Morning Consult/Bloomberg News 2024 Swing States Tracking Poll

Morning Consult/Bloomberg News 2024 Swing States Tracking Poll

Arizona

• Donald Trump 48% (49%) {49%} [48%] (49%) {47%} [46%] (46%) {47%}
• Joe Biden 45% (44%) {42%} [43%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (42%) {43%}

Georgia

• Donald Trump 47% (47%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {48%}
• Joe Biden 46% (44%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {43%}

Michigan

• Joe Biden 48% (46%) {47%} [45%] (44%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {44%}
• Donald Trump 43% (45%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (43%) {44%}

Nevada

• Donald Trump 48% (47%) {51%} [46%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (46%) {43%}
• Joe Biden 45% (47%) {43%} [44%] (42%) {40%} [44%] (43%) {46%}

North Carolina

• Donald Trump 46% (49%) {51%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {47%}
• Joe Biden 43% (42%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {39%} [40%] (39%) {43%}

Pennsylvania

• Donald Trump 51% (48%) {47%} [45%] (49%) {48%} [46%] (47%) {46%}
• Joe Biden 44% (46%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {45%} [44%] (44%) {45%}

Wisconsin

• Joe Biden 47% (46%) {44%} [46%] (42%) {44%} [41%] (46%) {44%}
• Donald Trump 44% (47%) {48%} [45%] (46%) {49%} [45%] (47%) {46%}

Survey of 4,902 registered voters (781 in Arizona, 790 in Georgia, 694 in Michigan, 452 in Nevada, 696 in North Carolina, 794 in Pennsylvania, and 695 in Wisconsin) was conducted July 1-5, 2024. The overall margin of error is +/- 1 percentage point (+/-4% in AZ, +/-3% in GA, +/-4% in MI, +/-5% in NV, +/-4% in NC, +/-3% in PA, +/-4% in WI). Results from the poll conducted May 7-13, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 8-15, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 8-15, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-20, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 16-22, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 27 - December 6, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 7, 2023 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2023 are in curly brackets. 

Poll Watch: Fox News Nevada 2020 Presidential Survey

Fox News Nevada 2020 Presidential Poll

• Joe Biden (D) 47% (47%)
  
• Donald Trump (R) 39% (40%)

• Bernie Sanders (D) 46% (47%)
  
• Donald Trump (R) 41% (40%)

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 43% (44%)
  
• Donald Trump (R) 42% (41%)

• Pete Buttigieg (D) 41% (41%)
  
• Donald Trump (R) 40% (41%)

Survey of 1,505 Nevada voters was conducted January 5-8, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News Nevada 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

Fox News Nevada 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll

• Joe Biden 23% (24%)
  
• Bernie Sanders 17% (18%)
• Tom Steyer 12% (5%)
• Elizabeth Warren 12% (18%)
• Pete Buttigieg 6% (8%)
• Andrew Yang 4% (3%)
• Cory Booker 3% (1%)
• Michael Bloomberg 2%
• Tulsi Gabbard 2% (2%)
• Amy Klobuchar 2% (2%)
• Marianne Williamson 1% (0%)
• Michael Bennet 0% (0%)
• John Delaney 0% (0%)
• Deval Patrick 0%

Under Age 45

• Bernie Sanders 27%
• Joe Biden 17%
• Tom Steyer 12%
• Elizabeth Warren 10%
• Andrew Yang 9%
• Pete Buttigieg 4%

Age 45+

• Joe Biden 27%
• Elizabeth Warren 13%
• Bernie Sanders 12%
• Tom Steyer 12%
• Pete Buttigieg 7%

Survey of 635 Democratic caucus voters was conducted January 5-8, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Nevada 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

CBS News/YouGov Nevada 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll

• Joe Biden 33% (27%)
• Bernie Sanders 23% (29%)
• Elizabeth Warren 21% (18%)
• Pete Buttigieg 9% (4%)
• Kamala Harris 4% (6%)
• Cory Booker 2% (1%)
• Tom Steyer 2% (2%)
• Amy Klobuchar 2% (0%)
• Andrew Yang 1% (1%)
• Julián Castro 1% (2%)
• Michael Bennet 0% (0%)
• Joe Sestak 0% (1%)
• Marianne Williamson 0% (0%)
• Wayne Messam 0% (0%)
• John Delaney 0% (1%)
• Tulsi Gabbard 0% (1%)
• Steve Bullock 0% (0%)

