Poll Watch: Washington Post-ABC News Survey on Illegal Immigration

Washington Post-ABC News Poll on Illegal Immigration

Do you support or oppose a path to citizenship for illegal immigrants?

Among Registered Voters

• Support 55%
• Oppose 42%

Among All Adults

• Support 57%
• Oppose 39%

Among Democrats

• Support 71%
• Oppose 25%

Among Republicans

• Support 37%
• Oppose 60%

Among Independents

• Support 59%
• Oppose 38%

Among Liberals

• Support 71%
• Oppose 27%

Among Moderates

• Support 58%
• Oppose 38%

Among Conservatives

• Support 47%
• Oppose 49%

Among Men

• Support 59%
• Oppose 39%

Among Women

• Support 55%
• Oppose 39%

Age 18-39

• Support 65%
• Oppose 31%

Age 40-64

• Support 53%
• Oppose 43%

Age 65+ 

• Support 47%
• Oppose 50%

Among Whites

• Support 51%
• Oppose 45%

Among Blacks

• Support 62%
• Oppose 33%

Among Hispanics

• Support 82%
• Oppose 17%

Survey of 1,023 adults, including a subsample of registered voters, was conducted November 7-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points among all adults.

CNN State of the Union Roundtable: The Future of the Republican Party

Lindsey Graham on Face the Nation

AC360: Interview with Rudy Giuliani

COOPER: Joining me now is former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani. Mr. Mayor, thanks very much for being with us. Looking at last night's exit poll results, it is clear or I guess, I should ask you.

Do you think it is clear that your party has a big problem on its hands reaching out to Hispanic-Americans, for instance? It shows the Hispanic votes decreasing and if so, what do you do about that?
 
RUDY GIULIANI (R), 2008 PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: Well, I certainly agree that we have a big problem reaching out for the Hispanic vote, what was it -- twenty-five percent? 

I ran for mayor of New York, and each time I ran, I got a higher percentage of the Hispanic vote. That probably elected me with 43 percent, then I got 48 percent. I think President Bush had us up to about 44 percent to 48 percent nationally. And since then we've been declining. I think there's one big issue. I think Lindsey Graham would agree with this. I just talked to Lindsey about this a couple of days ago. We have to get over this immigration reform hurdle.

I mean, President Bush was on the right track with comprehensive immigration reform. If we had passed that, we would be a party that probably had a 40 percent, 45 percent Hispanic base.

COOPER: How do you sell that message to the fringe of your party? Because that is not a message they want to hear?

GIULIANI: Big opportunity lost really in Mitt Romney losing because I think that is one of the things Mitt Romney could have accomplished with a Democratic Senate, Republican House and new president. He probably could have gotten 100-150 Republican votes for comprehensive immigration reforms, which means to the Hispanic community being sensible about the 12, 14, 15 million people that are here.

You can't deport them all. You can't chase them all out. Sure, you can focus on the ones that are criminals or the ones that are doing bad things. But I know that community really well.

And 90 percent of them are hard-working people who are actually making a contribution. So why the heck do we want to hound them? And I think that's the major thing that hurts us, and --

COOPER: What's also interesting about your record, I mean, you're someone who's held positions on social issues that certainly are not in step with the rest of your party as it is right now according to exit polls. Unmarried women went for the president by nearly 40 points.

Do you think the Democrats, what they said was a 'War on Women' message, resonated? Should your party adjust to this approach on women's issues, especially reproductive issues, or same-sex issues, same-sex marriage? Do you think there needs to be an evolution there?

GIULIANI: Well, I ran that way in 2008. I didn't get the nomination. And nobody with my views ran in 2012. Frankly, Anderson, I didn't run in 2012 because I didn't think I could be nominated being pro-choice and being pro-gay rights. I signed, as mayor of New York, I signed the first -- I think the first in the nation civil union bill, and that was--

COOPER: Didn't you officiate at a gay wedding? I remember reading once, or you had some friends who got married, or something like that.

GIULIANI: No, didn't do that. I still believe that marriage should be between a man and a woman, but I'm very open to civil unions, and I'm also open to allowing states to decide this on a state by state basis.

So if New York wants gay marriage, fine. If some other state doesn't want to have gay marriage.

Here we are, a party that believes in state's rights -- until we get to an issue like gay marriage. And then we don't believe in state's rights.

COOPER: And also this is a party that doesn't believe in heavy federal government involvement in people's private lives, unless on certain issues. And, again, it's something Alex Castellanos brought up earlier. So again, how do things evolve in that? Do they need to evolve for the GOP?

