CNN State of the Union: Interview with California Gov. Jerry Brown

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA California Political Survey

SurveyUSA California Political Poll

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

• Approve 51%
• Disapprove 44%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Jerry Brown is doing as Governor?

• Approve 41%
• Disapprove 47%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Dianne Feinstein is doing as United States Senator?

• Approve 46%
• Disapprove 40%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barbara Boxer is doing as United States Senator?

• Approve 38%
• Disapprove 44%

Survey of 530 registered voters was conducted July 13-15, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Party ID: 49% Democrat; 27% Republican; 24% Independent.  Ideology: 43% Moderate; 29% Conservative; 23% Liberal.

Govs. Jerry Brown and Jan Brewer on Meet the Press

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CNN State of the Union: Interview with California Gov. Jerry Brown (Part 2)

CNN State of the Union: Interview with California Gov. Jerry Brown (Part 1)

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Poll Watch: SurveyUSA California Political Survey

SurveyUSA California Political Survey

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• Jerry Brown (D) 48% (46%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {40%} [43%] (39%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 37% (38%) {40%} [43%] (43%) {47%} [44%] (46%)
• Other 6% (8%) {8%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [6%] (7%)
• Undecided 9% (8%) {5%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (8%)

Already Voted: 35% (29%) {19%}

• Jerry Brown (D) 47% (50%) {46%}
• Meg Whitman (R) 45% (39%) {44%}
• Other 3% (8%) {7%}
• Undecided 6% (4%) {3%}

Did Not Vote Yet: 65% (71%) {81%}

• Jerry Brown (D) 49% (45%) {47%}
• Meg Whitman (R) 33% (38%) {39%}
• Other 7% (8%) {9%}
• Undecided 11% (10%) {5%}

Lieutenant Governor

• Gavin Newsom (D) 42% (42%) {43%} [42%]
• Abel Maldonado (R) 35% (34%) {37%} [37%]
• Other 8% (9%) {14%} [19%]
• Undecided 15% (15%) {6%} [3%]

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Barbara Boxer (D) 46% (45%) {46%} [46%] (49%) {46%} [42%] (45%)
• Carly Fiorina (R) 38% (40%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {48%} [47%] (47%)
• Other 6% (7%) {6%} [9%] (6%) {5%} [5%] (3%)
• Undecided 10% (8%) {4%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [5%] (5%)

Already Voted: 35% (29%) {19%}

• Barbara Boxer (D) 46% (48%) {45%}
• Carly Fiorina (R) 45% (43%) {43%}
• Other 3% (5%) {6%}
• Undecided 5% (4%) {6%}

Did Not Vote Yet: 65% (71%) {81%}

• Barbara Boxer (D) 46% (44%) {47%}
• Carly Fiorina (R) 34% (39%) {44%}
• Other 7% (8%) {6%}
• Undecided 12% (10%) {4%}

On Proposition 19, which would change California law to legalize marijuana and allow it to be regulated and taxed, are you certain to vote yes; certain to vote no; or not certain?

• Certain to vote yes 44% (44%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {47%} [50%] (50%)
• Certain to vote no 46% (46%) {44%} [41%] (42%) {43%} [40%] (40%)
• Not certain 10% (10%) {8%} [11%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (10%)

Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable or unfavorable?

• Favorable 28% (28%) {31%} [33%] (33%) {36%} [31%] (31%)
• Unfavorable 37% (37%) {40%} [40%] (41%) {37%} [38%] (37%)

Survey of 587 likely and actual voters was conducted October 26-31, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% (42%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {47%} [44%] (42%) Democrat; 32% (34%) {35%} [34%] (33%) {31%} [34%] (33%) Republican; 23% (21%) {21%} [22%] (23%) {22%} [21%] (24%) Independent.  Political ideology: 37% (40%) {41%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [46%] (44%) Moderate; 31% (33%) {31%} [30%] (29%) {30%} [29%] (30%) Conservative; 23% (19%) {23%} [21%] (22%) {18%} [20%] (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 21-25, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-18, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 1, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 8-11, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) California Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) California Gubernatorial Survey

