Poll Watch: Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Bernie Sanders 26.60% (23.80%) {23.80%} [23.60%] (24.80%) {24.40%} [24.00%] (16.40%) {15.60%} [16.80%] (12.35%)
• Pete Buttigieg 19.40% (21.80%) {25.00%} [22.60%] (18.60%) {15.20%} [11.00%] (12.20%) {13.40%} [5.80%] (11.89%)
• Amy Klobuchar 13.60% (8.60%) {6.00%} [6.00%] (5.60%) {6.00%} [6.20%] (4.60%) {1.20%} [ 0.80%] (1.17%)
• Joe Biden 11.80% (10.40%) {10.60%} [10.60%] (12.00%) {15.00%} [17.80%] (14.80%) {12.00%} [21.40%] (20.05%)
• Elizabeth Warren 11.60% (13.40%) {14.20%} [12.60%] (11.00%) {10.20%} [12.80%] (9.80%) {13.80%} [13.60%] (8.39%)
• Tulsi Gabbard 2.80% (2.00%) {2.00%} [3.60%] (4.80%) {5.20%} [5.40%] (5.40%) {6.20%} [3.20%] (1.17%)
• Andrew Yang 2.60% (2.60%) {3.20%} [3.20%] (2.20%) {3.20%} [3.40%] (5.60%) {3.80%} [1.40%] (1.17%)
• Tom Steyer 1.60% (1.80%) {2.40%} [2.80%] (4.20%) {5.00%} [4.00%] (2.60%) {2.00%} [0.60%]
• Deval Patrick 0.80% (0.40%) {0.40%} [0.60%] (0.40%) {0.40%} [0.60%] (0.60%) {1.20%}
• Michael Bennet 0.20% (0.20%) {0.80%} [0.80%] (0.40%) {0.40%} [0.60%] (1.40%) {0.00%} [1.60%] (0.23%)
• Other 1.60% (2.60%) {2.80%} [1.80%] (1.40%) {0.60%} [0.60%]  (1.20%) {2.00%} [1.20%] (0.00%)
• Refused 0.20% (0.60%) {1.40%} [1.20%] (1.00%) {1.80%} [1.60%] (1.60%) {0.60%} [0.20%] (1.17%)
• Undecided 7.20% (11.80%) {7.40%} [10.60%] (13.60%) {12.60%} [12.00%] (23.80%) {21.20%} [20.80%] (26.81%)

Survey of 500 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 8-9, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 7-8, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 6-7, 2020, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 5-6, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 3-4, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 21-24, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-18, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Bernie Sanders 23.80% {23.80%} [23.60%] (24.80%) {24.40%} [24.00%] (16.40%) {15.60%} [16.80%] (12.35%)
• Pete Buttigieg 21.80% {25.00%} [22.60%] (18.60%) {15.20%} [11.00%] (12.20%) {13.40%} [5.80%] (11.89%)
• Elizabeth Warren 13.40% {14.20%} [12.60%] (11.00%) {10.20%} [12.80%] (9.80%) {13.80%} [13.60%] (8.39%)
• Joe Biden 10.40% {10.60%} [10.60%] (12.00%) {15.00%} [17.80%] (14.80%) {12.00%} [21.40%] (20.05%)
• Amy Klobuchar 8.60% {6.00%} [6.00%] (5.60%) {6.00%} [6.20%] (4.60%) {1.20%} [ 0.80%] (1.17%)
• Andrew Yang 2.60% {3.20%} [3.20%] (2.20%) {3.20%} [3.40%] (5.60%) {3.80%} [1.40%] (1.17%)
• Tulsi Gabbard 2.00% {2.00%} [3.60%] (4.80%) {5.20%} [5.40%] (5.40%) {6.20%} [3.20%] (1.17%)
• Tom Steyer 1.80% {2.40%} [2.80%] (4.20%) {5.00%} [4.00%] (2.60%) {2.00%} [0.60%]
• Deval Patrick 0.40% {0.40%} [0.60%] (0.40%) {0.40%} [0.60%] (0.60%) {1.20%}
• Michael Bennet 0.20% {0.80%} [0.80%] (0.40%) {0.40%} [0.60%] (1.40%) {0.00%} [1.60%] (0.23%)
• Other 2.60% {2.80%} [1.80%] (1.40%) {0.60%} [0.60%]  (1.20%) {2.00%} [1.20%] (0.00%)
• Refused 0.60% {1.40%} [1.20%] (1.00%) {1.80%} [1.60%] (1.60%) {0.60%} [0.20%] (1.17%)
• Undecided 11.80% {7.40%} [10.60%] (13.60%) {12.60%} [12.00%] (23.80%) {21.20%} [20.80%] (26.81%)

