Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Hillary Clinton 50.16% {56.20%} [41.16%] (58.76%)
• Bernie Sanders 39.50% {28.65%} [23.26%] (14.29%)

Survey of 319 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 11-15, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 2-6, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Hillary Clinton 59% {56%} [62%] (58%) {53%} [59%] (75%)
• Bernie Sanders 34% {37%} [31%] (33%) {38%} [25%] (15%)
• Martin O'Malley 2% {4%} [3%] (1%) {1%} [3%] (2%)

National survey of 400 Democrats and those who lean Democratic was conducted January 9-13, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 25-29, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-18, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 20-24, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 26-30, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Hillary Clinton 56% [62%] (58%) {53%} [59%] (75%)
• Bernie Sanders 37% [31%] (33%) {38%} [25%] (15%)
• Martin O'Malley 4% [3%] (1%) {1%} [3%] (2%)

National survey of 400 Democrats and those who lean Democratic was conducted December 6-9, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 25-29, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-18, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 20-24, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 26-30, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Hillary Clinton 56.20% [41.16%] (58.76%)
• Bernie Sanders 28.65% [23.26%] (14.29%)
• Martin O'Malley 3.58% [0.00%] (0.46%)

Survey of 363 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted December 2-6, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 24-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Hillary Clinton 62% (58%) {53%} [59%] (75%)
• Bernie Sanders 31% (33%) {38%} [25%] (15%)
• Martin O'Malley 3% (1%) {1%} [3%] (2%)

National survey of 400 Democrats and those who lean Democratic was conducted October 25-29, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 15-18, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 20-24, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 26-30, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Hillary Clinton 49% {42%}
• Bernie Sanders 29% {35%}
• Joe Biden 15% {17%}
• Jim Webb 2% {1%}
• Martin O'Malley 1% {0%}
• Lincoln Chafee 0% {0%}

 If Joe Biden does not run for President:

• Hillary Clinton 58% {53%} [59%] (75%)
• Bernie Sanders 33% {38%} [25%] (15%)
• Jim Webb 2% {1%} [3%] (4%)
• Martin O'Malley 1% {1%} [3%] (2%)
• Lincoln Chafee 0% {0%} [1%] (0%)

Survey of 400 Democrats and those who lean Democratic was conducted October 15-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20-24, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 26-30, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Hillary Clinton 41.16% (58.76%)
• Bernie Sanders 23.26% (14.29%)
• Joe Biden 19.53% (7.83%)
• Lincoln Chafee 0.70% (0.23%)
• Larry Lessig 0.47%
• Jim Webb 0.47% (1.61%)
• Martin O'Malley 0.00% (0.46%)

Survey of 430 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted September 24-28, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Hillary Clinton 42%
• Bernie Sanders 35%
• Joe Biden 17%
• Jim Webb 1%
• Martin O'Malley 0%
• Lincoln Chafee 0%

 If Joe Biden does not run for President:

• Hillary Clinton 53% [59%] (75%)
• Bernie Sanders 38% [25%] (15%)
• Jim Webb 1% [3%] (4%)
• Martin O'Malley 1% [3%] (2%)
• Lincoln Chafee 0% [1%] (0%)

Survey of 256 Democrats and those who lean Democratic was conducted September 20-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 26-30, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Hillary Clinton 59% (75%)
• Bernie Sanders 25% (15%)
• Jim Webb 3% (4%)
• Martin O'Malley 3% (2%)
• Lincoln Chafee 1% (0%)

Survey of 253 Democrats and those who lean Democratic was conducted July 26-30, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.16 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Hillary Clinton 75%
• Bernie Sanders 15%
• Jim Webb 4%
• Martin O'Malley 2%
• Lincoln Chafee 0%

Survey of 247 Democrats and those who lean Democratic was conducted June 14-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.24 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll 

Suppose the 2016 Democratic presidential primary were held in your state today. If you had a choice between Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Martin O’Malley, Andrew Cuomo, Antonio Villaraigosa or Cory Booker, for whom would you vote?

