Poll Watch: Los Angeles Times/USC Dornsife California 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Los Angeles Times/USC Dornsife California 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 36% (24%)
• Ted Cruz 35% (6%)
• John Kasich 14% (2%)

Survey of 332 likely GOP primary voters was conducted March 16-23, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 8, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Los Angeles Times/USC Dornsife California 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Los Angeles Times/USC Dornsife California 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 39%
• Bernie Sanders 23%
• Joe Biden 11%
• Jim Webb 1%
• Martin O'Malley 1%
• Lincoln Chafee 0%
• Another candidate 8%
• Undecided 16%

Survey of 819 registered Democratic primary voters was conducted August 29 - September 8, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Los Angeles Times/USC Dornsife California 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Los Angeles Times/USC Dornsife California 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 24%
• Ben Carson 18%
• Jeb Bush 6%
• Ted Cruz 6%
• Marco Rubio 5%
• Carly Fiorina 5%
• Scott Walker 2%
• John Kasich 2%
• Rand Paul 2%
• Mike Huckabee 2%
• Chris Christie 1%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Another candidate 3%
• Undecided 20%

Survey of 422 registered GOP primary voters was conducted August 29 - September 8, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: USC/Los Angeles Times California 2012 Presidential Survey

USC/LA Times California 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 54% (56%) {57%} [52%] (54%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 40% (37%) {36%} [35%] (35%)

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney 49% (46%)
• Barack Obama 46% (48%)

Among Latinos

• Barack Obama 73% (74%)
• Mitt Romney 19% (18%)

Survey of 1,440 likely voters, including 339 registered Latino voters and 1,008 registered white voters, was conducted October 15-21, 2012 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D).  Party ID: 43% Democrat; 29% Republican; 27% Independent. Ideology: 35% Moderate; 34% Conservative; 26% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-21, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 14-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 9, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 17-28, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: USC/Los Angeles Times 2012 Presidential Survey

USC/LA Times 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 46%

I am going to read you a list of names. For each, I would like you to tell me your impression of that person as of today: do you feel very favorable toward them, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable toward that person?

Barack Obama

• Very favorable 36%
• Somewhat favorable 17%
• Somewhat unfavorable 9%
• Very unfavorable 36%

Mitt Romney

• Very favorable 21%
• Somewhat favorable 25%
• Somewhat unfavorable 17%
• Very unfavorable 31%

Paul Ryan

• Very favorable 25%
• Somewhat favorable 15%
• Somewhat unfavorable 12%
• Very unfavorable 21%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 53% / 45% {+8%}
• Paul Ryan 40% / 33% {+7%}
• Mitt Romney 46% / 48% {-2%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Strongly approve 31%
• Somewhat approve 17%
• Somewhat disapprove 8%
• Strongly disapprove 40%

As you may know, President Obama has proposed allowing illegal immigrants who were brought to the United States as children and who have lived here for at least five years to gain legal resident status if they complete two years of military service or college education and have no criminal record. From what you know, do you favor or oppose this proposal?

• Strongly favor 34%
• Somewhat favor 27%
• Somewhat oppose 10%
• Strongly oppose 20%

National survey of 954 likely voters was conducted August 13-19, 2012 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) and American Viewpoint (R). The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 39% Democrat; 33% Republican; 26% Independent.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: USC/Los Angeles Times California 2012 Presidential Survey

USC/LA Times California 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 56% {57%} [52%] (54%)
• Mitt Romney 37% {36%} [35%] (35%)

Among Whites

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 46%

Among Latinos

• Barack Obama 74%
• Mitt Romney 18%

(Among Obama Voters) Would you say that your vote is more FOR Barack Obama or more AGAINST Mitt Romney?

• For Obama 83%
• Against Romney 15%

(Among Romney Voters) Would you say that your vote is more FOR Mitt Romney or more AGAINST Barack Obama?