Survey of 500 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 7-8, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 6-7, 2020, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 5-6, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 3-4, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 21-24, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-18, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Pete Buttigieg 25.00% [22.60%] (18.60%) {15.20%} [11.00%] (12.20%) {13.40%} [5.80%] (11.89%)
• Bernie Sanders 23.80% [23.60%] (24.80%) {24.40%} [24.00%] (16.40%) {15.60%} [16.80%] (12.35%)
• Elizabeth Warren 14.20% [12.60%] (11.00%) {10.20%} [12.80%] (9.80%) {13.80%} [13.60%] (8.39%)
• Joe Biden 10.60% [10.60%] (12.00%) {15.00%} [17.80%] (14.80%) {12.00%} [21.40%] (20.05%)
• Amy Klobuchar 6.00% [6.00%] (5.60%) {6.00%} [6.20%] (4.60%) {1.20%} [ 0.80%] (1.17%)
• Andrew Yang 3.20% [3.20%] (2.20%) {3.20%} [3.40%] (5.60%) {3.80%} [1.40%] (1.17%)
• Tom Steyer 2.40% [2.80%] (4.20%) {5.00%} [4.00%] (2.60%) {2.00%} [0.60%]
• Tulsi Gabbard 2.00% [3.60%] (4.80%) {5.20%} [5.40%] (5.40%) {6.20%} [3.20%] (1.17%)
• Michael Bennet 0.80% [0.80%] (0.40%) {0.40%} [0.60%] (1.40%) {0.00%} [1.60%] (0.23%)
• Deval Patrick 0.40% [0.60%] (0.40%) {0.40%} [0.60%] (0.60%) {1.20%}
• Other 2.80% [1.80%] (1.40%) {0.60%} [0.60%]  (1.20%) {2.00%} [1.20%] (0.00%)
• Refused 1.40% [1.20%] (1.00%) {1.80%} [1.60%] (1.60%) {0.60%} [0.20%] (1.17%)
• Undecided 7.40% [10.60%] (13.60%) {12.60%} [12.00%] (23.80%) {21.20%} [20.80%] (26.81%)

Survey of 500 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 6-7, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 5-6, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 3-4, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 21-24, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-18, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Bernie Sanders 23.60% (24.80%) {24.40%} [24.00%] (16.40%) {15.60%} [16.80%] (12.35%)
• Pete Buttigieg 22.60% (18.60%) {15.20%} [11.00%] (12.20%) {13.40%} [5.80%] (11.89%)
• Elizabeth Warren 12.60% (11.00%) {10.20%} [12.80%] (9.80%) {13.80%} [13.60%] (8.39%)
• Joe Biden 10.60% (12.00%) {15.00%} [17.80%] (14.80%) {12.00%} [21.40%] (20.05%)
• Amy Klobuchar 6.00% (5.60%) {6.00%} [6.20%] (4.60%) {1.20%} [ 0.80%] (1.17%)
• Tulsi Gabbard 3.60% (4.80%) {5.20%} [5.40%] (5.40%) {6.20%} [3.20%] (1.17%)
• Andrew Yang 3.20% (2.20%) {3.20%} [3.40%] (5.60%) {3.80%} [1.40%] (1.17%)
• Tom Steyer 2.80% (4.20%) {5.00%} [4.00%] (2.60%) {2.00%} [0.60%]
• Michael Bennet 0.80% (0.40%) {0.40%} [0.60%] (1.40%) {0.00%} [1.60%] (0.23%)
• Deval Patrick 0.60% (0.40%) {0.40%} [0.60%] (0.60%) {1.20%}
• Other 1.80% (1.40%) {0.60%} [0.60%]  (1.20%) {2.00%} [1.20%] (0.00%)
• Refused 1.20% (1.00%) {1.80%} [1.60%] (1.60%) {0.60%} [0.20%] (1.17%)
• Undecided 10.60% (13.60%) {12.60%} [12.00%] (23.80%) {21.20%} [20.80%] (26.81%)