GIULIANI: My ideal Republican Party would be a Republican Party that was fiscally conservative, conservative on foreign policy and military policy. And on social issues we would be libertarian. We would say, you know, we're going to stay out of your pocketbook and we're going to stay out of your bedroom.

And I think that party could be a majority party. I think if we were running that way this time, I think we win by 4 or 5 percent.

COOPER: What about the Tea Party? There are people who say the Tea Party decided it wanted "pure" candidates. So your party lost some 'unlosable' races, that they may have caused Republicans control of the Senate. Some say Republicans can't win with the Tea Party, but they can't win without them, and a lot of leaders don't feel comfortable publicly, you know, even bringing this issue up.

GIULIANI: Well, I think what we really should try to do with the Tea Party is to get them to figure out: What are your priority issues? Their priority issue, the whole reason it got established was: Big government, heavy taxes, ObamaCare, government trying to direct your life.

And then allow a certain amount of flexibility on social issues. If we could organize around fiscal conservatism, conservatism on foreign policy and on military policy, and then allow people to disagree with each other, sort of in the Ronald Reagan mold of, if you agree with me on eight out of ten issues, you are my friend.

Somehow we're going to have to get around to that kind of party. Otherwise, and I've been saying this for, you know, 10 years. Otherwise, we give away -- look at the map. We give away the entire northeast.

When you give away the entire west coast, by the time we get to the electoral vote, we've got to win by one state or two states. And when you get a good campaign against you. Barack Obama had a great ground game, and a great campaign -- then you lose.

Source: CNN

Poll Watch: Florida International University/El Nuevo Herald/Miami Herald 2012 Hispanic Presidential Survey

FIU/El Nuevo Herald/Miami Herald 2012 National Hispanic Presidential Poll 

• Barack Obama 66% 
• Mitt Romney 31%

Has Obama fulfilled his promises to the U.S. Hispanic community?

• Yes 45%
• Some promises 16%
• No 38% 

Who will do a better job at fixing the U.S. economy?

• Barack Obama 68% 
• Mitt Romney 32%

Who will be more capable of directing U.S. foreign policy?

• Barack Obama 69% 
• Mitt Romney 31%

Who will do a better job at reforming immigration policy?

• Barack Obama 70% 
• Mitt Romney 30%

National survey of 1,000 likely Hispanic voters was conducted October 10-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Washington Times/Zogby 2012 Presidential Survey

Washington Times/Zogby 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney (R) 45.1% [41.1%] {45.7%} (42.8%) [43.6%]
• Barack Obama (D) 44.5% [49.7%] {45.7%} (42.0%) [43.2%]
• Not sure 10.4% [9.2%] {5%} [13.0%]

(Among Obama Voters) Which of the following best describes why you are voting for Barack Obama?

• Want to see him re-elected 66.6% [61.3%]
• Really dislike Romney 14.7% [14.5%]
• Simply voting for Democrat 8.5% [9.1%]
• He is the lesser of two evils 8.2% [11.7%]
• Not sure 2.0% [3.4%]

(Among Romney Voters) Which of the following best describes why you are voting for Mitt Romney?

• Think he is the best candidate 69.4% [58.2%]
• Really dislike Obama 13.4% [16.0%]
• He is the lesser of two evils 12.8% [16.1%]
• Simply voting for GOP 2.4% [5.8%]
• Not sure 2.1% [3.9%]

If the presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote?

• Barack Obama (D) 45.5% [48.7%]
• Mitt Romney (R) 45.0% [41.2%]
• Gary Johnson (L) 1.7% [1.2%]
• Jill Stein (G) 0.3% [0.7%]
• Virgil Goode (C) 0.0% [0.2%]
• Not sure 7.4% [8.0%]

Which candidate do you think would do a better job on:

Jobs and the economy

• Mitt Romney 50.3%
• Barack Obama 43.9%

Foreign affairs

• Barack Obama 49.5%
• Mitt Romney 43.9%

National security

• Mitt Romney 48.0%
• Barack Obama 45.1%

Energy

• Barack Obama 46.0%
• Mitt Romney 45.8%

Immigration

• Barack Obama 48.0%
• Mitt Romney 41.4%

The presidential candidates just held their first debate. Did you watch it?

• Yes, I watched all or most of it 62.1%
• Yes, I saw some of it 16.5%
• Did not watch, but I saw news reports (TV, Internet, radio) 11.2%
• Did not watch or see news reports 9.1%
• Not sure 1.2%
  

Based on what you saw or read about the debate, who do you think won?