• For Romney 44%
• Against Obama 51%

I am going to read you a list of names. For each, I would like you to tell me your impression of that person as of today: do you feel very favorable toward them, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable toward that person?

Barack Obama

• Very favorable 36%
• Somewhat favorable 22%
• Somewhat unfavorable 11%
• Very unfavorable 28%

Mitt Romney

• Very favorable 13%
• Somewhat favorable 23%
• Somewhat unfavorable 17%
• Very unfavorable 33%

AMONG WHITES

Barack Obama

• Very favorable 32%
• Somewhat favorable 18%
• Somewhat unfavorable 13%
• Very unfavorable 35%

Mitt Romney

• Very favorable 17%
• Somewhat favorable 23%
• Somewhat unfavorable 18%
• Very unfavorable 35%

AMONG LATINOS

Barack Obama

• Very favorable 43%
• Somewhat favorable 33%
• Somewhat unfavorable 9%
• Very unfavorable 10%

Mitt Romney

• Very favorable 6%
• Somewhat favorable 18%
• Somewhat unfavorable 19%
• Very unfavorable 27%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 58% / 38% {+20%}
• Mitt Romney 36% / 50% {-14%}

Among Whites

• Barack Obama 49% / 48% {+1%}
• Mitt Romney 40% / 53% {-13%}

Among Latinos

• Barack Obama 76% / 19% {+57%}
• Mitt Romney 23% / 46% {-23%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Barack Obama as President of the United States?

• Strongly approve 33%
• Somewhat approve 24%
• Somewhat disapprove 8%
• Strongly disapprove 31%

Among Whites

• Strongly approve 29%
• Somewhat approve 21%
• Somewhat disapprove 8%
• Strongly disapprove 39%

Among Latinos

• Strongly approve 39%
• Somewhat approve 33%
• Somewhat disapprove 9%
• Strongly disapprove 13%

Survey of 1,002 registered voters, including an oversample of 339 Latinos, was conducted May 17-21, 2012 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) and American Viewpoint (R). The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points; +/- 5.8 percentage points among Latinos.  Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted March 14-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 9, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 17-28, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: USC/Los Angeles Times California 2012 Presidential Survey

USC/LA Times California 2012 Presidential Poll

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Mitt Romney 42% [27%] (22%)
• Rick Santorum 23% [1%] (1%)
• Newt Gingrich 12% [14%] (6%)
• Ron Paul 10% [6%] (11%)

GENERAL ELECTION

• Barack Obama 57% [52%] (54%)
• Mitt Romney 36% [35%] (35%)

• Barack Obama 59%
• Ron Paul 31%

• Barack Obama 61%
• Rick Santorum 32%

• Barack Obama 62%
• Newt Gingrich 30%

Survey of 1,500 registered voters, including a subsample of registered Republicans, was conducted March 14-19, 2012 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) and American Viewpoint (R). The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points among all registered voters.  Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 9, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 17-28, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: USC/Los Angeles Times California 2012 Presidential Survey

USC/LA Times California 2012 Presidential Poll

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Mitt Romney 27% (22%)
• Herman Cain 20% (4%)
• Newt Gingrich 14% (6%)
• Ron Paul 6% (11%)
• Rick Perry 3% (22%)
• Michele Bachmann 2% (10%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% (1%)
• Rick Santorum 1% (1%)
• Other 1% (1%)
• Undecided 22% (15%)

GENERAL ELECTION

• Barack Obama 52% (54%)
• Mitt Romney 35% (35%)

• Barack Obama 54%
• Herman Cain 31%

• Barack Obama 55% (56%)
• Rick Perry 31% (32%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Barack Obama as president?

