative and moderate Democrats agree (52%).
Fully 70% of those who have ever tried marijuana, including 89% of those who have tried it in the past year, say the use of marijuana should be legal. That compares with just 35% of those who have never tried marijuana.
More than half of young people (56%) say they have ever tried marijuana, and 27% say they have tried it in the past year – by far the highest percentage in any age category.
About half of those 30-49 (51%) and 50-64 (54%) have ever tried marijuana, although only about one-in-ten did so last year. Just 22% of adults 65 and older have ever used marijuana, including 2% who say they have used it in the past year.
Men are more likely to say they have tried marijuana than women, 54% vs. 42%. Half of whites and blacks (50%) say they have ever tried marijuana, compared with 34% of Hispanics.
Democrats and Republicans are about equally likely to say they have tried the drug over their lifetimes, 47% vs. 43%; independents are somewhat more likely to have used it (53%). However, over the past year, more independents (14%) and Democrats (13%) than Republicans (7%) to say they have used marijuana.

Tuesday, March 19, 2013

Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on Iran's Nuclear Weapons Program

Pew Research Survey on Iran's Nuclear Weapons Program

In your opinion, which is more important: to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, even if it means taking military action; or to avoid a military conflict with Iran, even if it means they may develop nuclear weapons?
  • Prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, even if it means taking military action 64% (58%)
  • Avoid a military conflict with Iran, even if it means they may develop nuclear weapons 25% (30%)
Among Democrats
  • Prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, even if it means taking military action 62% (50%)
  • Avoid a military conflict with Iran, even if it means they may develop nuclear weapons 25% (38%)
Among Republicans
  • Prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, even if it means taking military action 80% (74%)
  • Avoid a military conflict with Iran, even if it means they may develop nuclear weapons 14% (16%)
Among Independents
  • Prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, even if it means taking military action 59% (55%)
  • Avoid a military conflict with Iran, even if it means they may develop nuclear weapons 32% (34%)
Survey of 1,501 adults was conducted March 13-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 8-12, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on the Situation in the Middle East

Pew Research Poll on the Situation in the Middle East

In the dispute between Israel and the Palestinians, which side do you sympathize with more, Israel or the Palestinians?
  • Israel 49%
  • Palestinians 12%
Among Democrats
  • Israel 39%
  • Palestinians 17%
Among Republicans
  • Israel 66%
  • Palestinians 5%
Among Independents
  • Israel 49%
  • Palestinians 14%
Thinking about the situation in the Middle East these days, do you think Barack Obama is favoring Israel too much; favoring the Palestinians too much; or striking about the right balance?
  • Favoring Israel too much 9%
  • Favoring the Palestinians too much 21%
  • Striking about the right balance 41%
Among Democrats
  • Favoring Israel too much 9%
  • Favoring the Palestinians too much 7%
  • Striking about the right balance 59%
Among Republicans
  • Favoring Israel too much 6%
  • Favoring the Palestinians too much 39%
  • Striking about the right balance 24%
Among Independents
  • Favoring Israel too much 10%
  • Favoring the Palestinians too much 22%
  • Striking about the right balance 40%
Survey of 1,501 adults was conducted March 13-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.

Wednesday, February 20, 2013

Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on Marco Rubio

Pew Research Poll on Marco Rubio

Is your overall opinion of Marco Rubio very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable, or very unfavorable? 
  • Very favorable 10%
  • Mostly favorable 16%
  • Mostly unfavorable 14%
  • Very unfavorable 15% 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Marco Rubio 26% / 29% {-3%}
Among Democrats
  • Favorable 15%
  • Unfavorable 41%
Among Republicans
  • Favorable 49%
  • Unfavorable 18%
Among Independents
  • Favorable 25%
  • Unfavorable 24%
Survey of 1,003 adults was conducted February 14-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 9-13, 2013 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers: 
Among all Republicans (and Republican leaners) who agree with the Tea Party, fully 70% view Rubio favorably compared with just 7% who view him unfavorably.
Among Republicans and leaners who do not agree with the Tea Party, 31% view Rubio favorably and 25% view him unfavorably.

Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on Chuck Hagel

Pew Research Poll on Chuck Hagel

Is your overall opinion of Chuck Hagel very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable, or very unfavorable? 
  • Very favorable 5% (5%)
  • Mostly favorable 17% (14%)
  • Mostly unfavorable 15% (10%)
  • Very unfavorable 13% (7%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Chuck Hagel 22% (18%) / 28% (17%) {-6%}
Among Democrats
  • Favorable 31% (23%)
  • Unfavorable 23% (10%)
Among Republicans
  • Favorable 15% (15%)
  • Unfavorable 36% (26%)
Among Independents
  • Favorable 21% (17%)
  • Unfavorable 30% (19%)
Survey of 1,003 adults was conducted February 14-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 9-13, 2013 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, November 13, 2012

Poll Watch: Pew Research/Washington Post Survey on the Fiscal Cliff

Pew Research/Washington Post Poll on the Fiscal Cliff 

Do you think President Obama and Republicans in Congress will reach an agreement to prevent automatic spending cuts and tax increases from going into effect before January 1st, or not?
  • Yes, will 38%
  • No, will not 51%
Democrats
  • Yes, will 47%
  • No, will not 40%
Republicans
  • Yes, will 25%
  • No, will not 66%
Independents 
  • Yes, will 37%
  • No, will not 51%
If an agreement is not reached, who do you think would be more to blame: Republicans in Congress or President Obama?
  • Republicans in Congress 53%
  • President Obama 29%
Democrats
  • Republicans in Congress 85%
  • President Obama 7%
Republicans
  • Republicans in Congress 12%
  • President Obama 68%
Independents 
  • Republicans in Congress 53%
  • President Obama 23%
Survey of 1,000 adults was conducted November 8-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.

Sunday, November 04, 2012

Poll Watch: Pew Research 2012 Presidential Survey

Pew Research 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 50% (47%) {45%} [51%]
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47% (47%) {49%} [43%]
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44% (48%) {46%} [44%]
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 41% (40%) {42%} [45%]
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 56% (52%) {56%}
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 35% (39%) {36%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 50% (51%) {51%} [48%]
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 42% (44%) {43%} [46%]
Among Women
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 53% (50%) {47%} [56%]
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 40% (44%) {47%} [38%]
Survey of 2,709 likely voters was conducted October 31 - November 3, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% (35%) {31%} [39%] Democrat; 32% (34%) {36%} [29%] Republican; 29% (27%) {30%} [30%] Independent.  Ideology: 43% Conservative; 32% Moderate; 21% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 24-28, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 4-7, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 12-16, 2012 are in square brackets.

Monday, October 29, 2012

Poll Watch: Pew Research 2012 Presidential Survey

Pew Research 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 47% {45%} [51%]
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47% {49%} [43%]
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48% {46%} [44%]
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 40% {42%} [45%]
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 51% {51%} [48%]
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 44% {43%} [46%]
Among Women
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 50% {47%} [56%]
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44% {47%} [38%]
Survey of 1,495 likely voters was conducted October 24-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% {31%} [39%] Democrat; 34% {36%} [29%] Republican; 27% {30%} [30%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 4-7, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 12-16, 2012 are in square brackets.

Monday, October 08, 2012

Poll Watch: Pew Research 2012 Presidential Survey

Pew Research 2012 Presidential Poll
Likely Voters
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 49% [43%]
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 45% [51%]
Registered Voters
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 46% [51%] {51%} (50%) [50%] {49%} (49%) [54%] {52%} (50%) [49%] {48%}
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 46% [42%] {41%} (43%) [46%] {42%} (45%) [42%] {44%} (45%) [47%] {48%}
INDEPENDENTS

Likely Voters
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 46% [44%]
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 42% [45%]
Registered Voters
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44% [42%] {45%} (45%) [49%] {43%} (48%) [44%] {42%} (50%) [53%
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 42% [44%] {43%} (46%) [44%] {43%} (42%) [47%] {51%} (40%) [41%]
MEN

Likely Voters
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 51% [48%]
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 43% [46%]
Registered Voters
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47% [47%] {47%} (46%) [53%] {44%} (50%) [46%] {50%}
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 44% [46%] {46%} (47%) [43%] {46%} (44%) [49%] {45%} 
WOMEN

Likely Voters
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 47% [56%]
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47% [38%]
Registered Voters
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49% [56%] {56%} (53%) [55%] {51%} (53%) [58%] {59%}
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 45% [37%] {37%} (40%) [40%] {40%} (40%) [38%] {38%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 50% [45%] {37%} (41%) [29%] (33%) [38%] / 46% [50%] {52%} (47%) [55%] (47%) [45%] {+4%}
  • Barack Obama 49% [55%] {50%} (50%) [55%] (49%) [50%] / 48% [42%] {45%} (48%) [43%] (48%) [48%] {+1%}
Did you happen to watch the presidential debate between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney on Wednesday night, or didn’t you get a chance to see it? [If Yes] How much of the debate did you watch: all of it, some of it, or only a little?
  • Yes, all 43%
  • Yes, some 20%
  • Yes, a little 6%
  • No, didn't watch 31%
(Among all registered voters) Who do you think did the better job in the presidential debate?
  • Mitt Romney 66%
  • Barack Obama 20%
Among registered voters who watched the debate
  • Mitt Romney 72%
  • Barack Obama 20%
And as I read a list of phrases, tell me if you think each phrase better describes:

Is willing to work with leaders from the other party
  • Barack Obama 45% [52%]
  • Mitt Romney 42% [35%]
Can get things done 
  • Barack Obama 45% [41%]
  • Mitt Romney 41% [39%]
Has new ideas
  • Mitt Romney 47%
  • Barack Obama 40%
Takes more moderate positions
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Mitt Romney 39%
Connects well with ordinary Americans 
  • Barack Obama 59% [66%] [59%]
  • Mitt Romney 30% [23%] [28%]
Honest and truthful 
  • Barack Obama 44% [48%] [46%]
  • Mitt Romney 39% [34%] [32%]
A strong leader 
  • Barack Obama 44% [51%]
  • Mitt Romney 44% [38%]
Takes consistent positions on issues 
  • Barack Obama 47% [50%] [46%]
  • Mitt Romney 37% [34%] [34%]
Regardless of who you support, which one of the presidential candidates do you think would do the best job of:

Improving the job situation 
  • Mitt Romney 49% [45%] (46%)
  • Barack Obama 41% [46%] (42%)
Dealing with Medicare
  • Barack Obama 46% [51%]
  • Mitt Romney 43% [38%]
Reducing the federal budget deficit
  • Mitt Romney 51% [46%] (50%)
  • Barack Obama 36% [43%] (36%)
Having ideas about the role of government in solving problems
  • Mitt Romney 47%
  • Barack Obama 43%
Making wise decisions about foreign policy
  • Barack Obama 47% [53%] (48%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% [38%] (40%)
Dealing with taxes
  • Mitt Romney 47% [42%] (40%)
  • Barack Obama 43% [48%] (48%)
Dealing with health care
  • Barack Obama 47% [52%] (49%) [45%]
  • Mitt Romney 44% [39%] (41%) [44%]
(Among Registered Voters) Now I’m going to read a few statements that have been made about Barack Obama or Mitt Romney. Please tell me if you agree or disagree with each. 

It’s hard to know what Romney really stands for
  • Agree 53%
  • Disagree 44%
Romney is promising more than he can deliver
  • Agree 62%
  • Disagree 35%
Obama doesn’t know how to turn the economy around
  • Agree 54%
  • Disagree 44%
Obama thinks government is the solution to every problem
  • Agree 46%
  • Disagree 51%
Survey of 1,201 registered voters, including 1,112 likely voters, was conducted October 4-7, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 3.4 percentage points among likely voters.  Party ID (among likely voters): 36% [29%] Republican; 31% [39%] Democrat; 30% [30%] Independent. Party ID (among registered voters): 33% [28%] {25%} Republican; 32% [37%] {38%} Democrat; 31% [31%] {33%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 12-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 16-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 9, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-17, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9 - June 3, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 7-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-12, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-14, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22 - October 4, 2011 are in curly brackets.

Wednesday, September 19, 2012

Poll Watch: Pew Research 2012 Presidential Survey

Pew Research 2012 Presidential Poll
Likely Voters
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 51%
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 43%
Registered Voters
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 51% {51%} (50%) [50%] {49%} (49%) [54%] {52%} (50%) [49%] {48%}
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 42% {41%} (43%) [46%] {42%} (45%) [42%] {44%} (45%) [47%] {48%}
MEN

Likely Voters
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48%
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 46%
Registered Voters
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47% {47%} (46%) [53%] {44%} (50%) [46%] {50%}
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 46% {46%} (47%) [43%] {46%} (44%) [49%] {45%} 
WOMEN

Likely Voters
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 56%
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 38%
Registered Voters
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 56% {56%} (53%) [55%] {51%} (53%) [58%] {59%}
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 37% {37%} (40%) [40%] {40%} (40%) [38%] {38%}
INDEPENDENTS

Likely Voters
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 45%
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44%
Registered Voters
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 44% {43%} (46%) [44%] {43%} (42%) [47%] {51%} (40%) [41%]
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 42% {45%} (45%) [49%] {43%} (48%) [44%] {42%} (50%) [53%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 55% {50%} (50%) [55%] (49%) [50%] / 42% {45%} (48%) [43%] (48%) [48%] {+13%}
  • Joe Biden 45% / 44% {+1%}
  • Paul Ryan 40% / 44% {-4%}
  • Mitt Romney 45% {37%} (41%) [29%] (33%) [38%] / 50% {52%} (47%) [55%] (47%) [45%] {-5%}
And as I read a list of phrases, tell me if you think each phrase better describes:

Would use good judgment in a crisis 
  • Barack Obama 51% [50%]
  • Mitt Romney 37% [37%]
Can get things done 
  • Barack Obama 45% [41%]
  • Mitt Romney 41% [39%]
Willing to take a stand, even if it’s unpopular 
  • Barack Obama 52% [54%]
  • Mitt Romney 37% [35%]
Shares my values 
  • Barack Obama 50% [46%]
  • Mitt Romney 40% [40%]
Connects well with ordinary Americans 
  • Barack Obama 66% [59%]
  • Mitt Romney 23% [28%]
Honest and truthful 
  • Barack Obama 48% [46%]
  • Mitt Romney 34% [32%]
A strong leader 
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Mitt Romney 38%
Takes consistent positions on issues 
  • Barack Obama 50% [46%]
  • Mitt Romney 34% [34%]
Regardless of who you support, which one of the presidential candidates do you think would do the best job of:

Improving the job situation 
  • Barack Obama 46% (42%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% (46%)
Dealing with Medicare
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Mitt Romney 38%
Reducing the federal budget deficit
  • Mitt Romney 46% (50%)
  • Barack Obama 43% (36%)
Representing your views about abortion
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Mitt Romney 35%
Making wise decisions about foreign policy
  • Barack Obama 53% (48%)
  • Mitt Romney 38% (40%)
Dealing with taxes
  • Barack Obama 48% (48%)
  • Mitt Romney 42% (40%)
Dealing with health care
  • Barack Obama 52% (49%) [45%]
  • Mitt Romney 39% (41%) [44%]
Dealing with problems in the Middle East
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Mitt Romney 39%
In general, do you think Barack Obama’s positions on the issues are: 
  • Too liberal 39% [41%]
  • Not liberal enough  9% [12%]
  • About right 47% [42%]
In general, do you think Mitt Romney’s positions on the issues are: 
  • Too conservative 35% [29%]
  • Not conservative enough 19% [23%]
  • About right 38% [35%] 
How much confidence do you have in Barack Obama to do the right thing when it comes to fixing the economy? 
  • A great deal 22%
  • A fair amount 32%
  • Not too much 16%
  • No confidence at all 27%
How much confidence do you have in Mitt Romney to do the right thing when it comes to fixing the economy?  
  • A great deal 14%
  • A fair amount 31%
  • Not too much 26%
  • No confidence at all 26%
Regardless of who you might support, who do you think is most likely to win the presidential election?
  • Barack Obama 53% [52%] [59%]
  • Mitt Romney 24% [34%] [32%]
Which worries you more: 
  • That Mitt Romney may not be trustworthy 39%
  • That Barack Obama may not be able to make progress on the economy 38%
Do you think Barack Obama is too tough, not tough enough or about right in his approach to foreign policy and national security issues? 
  • Too tough 1%
  • Not tough enough 47%
  • About right 40%
Do you think Mitt Romney would be too tough, not tough enough or about right in his approach to foreign policy and national security issues? 
  • Too tough 16%
  • Not tough enough 22%
  • About right 34%
Survey of 2,424 registered voters, including 2,268 likely voters, was conducted September 12-16, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.3 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 2.4 percentage points among likely voters.  Party ID (among registered voters): 37% {38%} Democrat; 28% {25%} Republican; 31% {33%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted July 16-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 9, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-17, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9 - June 3, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 7-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-12, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-14, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22 - October 4, 2011 are in curly brackets.

Monday, September 17, 2012

Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on President Obama and Mitt Romney's Reactions to Turmoil in the Middle East

Pew Research Poll on Obama and Romney's Reactions to Turmoil in the Middle East

Thinking about the recent attacks on U.S. embassies and consulates in the Middle East and the killing of the U.S. ambassador in Libya:

From what you’ve seen and heard, do you approve or disapprove of how Barack Obama has handled this situation? 
  • Approve 45%
  • Disapprove 36%
Have Followed Middle East Turmoil Very Closely
  • Approve 46%
  • Disapprove 43%
Do you approve or disapprove of the comments Mitt Romney has made about this situation? 
  • Approve 26%
  • Disapprove 48%
Have Followed Middle East Turmoil Very Closely
  • Approve 34%
  • Disapprove 49%
National survey of 854 adults who have followed news stories about the attacks on American embassies and consulates in the Middle East and the killing of the U.S. ambassador in Libya was conducted September 13-16, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.