• Mitt Romney 64.9%
• Barack Obama 14.4%
• It was a tie 13.0%
• Not sure 7.7%

Based on what you saw or read about the debate, did it change your support for either candidate?

• Yes, in favor of Mitt Romney 8.7%
• Yes, in favor of Barack Obama 4.5%
• No change in my support 85.2%
• Not sure 1.6%
  

In the debate, Mitt Romney said he can cut tax rates across the board to boost jobs while still finding a way to balance the deficit. Barack Obama said the math doesn't add up, and
Romney cannot do both. Which do you think is correct?

• Romney's math adds up - he can cut taxes and balance the budget 43.7%
• Romney's math doesn't add up, and he cannot do both 43.7%
• Not sure 12.6%
  

In the debate, Mitt Romney said he loves Big Bird, but called for eliminating funding for PBS, the station that airs "Sesame Street." Should funding for PBS be eliminated?

• Yes, the government cannot afford to subsidize public television 35.2%
• No, public television is a worthy place to spend taxpayers' money 55.3%
• Not sure 9.6%

Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. is scheduled to debate Republican nominee Paul Ryan Thursday.  Based on what you've seen of the two, who do you think will win that debate?

• Paul Ryan 46.4%
• Joe Biden 29.7%
• Not sure 23.9%
  

Regardless of whom you support, who do you think will win November's presidential election?

• Barack Obama 54.1% [57.4%] {48%} (44.9%)
• Mitt Romney 32.4% [29.9%] {37%} (32.8%)

Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted October 5-7, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat; 35% Republican; 27% Independent.  Ideology: 43% Conservative; 36% Moderate; 21% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-25, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 6-8, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-12, 2012 are in square brackets. 

Poll Watch: Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Maryland 2012 Presidential Poll

Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Maryland 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 55.0%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 35.9%
• Someone else 0.7%
• Undecided 8.4%

Among Men

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 46.9%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 43.8%
• Someone else 1.3%
• Undecided 8.0%

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 62.3%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 28.8%
• Someone else 0.2%
• Undecided 8.7%

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 46.1%
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 43.9%
• Someone else 0.8%
• Undecided 9.2%

Among Blacks

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 87.9%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 7.0%
• Someone else 0.5%
• Undecided 4.5%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 54.0% / 34.2% {+19.8%}
• Joe Biden 46.9% / 33.6% {+13.3%}
• Paul Ryan 35.9% / 37.8% {-1.9%}
• Mitt Romney 35.1% / 49.9% {-14.8%}

Question Four is a referendum that establishes that specified individuals, including undocumented immigrants, who have filed state taxes and have graduated from a Maryland high school, are eligible to pay in-state tuition rates at public colleges; and extends the time in which honorably discharged veterans may qualify for in-state tuition rates. If the election were held today, would you vote for this referendum or against this referendum?

• For 57.8%
• Against 34.3%
• Undecided 7.9%

Among Men

• For 47.9%
• Against 42.5%
• Undecided 9.6%

Among Women

• For 66.7%
• Against 26.9%
• Undecided 6.3%

Among Whites

• For 53.6%
• Against 38.7%
• Undecided 7.7%

Among Blacks

• For 70.4%
• Against 21.1%
• Undecided 8.5%

Question Six is a referendum that allows gay and lesbian couples to obtain a civil marriage license; protects clergy from having to perform any particular marriage ceremony in violation of their religious beliefs; and affirms that each religious faith has exclusive control over its own theological doctrine regarding who may marry within that faith. If the election were held today, would you vote for this referendum or against this referendum?

• For 50.9%
• Against 42.8%
• Undecided 6.3%

Among Men

• For 44.0%
  
• Against 47.7%
• Undecided 8.3%

Among Women

• For 57.1%
• Against 38.4%
• Undecided 4.4%

Among Whites

• For 53.1%
• Against 39.5%
• Undecided 7.4%

Among Blacks

• For 44.2%
  
• Against 52.3%
• Undecided 3.5%

Question Seven is a referendum that expands commercial gaming in the State of Maryland for the primary purpose of raising revenue for education to authorize video lottery operation licensees to operate “table games” as defined by law; to increase from 15,000 to 16,500 the maximum number of video lottery terminals; and to increase from 5 to 6 the maximum number of video lottery operation licenses that may be awarded in the State and allow a video lottery facility to operate in Prince George’s County. If the election were held today, would you vote for this referendum or against this referendum?