• Jerry Brown (D) 51% (53%) {47%} [46%] (48%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 46% (42%) {42%} [40%] (36%)
• Undecided 3% (5%) {12%} [14%] (16%)

Already Voted: 42% (26%)

• Jerry Brown (D) 53% (50%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 45% (43%)

Did Not Vote Yet: 58% (74%)

• Jerry Brown (D) 50% (54%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 46% (42%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Jerry Brown 42% (48%) {42%} [41%] (37%) / 49% (44%) {45%} [43%] (39%) {-7%}
• Meg Whitman 38% (36%) {35%} [30%] (24%) / 50% (55%) {49%} [50%] (44%) {-12%} 

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger’s job performance?

• Approve 24% (25%) {20%} [19%] (20%)
• Disapprove 67% (63%) {69%} [71%] (64%)

Proposition 19 would legalize marijuana under California but not federal law. It would permit local governments to regulate and tax commercial production, distribution, and sale of marijuana. Will you vote yes or no on Proposition 19?

• Yes 44% (45%)
• No 51% (48%)
• Undecided 5% (7%)

Survey of 882 likely California voters was conducted October 29-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 44% (47%) {49%} [46%] (46%) Democrat; 37% (34%) {33%} [34%] (33%) Republican; 18% (19%) {18%} [19%] (21%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 42% (47%) {39%} [41%] (43%) Moderate; 37% (30%) {34%} [33%] (34%) Conservative; 21% (23%) {27%} [25%] (23%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 21-23, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 14-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-25, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 21-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Meg Whitman for Governor Ad: "Again"

Poll Watch: Rasmussen California Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen California Gubernatorial Survey

• Jerry Brown (D) 49% (46%) {49%} [46%] (46%) {42%} [40%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [40%] (43%) {43%} [41%] (44%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 44% (41%) {42%} [40%] (44%) {46%} [48%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {39%} [41%] (35%)

With Leaners

• Jerry Brown (D) 49% (48%) {50%} [49%] (47%) {45%} [43%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 45% (42%) {44%} [44%] (46%) {48%} [51%]

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Jerry Brown (D) 52% (51%) {53%} [53%] (51%) {48%} [48%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 46% (47%) {47%} [47%] (49%) {52%} [52%]

Already Voted

• Meg Whitman (R) 49%
• Jerry Brown (D) 46%

Did Not Vote Yet

• Jerry Brown (D) 52%
• Meg Whitman (R) 42%

Certain to Vote

• Jerry Brown (D) 48%
• Meg Whitman (R) 46%

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• Jerry Brown 52% (49%) {52%} [45%] (48%) {45%} [46%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (53%) {51%} [46%] (53%) {49%} [48%] (53%) / 47% (47%) {47%} [48%] (49%) {51%} [51%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (42%) {42%} [44%] (41%) {40%} [41%] (37%) {+5%}
• Meg Whitman 45% (43%) {47%} [44%] (45%) {55%} [49%] (47%) {49%} [51%] (48%) {47%} [51%] (56%) {48%} [47%] (45%) / 53% (53%) {49%} [50%] (50%) {40%} [44%] (46%) {44%} [41%] (47%) {43%} [34%] (28%) {30%} [27%] (28%) {-8%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 36% (34%) {33%} [32%] (39%) {36%} [36%] (34%) {34%} [43%] (36%) {37%}
• Somewhat approve 15% (20%) {24%} [21%] (18%) {19%} [19%] (22%) {23%} [16%] (19%) {23%}
• Somewhat disapprove 7% (6%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [6%] (7%) {7%}
• Strongly disapprove 42% (38%) {36%} [37%] (35%) {37%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (35%) {32%}

How would you rate the job Arnold Schwarzenegger has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 6% (5%) {4%} [9%] (5%) {8%} [4%] (5%) {6%} [6%] (8%) {4%}
• Somewhat approve 29% (27%) {28%} [24%] (26%) {24%} [22%] (24%) {22%} [24%] (20%) {25%}
• Somewhat disapprove 33% (34%) {36%} [31%] (32%) {31%} [31%] (31%) {30%} [34%] (39%) {36%}
• Strongly disapprove 31% (33%) {31%} [35%] (34%) {35%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [33%] (31%) {34%}