Survey of 500 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 5-6, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 3-4, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 21-24, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-18, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Bernie Sanders 24.80% {24.40%} [24.00%] (16.40%) {15.60%} [16.80%] (12.35%)
• Pete Buttigieg 18.60% {15.20%} [11.00%] (12.20%) {13.40%} [5.80%] (11.89%)
• Joe Biden 12.00% {15.00%} [17.80%] (14.80%) {12.00%} [21.40%] (20.05%)
• Elizabeth Warren 11.00% {10.20%} [12.80%] (9.80%) {13.80%} [13.60%] (8.39%)
• Amy Klobuchar 5.60% {6.00%} [6.20%] (4.60%) {1.20%} [ 0.80%] (1.17%)
• Tulsi Gabbard 4.80% {5.20%} [5.40%] (5.40%) {6.20%} [3.20%] (1.17%)
• Tom Steyer 4.20% {5.00%} [4.00%] (2.60%) {2.00%} [0.60%]
• Andrew Yang 2.20% {3.20%} [3.40%] (5.60%) {3.80%} [1.40%] (1.17%)
• Michael Bennet 0.40% {0.40%} [0.60%] (1.40%) {0.00%} [1.60%] (0.23%)
• Deval Patrick 0.40% {0.40%} [0.60%] (0.60%) {1.20%}
• Other 1.40% {0.60%} [0.60%]  (1.20%) {2.00%} [1.20%] (0.00%)
• Refused 1.00% {1.80%} [1.60%] (1.60%) {0.60%} [0.20%] (1.17%)
• Undecided 13.60% {12.60%} [12.00%] (23.80%) {21.20%} [20.80%] (26.81%)

Survey of 500 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 4-5, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 3-4, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 21-24, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-18, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Boston Globe/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Boston Globe/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Bernie Sanders 16.40% {15.60%} [16.80%] (12.35%)
• Joe Biden 14.80% {12.00%} [21.40%] (20.05%)
• Pete Buttigieg 12.2% {13.40%} [5.80%] (11.89%)
• Elizabeth Warren 9.80% {13.80%} [13.60%] (8.39%)
• Andrew Yang 5.60% {3.80%} [1.40%] (1.17%)
• Tulsi Gabbard 5.40% {6.20%} [3.20%] (1.17%)
• Amy Klobuchar 4.60% {1.20%} [ 0.80%] (1.17%)
• Tom Steyer 2.60% {2.00%} [0.60%]
• Michael Bennet 1.40% {0.00%} [1.60%] (0.23%)
• Deval Patrick 0.60% {1.20%}
• John Delaney 0.00% {0.60%} [1.00%] (0.70%)
• Other 1.20% {2.00%} [1.20%] (0.00%)
• Refused 1.60% {0.60%} [0.20%] (1.17%)
• Undecided 23.80% {21.20%} [20.80%] (26.81%)

Survey of 500 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted January 15-19, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted November 21-24, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-18, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Boston Globe/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Boston Globe/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Bernie Sanders 15.60% [16.80%] (12.35%)
• Elizabeth Warren 13.80% [13.60%] (8.39%)
• Pete Buttigieg 13.40% [5.80%] (11.89%)
• Joe Biden 12.00% [21.40%] (20.05%)
• Tulsi Gabbard 6.20% [3.20%] (1.17%)
• Andrew Yang 3.80% [1.40%] (1.17%)
• Kamala Harris 2.80% [8.00%] (6.06%)
• Cory Booker 2.20% [1.40%] (2.80%)
• Tom Steyer 2.00% [0.60%]
• Amy Klobuchar 1.20% [ 0.80%] (1.17%)
• Deval Patrick 1.20%
• Steve Bullock 0.60% [0.20%] (0.47%)
• Julián Castro 0.60% [0.20%] (0.23%)
• John Delaney 0.60% [1.00%] (0.70%)
• Marianne Williamson 0.20% [0.60%] (0.47%)
• Michael Bennet 0.00% [1.60%] (0.23%)
• Joe Sestak 0.00% [0.00%]
• Other 2.00% [1.20%] (0.00%)
• Refused 0.60% [0.20%] (1.17%)
• Undecided 21.20% [20.80%] (26.81%)