• For 44.6%
  
• Against 46.1%
• Undecided 9.2%

Among Whites

• For 49.1%
• Against 40.2%
• Undecided 10.8%

Among Blacks

• For 31.2%
  
• Against 64.3%
• Undecided 4.5%

Survey of 813 likely voters was conducted September 17-23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 56.3% Democrat; 30.1% Republican; 13.5% Independent.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Presidential Poll

I’m going to read you a short list of issues in the news. For each, please let me know which presidential candidate you trust more to handle that issue—Barack Obama or Mitt Romney.

War in Afghanistan

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 40%

Education

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 41%

Social Security

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 44%

Government Ethics and Corruption

• Barack Obama 46%
• Mitt Romney 42%

Immigration

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 46%

National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted September 7-8, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

On all five of the issues included in the latest survey, the president holds double-digit leads over Romney in terms of voter trust among voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties.

Most voters over 65 give Romney the edge in trust on all five issues, while most younger voters trust the president more.

Jeb Bush on Meet the Press

Visit NBCNews.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Meet the Press Roundtable

Visit NBCNews.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Poll Watch: USC/Los Angeles Times 2012 Presidential Survey

USC/LA Times 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 46%

I am going to read you a list of names. For each, I would like you to tell me your impression of that person as of today: do you feel very favorable toward them, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable toward that person?

Barack Obama

• Very favorable 36%
• Somewhat favorable 17%
• Somewhat unfavorable 9%
• Very unfavorable 36%

Mitt Romney

• Very favorable 21%
• Somewhat favorable 25%
• Somewhat unfavorable 17%
• Very unfavorable 31%

Paul Ryan

• Very favorable 25%
• Somewhat favorable 15%
• Somewhat unfavorable 12%
• Very unfavorable 21%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 53% / 45% {+8%}
• Paul Ryan 40% / 33% {+7%}
• Mitt Romney 46% / 48% {-2%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Strongly approve 31%
• Somewhat approve 17%
• Somewhat disapprove 8%
• Strongly disapprove 40%

As you may know, President Obama has proposed allowing illegal immigrants who were brought to the United States as children and who have lived here for at least five years to gain legal resident status if they complete two years of military service or college education and have no criminal record. From what you know, do you favor or oppose this proposal?

• Strongly favor 34%
• Somewhat favor 27%
• Somewhat oppose 10%
• Strongly oppose 20%

National survey of 954 likely voters was conducted August 13-19, 2012 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) and American Viewpoint (R). The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 39% Democrat; 33% Republican; 26% Independent.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Facing South Florida: Jim DeFede Interview with Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal

Jindal Knocks Obama For Immigration Action

Rudy Giuliani Rips President Obama's Record on Israel

• Rudy Giuliani attacks Obama over Israel record
• Surrogate Giuliani fires up crowd for Romney in Boca Raton 
• Rudy Giuliani gives pep talk at Mitt Romney's Tampa headquarters 
• VP audition: 8 hopefuls fan out for Romney 
• Romney Will Push Immigration Reform, Giuliani Says
• Rudy Giuliani- Obama Friend to Israel, “The Biggest Joke I’ve Ever Heard”

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Telemundo 2012 Hispanic Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Telemundo 2012 Latino Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 67% [66%] (61%)
• Mitt Romney 23% [26%] (27%)

Rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative.

Barack Obama

• Very positive 41% [41%] (31%)
• Somewhat positive 23% [26%] (27%)
• Neutral 13% [14%] (17%)
• Somewhat negative 8% [6%] (11%)
• Very negative 13% [12%] (12%)

Mitt Romney

• Very positive 7% [5%] (6%)
• Somewhat positive 15% [16%] (20%)
• Neutral 23% [26%] (21%)
• Somewhat negative 20% [18%] (14%)
• Very negative 24% [23%] (21%)

Democratic Party

• Very positive 27% [22%] (24%)
• Somewhat positive 27% [30%] (27%)
• Neutral 23% [26%] (26%)
• Somewhat negative 10% [9%] (8%)
• Very negative 11% [8%] (11%)

Republican Party

• Very positive 9% [6%] (7%)
• Somewhat positive 17% [16%] (15%)
• Neutral 25% [27%] (31%)
• Somewhat negative 17% [20%] (15%)
• Very negative 28% [25%] (25%)

Which ONE of the following statements best describes your feelings toward Barack Obama?

• I like Barack Obama personally, and I approve of most of his policies 49%
• I like Barack Obama personally, but I disapprove of many of his policies 32%
• I don't like Barack Obama personally, but I do approve of most of his policies 4%
• I don't like Barack Obama personally, and I disapprove of many of his policies 12%

Which ONE of the following statements best describes your feelings toward Mitt Romney?