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 27, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 6, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 24, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Whitman is backed by 79% of California Republicans, while Brown draws support from 86% of Democrats. Whitman holds a 4-point lead among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Poll Watch: Field Research California Gubernatorial Survey

Field Research California Gubernatorial Survey

• Jerry Brown (D) 49% {41%} [44%] (43%) {46%} [50%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 39% {41%} [43%] (46%) {36%} [29%]

Survey of 1,092 likely voters was conducted October 14-26, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 14-21, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 22 – July 5, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 9-15, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 5-17, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18 – October 5, 2009 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: CNN/Time/Opinion Research California Political Survey

CNN/Time/Opinion Research California Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Barbara Boxer (D) 50% [52%]
• Carly Fiorina (R) 45% [43%] (44%)

Among Men

• Carly Fiorina (R) 49% [48%]
• Barbara Boxer (D) 46% [45%]

Among Women

• Barbara Boxer (D) 54% [58%]
• Carly Fiorina (R) 42% [39%]

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• Jerry Brown (D) 51% [52%] 
• Meg Whitman (R) 44% [43%]

Among Men

• Meg Whitman (R) 49% [47%]
• Jerry Brown (D) 47% [47%]

Among Women

• Jerry Brown (D) 55% [55%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 41% [40%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 48%
• Disapprove 47%

As you may know, Californians will also be asked to vote on several ballot measures this year. One of them, Proposition 19, deals with marijuana. A "yes" vote would allow people over 21 to possess, cultivate or transport marijuana within California. A "no" vote would retain current California laws which make marijuana illegal. If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on Proposition 19?

• Yes 45%
• No 53%

Survey of 888 likely voters was conducted October 20-26, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 24-28, 2010 are in square brackets.  Click here to view full results and crosstabs.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA California Political Survey

SurveyUSA California Political Survey

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• Jerry Brown (D) 46% {47%} [47%] (46%) {40%} [43%] (39%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 38% {40%} [43%] (43%) {47%} [44%] (46%)
• Other 8% {8%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [6%] (7%)
• Undecided 8% {5%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (8%)

Already Voted: 29% {19%}

• Jerry Brown (D) 50% {46%}
• Meg Whitman (R) 39% {44%}
• Other 8% {7%}
• Undecided 4% {3%}

Lieutenant Governor

• Gavin Newsom (D) 42% {43%} [42%]
• Abel Maldonado (R) 34% {37%} [37%]
• Other 9% {14%} [19%]
• Undecided 15% {6%} [3%]

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Barbara Boxer (D) 45% {46%} [46%] (49%) {46%} [42%] (45%)
• Carly Fiorina (R) 40% {44%} [43%] (43%) {48%} [47%] (47%)
• Other 7% {6%} [9%] (6%) {5%} [5%] (3%)
• Undecided 8% {4%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [5%] (5%)

Already Voted: 29% {19%}

• Barbara Boxer (D) 48% {45%}
• Carly Fiorina (R) 43% {43%}
• Other 5% {6%}
• Undecided 4% {6%}

On Proposition 19, which would change California law to legalize marijuana and allow it to be regulated and taxed, are you certain to vote yes; certain to vote no; or not certain?

• Certain to vote yes 44% {48%} [48%] (47%) {47%} [50%] (50%)
• Certain to vote no 46% {44%} [41%] (42%) {43%} [40%] (40%)
• Not certain 10% {8%} [11%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (10%)

Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable or unfavorable?

• Favorable 28% {31%} [33%] (33%) {36%} [31%] (31%)
• Unfavorable 37% {40%} [40%] (41%) {37%} [38%] (37%)

Survey of 594 likely and actual voters was conducted October 21-25, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% {42%} [42%] (43%) {47%} [44%] (42%) Democrat; 34% {35%} [34%] (33%) {31%} [34%] (33%) Republican; 21% {21%} [22%] (23%) {22%} [21%] (24%) Independent.  Political ideology: 40% {41%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [46%] (44%) Moderate; 33% {31%} [30%] (29%) {30%} [29%] (30%) Conservative; 19% {23%} [21%] (22%) {18%} [20%] (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-18, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 1, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 8-11, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) California Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) California Gubernatorial Survey