.@CBSNews/@YouGovUS Nevada 2020 Dem Caucus Poll:

1st and 2nd Choice Combined

Biden 48%
Warren 46%
Sanders 40%
Buttigieg 21%
Steyer 13%
Harris 10%
Klobuchar 5%
Booker 3%
Yang 3%
Castro 3%
Gabbard 2%
Sestak 1%
Bennet 0%
Bullock 0%
Delaney 0%
Messam 0%
Williamson 0%

— Aron Goldman (@ArgoJournal) November 17, 2019

Survey of 708 Nevada registered voters who are Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted November 6-13, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 28 - September 4, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: The Nevada Independent/Mellman Group Nevada 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

The Nevada Independent/Mellman Group Nevada 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll

• Joe Biden 29%
• Bernie Sanders 19%
• Elizabeth Warren 19%
• Pete Buttigieg 7%
• Tom Steyer 4%
• Kamala Harris 3%
• Amy Klobuchar 3%
• Andrew Yang 3%
• Cory Booker 1%
• Julián Castro 1%
• Tulsi Gabbard 1%
• Marianne Williamson 1%
• Michael Bennet 0%
• Steve Bullock 0%
• John Delaney 0%
• Joe Sestak 0%
• Undecided 9%

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• Elizabeth Warren 72% / 15% (+57)
• Joe Biden 72% / 23% (+49)
  
• Bernie Sanders 72% / 24% (+48)
• Pete Buttigieg 55% / 16% (+39)
• Kamala Harris 56% / 24% (+32)
• Cory Booker 51% / 19% (+32)
• Tom Steyer 47% / 19% (+28)
• Andrew Yang 47% / 20% (+27)
• Amy Klobuchar 41% / 19% (+22)
• Julián Castro 38% / 24% (+14)
• Michael Bennet 15% / 14% (+1)
• Steve Bullock 15% / 14% (+1)
• Joe Sestak 9% / 9% (0)
• John Delaney 12% / 20% (-8)
• Tulsi Gabbard 20% / 35% (-15)
• Marianne Williamson 13% / 31% (-18)

Survey of 600 potential 2020 Democratic caucusgoers was conducted October 28 - November 2, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CNN Nevada 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

CNN Nevada 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll

• Joe Biden 22%
• Bernie Sanders 22%
• Elizabeth Warren 18%
• Kamala Harris 5%
• Pete Buttigieg 4%
• Tom Steyer 4%
• Andrew Yang 3%
• Cory Booker 2%
• Tulsi Gabbard 1%
• Amy Klobuchar 1%
• Tim Ryan 1%
• Marianne Williamson 1%
• Michael Bennet 0%
• Julián Castro 0%
• Beto O'Rourke 0%
• Steve Bullock 0%
• John Delaney 0%
• Joe Sestak 0%

Survey of 324 likely 2020 Democratic caucusgoers was conducted September 22-26, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 7.1 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Nevada 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

CBS News/YouGov Nevada 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll

• Bernie Sanders 29%
• Joe Biden 27%
• Elizabeth Warren 18%
• Kamala Harris 6%
• Pete Buttigieg 4%
• Beto O'Rourke 3%
• Julián Castro 2%
• Tom Steyer 2%
• Cory Booker 1%
• Joe Sestak 1%
• John Delaney 1%
• Andrew Yang 1%
• Tim Ryan 1%
• Bill de Blasio 1%
• Tulsi Gabbard 1%
• Steve Bullock 0%
• Amy Klobuchar 0%
• Michael Bennet 0%
• Marianne Williamson 0%
• Wayne Messam 0%

Survey of 624 Nevada registered voters who are Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted August 28 - September 4, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Emerson College Nevada 2020 Presidential Survey