• Hillary Clinton 70% [77%] (63%)
• Joe Biden 10% [11%] (12%)
• Andrew Cuomo 3%

Survey of likely Democratic primary voters was conducted November 7-8, 2013. Results from the poll conducted September 16-17, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 1-2, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey

NBC News 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Poll

If the 2016 Democratic presidential primary were held today and Hillary Clinton were running, do you think you would vote for Hillary Clinton or for another Democratic candidate?

• Hillary Clinton 66%
• Another Democrat 14%
• Would not vote (vol.) 2%
• Don't know (vol.) 18%

Survey of 428 Democrats and those who lean Democratic was conducted November 7-10, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?

• Hillary Clinton 68% (58%) {60%} [62%] (44%)
• Joe Biden 21% (17%) {18%} [14%] (13%)
• Andrew Cuomo 2% (6%) {3%} [4%] (7%)
• Mark Warner 2% (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
• Elizabeth Warren 2% (3%) {3%} [4%]
• Deval Patrick 1% (1%) {0%}  
• Kirsten Gillibrand 0%
• Brian Schweitzer 0% (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
• Martin O'Malley 0% (0%) {0%} [1%]
• Someone else/Undecided 3% (13%) {14%} [9%] (21%)

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?

• Joe Biden 58% (40%) {36%} [28%]
• Andrew Cuomo 13% (14%) {14%} [14%]
• Elizabeth Warren 7% (9%) {8%} [10%]
• Kirsten Gillibrand 6%
• Deval Patrick 3% (2%) {0%}
• Mark Warner 2% (1%) {3%} [1%]
• Brian Schweitzer 1% (1%) {4%} [2%]
• Martin O'Malley 0% (4%) {2%} [0%]
• Someone else/Undecided 11% (28%) {34%} [36%]

If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?

• Andrew Cuomo 26% (30%) {20%} [17%]
• Elizabeth Warren 17% (13%) {11%} [13%]
• Martin O'Malley 8% (3%) {2%} [3%] 
• Kirsten Gillibrand 5%
• Deval Patrick 3% (4%) {4%}
• Mark Warner 2% (2%) {6%} [1%]
• Brian Schweitzer 2% (2%) {4%} [4%]
• Someone else/Undecided 37% (46%) {53%} [47%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 90% (86%) {90%} [88%] / 5% (11%) {6%} [6%] {+85%}
• Joe Biden 84% (85%) {79%} [76%] / 9% (15%) {11%} [6%] {+75%}
• Elizabeth Warren 45% (37%) {30%} [31%] / 8% (11%) {10%} [8%] {+37%}
• Andrew Cuomo 35% (38%) {26%} [26%] / 13% (16%) {19%} [17%] {+22%}
• Deval Patrick 17% (14%) {10%} / 6% (11%) {9%} {+11%}
• Kirsten Gillibrand 14% / 6% {+8%}
• Brian Schweitzer 9% (12%) {5%} [7%] / 5% (7%) {10%} [9%] {+4%}
• Martin O'Malley 8% (9%) {4%} [6%] / 6% (13%) {8%} [7%] {+2%}
• Mark Warner 10% (12%) {10%} [10%] / 11% (11%) {10%} [11%] {-1%}

Survey of 313 Iowa Democrats was conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points.  Political ideology: 33% (35%) {38%} [32%] (37%) Moderate; 33% (32%) {37%} [36%] (33%) Somewhat liberal; 26% (20%) {14%} [21%] (14%) Very liberal; 6% (8%) {8%} [8%] (11%) Somewhat conservative; 2% (5%) {3%} [4%] (4%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP Florida 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey

PPP Florida 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Poll

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?

• Hillary Clinton 61% (67%)
• Joe Biden 14% (11%)
• Andrew Cuomo 8% (8%)
• Martin O'Malley 3% (0%)
• Mark Warner 2% (0%)
• Deval Patrick 1% (0%)
• Elizabeth Warren 1% (2%)
• Brian Schweitzer 0% (0%)
• Someone else/Not sure 9% (11%)

If Hillary Clinton didn’t run for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?

• Joe Biden 38% (31%)
• Andrew Cuomo 22% (21%)
• Martin O'Malley 6% (6%)
• Elizabeth Warren 6% (8%)
• Mark Warner 3% (2%)
• Deval Patrick 3% (2%)
• Brian Schweitzer 0% (0%)
• Someone else/Not sure 22% (29%)

If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?

