Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times 2012 Presidential Survey

CBS News/New York Times 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48% [48%] (49%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47% [46%] (46%) 

Independents

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 51% [42%] (50%) 
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 39% [46%] (44%)

Men

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 51% [47%] (52%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 44% [47%] (44%) 

Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 52% [50%] (53%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44% [45%] (41%) 

Would you describe your support for Barack Obama as strongly favoring him, or do you like him with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Mitt Romney?

• Strongly favor 68% [65%] (65%)
• Like with reservations 19% [20%] (20%)
• Dislike Romney 12% [13%] (12%)

Would you describe your support for Mitt Romney as strongly favoring him, or do you like him with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Barack Obama?

• Strongly favor 57% [61%] (47%)
• Like with reservations 25% [22%] (27%)
• Dislike Obama 17% [15%] (23%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 44% [43%] (37%) / 43% [40%] (38%) {+1%}
• Paul Ryan 35% (29%) / 34% (26%) {+1%} 
• Barack Obama 46% [47%] (44%) / 46% [42%] (44%) {0%}
• Joe Biden 37% (33%) / 43% (37%) {-6%} 

Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling each of the following issues – Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

The Federal Budget Deficit

• Mitt Romney 54% [48%] (51%)
• Barack Obama 39% [42%] (43%)

The Economy and Unemployment

• Mitt Romney 51% [48%] (46%)
• Barack Obama 45% [45%] (47%) 

Foreign Policy

• Barack Obama 49% [50%] (49%)
• Mitt Romney 44% [41%] (39%)

Health Care

• Barack Obama 48% (50%)
• Mitt Romney 45% (46%) 

Taxes

• Mitt Romney 47% (46%)
• Barack Obama 46% (48%)

Medicare

• Barack Obama 51% (50%)
• Mitt Romney 42% (43%)

Help Middle Class Americans

• Barack Obama 52% (54%)
• Mitt Romney 43% (40%)

Dealing with the Issue of Abortion

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 39%

Dealing with Illegal Immigration

• Mitt Romney 48%
• Barack Obama 42%

Dealing with Terrorism and National Security

• Barack Obama 49% [49%]
• Mitt Romney 44% [42%]

Which candidate do you think would work better with both Democrats and Republicans in Congress?

• Mitt Romney 50%
• Barack Obama 39%

Do you think Barack Obama has strong qualities of leadership, or not?

• Has 59%
• Does not have 39%
  

Do you think Mitt Romney has strong qualities of leadership, or not?

• Has 67%
• Does not have 30%
  

Do you think Barack Obama says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?

• Says what he believes 50% (54%)
• What people want to hear 47% (43%)

Do you think Mitt Romney says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?

• Says what he believes 42% (42%)
• Says what people want 54% (53%)

How much confidence do you have in Barack Obama’s ability to handle an international crisis -- a lot, some, a little, or none at all?

• A lot 40% [38%] (39%)
• Some 22% [24%] (26%)
• A little 15% [15%] (13%)
• None at all 22% [22%] (21%)

How much confidence do you have in Mitt Romney’s ability to handle an international crisis -- a lot, some, a little, or none at all?

• A lot 30% [30%] (26%)
• Some 27% [28%] (32%)
• A little 15% [16%] (15%)
• None at all 26% [25%] (22%)

Do you think Barack Obama has made it clear what he wants to accomplish if he were re-elected president, or not?

• Yes, he has 57% (59%)
• No, he has not 41% (37%)

Do you think Mitt Romney has made it clear what he wants to accomplish if he were elected president, or not?

• Yes, he has 53% (50%)
• No, he has not 46% (44%)

Do you think Barack Obama's views on most issues are too liberal for you, not liberal enough, or just about right?

• Too liberal 42%
• Not liberal enough 9%
• About right 46%

Do you think Mitt Romney's views on most issues are too conservative for you, not conservative enough, or just about right?

• Too liberal 35%
• Not liberal enough 15%
• About right 45%

Do you think Barack Obama does or does not understand the needs and problems of people like yourself?

• Does 59% [59%] (60%)
• Does not 39% [38%] (37%)

Do you think Mitt Romney does or does not understand the needs and problems of people like yourself?

• Does 49% [48%] (46%)
• Does not 48% [48%] (48%)

Do you think Barack Obama understands the needs and problems of women in the workforce, or not?

• Yes 66%
• No 29%

Do you think Mitt Romney understands the needs and problems of women in the workforce, or not?

• Yes 46%
• No 50%

Regardless of how you intend to vote for President in 2012, who do you expect to finally win the 2012 presidential election?

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 36%

Survey of 563 likely voters was conducted October 25-28, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% [32%] (35%) Democrat; 31% [32%] (29%) Republican; 33% [35%] (32%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-20, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-12, 2012 are in parentheses. 