• I like Mitt Romney personally, and I approve of most of his policies 15%
• I like Mitt Romney personally, but I disapprove of many of his policies 14%
• I don't like Mitt Romney personally, but I do approve of most of his policies 16%
• I don't like Mitt Romney personally, and I disapprove of many of his policies 41%

For each of the following candidates, please tell me whether that person has a background and set of values that you can identify with, or whether he does NOT have a background and set of values that you can identify with.

Barack Obama

• Has Background/Set Of Values I Identify With 63%
• Does NOT Have Background/Set Of Values I Identify With 32%

Mitt Romney

• Has Background/Set Of Values I Identify With 23%
• Does NOT Have Background/Set Of Values I Identify With 63%

I'd like you to compare Barack Obama and Mitt Romney on a few qualities that people might look for in a president. For each one, please tell me whether you think that Barack Obama would be better or Mitt Romney would be better on that item.

Who do you think would be better when it comes to:

Looking out for the middle class

• Obama 69%
• Romney 15%

Being knowledgeable and experienced enough to handle the presidency

• Obama 65%
• Romney 15%

Being a good commander-in-chief

• Obama 59%
• Romney 17%

Being consistent and standing up for his beliefs

• Obama 53%
• Romney 20%

Having good ideas for how to improve the economy

• Obama 48%
• Romney 25%

Changing business as usual in Washington

• Obama 43%
• Romney 18%

Now I'd like you to compare Barack Obama and Mitt Romney on a few issues. For each one, please tell me whether you think that Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would be better on that issue.

Handling foreign policy

• Obama 58%
• Romney 15%

Dealing with health care

• Obama 61%
• Romney 17%

Handling the situation in Afghanistan

• Obama 53%
• Romney 17%

Dealing with Medicare

• Obama 59%
• Romney 18%

Dealing with taxes

• Obama 53%
• Romney 19%

Dealing with immigration

• Obama 55%
• Romney 16%

Dealing with the economy

• Obama 50%
• Romney 25%

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 62% [65%] (61%)
• Disapprove 31% [27%] (32%)

Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in handling the economy?

• Approve 58% [62%] (54%)
• Disapprove 36% [32%] (38%)

Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in handling foreign policy?

• Approve 61%
• Disapprove 28%

Has what you have seen, read, or heard about Mitt Romney’s tax returns and the percent he has paid in federal income taxes made you feel … more positive or more negative about him, not made much difference in your opinion or do you not know enough about this to have an opinion at this time?

• More positive 6%
• More negative 30%
• Not much difference 24%
• Don’t know enough 38%

What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections -- a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?

• Democrat-controlled Congress 64% [66%] (58%)
• Republican-controlled Congress 24% [27%] (30%)

Survey of 300 Hispanic/Latino registered voters was conducted July 18-22, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 5.66 percentage points. Party ID: 49% Democrat; 13% Republican; 27% Independent.  Ideology: 29% Moderate; 26% Somewhat conservative; 18% Somewhat liberal; 13% Very conservative; 10% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 20-24, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16-21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2012 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49% {47%} (47%) [49%] {50%} (49%) [47%] {49%} (46%) [46%] {48%} [49%] {49%} [47%]
• Mitt Romney 43% {44%} (43%) [43%] {44%} (43%) [45%] {43%} (44%) [45%] {41%} [43%] {40%} [40%]

(Among Obama Voters) Would you definitely vote for Barack Obama, probably vote for Barack Obama but are still thinking about it, or are you just leaning toward voting for Obama?

• Definitely vote for Obama 78% {78%} (73%) [74%]
• Probably vote for Obama, but still thinking about it 13% {10%} (13%) [13%]
• Just leaning toward voting for Obama 9% {12%} (13%) [12%]

(Among Romney Voters) Would you definitely vote for Mitt Romney, probably vote for Mitt Romney but are still thinking about it, or are you just leaning toward voting for Romney?

• Definitely vote for Romney 72% {68%} (72%) [65%]
• Probably vote for Romney, but still thinking about it 12% {20%} (14%) [16%]
• Just leaning toward voting for Romney 15% {12%} (14%) [19%]

Definitely Vote for Candidate

• Barack Obama 38% {37%} (34%) [37%]
• Mitt Romney 31% {30%} (31%) [28%]

Which ONE of the following statements best describes your feelings toward Barack Obama?