Emerson College Nevada 2020 Presidential Caucus Poll

.@EmersonPolling Nevada 2020

Biden 51.7%
Trump 48.3%

Trump 50.7%
Harris 49.3%

Trump 51.4%
Sanders 48.6%

Trump 52.0%
Buttigieg 48.0%

Trump 53.7%
Warren 46.3%https://t.co/cRVDFgmaPI

— Aron Goldman (@ArgoJournal) March 31, 2019

.@EmersonPolling Nevada 2020

Among Men
Trump 54.0%
Biden 46.0%

Trump 55.8%
Harris 44.2%

Trump 57.9%
Sanders 42.1%

Trump 57.1%
Buttigieg 42.9%

Trump 60.7%
Warren 39.3%https://t.co/ifouyefcgw

— Aron Goldman (@ArgoJournal) March 31, 2019

.@EmersonPolling Nevada 2020

Among Women
Biden 56.8%
Trump 43.2%

Harris 53.9%
Trump 46.1%

Sanders 54.5%
Trump 45.5%

Buttigieg 52.7%
Trump 47.3%

Warren 52.7%
Trump 47.3% https://t.co/ifouyefcgw

— Aron Goldman (@ArgoJournal) March 31, 2019

President Trump Job Approval

• Approve 49.2%
• Disapprove 44.4%

Among Men

• Approve 54.5%
• Disapprove 38.5%

Among Women

• Approve 44.3%
• Disapprove 49.8%

Poll Watch: Emerson College Nevada 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

Emerson College Nevada 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll

.@EmersonPolling Nevada 2020 Dem Caucus

Biden 26.4%
Sanders 22.5
O'Rourke 10.4
Warren 9.9
Harris 9.4
Buttigieg 4.7
Yang 3.2
Klobuchar 2.4
Booker 2.2
Gabbard 1.7
Gillibrand 0.7
Castro 0.5
Hickenlooper 0.2
Inslee 0.0

Mar 28-30; 310 Dem caucusgoers; +/-5.5%https://t.co/cRVDFgmaPI

— Aron Goldman (@ArgoJournal) March 31, 2019

.@EmersonPolling Nevada 2020 Dem Caucus

Among Men
Sanders 27.4%
Biden 16.6
O'Rourke 11.8
Harris 11.6
Warren 7.5
Buttigieg 4.9
Yang 4.8
Booker 2.3
Gillibrand 1.5
Klobuchar 1.5
Castro 0.8
Hickenlooper 0.5
Gabbard 0.0
Inslee 0.0https://t.co/ifouyefcgw

— Aron Goldman (@ArgoJournal) March 31, 2019

.@EmersonPolling Nevada 2020 Dem Caucus

Among Women
Biden 33.8%
Sanders 18.8
Warren 11.6
O'Rourke 9.4
Harris 7.8
Buttigieg 4.6
Klobuchar 3.0
Gabbard 2.8
Booker 2.2
Yang 2.1
Castro 0.3
Gillibrand 0.0
Hickenlooper 0.0
Inslee 0.0https://t.co/ifouyefcgw

— Aron Goldman (@ArgoJournal) March 31, 2019

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Nevada 2016 Presidential Survey

CNN/ORC Nevada 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 51% (46%)
• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 45% (50%)

Among Men

• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 55% (53%)
• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 42% (43%)

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 49% (57%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 47% (40%)

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 49% (44%)
• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 43% (46%)
• Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (L) 5% (7%)

Survey of 790 likely voters was conducted October 27 - November 1, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 10-15, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Emerson College Nevada 2016 Presidential Survey

Emerson College Nevada 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44.0% (42.5%)
• Donald Trump (R) 42.4% (42.8%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 3.4% (8.5%)
• Jill Stein (G) 0.1% (4.3%)
• Unsure 10.1% (1.9%)

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 43.1% (45.8%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42.7% (42.8%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 1.2% (8.1%)
• Jill Stein (G) 0.1% (1.5%)
• Unsure 12.8% (1.8%)

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45.2% (42.1%)
• Donald Trump (R) 41.8% (40.0%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 5.3% (8.9%)
• Jill Stein (G) 0.0% (6.8%)
• Unsure 7.7% (2.1%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 45.8% (46.5%) / 53.8% (49.2%) {-8.0}
• Donald Trump 35.3% (39.9%) / 59.9% (53.6%) {-24.6}

