Poll Watch: SurveyUSA New York Political Survey

SurveyUSA New York Political Survey

Senatorial Elections

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 54% [54%] (45%)
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 36% [35%] (44%)

• Chuck Schumer (D) 63% [60%] (54%)
• Jay Townsend (R) 30% [30%] (33%)

Gubernatorial Election

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 59% [57%] (49%)
• Carl Paladino (R) 33% [34%] (40%)

Survey of 633 likely voters was conducted October 11-13, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 5-7, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-21, 2010 are in parentheses. Party ID breakdown: 46% [49%] (44%) Democrat; 31% [30%] (35%) Republican; 23% [20%] (20%) Independent. Political ideology: 40% [37%] (36%) Moderate; 29% [31%] (35%) Conservative; 22% [21%] (20%) Liberal.

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UPDATE II: Paladino Defends Speech Attacking Gays

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA New York Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA New York Gubernatorial Survey

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 57% (49%)
• Carl Paladino (R) 34% (40%)

Among Democrats

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 82% (77%)
• Carl Paladino (R) 13% (16%)

Among Republicans

• Carl Paladino (R) 65% (72%)
• Andrew Cuomo (D) 26% (18%)

Among Independents

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 43% (41%)
• Carl Paladino (R) 40% (39%)

Among Men

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 50% (40%)
• Carl Paladino (R) 43% (49%)

Among Women

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 64% (57%)
• Carl Paladino (R) 26% (32%)

Survey of 627 likely voters was conducted October 5-7, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Party ID breakdown: 49% (44%) Democrat; 30% (35%) Republican; 20% (20%) Independent.  Political ideology: 37% (36%) Moderate; 31% (35%) Conservative; 21% (20%) Liberal.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac New York Gubernatorial Survey

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 55% {49%} (60%) [55%] {59%}
• Carl Paladino (R) 37% {43%} (23%) [25%] {23%}

Among Democrats

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 86% {87%} (86%) [85%] {82%}
• Carl Paladino (R) 11% {8%} (3%) [6%] {4%}

Among Republicans

• Carl Paladino (R) 69% {83%} (59%) [63%] {54%}
• Andrew Cuomo (D) 23% {13%} (27%) [21%] {30%}

Among Independents

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 47% {43%} (54%) [47%] {54%}
• Carl Paladino (R) 42% {49%} (24%) [23%] {23%}

Among Men

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 47% {46%} (58%) [54%] {58%}
• Carl Paladino (R) 46% {49%} (29%) [28%] {24%}

Among Women

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 63% {54%} (62%) [57%] {59%}
• Carl Paladino (R) 28% {34%} (19%) [22%] {21%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Andrew Cuomo 53% {51%} (54%) {57%} / 34% {34%} (21%) {18%} {+19%}
• Carl Paladino 33% {36%} (16%) {10%} / 49% {31%} (13%) {10%} {-16%}

Do you think Andrew Cuomo has the right personality to be governor or not?

• Yes 67%
• No 24%

Do you think Carl Paladino has the right personality to be governor or not?

• Yes 30%
• No 54%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as State Attorney General?

• Approve 72% {67%}
• Disapprove 22% {25%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way David Paterson is handling his job as Governor?

• Approve 37%
• Disapprove 55%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 53%
• Disapprove 45%

Do you consider yourself part of the Tea party movement or not?

• Yes 15% {18%}
• No 80% {79%}

Among Democrats

• Yes 4% {5%}
• No 92% {91%}

Among Republicans

• Yes 28% {34%}
• No 68% {63%}

Among Independents

• Yes 19% {18%}
• No 76% {79%}

Survey of 1,141 likely voters was conducted October 1-5, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-20, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-29, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 20-26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 15-20, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: CNN/Time/Opinion Research New York Political Survey

CNN/Time/Opinion Research New York Political Survey

Senatorial Elections

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 55%
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 41%

• Chuck Schumer (D) 57%
• Jay Townsend (R) 41%

Gubernatorial Election

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 55%
• Carl Paladino (R) 41%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 45%
• Disapprove 48%

Survey of 585 likely voters was conducted October 1-5, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New York Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) New York Gubernatorial Survey

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 53%
• Carl Paladino (R) 38%
• Undecided 8%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Andrew Cuomo 49% / 39% {+10%}
• Carl Paladino 34% / 51% {-17%}

Survey of 592 likely voters was conducted October 1-3, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 48% Democrat; 32% Republican; 21% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 40% Moderate; 33% Conservative; 27% Liberal.

