Poll Watch: SurveyUSA New York Political Survey

SurveyUSA New York Political Survey

Senatorial Elections

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 54% [54%] (45%)
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 36% [35%] (44%)

• Chuck Schumer (D) 63% [60%] (54%)
• Jay Townsend (R) 30% [30%] (33%)

Gubernatorial Election

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 59% [57%] (49%)
• Carl Paladino (R) 33% [34%] (40%)

Survey of 633 likely voters was conducted October 11-13, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 5-7, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-21, 2010 are in parentheses. Party ID breakdown: 46% [49%] (44%) Democrat; 31% [30%] (35%) Republican; 23% [20%] (20%) Independent. Political ideology: 40% [37%] (36%) Moderate; 29% [31%] (35%) Conservative; 22% [21%] (20%) Liberal.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA New York Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA New York Senatorial Survey

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 54% (45%)
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 35% (44%)

Among Democrats

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 78% (72%)
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 11% (19%)

Among Republicans

• Joe DioGuardi (R) 70% (74%)
• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 21% (15%)

Among Independents

• Joe DioGuardi (R) 43% (45%)
• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 42% (38%)

Among Men

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 50% (39%)
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 41% (52%)

Among Women

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 57% (50%)
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 29% (36%)

Survey of 627 likely voters was conducted October 5-7, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Party ID breakdown: 49% (44%) Democrat; 30% (35%) Republican; 20% (20%) Independent.  Political ideology: 37% (36%) Moderate; 31% (35%) Conservative; 21% (20%) Liberal.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac New York Senatorial Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 55% (48%)
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 34% (42%)

Among Democrats

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 87% (86%)
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 6% (9%)

Among Republicans

• Joe DioGuardi (R) 72% (88%)
• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 20% (8%)

Among Independents

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 49% (41%)
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 36% (42%)

Among Men

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 51% (43%)
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 39% (45%)

Among Women

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 59% (53%)
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 28% (37%)

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Chuck Schumer (D) 63% (54%)
• Jay Townsend (R) 32% (38%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 49% (43%) / 24% (32%) {+25%}
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 27% (26%) / 11% (12%) {+16%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator?

• Approve 52% (49%)
• Disapprove 34% (37%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 64% (55%)
• Disapprove 33% (39%)

Survey of 1,141 likely voters was conducted October 1-5, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-20, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/Time/Opinion Research New York Political Survey

CNN/Time/Opinion Research New York Political Survey

Senatorial Elections

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 55%
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 41%

• Chuck Schumer (D) 57%
• Jay Townsend (R) 41%

Gubernatorial Election

• Andrew Cuomo (D) 55%
• Carl Paladino (R) 41%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 45%
• Disapprove 48%

Survey of 585 likely voters was conducted October 1-5, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New York Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) New York Senatorial Survey

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 50%
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 40%
• Undecided 10%

• Chuck Schumer (D) 59%
• Jay Townsend (R) 37%
• Undecided 3%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kirsten Gillibrand’s job performance?

• Approve 42%
• Disapprove 37%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Chuck Schumer’s job performance?

• Approve 57%
• Disapprove 35%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe DioGuardi?

• Favorable 32%
• Unfavorable 24%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jay Townsend?

• Favorable 22%
• Unfavorable 16%

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 47%
• Disapprove 46%

Survey of 592 likely voters was conducted October 1-3, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 48% Democrat; 32% Republican; 21% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 40% Moderate; 33% Conservative; 27% Liberal.

Poll Watch: Marist New York Senatorial Survey

Marist New York Senatorial Survey

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 52%
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 41%

• Charles Schumer (D) 58%
• Jay Townsend (R) 37%

Would you rate the job Senator Kirsten Gillibrand is doing in office as excellent, good, fair or poor?

• Excellent 4%
• Good 23%
• Fair 38%
• Poor 18%

Would you rate the job Senator Charles Schumer is doing in office as excellent, good, fair or poor?

• Excellent 15%
• Good 32%
• Fair 31%
• Poor 19%

Survey of 617 likely voters was conducted September 19-22, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac New York Senatorial Survey

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 48%
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 42%

Among Democrats

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 86%
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 9%

Among Republicans

• Joe DioGuardi (R) 88%
• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 8%

Among Independents

• Joe DioGuardi (R) 42%
• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 41%

Among Men

• Joe DioGuardi (R) 45%
• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 43%

Among Women

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 53%
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 37%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Joe DioGuardi (R) 26% / 12% {+14%}
• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 43% / 32% {+11%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator?

• Approve 49%
• Disapprove 37%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 55%
• Disapprove 39%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way David Paterson is handling his job as Governor?

• Approve 37%
• Disapprove 58%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 47%
• Disapprove 48%

Do you consider yourself part of the Tea party movement or not?

• Yes 18%
• No 79%

Survey of 751 likely voters was conducted September 16-20, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA New York Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA New York Senatorial Survey

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 45%
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 44%

Among Democrats

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 72%
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 19%

Among Republicans

• Joe DioGuardi (R) 74%
• Andrew Cuomo (D) 15%

Among Independents

• Joe DioGuardi (R) 45%
• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 38%

Among Men

• Joe DioGuardi (R) 52%
• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 39%

Among Women

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 50%
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 36%

Survey of 572 likely voters was conducted September 20-21, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 44% Democrat; 35% Republican; 20% Independent.  Political ideology: 36% Moderate; 35% Conservative; 20% Liberal.  Abortion: 59% Pro-choice; 39% Pro-life.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen New York Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen New York Senatorial Special Election Survey

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 49% (51%) [50%] {49%} (51%)
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 39% (31%) [33%] {38%} (28%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Kirsten Gillibrand 51% (55%) [51%] {49%} (46%) / 38% (35%) [36%] {38%} (34%) {+13%}
• Joe DioGuardi 41% (33%) [36%] {35%} / 29% (25%) [21%] {27%} {+12%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 16, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 1, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 29, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 16, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 12, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Gillibrand is backed by 75% of Democrats. DioGuardi is supported by 76% of Republicans. The Democrat has a slim one-point lead among voters not affiliated with either major political party.