Survey of 550 likely voters was conducted October 26-27, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted October 2-4, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News Network (R) Nevada 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis/Breitbart (R) Nevada 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump (R) 46%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
• Gary Johnson (L) 3%
• Jill Stein (G) 1%
• Unsure 5%

Survey of 875 registered voters was conducted October 25, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Nevada 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Nevada 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 45% (45%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 45% (44%)

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (41%)
• Donald Trump (R) 43% (42%) 
• Gary Johnson (L) 10% (8%)
• Jill Stein (G) 0% (3%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 40% (40%) / 55% (55%) {-15}
• Donald Trump 38% (39%) / 58% (57%) {-20}

Survey of 707 likely voters was conducted October 20-24, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Las Vegas Review-Journal Nevada 2016 Presidential Survey

Las Vegas Review-Journal Nevada 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (45%)
• Donald Trump (R) 41% (44%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 6% (5%)
• Undecided 4% (5%)

Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted October 20-23, 2016 by Bendixen & Amandi International. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted September 27-29, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Nevada 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Nevada 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {39%} [41%] (38%)
• Donald Trump (R) 42% {42%} [40%] (43%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 5% {11%} [10%] (8%)

Survey of 826 likely voters was conducted October 20-22, 2016 for KTNV-TV 13 Action News. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted September 16-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 29-31, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22-24, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Nevada 2016 Presidential Survey

CNN/ORC Nevada 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 50%
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 46%

Among Men

• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 53%
• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 43%

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 57%
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 40%

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 46%
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 44%
• Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (L) 7%

Survey of 698 likely voters was conducted October 10-15, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Nevada 2016 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Nevada 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (43%)
• Donald Trump (R) 40% (41%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 4% (4%)

Among Men

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (36%)
• Donald Trump (R) 41% (48%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 5% (6%)

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (50%)
• Donald Trump (R) 38% (34%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 4% (2%)

Among Whites

• Donald Trump (R) 48% (50%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 36% (35%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 5% (5%)

Among Hispanics

• Hillary Clinton (D) 70% (58%)
• Donald Trump (R) 26% (22%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 1% (0%)

Survey of 996 likely voters was conducted October 12-14, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 2-5, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Emerson College Nevada 2016 Presidential Survey

Emerson College Nevada 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump (R) 42.8%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42.5%
• Gary Johnson (L) 8.5%
• Jill Stein (G) 4.3%
• Unsure 1.9%

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 45.8%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42.8%
• Gary Johnson (L) 8.1%
• Jill Stein (G) 1.5%
• Unsure 1.8%

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 42.1%
• Donald Trump (R) 40.0%
• Gary Johnson (L) 8.9%
• Jill Stein (G) 6.8%
• Unsure 2.1%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 46.5% / 49.2% {-2.7}
• Donald Trump 39.9% / 53.6% {-13.7}

Survey of 700 likely voters was conducted October 2-4, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Las Vegas Review-Journal Nevada 2016 Presidential Survey

Las Vegas Review-Journal Nevada 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
• Donald Trump (R) 44%
• Gary Johnson (L) 5%
• Undecided 5%

Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted September 27-29, 2016 by Bendixen & Amandi International. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Suffolk University Nevada 2016 Presidential Survey

Suffolk University Nevada 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44.2% (43.8%)
• Donald Trump (R) 38.2% (41.6%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 6.6% (4.8%)
• Darrell Castle (IAP) 1.0% (1.0%)
• Rocky De La Fuente (NP) 0.6% (1.0%)
• None of these candidates 3.0% (2.6%)
• Undecided 5.4% (5.2%)

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 43% (45%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (43%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 8% (5%)
• Darrell Castle (IAP) 1% (0%)
• Rocky De La Fuente (NP) 0% (1%)
• None of these candidates 3% (2%)
• Undecided 4% (4%)

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (44%)
• Donald Trump (R) 34% (39%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 6% (4%)
• Darrell Castle (IAP) 1% (1%)
• Rocky De La Fuente (NP) 1% (1%)
• None of these candidates 3% (3%)
• Undecided 7% (7%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 45.2% (44.2%) / 50.4% (50.0%) {-5.2}
• Donald Trump 35.6% (37.2%) / 59.4% (54.8%) {-23.8}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 27-29, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted August 15-17, 2016 are in parentheses.