Poll Watch: Marist New York Gubernatorial Survey

Marist New York Gubernatorial Survey

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 56%
• Carl Paladino (R) 40%

Among Democrats

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 82%
• Carl Paladino (R) 15%

Among Republicans

• Carl Paladino (R) 69%
• Andrew Cuomo (D) 27%

Among Independents

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 49%
• Carl Paladino (R) 46%

Among Men

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 49%
• Carl Paladino (R) 47% 

Among Women

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 64%
• Carl Paladino (R) 31%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Andrew Cuomo 60% / 31% {+29%}
• Carl Paladino 34% / 48% {-14%}

Would you rate the job New York State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo is doing in office as excellent, good, fair, or poor?

• Excellent 12%
• Good 40%
• Fair 29%
• Poor 11%

Would you rate the job President Barack Obama is doing in office as excellent, good, fair, or poor?

• Excellent 13%
• Good 30%
• Fair 27%
• Poor 29%

Survey of 591 likely voters was conducted September 27-29, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

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Breaking: Carl Paladino To Reporter: "I'll Take You Out, Buddy!"

Paladino and Post reporter square off

Paladino smears Cuomo as cheater

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA New York Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA New York Gubernatorial Survey

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 49%
• Carl Paladino (R)  40%

Among Democrats

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 77%
• Carl Paladino (R) 16%

Among Republicans

• Carl Paladino (R) 72%
• Andrew Cuomo (D) 18%

Among Independents

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 41%
• Carl Paladino (R) 39%

Among Men

• Carl Paladino (R) 49%
• Andrew Cuomo (D) 40%

Among Women

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 57%
• Carl Paladino (R) 32%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Andrew Cuomo 47% / 27% {+20%}
• Carl Paladino 35% / 31%  {+4%}

Survey of 572 likely voters was conducted September 20-21, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 44% Democrat; 35% Republican; 20% Independent.  Political ideology: 36% Moderate; 35% Conservative; 20% Liberal.  Abortion: 59% Pro-choice; 39% Pro-life.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac New York Gubernatorial Survey

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 49% (60%) [55%] {59%}
• Carl Paladino (R) 43% (23%) [25%] {23%}

Among Democrats

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 87% (86%) [85%] {82%}
• Carl Paladino (R) 8% (3%) [6%] {4%}

Among Republicans

• Carl Paladino (R) 83% (59%) [63%] {54%}
• Andrew Cuomo (D) 13% (27%) [21%] {30%}

Among Independents

• Carl Paladino (R) 49% (24%) [23%] {23%}
• Andrew Cuomo (D) 43% (54%) [47%] {54%}

Among Men

• Carl Paladino (R) 49% (29%) [28%] {24%}
• Andrew Cuomo (D) 46% (58%) [54%] {58%}

Among Women

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 54% (62%) [57%] {59%}
• Carl Paladino (R) 34% (19%) [22%] {21%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Andrew Cuomo 51% (54%) {57%} / 34% (21%) {18%} {+17%}
• Carl Paladino 36% (16%) {10%} / 31% (13%) {10%} {+5%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as State Attorney General?

• Approve 67%
• Disapprove 25%

Do you consider yourself part of the Tea party movement or not?

• Yes 18%
• No 79%

Among Democrats

• Yes 5%
• No 91%

Among Republicans

• Yes 34%
• No 63%

Among Independents

• Yes 18%
• No 79%

Survey of 751 likely voters was conducted September 16-20, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-29, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 20-26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 15-20, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen New York Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen New York Gubernatorial Survey

Andrew Cuomo (D) 54% [58%] (55%)
Carl Paladino (R) 38% [29%] (25%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Andrew Cuomo 59% [64%] (63%) / 35% [33%] (31%) {+24%}
Carl Paladino 46% [36%] (35%) / 38% [36%] (32%) {+8%}

Survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted September 16, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 20, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 24, 2010 are in parentheses.