Inside the numbers: 
While 75% of Democrats approve of Obama’s handling of Middle East turmoil, fewer Republicans (58%) approve of Romney’s comments on the situation.

There are only modest partisan differences in attentiveness to the recent attacks on the embassies and the killing of the U.S. ambassador: 48% of Republicans, 41% of Democrats and 45% of independents have followed this story very closely.

Thursday, August 02, 2012

Poll Watch: Pew Research 2012 Presidential Survey

Pew Research 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 51% (50%) [50%] {49%} (49%) [54%] {52%} (50%) [49%] {48%}
  • Mitt Romney 41% (43%) [46%] {42%} (45%) [42%] {44%} (45%) [47%] {48%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 47% (46%) [53%] {44%} (50%) [46%] {50%}
  • Barack Obama 46% (47%) [43%] {46%} (44%) [49%] {45%} 
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 56% (53%) [55%] {51%} (53%) [58%] {59%}
  • Mitt Romney 37% (40%) [40%] {40%} (40%) [38%] {38%}
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 45% (45%) [49%] {43%} (48%) [44%] {42%} (50%) [53%
  • Barack Obama 43% (46%) [44%] {43%} (42%) [47%] {51%} (40%) [41%] 
Battleground States (CO, FL, IA, MI, MO, NV, NH, NC, OH, PA, VA and WI)
  • Barack Obama 48% (51%) [51%]
  • Mitt Romney 44% (44%) [44%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 50% (50%) [55%] (49%) [50%] / 45% (48%) [43%] (48%) [48%] {+5%}
  • Mitt Romney 37% (41%) [29%] (33%) [38%] / 52% (47%) [55%] (47%) [45%] {-15%}
Survey of 1,956 registered voters was conducted July 16-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% Democrat; 25% Republican; 33% Independent.  Ideology: 39% Conservative; 36% Moderate; 21% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 9, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-17, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9 - June 3, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 7-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-12, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-14, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22 - October 4, 2011 are in curly brackets.

Thursday, July 12, 2012

Poll Watch: Pew Research 2012 Presidential Survey

Pew Research 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 50% [50%] {49%} (49%) [54%] {52%} (50%) [49%] {48%}
  • Mitt Romney 43% [46%] {42%} (45%) [42%] {44%} (45%) [47%] {48%}
Among Men
  • Barack Obama 47% [43%] {46%} (44%) [49%] {45%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% [53%] {44%} (50%) [46%] {50%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 53% [55%] {51%} (53%) [58%] {59%}
  • Mitt Romney 40% [40%] {40%} (40%) [38%] {38%}
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 46% [44%] {43%} (42%) [47%] {51%} (40%) [41%] 
  • Mitt Romney 45% [49%] {43%} (48%) [44%] {42%} (50%) [53%]
Battleground States (CO, FL, IA, MI, MO, NV, NH, NC, OH, PA, VA and WI)
  • Barack Obama 51% [51%]
  • Mitt Romney 44% [44%]
Regardless of who you support, which one of the presidential candidates --Mitt Romney or Barack Obama -- do you think would do the best job of:

Improving economic conditions
  • Barack Obama 48% [41%]
  • Mitt Romney 42% [49%]
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 43% [54%]
  • Barack Obama 39% [31%]
    Dealing with health care
    • Barack Obama 49% [45%]
    • Mitt Romney 41% [44%]
    Dealing with immigration
    • Barack Obama 46%
    • Mitt Romney 42%
    Selecting Supreme Court justices
    • Barack Obama 46%
    • Mitt Romney 41%
    Dealing with taxes
    • Barack Obama 48%
    • Mitt Romney 40%
    Making wise decisions on foreign policy
    • Barack Obama 48%
    • Mitt Romney 40%
    Dealing with nation’s energy problems
    • Barack Obama 49%
    • Mitt Romney 37%
    Defending against terrorist attacks
    • Barack Obama 50%
    • Mitt Romney 38%
    Dealing with abortion/gay rights
    • Barack Obama 50%
    • Mitt Romney 36%
    Dealing with problems of poor people
    • Barack Obama 60%
    • Mitt Romney 30%
    Improving the job situation
    • Mitt Romney 46%
    • Barack Obama 42%
    Reducing the federal budget deficit
    • Mitt Romney 50%
    • Barack Obama 36%
    Survey of 2,373 registered voters was conducted June 28 - July 9, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 36.5% Democrat; 29.9% Republican; 33.6% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-17, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9 - June 3, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 7-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-12, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-14, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22 - October 4, 2011 are in curly brackets.