• I like Barack Obama personally, and I approve of most of his policies 41%
• I like Barack Obama personally, but I disapprove of many of his policies 26%
• I don't like Barack Obama personally, but I do approve of most of his policies 2%
• I don't like Barack Obama personally, and I disapprove of many of his policies 29%

Which ONE of the following statements best describes your feelings toward Mitt Romney?

• I like Mitt Romney personally, and I approve of most of his policies 28%
• I like Mitt Romney personally, but I disapprove of many of his policies 19%
• I don't like Mitt Romney personally, but I do approve of most of his policies 12%
• I don't like Mitt Romney personally, and I disapprove of many of his policies 34%

For each of the following candidates, please tell me whether that person has a background and set of values that you can identify with, or whether he does NOT have a background and set of values that you can identify with.

Barack Obama

• Has Background/Set Of Values I Identify With 50%
• Does NOT Have Background/Set Of Values I Identify With 47%

Mitt Romney

• Has Background/Set Of Values I Identify With 42%
• Does NOT Have Background/Set Of Values I Identify With 52%

I'd like you to compare Barack Obama and Mitt Romney on a few qualities that people might look for in a president. For each one, please tell me whether you think that Barack Obama would be better or Mitt Romney would be better on that item.

Who do you think would be better when it comes to:

Looking out for the middle class

• Obama 49%
• Romney 33%

Being knowledgeable and experienced enough to handle the presidency

• Obama 48%
• Romney 32%

Being a good commander-in-chief

• Obama 45%
• Romney 35%

Being consistent and standing up for his beliefs

• Obama 37%
• Romney 35%

Having good ideas for how to improve the economy

• Romney 43%
• Obama 36%

Changing business as usual in Washington

• Romney 33%
• Obama 32%

Now I'd like you to compare Barack Obama and Mitt Romney on a few issues. For each one, please tell me whether you think that Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would be better on that issue.

Handling foreign policy

• Obama 47%
• Romney 32%

Dealing with health care

• Obama 44%
• Romney 37%

Handling the situation in Afghanistan

• Obama 43%
• Romney 27%

Dealing with Medicare

• Obama 42%
• Romney 34%

Dealing with taxes

• Obama 40%
• Romney 38%

Dealing with immigration

• Obama 38%
• Romney 36%

Dealing with the economy

• Romney 43%
• Obama 37%

Rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative.

Barack Obama

• Very positive 33%
• Somewhat positive 16%
• Neutral 8%
• Somewhat negative 11%
• Very negative 32%

Mitt Romney

• Very positive 13%
• Somewhat positive 22%
• Neutral 23%
• Somewhat negative 16%
• Very negative 24%

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 49%
• Disapprove 48%

Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in handling the economy?

• Approve 44%
• Disapprove 53%

Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in handling foreign policy?

• Approve 53%
• Disapprove 41%

Has what you have seen, read, or heard about Mitt Romney’s tax returns and the percent he has paid in federal income taxes made you feel … more positive or more negative about him, not made much difference in your opinion or do you not know enough about this to have an opinion at this time?

• More positive 4%
• More negative 32%
• Not much difference 40%
• Don’t know enough 23%

Survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted July 18-22, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% Democrat; 23% Republican; 39% Independent.  Ideology: 34% Moderate; 20% Somewhat conservative; 19% Very conservative; 15% Somewhat liberal; 10% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 20-24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16-20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-17, 2012 are in square brackets.   Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 3, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 7-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 2-5, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 6-10, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 27-31, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9-13, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-28, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 13-17, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 9-13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News 2012 Presidential Survey

Washington Post/ABC News 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 47% (49%) {51%} [47%] (51%) {46%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (49%) {46%} [49%]
• Mitt Romney 47% (46%) {44%} [49%] (45%) {48%} [47%] (47%) {48%} [49%] (47%) {49%} [45%]

(Among Obama Voters) Will you definitely vote for Barack Obama, or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? If there's a chance you could change your mind, is there a good chance you'll change your mind, or is it a pretty unlikely chance?

• Definitely vote for Obama 81%
• Chance change mind, but unlikely 13%
• Good chance will change mind 4%

(Among Romney Voters) Will you definitely vote for Mitt Romney, or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? If there's a chance you could change your mind, is there a good chance you'll change your mind, or is it a pretty unlikely chance?