• Andrew Cuomo 33% (31%)
• Elizabeth Warren 10% (10%)
• Deval Patrick 7% (7%)
• Martin O'Malley 4% (6%)
• Mark Warner 3% (3%)
• Brian Schweitzer 1% (0%)
• Someone else/Not sure 42% (43%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 82% (84%) / 14% (11%) {+68%}
• Joe Biden 74% (69%) / 22% (20%) {+52%}
• Andrew Cuomo 44% (32%) / 17% (18%) {+27%}
• Elizabeth Warren 40% (28%) / 13% (9%) {+27%}
• Deval Patrick 21% (15%) / 10% (8%) {+11%}
• Mark Warner 12% (11%) / 10% (9%) {+2%}
• Brian Schweitzer 8% (7%) / 8% (9%) {0%}
• Martin O'Malley 11% (10%) / 12% (12%) {-1%}

Survey of 458 Florida Democrats was conducted November 3-4, 2012.  Political ideology: 33% (41%) Moderate; 30% (27%) Somewhat liberal; 22% (16%) Very liberal; 10% (12%) Somewhat conservative; 5% (4%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP Iowa 2016 Democratic Presidential Survey

PPP Iowa 2016 Democratic Presidential Poll

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?

• Hillary Clinton 58% {60%} [62%] (44%)
• Joe Biden 17% {18%} [14%] (13%)
• Andrew Cuomo 6% {3%} [4%] (7%)
• Elizabeth Warren 3% {3%} [4%]
• Brian Schweitzer 1% {1%} [2%] (1%)
• Deval Patrick 1% {0%}
• Mark Warner 0% {1%} [0%] (1%)
• Martin O'Malley 0% {0%} [1%]
• Someone else/Not sure 13% {14%} [9%] (21%)

If Hillary Clinton didn’t run for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?

• Joe Biden 40% {36%} [28%]
• Andrew Cuomo 14% {14%} [14%]
• Elizabeth Warren 9% {8%} [10%]
• Martin O'Malley 4% {2%} [0%]
• Deval Patrick 2% {0%}
• Brian Schweitzer 1% {4%} [2%]
• Mark Warner 1% {3%} [1%]
• Someone else/Not sure 28% {34%} [36%]

If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?

• Andrew Cuomo 30% {20%} [17%]
• Elizabeth Warren 13% {11%} [13%]
• Deval Patrick 4% {4%}
• Martin O'Malley 3% {2%} [3%]
• Mark Warner 2% {6%} [1%]
• Brian Schweitzer 2% {4%} [4%]
• Someone else/Not sure 46% {53%} [47%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 86% {90%} [88%] / 11% {6%} [6%] {+75%}
• Joe Biden 85% {79%} [76%] / 15% {11%} [6%] {+70%}
• Elizabeth Warren 37% {30%} [31%] / 11% {10%} [8%] {+26%}
• Andrew Cuomo 38% {26%} [26%] / 16% {19%} [17%] {+22%}
• Brian Schweitzer 12% {5%} [7%] / 7% {10%} [9%] {+5%}
• Deval Patrick 14% {10%} / 11% {9%} {+3%}
• Mark Warner 12% {10%} [10%] / 11% {10%} [11%] {+1%}
• Martin O'Malley 9% {4%} [6%] / 13% {8%} [7%] {-4%}

Survey of 391 Iowa Democrats was conducted November 3-4, 2012.  Party ID: 83% {81%} [79%] Democrat; 14% {18%} [17%] Independent/Other; 4% {1%} [4%] Republican.  Political ideology: 35% {38%} [32%] (37%) Moderate; 32% {37%} [36%] (33%) Somewhat liberal; 20% {14%} [21%] (14%) Very liberal; 8% {8%} [8%] (11%) Somewhat conservative; 5% {3%} [4%] (4%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: United Technologies/National Journal 2012 Presidential Survey

United Technologies/National Journal 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 50% (47%)
• Mitt Romney 45% (47%)

Survey of 713 likely voters was conducted October 25-28, 2012 by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 36% Democrat; 29% Republican; 30% Independent. Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Forty-seven percent (47%) of likely voters say they would prefer that Republicans maintain their House majority, while 44 percent want Democrats to take over; Democrats held a 45 percent to 43 percent advantage in late September. Voters, by a solid 50 percent to 40 percent margin, now say they would prefer a Democratic Senate; that’s up from a 47 percent to 42 percent advantage for Democrats in September.