• Jerry Brown (D) 53% {47%} [46%] (48%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 42% {42%} [40%] (36%)
• Undecided 5% {12%} [14%] (16%)

Already Voted (26%)

• Jerry Brown (D) 50%
• Meg Whitman (R) 43%

Did Not Vote Yet (74%)

• Jerry Brown (D) 54%
• Meg Whitman (R) 42%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Jerry Brown 48% {42%} [41%] (37%) / 44% {45%} [43%] (39%) {+4%}
• Meg Whitman 36% {35%} [30%] (24%) / 55% {49%} [50%] (44%) {-19%} 

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger’s job performance?

• Approve 25% {20%} [19%] (20%)
• Disapprove 63% {69%} [71%] (64%)

Proposition 19 would legalize marijuana under California but not federal law. It would permit local governments to regulate and tax commercial production, distribution, and sale of marijuana. Will you vote yes or no on Proposition 19?

• Yes 45%
• No 48%
• Undecided 7%

Survey of 622 likely California voters was conducted October 21-23 , 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 47% {49%} [46%] (46%) Democrat; 34% {33%} [34%] (33%) Republican; 19% {18%} [19%] (21%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 47% {39%} [41%] (43%) Moderate; 30% {34%} [33%] (34%) Conservative; 23% {27%} [25%] (23%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 14-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-25, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 21-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Suffolk University California Political Survey

Suffolk University California Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Barbara Boxer (D) 52%
• Carly Fiorina (R) 43%
• Other 4%
• Not sure 2%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barbara Boxer 49% / 43% {+6%} 
• Carly Fiorina 34% / 49% {-15%}

Gubernatorial Election

• Jerry Brown (D) 50% 
• Meg Whitman (R) 42%
• Other 5%
• Not sure 3% 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Jerry Brown 49% / 39% {+10%} 
• Meg Whitman 32% / 54% {-22%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 52%
• Disapprove 40%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 60% / 29% {+31%}
• Barack Obama 57% / 37% {+20%}
• Nancy Pelosi 39% / 48% {-9%}
• Arnold Schwarzenegger 32% / 55% {-23%}

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 21-24, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 45% Democrat; 31% Republican; 25% Independent/Other.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News California Political Survey

Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News California Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Barbara Boxer (D) 48% {48%} [47%] (46%)
• Carly Fiorina (R) 44% {44%} [46%] (44%)
• Other 5% {3%} [3%] (4%)
• Not sure 3% {5%} [4%] (6%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barbara Boxer 45% {43%} / 50% {52%} {-5%}
• Carly Fiorina 39% {37%} / 47% {51%} {-8%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barbara Boxer is doing as senator?

• Approve 41% {42%} [41%] (42%)
• Disapprove 50% {50%} [49%] (50%)

Gubernatorial Election

• Jerry Brown (D) 50% {48%} [45%] (43%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 41% {43%} [45%] (49%)
• Other 6% {4%} [4%] (4%)
• Not sure 3% {4%} [6%] (4%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Jerry Brown 46% {46%} / 49% {50%} {-3%}
• Meg Whitman 37% {39%} / 55% {54%} {-18%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 47% {46%} [45%] (48%)
• Disapprove 46% {46%} [47%] (44%)

Have the policies of the Obama administration helped or hurt California’s economy, or have they not made much of a difference either way?

• Helped 25% {30%} [25%] (25%)
• Hurt 41% {39%} [37%] (35%)
• No difference 30% {28%} [33%] (34%)

How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

• Strongly support 22% {22%} [22%]
• Somewhat support 18% {15%} [19%]
• Somewhat oppose 8% {13%} [10%]
• Strongly oppose 36% {34%} [33%]

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 23, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 11, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: USC/LA Times California Political Survey

USC/LA Times California Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Barbara Boxer (D) 50% {51%} [44%]
• Carly Fiorina (R) 42% {43%} [38%]

Gubernatorial Election

• Jerry Brown (D) 52% {49%} [44%] (41%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 39% {44%} [38%] (44%)