• Definitely vote for Romney 77%
• Chance change mind, but unlikely 13%
• Good chance will change mind 8%

(Among Obama Voters) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Barack Obama, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

• Very enthusiastic 51% (51%)
• Somewhat enthusiastic 40% (41%)
• Not so enthusiastic 5% (4%)
• Not enthusiastic at all 3% (4%)

(Among Romney Voters) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Mitt Romney, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

• Very enthusiastic 38% (26%)
• Somewhat enthusiastic 47% (48%)
• Not so enthusiastic 11% (15%)
• Not enthusiastic at all 4% (9%)

(Among Obama Voters) Is your vote more FOR Obama, or more AGAINST Romney?

• For Obama 75%
• Against Romney 23%

(Among Romney Voters) Is your vote more FOR Romney, or more AGAINST Obama?

• For Romney 37%
• Against Obama 59%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? 

• Approve 50% (48%)
• Disapprove 47% (49%) 
  

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? 

• Approve 45% (43%)
• Disapprove 53% (55%) 
  

What do you think is more important right now - having the federal government spend money to try to encourage job creation or having the federal government hold down the federal budget deficit?

• Hold down deficit 49%
• Federal gov't spend money 45%

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling the economy?

• Mitt Romney 48%
• Barack Obama 45%

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job Dealing with health care policy?

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 44%

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling immigration issues?

• Barack Obama 46%
• Mitt Romney 43%

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling the federal budget deficit?

• Mitt Romney 51%
• Barack Obama 43%

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling taxes?

• Barack Obama 46%
• Mitt Romney 46%

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job making appointments to the U.S. Supreme Court?

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 40%

Regardless of who you may support, who do you think better understands the economic problems people in this country are having?

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 40%

Regardless of who you may support, who do you think is the stronger leader?

• Barack Obama 46%
• Mitt Romney 44%

Regardless of who you may support, who do you think Seems like the more friendly and likable person?

• Barack Obama 63%
• Mitt Romney 26%

Regardless of who you may support, who do you think is more likely to stand up for what he believes in?

• Barack Obama 52%
• Mitt Romney 36%

Regardless of who you may support, who do you think Has presented a clearer plan for dealing with the economic situation?

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 35%

Just your best guess, who do you think will win the presidential election this year?

• Barack Obama 58%
• Mitt Romney 33%

Is Romney's work buying and restructuring companies before he went into politics a major reason you to support that candidate, a major reason you to oppose that candidate, or not a major factor in your vote?

• Major reason to support 23%
• Major reason to oppose 25%
• Not a major factor 49%

Is Obama's handling of the economy a major reason to support that candidate, a major reason to oppose that candidate, or not a major factor?

• Major reason to support 39%
• Major reason to oppose 43%
• Not a major factor 17%

Is Romney's call to repeal the new federal heath care law a major reason you to support that candidate, a major reason you to oppose that candidate, or not a major factor in your vote?

• Major reason to support 40%
• Major reason to oppose 33%
• Not a major factor 26%

Is Obama's views on the size and role of government a major reason to support that candidate, a major reason to oppose that candidate, or not a major factor?

• Major reason to support 28%
• Major reason to oppose 39%
• Not a major factor 31%

In his work as a corporate investor, do you think Romney did more to create jobs or more to cut jobs in the United States?

• Create jobs 36%
• Cut jobs 42%

Survey of 855 registered voters was conducted July 5-8, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% Democrat; 27% Republican; 33% Independent; 3% Other.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 5-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 7-10, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1-4, 2012 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted January 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 15-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 31 - November 3, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 2, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 14-17, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) 2012 Weekly Presidential Tracking Survey

PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) 2012 Weekly Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 48% (48%) {49%} [50%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 45% (45%) {45%} [42%] (42%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (44%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 48% (45%) {48%} [48%] (42%) {43%} [48%] (46%) {41%} [48%] (48%) 
• Mitt Romney 41% (43%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (41%) {42%} [39%] (41%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 60% (58%) {66%} [64%] (63%) {59%} [66%] (60%) {55%} [61%] (63%)
• Mitt Romney 33% (34%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {31%} [26%] (33%) {36%} [32%] (29%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 54% (44%) {47%} [44%] (45%) {51%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [48%] (49%)
• Barack Obama 41% (48%) {46%} [48%] (47%) {42%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [46%] (44%)  

Among Women

• Barack Obama 55% (48%) {51%} [53%] (52%) {51%} [50%] (51%) {52%} [52%] (54%)
• Mitt Romney 38% (46%) {44%} [39%] (40%) {41%} [44%] (45%) {43%} [40%] (40%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 47% (45%) {47%} [50%] (49%) {45%} [47%] (47%) {49%} [50%] (48%) / 48% (50%) {49%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {46%} [46%] (47%) {-1%}
• Mitt Romney 42% (42%) {40%} [39%] (39%) {39%} [40%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (36%) / 48% (48%) {48%} [50%] (51%) {47%} [50%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (51%) {-6%}