The survey found an overwhelming correlation between preferences in the presidential race and the battle for congressional control. In the House, fully 85 percent of Obama voters preferred a Democratic majority, while 92 percent of Romney voters said they want the Republicans to maintain control. In the Senate, Obama voters by 89 percent to 3 percent said they preferred Democratic control, while Romney voters, by 83 percent to 9 percent, want Republicans to take the majority.

In the poll, three-fifths of likely voters say that if Romney wins they want Democrats to control at least one chamber “so they can act as a check” on his agenda; just 34 percent want Republicans to control both chambers “so they can implement his agenda.” Even among those voting for Romney, fully one-fourth say they want Democrats to control one congressional chamber.

Likewise, just 36 percent of voters want Democrats to control both chambers if Obama wins; 58 percent say they want Republicans to hold at least one to check him. About one-fourth of Obama voters say they would prefer divided control.

In its likely-voter model, the poll projected that the 2012 electorate will be virtually unchanged from 2008, with Democrats holding an 8 percentage-point advantage among voters (compared with 7 points last time) and whites representing 73 percent of voters (compared to 74 percent last time).

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS News Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac/NY Times/CBS Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 54% (53%)
• Mitt Romney 42% (42%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 48% (58%)
• Mitt Romney 48% (36%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 49% (50%)
• Barack Obama 48% (47%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 58% (59%)
• Mitt Romney 37% (35%)

(Among Obama Voters) Would you describe your support for Barack Obama as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Mitt Romney?

• Strongly favor Barack Obama 66% (59%)
• Like but with reservations 25% (33%)
• Dislike Mitt Romney 7% (7%)

(Among Romney Voters) Would you describe your support for Mitt Romney as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Barack Obama?

• Strongly favor Mitt Romney 52% (41%)
• Like but with reservations 28% (37%)
• Dislike Barack Obama 19% (22%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 54% (53%) / 43% (42%) {+11%}  
• Democratic Party 50% / 40% {+10%}
• Joe Biden 45% / 40% {+5%}
• Paul Ryan 33% / 36% {-3%}
• Mitt Romney 41% (39%) / 50% (47%) {-9%}
• Republican Party 37% / 51% {-14%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 51% (49%)
• Disapprove 45% (46%)

In general which comes closest to your feelings about the Obama presidency so far? Would you say you are very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat disappointed or very disappointed?

• Very satisfied 15%
• Somewhat satisfied 34%
• Somewhat disappointed 16%
• Very disappointed 34% 

Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 60% (58%)
• No 37% (39%)

Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 38% (39%)
• No 57% (54%)

How confident are you in Barack Obama's ability to be an effective Commander-in-Chief of the nation's military?

• Very confident 36%
• Somewhat confident 24%
• Not too confident 12%
• Not at all confident 27%
  

How confident are you in Mitt Romney's ability to be an effective Commander-in-Chief of the nation's military?

• Very confident 19%
• Somewhat confident 31%
• Not too confident 21%
• Not at all confident 27%

How confident are you in Barack Obama's ability to make the right decisions about events in the Middle East?

• Very confident 27%
• Somewhat confident 30%
• Not too confident 12%
• Not at all confident 31%
  

How confident are you in Mitt Romney's ability to make the right decisions about events in the Middle East?

• Very confident 18%
• Somewhat confident 26%
• Not too confident 23%
• Not at all confident 31%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 51% (48%)
• Mitt Romney 45% (44%)

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on health care, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 54% (51%)
• Mitt Romney 41% (41%)

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on national security, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 55% (50%)
• Mitt Romney 40% (40%)

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on Medicare, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 55%
  
• Mitt Romney 39%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on taxes, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 53%
• Mitt Romney 42%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on women's reproductive health issues, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 58%
• Mitt Romney 32%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling an international crisis, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 56%
• Mitt Romney 39%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on foreign policy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 56%
• Mitt Romney 40%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the budget deficit, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Mitt Romney 48%
• Barack Obama 45%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on immigration, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 41%

Which comes closest to your view of Barack Obama's economic policies, A) They are improving the economy now, and will probably continue to do so, OR B) They have not improved the economy yet, but will if given more time, OR C) They are not improving the economy and probably never will.