• Strongly approve 22% (23%)
• Somewhat approve 29% (27%)
• Somewhat disapprove 12% (13%)
• Strongly disapprove 29% (30%)

Survey of 1,500 registered voters, including a subsample of 434 registered Republicans, was conducted October 30 - November 9, 2011 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D). The margin of error is +/- 2.52 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4.5 percentage points among registered Republican voters. Click here to view crosstabs.  Party ID: 45% Democrat; 28% Republican; 25% Independent.  Ideology: 36% Moderate; 32% Conservative; 26% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 17-28, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: USC/LA Times California 2012 Presidential Survey

USC/LA Times California 2012 Presidential Poll

Republican Primary

• Mitt Romney 22%
• Rick Perry 22%
• Ron Paul 11%
• Michele Bachmann 10%
• Newt Gingrich 6%
• Herman Cain 4%
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Thaddeus McCotter 0%
• Fred Karger 0%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Other 1%
• Will not vote 6%
• Undecided 15%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 57% / 19% {+38%}
• Rick Perry 41% / 8% {+33%}
• Michele Bachmann 46% / 21% {+25%}
• Herman Cain 30% / 6% {+24%}
• Sarah Palin 58% / 35% {+23%}
• Ron Paul 43% / 20% {+23%}
• Newt Gingrich 49% / 27% {+22%}
• Rick Santorum 24%  / 9% {+15%}
• Jon Huntsman 14% / 11% {+3%}
• Fred Karger 3% / 3% {0%}

General Election

• Barack Obama 54%
• Mitt Romney 35%

• Barack Obama 56%
• Rick Perry 32%

• Barack Obama 57%
• Michele Bachmann 31%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Barack Obama as president?

• Strongly approve 23%
• Somewhat approve 27%
• Somewhat disapprove 13%
• Strongly disapprove 30%

Survey of 1,408 registered voters, including a subsample of 453 registered Republicans, was conducted August 17-28, 2011 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D). The margin of error is +/- 2.52 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4.5 percentage points among registered Republican voters. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: USC/LA Times California Political Survey

USC/LA Times California Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Barbara Boxer (D) 50% {51%} [44%]
• Carly Fiorina (R) 42% {43%} [38%]

Gubernatorial Election

• Jerry Brown (D) 52% {49%} [44%] (41%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 39% {44%} [38%] (44%)

Survey of 922 likely voters was conducted October 13-20, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-22, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 23-30, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: USC/LA Times California Political Survey

USC/LA Times California Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Barbara Boxer (D) 51% [44%]
• Carly Fiorina (R) 43% [38%]

Now, thinking about the election for U.S. Senate this year, do you want a senator who will mostly support President Obama's policies, or do you want a senator who will mostly oppose President Obama's policies?

• Support Obama's policies 56% [54%]
• Oppose Obama's policies 34% [35%]

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• Jerry Brown (D) 49% [44%] (41%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 44% [38%] (44%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 60% [59%] (64%) / 39% [36%] (33%) {+21%}
• Dianne Feinstein 51% / 39% {+12%}
• Barbara Boxer 46% [40%] (46%) / 46% [44%] (37%) {0%}
• Jerry Brown 45% [38%] (41%) / 45% [33%] (28%) {0%}
• Carly Fiorina 30% [22%] (11%) / 35% [20%] (16%) {-5%}
• Meg Whitman 37% [32%] (30%) / 47% [37%] (23%) {-10%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Barack Obama as President of the United States?

• Approve 54%
• Disapprove 40%

As you may know, in the elections in November, there will be a ballot proposition that, if passed, would suspend the state law aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions until the state's unemployment rate falls below five and a half percent. Do you favor or oppose passing this ballot initiative?

•  Favor 40%
• Oppose 38%

How much do you trust the things that scientists say about global warming?

• Completely 18%
• A lot 26%
• A moderate amount 24%
• Just a little 17%
• Nothing at all 13%

Survey of 887 likely voters was conducted September 15-22, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 43% [41%] (44%) Democrat; 28% [28%] (26%) Republican; 28% [26%] (28%) Independent.  Political ideology: 37% [39%] (38%) Moderate; 34% [31%] (30%) Conservative; 27% [24%] (26%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 23-30, 2010 are in parentheses.