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 43% (42%) {46%} [49%] (42%) {46%} [44%] (44%) {43%} [51%] (45%) / 49% (50%) {49%} [45%] (51%) {46%} [47%] (46%) {49%} [44%] (47%) {-6%}
• Mitt Romney 41% (36%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [30%] (34%) {37%} [33%] (34%) / 47% (50%) {51%} [49%] (49%) {46%} [55%] (45%) {41%} [50%] (52%) {-6%}

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 58% (55%) {65%} [64%] (63%) {58%} [66%] (59%) {56%} [63%] (63%) / 36% (38%) {32%} [30%] (30%) {34%} [30%] (34%) {36%} [33%] (33%) {+22%}
• Mitt Romney 32% (33%) {26%} [23%] (27%) {28%} [25%] (29%) {35%} [31%] (29%) / 57% (57%) {60%} [65%] (60%) {59%} [64%] (58%) {52%} [55%] (61%) {-25%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% (43%) {42%} [43%] (41%) {45%} [43%] (41%) {40%} [42%] (41%) / 42% (47%) {47%} [48%] (51%) {44%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [45%] (46%) {+8%}
• Barack Obama 42% (45%) {44%} [48%] (47%) {41%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [47%] (43%) / 54% (50%) {52%} [47%] (48%) {54%} [50%] (48%) {48%} [51%] (51%) {-12%}   

Among Women

• Barack Obama 51% (45%) {49%} [52%] (51%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {52%} [53%] (52%) / 43% (50%) {47%} [43%] (43%) {44%} [46%] (47%) {43%} [42%] (44%) {+8%}
• Mitt Romney 35% (42%) {39%} [35%] (37%) {33%} [36%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (32%) / 54% (49%) {49%} [52%] (51%) {51%} [51%] (50%) {49%} [51%] (55%) {-19%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 45% (44%) {44%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {48%} [47%] (46%)
• Disapprove 50% (51%) {50%} [47%] (48%) {50%} [49%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (48%)

Do you think Barack Obama is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 48% (49%) {48%} [47%] (44%) {49%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (45%)
• Too conservative 7% (7%) {8%} [7%] (9%) {6%} [6%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (9%)
• About right 42% (40%) {41%} [42%] (42%) {40%} [43%] (44%) {44%} [46%] (43%)

Do you agree or disagree with the Supreme Court's ruling on the health care reform bill?

• Agree 43%
  
• Disagree 45%

Among Democrats

• Agree 73%
• Disagree 15%

Among Republicans

• Agree 15%
  
• Disagree 77%

Among Independents

• Agree 39%
  
• Disagree 44%

Among Men

• Agree 38%
  
• Disagree 51%

Among Women

• Agree 48%
• Disagree 39%

Do you support or oppose the new immigration policy Barack Obama announced two weeks ago?

• Support 41%
• Oppose 46%

Among Democrats

• Support 64%
• Oppose 18%

Among Republicans

• Support 13%
• Oppose 78%

Among Independents

• Support 44%
• Oppose 43%

Among Men

• Support 36%
• Oppose 55%

Among Women

• Support 45%
• Oppose 38%

Who do you blame more for the present state of the economy: George W. Bush or Barack Obama, or do you blame both equally?

• George W. Bush 45%
• Barack Obama 39%
• Both equally 13%

Among Independents

• George W. Bush 41%
  
• Barack Obama 37%
  
• Both equally 18%

Among Men

• Barack Obama 46%
• George W. Bush 41%
  
• Both equally 11%

Among Women

• George W. Bush 49%
  
• Barack Obama 33%
  
• Both equally 15%

Survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted June 28 - July 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 38% (37%) {38%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {43%} [40%] (41%) Democrat; 36% (35%) {36%} [33%] (32%) {35%} [36%] (35%) {32%} [34%] (36%) Republican; 27% (27%) {26%} [26%] (27%) {25%} [26%] (26%) {25%} [26%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Political views: 41% (47%) {41%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [42%] (41%) {46%} [46%] (43%) Moderate; 38% (37%) {42%} [38%] (37%) {37%} [41%] (40%) {37%} [38%] (38%) Conservative; 21% (16%) {18%} [16%] (18%) {16%} [17%] (19%) {17%} [16%] (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 10-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.