• A)Improving now 27% (21%)
• B)Will improve 30% (35%)
• C)Will never improve 42% (42%)

If Barack Obama is re-elected President, do you think the policies of his administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same?

• Favor the rich 9%
• Favor middle class 30%
• Favor the poor 26%
• Treat all the same 29%

If Mitt Romney is elected President, do you think the policies of his administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same?

• Favor the rich 59%
• Favor middle class 9%
• Favor the poor 0%
• Treat all the same 29%

Do you think the Obama campaign is saying things it believes to be true, or is it deliberately misleading people?

• Saying things it believes to be true 55%
• Deliberately misleading people 39%

Do you think the Romney campaign is saying things it believes to be true, or is it deliberately misleading people?

• Saying things it believes to be true 45%
  
• Deliberately misleading people 49%

As you may know, there have been efforts in some states to require voters to show a photo identification card to vote. Some people say this is needed to prevent people from voting who are not eligible to vote. Other people say such efforts are designed to suppress voting by minorities. What do you think, do you support or oppose efforts to require voters to show a photo identification card to vote?  

• Support 62%
• Oppose 35% 

Among Democrats

• Support 37%
• Oppose 60% 

Among Republicans

• Support 92%
• Oppose 8% 

Among Independents

• Support 66%
• Oppose 33% 

From what you've read and heard, do you think Barack Obama is removing U.S. troops from Afghanistan too quickly, not quickly enough, or is he handling this about right?

• Too quickly 15%
• Not quickly enough 32%
• About right 43% 

Among Democrats

• Too quickly 3%
• Not quickly enough 30%
• About right 61%

Among Republicans

• Too quickly 30%
• Not quickly enough 32%
• About right 23%
  

Among Independents

• Too quickly 16%
• Not quickly enough 38%
• About right 36%

Survey of 1,180 likely voters was conducted September 18-24, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% (38%) Democrat; 28% (32%) Republican; 27% (26%) Independent; 6% (4%) Other.  Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted July 24-30, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS News Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac/NY Times/CBS News Ohio 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 53% [50%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 43% [44%] (44%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 47% [48%] (44%)
• Barack Obama 46% [43%] (47%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 52% [48%] (52%)
• Barack Obama 44% [46%] (42%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 60% [54%] (58%)
• Mitt Romney 35% [41%] (37%)

(Among Obama Voters) Would you describe your support for Barack Obama as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Mitt Romney?

• Strongly favor Barack Obama 66% (60%)
• Like but with reservations 25% (31%)
• Dislike Mitt Romney 8% (9%)

(Among Romney Voters) Would you describe your support for Mitt Romney as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Barack Obama?

• Strongly favor Mitt Romney 51% (42%)
• Like but with reservations 30% (35%)
• Dislike Barack Obama 18% (22%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 54% [51%] (51%) / 43% [45%] (45%) {+11%}  
• Democratic Party 48% / 40% {+8%}
• Paul Ryan 34% [32%] / 33% [27%] {+1%}
• Joe Biden 38% [40%] / 40% [40%] {-2%}
• Mitt Romney 41% [39%] (40%) / 49% [45%] (43%) {-8%}
• Republican Party 37% / 49% {-12%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 50% [49%] (48%)
  
• Disapprove 47% [48%] (48%)

In general which comes closest to your feelings about the Obama presidency so far? Would you say you are very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat disappointed or very disappointed?

• Very satisfied 16%
• Somewhat satisfied 33%
• Somewhat disappointed 17%
• Very disappointed 34% 

Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 59% [59%] (55%)
• No 38% [39%] (43%)

Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 38% [41%] (38%)
• No 57% [53%] (55%)

How confident are you in Barack Obama's ability to be an effective Commander-in-Chief of the nation's military?

• Very confident 35%
• Somewhat confident 23%
• Not too confident 14%
• Not at all confident 27%
  

How confident are you in Mitt Romney's ability to be an effective Commander-in-Chief of the nation's military?

• Very confident 20%
• Somewhat confident 32%
• Not too confident 17%
• Not at all confident 28%

How confident are you in Barack Obama's ability to make the right decisions about events in the Middle East?