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Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 51% [52%] (50%) {48%} [51%] (46%) {47%} [43%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 47% [43%] (47%) {42%} [43%] (46%) {46%} [46%] (46%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 52% [52%] (41%) {37%} [54%] (47%) {44%} [27%] (41%)
• Mitt Romney 45% [37%] (51%) {35%} [39%] (41%) {49%} [58%] (52%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 57% (53%) {57%} [67%] (64%) {55%} [53%] (61%)
• Mitt Romney 41% (40%) {30%} [29%] (26%) {36%} [34%] (35%)

Among Men

• Barack Obama 53% [48%] (44%) {43%} [51%] (42%) {43%} [38%] (44%)
• Mitt Romney 45% [46%] (52%) {46%} [41%] (51%) {51%} [51%] (47%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 49% [55%] (54%) {52%} [51%] (50%) {51%} [47%] (49%)
• Mitt Romney 48% [41%] (43%) {39%} [44%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (45%)

If the candidates for President this year were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Libertarian Gary Johnson, who would you vote for?

• Barack Obama 48% [49%]
• Mitt Romney 47% [46%]
• Gary Johnson 3% [2%]
• Undecided 2% [2%]

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?

• Mitt Romney 49%
• Barack Obama 48%

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?

• Mitt Romney 49%
• Barack Obama 48%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 50% [46%] {41%} [38%] (45%) {38%} [43%] (47%) / 46% [49%] {53%} [51%] (44%) {43%} [43%] (37%) {+4%}
• Gary Johnson 10% [8%] / 17% [24%] {-7%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 46% [49%] {32%} [36%] (40%) {40%} [48%] (58%) / 49% [46%] {54%} [54%] (47%) {43%} [38%] (28%) {-3%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 40% [42%] {29%} [32%] (32%) {34%} [44%] (42%) / 56% [54%] {64%} [56%] (57%) {50%} [38%] (42%) {-16%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 46% [50%] {41%} [36%] (45%) {43%} [42%] (45%) / 50% [44%] {54%} [56%] (44%) {44%} [45%] (46%) {+6%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 54% [43%] {40%} [40%] (45%) {34%} [44%] (49%) / 43% [53%] {52%} [47%] (44%) {42%} [41%] (30%) {+11%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 49% [48%] {49%} [50%] (44%) {47%} [45%] (50%)
• Disapprove 48% [49%] {47%} [46%] (53%) {50%} [52%] (46%)

Do you think the Bureau of Labor Statistics is manipulating the unemployment numbers to
help Barack Obama, or not?

• It is 44%
• It is not 48%
• Not sure 8%

Survey of 594 likely Nevada voters was conducted October 8-10, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Party ID: 44% [42%] (38%) {40%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (45%) Democrat; 35% [38%] (34%) {38%} [39%] (38%) {38%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 21% [20%] (28%) {21%} [18%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (16%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 33% (35%) {34%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [28%] Moderate; 24% (21%) {23%} [26%] (25%) {25%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 18% (16%) {17%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 16% (15%) {14%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [18%] Very conservative; 9% (13%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Minnesota 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Minnesota 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 53% [51%] (54%) {51%} [51%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 43% [44%] (39%) {41%} [36%] (42%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama [48%] (55%) {47%} [42%] (42%)
• Mitt Romney [39%] (32%) {38%} [36%] (40%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama [60%] (68%) {63%} [62%] (62%)
• Mitt Romney [32%] (22%) {26%} [19%] (26%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney [48%] (41%) {48%} [40%] (50%)
• Barack Obama [47%] (52%) {44%} [49%] (40%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama [54%] (56%) {58%} [53%] (54%)
• Mitt Romney [40%] (38%) {34%} [33%] (36%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 42% [43%] (32%) {29%} [29%] (32%) / 53% [51%] (54%) {56%} [53%] (42%) {-11%} 

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 53% [50%] (52%) {49%} [51%] (49%)
• Disapprove 45% [48%] (43%) {45%} [44%] (46%)

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 44%

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?

• Barack Obama 54%
• Mitt Romney 41%

Who do you think won the debate between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney this week?

• Mitt Romney 64% 
• Barack Obama 19%

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 39%
• Mitt Romney 36%

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 94%
• Barack Obama 2%

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 70%
• Barack Obama 12%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Big Bird?

• Favorable 61%
• Unfavorable 7%

Do you support or oppose federal funding for PBS?

• Support 56%
• Oppose 29%

Among Democrats

• Support 84%
• Oppose 6%

Among Republicans

• Support 20%
• Oppose 62%

Among Independents

• Support 55%
• Oppose 27%

Do you think the Bureau of Labor Statistics is manipulating the unemployment numbers to help Barack Obama, or not?

• It is 30%
• It is not 53%

Among Democrats

• It is 9%
• It is not 81%

Among Republicans

• It is 61%
• It is not 16%

Among Independents

• It is 29%
• It is not 53%

Survey of 937 likely Minnesota voters was conducted October 5-8, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 38% [35%] (35%) {36%} [38%] (37%) Democrat; 29% [32%] (31%) {33%} [31%] (34%) Republican; 32% [33%] (34%) {32%} [31%] (29%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% [28%] (32%) {29%} [29%] Moderate; 23% [25%] (20%) {22%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 20% [21%] (20%) {22%} [20%] Somewhat liberal; 14% [16%] (16%) {16%} [15%] Very conservative; 13% [10%] (11%) {11%} [11%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-22, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 27-30, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 4-5, 2010 are in parentheses.

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