Survey of 922 likely voters was conducted October 13-20, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-22, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 23-30, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen California Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen California Gubernatorial Survey

• Jerry Brown (D) 46% {49%} [46%] (46%) {42%} [40%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [40%] (43%) {43%} [41%] (44%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 41% {42%} [40%] (44%) {46%} [48%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {39%} [41%] (35%)

With Leaners

• Jerry Brown (D) 48% {50%} [49%] (47%) {45%} [43%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 42% {44%} [44%] (46%) {48%} [51%]

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Jerry Brown (D) 51% {53%} [53%] (51%) {48%} [48%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 47% {47%} [47%] (49%) {52%} [52%]

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• Jerry Brown 49% {52%} [45%] (48%) {45%} [46%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (53%) {51%} [46%] (53%) {49%} [48%] (53%) / 47% {47%} [48%] (49%) {51%} [51%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (42%) {42%} [44%] (41%) {40%} [41%] (37%) {+2%}
• Meg Whitman 43% {47%} [44%] (45%) {55%} [49%] (47%) {49%} [51%] (48%) {47%} [51%] (56%) {48%} [47%] (45%) / 53% {49%} [50%] (50%) {40%} [44%] (46%) {44%} [41%] (47%) {43%} [34%] (28%) {30%} [27%] (28%) {-10%}

In political terms, please tell me whether Meg Whitman is very conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal or very liberal.

• Very conservative 32% (23%)
• Somewhat conservative 37% (36%)
• Moderate 14% (21%)
• Somewhat liberal 5% (6%)
• Very liberal 1% (3%)

In political terms, please tell me whether Jerry Brown is very conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal or very liberal.

• Very conservative 4% (6%)
• Somewhat conservative 3% (4%)
• Moderate 20% (18%)
• Somewhat liberal 36% (29%)
• Very liberal 30% (31%)

Would it be more accurate to describe Meg Whitman's views as mainstream or extreme?

• Mainstream 46% (44%)
• Extreme 38% (33%)

Would it be more accurate to describe Jerry Brown's views as mainstream or extreme?

• Mainstream 46% (42%)
• Extreme 43% (39%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 34% {33%} [32%] (39%) {36%} [36%] (34%) {34%} [43%] (36%) {37%}
• Somewhat approve 20% {24%} [21%] (18%) {19%} [19%] (22%) {23%} [16%] (19%) {23%}
• Somewhat disapprove 6% {6%} [7%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [6%] (7%) {7%}
• Strongly disapprove 38% {36%} [37%] (35%) {37%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (35%) {32%}

How would you rate the job Arnold Schwarzenegger has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 5% {4%} [9%] (5%) {8%} [4%] (5%) {6%} [6%] (8%) {4%}
• Somewhat approve 27% {28%} [24%] (26%) {24%} [22%] (24%) {22%} [24%] (20%) {25%}
• Somewhat disapprove 34% {36%} [31%] (32%) {31%} [31%] (31%) {30%} [34%] (39%) {36%}
• Strongly disapprove 33% {31%} [35%] (34%) {35%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [33%] (31%) {34%}

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 21, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% {43%} [40%] (39%) Democrat; 34% {37%} [36%] (37%) Republican; 24% {20%} [24%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 6, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 24, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Whitman is backed by 84% of California Republicans, while Brown draws support from 76% of Democrats. Brown holds a 16-point lead among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Jerry Brown for Governor Ad: "Echo"

Poll Watch: PPIC California Political Survey

PPIC California Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Barbara Boxer (D) 43% (42%) [39%] {48%} (44%) [48%]
• Carly Fiorina (R) 38% (35%) [34%] {39%} (43%) [40%]
• Someone else 6% (6%)
• Don't Know 13% (17%) [22%] {13%} (13%) [12%]

Gubernatorial Election

• Jerry Brown (D) 44% (37%) [37%] {42%} (39%) [41%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 36% (38%) [34%] {37%} (44%) [36%]
• Someone else 4% (7%)
• Don't Know 16% (18%) [23%] {21%} (17%) [23%]

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that Arnold Schwarzenegger is handling his job as governor of California

• Approve 28% (28%) [25%]
• Disapprove 65% (66%) [66%]

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that Barack Obama is handling his job as president of the United States?

