Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Egypt

Rasmussen (R) Poll on Egypt

Is Egypt an ally or an enemy of the United States, or somewhere in between?

• Ally 14% [23%] (34%) {42%} [39%]
  
• Enemy 15% [21%] (14%) {8%} [9%]
• In between 55% [48%] (43%) {39%} [42%] 
• Not sure 16%

Has the change in the government of Egypt brought about by last year’s Arab Spring protests been good for the United States, bad for the United States or has it had no impact on the United States?

• Good for the U.S. 12%
  
• Bad for the U.S. 37%
• No impact on U.S. 21%
• Not sure 30%

Over the next few years, how likely is that Egypt will become a free, democratic, and peaceful nation?

• Very likely 9%
• Somewhat likely 26%
• Not very likely 34%
• Not at all likely 13%
• Not sure 18%
  

Should the United States get more directly involved in the Egypt situation or leave the situation alone? 

• Get more directly involved 18%
• Leave the situation alone 57%
• Undecided 25%
  

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 26-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the polls conducted October 16-17, 2012 and October 18-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the polls conducted October 17-18, 2011 and October 19-20, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the polls conducted August 20-21, 2010 and August 22-23, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the polls conducted August 5-8, 2009 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers: 

Republicans and voters not affiliated with either major political party are twice as supportive of U.S. involvement in Egypt as Democrats are.

But then only 21% of voters in President Obama’s party see the change in the Egyptian government as bad for the United States, compared to 60% of Republicans and 34% of unaffiliateds. Democrats are also much more optimistic that Egypt will become free, democratic and peaceful in the new few years.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of all voters say they have been following recent news reports about the political unrest in Egypt, including 39% who have been following very closely.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on the Situation in the Middle East

Rasmussen (R) Poll on the Situation in the Middle East

Who is more to blame for the escalating military conflict between the Israelis and the Palestinians – Israel or the Palestinians? 

• Palestinians 50%
• Israel 12%
• Not sure 38%
  

Should the United States help defend Israel, help defend the Palestinians, or stay out of the Middle East conflict entirely? 

• Help defend Israel 43%
• Help defend the Palestinians 2%
  
• Stay out of Middle East conflict entirely 47%

Has the recent change of government in Egypt made Israel more safe or less safe, or has it had no impact? 

• More safe 5%
  
• Less safe 45%
• No impact 23%
• Not sure 26%
  

Generally speaking, is the United States too supportive or not supportive enough of Israel? Or is America's support for Israel just about right?

• Too supportive 16%
• Not supportive enough 31%
• Support just about right 37%

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 18-19, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. 

Inside the numbers:

Republicans (75%) are far more likely than Democrats (38%) and voters not affiliated with either of the major parties (40%) to blame the Palestinians for the increasingly violent situation in Gaza.

While 57% of Republicans feel America is not supportive enough of Israel, 51% of Democrats view the current level of support as about right. Unaffiliated voters are more narrowly divided. 

Male voters and those over 40 are more supportive of Israel than female voters and those 18 to 39.

Seventy percent (70%) of GOP voters believe the United States should help defend Israel. Sixty-two percent (62%) of Democrats and 52% of unaffiliated voters think the United States should stay out of the Middle East conflict.

Seventy-six percent (76%) of voters say they have followed recent news stories about Israel, including 38% who have been following very closely.

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Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on the Islamic World

Rasmussen (R) Poll on the Muslim World

Following last year’s so-called Arab spring, new governments are being established in nations such as Egypt, Libya and Tunisia. How likely is it that these new governments will become allies of the United States?

• Very likely 7%
• Somewhat likely 34%
• Not too likely 32%
• Not at all likely 13%

Over the next few years, how likely is it that these countries will become free, democratic and peaceful?

• Very likely 3%
• Somewhat likely 24%
• Not too likely 46%
• Not at all likely 16%

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted May 10-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Seventy-three percent (73%) of Republicans and 68% of voters not affiliated with either major political party feel it’s unlikely the Arab Spring nations will become free, democratic and peaceful over the next few years. Democrats are more closely divided: 40% say it’s likely, while 48% believe it’s unlikely.

However, most Democrats (58%) think these nations will become allies of the United States in the near future, a view shared by just 28% of GOP voters and 35% of unaffiliateds.