• Very confident 27%
• Somewhat confident 28%
• Not too confident 13%
• Not at all confident 31%
  

How confident are you in Mitt Romney's ability to make the right decisions about events in the Middle East?

• Very confident 17%
• Somewhat confident 29%
• Not too confident 19%
• Not at all confident 33%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 51% [47%] (46%)
• Mitt Romney 45% [47%] (45%)

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on health care, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 54% [51%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 40% [43%] (42%)

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on national security, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 53%
• Mitt Romney 41%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on Medicare, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 55% [51%]
  
• Mitt Romney 39% [41%]

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on taxes, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 53% [51%]
• Mitt Romney 43% [41%]

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on women's reproductive health issues, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 59%
• Mitt Romney 30%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling an international crisis, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 54%
• Mitt Romney 39%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on foreign policy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 54% [50%]
• Mitt Romney 41% [40%]

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the budget deficit, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Mitt Romney 49% [50%]
• Barack Obama 45% [40%]

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on immigration, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 43%

Which comes closest to your view of Barack Obama's economic policies, A) They are improving the economy now, and will probably continue to do so, OR B) They have not improved the economy yet, but will if given more time, OR C) They are not improving the economy and probably never will.

• A)Improving now 33% (24%)
• B)Will improve 25% (30%)
• C)Will never improve 41% (44%)

If Barack Obama is re-elected President, do you think the policies of his administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same?

• Favor the rich 8%
• Favor middle class 28%
• Favor the poor 25%
• Treat all the same 31%

If Mitt Romney is elected President, do you think the policies of his administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same?

• Favor the rich 58%
• Favor middle class 9%
• Favor the poor 1%
• Treat all the same 29%

Do you think the Obama campaign is saying things it believes to be true, or is it deliberately misleading people?

• Saying things it believes to be true 53%
• Deliberately misleading people 42%

Do you think the Romney campaign is saying things it believes to be true, or is it deliberately misleading people?

• Saying things it believes to be true 40%
  
• Deliberately misleading people 54%

Do you think the government loans to the American auto industry were mostly a success or mostly a failure?

• Mostly a success 62%
• Mostly a failure 30% 

Among Democrats

• Mostly a success 87%
• Mostly a failure 9% 

Among Republicans

• Mostly a success 36%
• Mostly a failure 50% 

Among Independents

• Mostly a success 59%
• Mostly a failure 33% 

From what you've read and heard, do you think Barack Obama is removing U.S. troops from Afghanistan too quickly, not quickly enough, or is he handling this about right?

• Too quickly 19%
• Not quickly enough 27%
• About right 47% 

Among Democrats

• Too quickly 2%
• Not quickly enough 21%
• About right 73%

Among Republicans

• Too quickly 41%
• Not quickly enough 27%
• About right 23%
  

Among Independents

• Too quickly 18%
• Not quickly enough 33%
• About right 42%

Survey of 1,162 likely voters was conducted September 18-24, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% [34%] (35%) Democrat; 26% [26%] (27%) Republican; 35% [34%] (32%) Independent; 4% [6%] (5%) Other.  Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted August 15-21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 24-30, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS News Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac/NY Times/CBS News Florida 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 53% [49%] (51%)
• Mitt Romney 44% [46%] (45%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 49% [48%] (46%)
• Barack Obama 46% [44%] (47%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% [51%] (46%)
• Barack Obama 47% [45%] (50%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 58% [53%] (51%)
• Mitt Romney 39% [41%] (44%)

(Among Obama Voters) Would you describe your support for Barack Obama as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Mitt Romney?

• Strongly favor 73% (65%)
• Like, but with reservations 20% (24%)
• Dislike Romney 6% (10%) 

(Among Romney Voters) Would you describe your support for Mitt Romney as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Barack Obama? 

• Strongly favor 57% (49%)
• Like, but with reservations 22% (29%)
• Dislike Obama 20% (19%) 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 54% [50%] (50%) / 42% [45%] (46%) {+12%}  
• Democratic Party 49% / 43% {+6%}
• Joe Biden 43% [37%] / 41% [44%] {+2%} 
• Paul Ryan 36% [35%] / 36% [29%] {0%}
• Mitt Romney 41% [45%] (41%) / 48% [42%] (42%) {-7%}
• Republican Party 38% / 50% {-12%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 50% [47%] (48%)
• Disapprove 47% [48%] (48%)
  

In general which comes closest to your feelings about the Obama presidency so far? Would you say you are very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat disappointed or very disappointed?