• Approve 55% (48%) [50%] {53%}
• Disapprove 40% (48%) [46%] {43%}

Proposition 19 is called the ‘Legalizes Marijuana Under California but Not Federal Law. Permits Local Governments to Regulate and Tax Commercial Production, Distribution, and Sale of Marijuana. Initiative Statute.’ If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on Proposition 19?

• Yes 44% (52%)
• No 49% (41%)

Proposition 23 is called the ‘Suspends Implementation of Air Pollution Control Law (AB 32) Requiring Major Sources of Emissions to Report and Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions That Cause Global Warming, Until Unemployment Drops to 5.5 Percent or Less for Full Year. Initiative Statute.’ If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on Proposition 23?

• Yes 37% (43%)
• No 48% (42%)

Proposition 25 is called the ‘Changes Legislative Vote Requirement to Pass Budget and Budget-related Legislation from Two-Thirds to a Simple Majority. Retains Two-Thirds Vote Requirement for Taxes. Initiative Constitutional Amendment.’ If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on Proposition 25?

• Yes 49% (48%)
• No 34% (35%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Democratic Party 47% / 43% {+4%}
• Tea Party movement 27% / 44% {-17%}
• Republican Party 28% / 60% {-32%}

What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections: a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?

• Controlled by Democrats 48%
• Controlled by Republicans 35%

If control of the Congress switched from the Democrats to the Republicans after November's election, do you think that would be a good thing, a bad thing, or wouldn't it make any difference?

• Good thing 32%
• Bad thing 30%
• Would not make a difference 34%

Survey of 1,067 likely voters was conducted October 10-17, 2010.  The margin of error is ± 3.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 6-20, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 9-16, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Party registration breakdown: 45% (45%) [45%] Democrat; 31% (31%) [31%] Republican; 21% (23%) [22%] Independent.  Political ideology: 10% (9%) [11%] very liberal; 18% (23%) [20%] somewhat liberal; 29% (29%) [30%] middle-of-the-road; 25% (24%) [24%] somewhat conservative; 14% (14%) [13%] very conservative.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA California Political Survey

SurveyUSA California Political Survey

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• Jerry Brown (D) 47% [47%] (46%) {40%} [43%] (39%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 40% [43%] (43%) {47%} [44%] (46%)
• Other 8% [8%] (8%) {9%} [6%] (7%)
• Undecided 5% [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (8%)

Already Voted (19%)

• Jerry Brown (D) 46%
• Meg Whitman (R) 44%
• Other 7%
• Undecided 3%

Among Democrats

• Jerry Brown (D) 80% [78%] (77%) {66%} [74%] (64%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 11% [12%] (14%) {20%} [16%] (20%)
• Other 3% [6%] (5%) {10%} [6%] (6%)
• Undecided 6% [3%] (4%) {5%} [5%] (10%)

Among Republicans

• Meg Whitman (R) 73% [79%] (78%) {82%} [78%] (77%)
• Jerry Brown (D) 15% [15%] (12%) {8%} [10%] (11%)
• Other 8% [6%] (9%) {9%} [5%] (6%)
• Undecided 4% [1%] (2%) {2%} [7%] (6%)

Among Independents

• Meg Whitman (R) 43% [47%] (49%) {59%} [49%] (47%)
• Jerry Brown (D) 37% [35%] (38%) {31%} [33%] (37%)
• Other 14% [15%] (11%) {7%} [11%] (10%)
• Undecided 6% [3%] (2%) {3%} [7%] (5%)

Among Moderates

• Jerry Brown (D) 52% [50%] (50%) {44%} [51%] (43%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 34% [37%] (40%) {41%} [37%] (44%)
• Other 10% [11%] (7%) {10%} [6%] (3%)
• Undecided 4% [3%] (3%) {5%} [6%] (9%)

Among Men

• Meg Whitman (R) 45% [47%] (47%) {50%] [50%] (50%)
• Jerry Brown (D) 45% [43%] (44%) {36%} [35%] (37%)
• Other 7% [8%] (7%) {11%} [8%] (7%)
• Undecided 4% [1%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (6%)