Voters with an immediate family member in the military are slightly less optimistic than those without someone in uniform to believe these counties will transform into democracies and become U.S. allies.

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Poll Watch: Anti-Defamation League Survey: American Attitudes Toward Israel, the Palestinians and Prospects for Peace in the Middle East

ADL Survey: American Attitudes Toward Israel, the Palestinians and Prospects for Peace in the Middle East

Thinking specifically about the current conflict between Israel and the Palestinians, are your sympathies more with Israel or the Palestinians?

• Israel 49%
• Palestinians 18%

Israel can be counted on as a strong, loyal U.S. ally.

• Strongly agree 42%
• Agree 31%
• Disagree 11%
• Strongly disagree 7%

Which do you believe? Israel is a crucial American ally, OR America’s relationship with Israel hurts us with the rest of the world?

• Israel is a crucial American ally 61%
• America's relationship with Israel hurts us with the rest of the world 24%

Over the past six months, do you think the situation between Israel and the Palestinians has improved, worsened or stayed about the same?

• Improved 6%
• Worsened 27%
• Stayed about the same 58%

(If Worsened) Who do you think is primarily responsible for this change, Israel or the Palestinians?

• Palestinians 56%
• Israel 26%

Which of these next two statements is closest to your own view?

• A Palestinian state must not be established until Palestinians demonstrate a commitment to end violence and accept Israel's legitimacy. 58%
• The peace process will be strengthened by the creation of a Palestinian state as soon as possible. 22%

Which statement is closest to your own?

• Direct negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians are the only appropriate way to create a Palestinian state. 52%
• Because of the stalemate in the peace process between Israel and the Palestinians, the UN should vote to make Palestine an independent state. 28%

One of the most significant areas of disagreement between the Israel and the Palestinians is the construction of Israeli housing within the city of Jerusalem. Which of the following statements is closest to your own view?

• Israeli leaders say that Jerusalem is – and always will be – the capital of Israel – and they have every right to build housing in their nation’s capital. 54%
• Palestinian leaders say that Israel must immediately stop all construction in areas still under dispute – including disputed neighborhoods in Jerusalem. 29%

Do you think the Arab Spring will lead to lasting improvements for people living in these countries?

• Will lead to lasting improvements 42%
• Will not lead to lasting improvements 36%

Do you think the Arab Spring will end up being good for the U.S., bad for the U.S. or won’t have much effect on the U.S.?

• Good for the U.S. 25%
• Bad for the U.S. 28%
• Won't have much of an effect 31%

Which of these next two statements is closest to your own view?

• It is important for the U.S. to work with emerging Arab democracies like Tunisia and Egypt, even if it means weakening our strong relationship with Israel. 40%
• The U.S. has a moral and strategic obligation to keep our relationship with Israel strong, even if this means weakening our relationship with the Arab world. 39%

Which of the following describes your view of Iran: Iran is an immediate threat to the security of the Middle East, a threat to the security of the Middle East in the near future, a potential threat further down the road, or no threat at all?

• Immediate threat 38%
• Threat in the near future 14%
• Potential threat further down the road 32%
• No threat at all 7%

Do you think that Israel should take military action to keep Iran from developing or trying to develop a nuclear weapons program?

• Yes 57%
• No 31%

Do you think that the United States should take military action to keep Iran from developing or trying to develop a nuclear weapons program?

• Yes 50%
• No 44%

Which of these next two statements is closest to your own view?

• American Jews stifle debate about U.S. policy toward Israel and the Middle East. 25%
• The national debate about U.S. policy toward Israel and the Middle East is vigorous and wide open. 52%

Survey of 1,200 adults was conducted October 13-23, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

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Poll Watch: Rasmussen Middle East Peace Agreement Survey

Rasmussen Middle East Peace Agreement Survey

As part of a Middle Eastern peace agreement, should Palestinian leaders be required to acknowledge Israel’s right to exist as a Jewish state?

• Yes 71%
• No 8%
• Not sure 21%

How likely it is that there will ever be peace between Israel and the Arab world?

• Very likely 2%
• Somewhat likely 13%
• Not very likely 51%
• Not at all likely 27%

National Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted May 17-18, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

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