•  Very satisfied 20%
• Somewhat satisfied 29%
• Somewhat disappointed 13%
• Very disappointed 37% 

Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 57% [57%] (55%)
• No 40% [40%] (42%)

Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 41% [44%] (42%)
• No 55% [48%] (49%)

How confident are you in Barack Obama's ability to be an effective Commander-in-Chief of the nation's military?

• Very confident 37%
• Somewhat confident 18%
• Not too confident 13%
• Not at all confident 31%
  

How confident are you in Mitt Romney's ability to be an effective Commander-in-Chief of the nation's military?

• Very confident 23%
• Somewhat confident 26%
• Not too confident 18%
• Not at all confident 31%

How confident are you in Barack Obama's ability to make the right decisions about events in the Middle East?

• Very confident 30%
• Somewhat confident 23%
• Not too confident 10%
• Not at all confident 36%
  

How confident are you in Mitt Romney's ability to make the right decisions about events in the Middle East?

• Very confident 20%
• Somewhat confident 26%
• Not too confident 18%
• Not at all confident 33%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 51% [45%] (45%)
• Mitt Romney 46% [48%] (47%)

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on health care, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 54% [51%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 41% [43%] (42%)

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on national security, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 52%
• Mitt Romney 44%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on Medicare, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 55% [50%]
• Mitt Romney 40% [42%]

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on taxes, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 52% [48%]
• Mitt Romney 43% [44%]

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on women's reproductive health issues, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 60%
• Mitt Romney 32%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling an international crisis, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 53%
• Mitt Romney 42%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on foreign policy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 52% [50%]
• Mitt Romney 42% [42%]

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the budget deficit, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Mitt Romney 48% [53%]
• Barack Obama 46% [37%]

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on immigration, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 42%

Which comes closest to your view of Barack Obama's economic policies, A) They are improving the economy now, and will probably continue to do so, OR B) They have not improved the economy yet, but will if given more time, OR C) They are not improving the economy and probably never will.

• A)Improving now 34%
• B)Will improve 22%
• C)Will never improve 43%

If Barack Obama is re-elected President, do you think the policies of his administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same?

• Favor the rich 7%
• Favor middle class 26%
• Favor the poor 29%
• Treat all the same 31%

If Mitt Romney is elected President, do you think the policies of his administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same?

• Favor the rich 56%
• Favor middle class 8%
• Favor the poor 0%
• Treat all the same 31%

Do you think the Obama campaign is saying things it believes to be true, or is it deliberately misleading people?

• Saying things it believes to be true 53%
• Deliberately misleading people 43%

Do you think the Romney campaign is saying things it believes to be true, or is it deliberately misleading people?

• Saying things it believes to be true 43%
  
• Deliberately misleading people 49%

As you may know, the Obama administration has announced a new policy in which young illegal immigrants who came to the country as children will be able to obtain work permits and will not face deportation. Do you support or oppose this new policy?

• Support 66%
• Oppose 28% 

Among Democrats

• Support 93%
• Oppose 4%

Among Republicans

• Support 36%
  
• Oppose 55%

Among Independents

• Support 63%
• Oppose 32%

From what you've read and heard, do you think Barack Obama is removing U.S. troops from Afghanistan too quickly, not quickly enough, or is he handling this about right?

• Too quickly 19%
• Not quickly enough 34%
• About right 42% 

Among Democrats

• Too quickly 2%
• Not quickly enough 33%
• About right 62%

Among Republicans

• Too quickly 41%
• Not quickly enough 32%
• About right 20%
  

Among Independents

• Too quickly 21%
• Not quickly enough 36%
• About right 38%

Survey of 1,196 likely voters was conducted September 18-24, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% [34%] (36%) Democrat; 27% [28%] (27%) Republican; 33% [32%] (32%) Independent; 4% [6%] (5%) Other.  Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 24-30, 2012 are in parentheses.

John Kerry at the Democratic National Convention

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