Survey of 500 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted November 21-24, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted August 1-4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-18, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Boston Globe/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Boston Globe/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Joe Biden 21.40% (20.05%)
• Bernie Sanders 16.80% (12.35%)
• Elizabeth Warren 13.60% (8.39%)
• Kamala Harris 8.00% (6.06%)
• Pete Buttigieg 5.80% (11.89%)
• Tulsi Gabbard 3.20% (1.17%)
• Michael Bennet 1.60% (0.23%)
• Cory Booker 1.40% (2.80%)
• Andrew Yang 1.40% (1.17%)
• John Delaney 1.00% (0.70%)
• Amy Klobuchar 0.80% (1.17%)
• Kirsten Gillibrand 0.60% (0.47%)
• Tom Steyer 0.60%
• Marianne Williamson 0.60% (0.47%)
• Beto O'Rourke 0.40% (3.03%)
• Steve Bullock 0.20% (0.47%)
• Julián Castro 0.20% (0.23%)
• John Hickenlooper 0.20% (0.23%)
• Bill de Blasio 0.00% (0.23%)
• Mike Gravel 0.00% (0.00%)
• Jay Inslee 0.00% (0.00%)  
• Wayne Messam 0.00% (0.23%)
• Seth Moulton 0.00% (0.23%)
• Tim Ryan 0.00% (0.23%)
• Joe Sestak 0.00%
• Other 1.20% (0.00%)
• Refused 0.20% (1.17%)
• Undecided 20.80% (26.81%)

Survey of 500 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted August 1-4, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted April 10-18, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Boston Globe/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Boston Globe/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Joe Biden 20.05%
• Bernie Sanders 12.35%
• Pete Buttigieg 11.89%
• Elizabeth Warren 8.39%
• Kamala Harris 6.06%
• Beto O'Rourke 3.03%
• Cory Booker 2.80%
• Tulsi Gabbard 1.17%
• Amy Klobuchar 1.17%
• Andrew Yang 1.17%
• John Delaney 0.70% 
• Steve Bullock 0.47%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 0.47%
• Marianne Williamson 0.47%
• Michael Bennet 0.23% 
• Julián Castro 0.23%
• Bill de Blasio 0.23%
• John Hickenlooper 0.23%
• Wayne Messam 0.23%
• Seth Moulton 0.23%
• Tim Ryan 0.23%
• Eric Swalwell 0.23%
• Mike Gravel 0.00%
• Jay Inslee 0.00%  
• Other 0.00%
• Refused 1.17%
• Undecided 26.81%

Survey of 429 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted April 10-18, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Suffolk University/Boston Globe New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

Suffolk University/Boston Globe New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump (R) 42.2% (42.0%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41.8% (43.8%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 5.4% (5.2%)
• Jill Stein (G) 2.2% (0.8%)

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 50% (49%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (36%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 7% (5%)
• Jill Stein (G) 2% (1%)

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (51%)
• Donald Trump (R) 35% (35%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 4% (6%)
• Jill Stein (G) 3% (0%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 39.4% (42.6%) / 55.6% (49.0%) {-16.2}
• Donald Trump 37.8% (35.8%) / 56.6% (57.2%) {-18.8}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 31 - November 2, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted October 3-5, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Suffolk University/Boston Globe New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

Suffolk University/Boston Globe New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 43.8%
• Donald Trump (R) 42.0%
• Gary Johnson (L) 5.2%
• Jill Stein (G) 0.8%

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 49%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
• Gary Johnson (L) 5%
• Jill Stein (G) 1%

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
• Donald Trump (R) 35%
• Gary Johnson (L) 6%
• Jill Stein (G) 0%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 42.6% / 49.0% {-6.4}
• Donald Trump 35.8% / 57.2% {-21.4}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 3-5, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Boston Globe/Suffolk University Massachusetts 2016 Presidential Survey

Boston Globe/Suffolk University Massachusetts 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 54.8%
• Donald Trump (R) 31.4%
• Undecided 11.2%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 47.0% / 43.4% {+3.6}
• Donald Trump 28.8% / 63.0% {-34.2%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted May 2-5, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts 2012 Presidential Survey

UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 52% {57%} [46%] (49%)
• Mitt Romney 38% {30%} [34%] (33%)

Survey of 583 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted October 24-28, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 21-27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 25-31, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 21-27, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts 2012 Senatorial Survey

UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll

• Scott Brown (R) 45% {38%} [39%] (37%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 43% {43%} [37%] (35%)

Including Leaners

• Scott Brown (R) 47%
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 47%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Scott Brown 54% {53%} / 37% {33%} {+17%}
• Elizabeth Warren 49% (53%) / 42% (36%) {+7%}

Survey of 583 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted October 24-28, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 21-27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 25-31, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 21-27, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Brown drew 12 percent of likely Obama voters, compared with 73 percent for Warren.

Poll Watch: UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts 2012 Presidential Survey

UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 57% [46%] (49%)
• Mitt Romney 30% [34%] (33%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 33% [45%] (42%) / 60% [45%] (47%) {-27%}

Survey of 502 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted September 21-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted May 25-31, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 21-27, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts 2012 Senatorial Survey

UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 43% [37%] (35%)
• Scott Brown (R) 38% [39%] (37%)
• Other 1% [2%] (2%)
• Undecided 18% [23%] (26%)

Regardless of which candidate you are planning to vote for, which candidate do you think is most likable?

• Scott Brown 58% [52%] (57%)
• Elizabeth Warren 27% [26%] (23%) 

Survey of 502 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted September 21-27, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted May 25-31, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 21-27, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Warren leads Brown among women by 12 percentage points, a larger margin than the 3-point advantage Brown has with men.

Poll Watch: UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts 2012 Presidential Survey

UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 46% (49%)
• Mitt Romney 34% (33%)
• Other 2% (2%)
• Undecided 17% (16%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 58% (59%) / 34% (35%) {+24%}
• Mitt Romney 45% (42%) / 45% (47%) {0%}

Survey of 651 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted May 25-31, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted March 21-27, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts 2012 Senatorial Survey

UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll

• Scott Brown (R) 39% (37%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 37% (35%)
• Other 2% (2%)
• Undecided 23% (26%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Scott Brown 55% (54%) / 30% (29%) {+25%}
• Elizabeth Warren 48% (47%) / 32% (23%) {+16%}

Regardless of which candidate you are planning to vote for, which candidate do you think is most likely to win the senate election this fall?

• Scott Brown 52%
• Elizabeth Warren 27%
• Neither 2%
• Undecided 19%

Regardless of which candidate you are planning to vote for, which candidate do you think is most likable?

• Scott Brown 52% (57%)
• Elizabeth Warren 26% (23%) 

Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way Scott Brown is handling his job as Senator?

• Approve 60%
• Disapprove 31%

Survey of 651 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted May 25-31, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted March 21-27, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts 2012 Senatorial Survey

UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll

• Scott Brown (R) 37%
  
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 35%
• Other 2%
• Undecided 26%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Scott Brown 54% / 29% {+25%}
• Elizabeth Warren 47% / 23% {+24%}

Which candidate is the strongest leader?

• Scott Brown 43%
• Elizabeth Warren 31%  

Which candidate best understands people like you?

• Elizabeth Warren 40%   
  
• Scott Brown 39%

Which candidate is the most likeable?  

• Scott Brown 57%
• Elizabeth Warren 23%  

Which candidate would do more to help working people?  

• Elizabeth Warren 44%   
  
• Scott Brown 35%

Which candidate is best able to work with the opposite party?

• Scott Brown 49%
• Elizabeth Warren 27%  

How well does Scott Brown understand the needs of people like you?  

• Very well 26%
• Somewhat well 40%
• Not very well 16%
• Not well at all 11%

How well does Elizabeth Warren understand the needs of people like you?

• Very well 30%
• Somewhat well 33%
• Not very well 10%
• Not well at all 12%

Survey of 544 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted March 21-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts 2012 Presidential Survey

UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 33%
• Other 2%
• Undecided 16%

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 36% of the vote in Massachusetts. In 2004, George W. Bush received 37% of the vote in MA.

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 59% / 35% {+24%}
• Mitt Romney 42% / 47% {-5%}

Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 56%
• Disapprove 39%

Survey of 544 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted March 21-27, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.