Among Women

• Jerry Brown (D) 49% [50%] (49%) {44%} [51%] (42%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 35% [39%] (39%) {45%} [38%] (41%)
• Other 10% [8%] (9%) {7%} [4%] (8%)
• Undecided 6% [3%] (3%) {4%} [7%] (10%)

Lieutenant Governor

• Gavin Newsom (D) 43% [42%]
• Abel Maldonado (R) 37% [37%]
• Other 14% [19%]
• Undecided 6% [3%]

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Barbara Boxer (D) 46% [46%] (49%) {46%} [42%] (45%)
• Carly Fiorina (R) 44% [43%] (43%) {48%} [47%] (47%)
• Other 6% [9%] (6%) {5%} [5%] (3%)
• Undecided 4% [2%] (2%) {1%} [5%] (5%)

Already Voted (19%)

• Barbara Boxer (D) 45%
• Carly Fiorina (R) 43%
• Other 6%
• Undecided 6%

Among Democrats

• Barbara Boxer (D) 82% [80%] (81%) {79%} [73%] (76%)
• Carly Fiorina (R) 11% [11%] (12%) {16%} [14%] (18%)
• Other 3% [7%] (5%) {4%} [9%] (1%)
• Undecided 4% [2%] (3%) {1%} [5%] (4%)

Among Republicans

• Carly Fiorina (R) 81% [82%] (84%) {91%} [87%] (83%)
• Barbara Boxer (D) 11% [11%] (10%) {4%} [10%] (9%)
• Other 7% [6%] (5%) {5%} [0%] (3%)
• Undecided 2% [2%] (1%) {0%} [2%] (4%)

Among Independents

• Carly Fiorina (R) 50% [49%] (47%) {58%} [49%] (49%)
• Barbara Boxer (D) 35% [34%] (43%) {35%} [32%] (40%)
• Other 9% [14%] (9%) {5%} [9%] (6%)
• Undecided 6% [3%] (1%) {3%} [11%] (5%)

Among Moderates

• Barbara Boxer (D) 52% [53%] (53%) {57%} [45%] (52%)
• Carly Fiorina (R) 40% [37%] (37%) {36%} [42%] (40%)
• Other 5% [9%] (8%) {5%} [7%] (2%)
• Undecided 3% [2%] (2%) {2%} [6%] (5%)

Among Men

• Carly Fiorina (R) 47% [48%] (49%) {54%} [52%] (53%)
• Barbara Boxer (D) 43% [42%] (45%) {41%} [37%] (41%)
• Other 6% [9%] (4%) {4%} [5%] (3%)
• Undecided 3% [1%] (2%) {1%} [4%] (3%)

Among Women

• Barbara Boxer (D) 49% [51%] (53%) {51%} [47%] (49%)
• Carly Fiorina (R) 40% [39%] (38%) {42%} [41%] (41%)
• Other 6% [8%] (7%) {5%} [6%] (3%)
• Undecided 5% [2%] (2%) {1%} [6%] (6%)

On Proposition 19, which would change California law to legalize marijuana and allow it to be regulated and taxed, are you certain to vote yes; certain to vote no; or not certain?

• Certain to vote yes 48% [48%] (47%) {47%} [50%] (50%)
• Certain to vote no 44% [41%] (42%) {43%} [40%] (40%)
• Not certain 8% [11%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (10%)

Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable or unfavorable?

• Favorable 31% [33%] (33%) {36%} [31%] (31%)
• Unfavorable 40% [40%] (41%) {37%} [38%] (37%)

Survey of 621 likely and actual voters was conducted October 15-18, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% [42%] (43%) {47%} [44%] (42%) Democrat; 35% [34%] (33%) {31%} [34%] (33%) Republican; 21% [22%] (23%) {22%} [21%] (24%) Independent.  Political ideology: 41% [43%] (42%) {46%} [46%] (44%) Moderate; 31% [30%] (29%) {30%} [29%] (30%) Conservative; 23% [21%] (22%) {18%} [20%] (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 1, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 8-11, 2010 are in parentheses.