Poll Watch: Change Research California 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Change Research California 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Kamala Harris 23% {15%} [19%] (26%)
• Elizabeth Warren 22% {12%} [8%] (7%)
• Bernie Sanders 20% {23%} [22%] (20%)
• Joe Biden 17% {30%} [21%] (26%)
• Pete Buttigieg 8% {12%} [9%] (1%)
• Beto O'Rourke 2% {3%} [10%] (8%)
• Tulsi Gabbard 2% {1%} [1%] (1%)
• Andrew Yang 2% {1%} [1%] (0%)
• Julián Castro 1% {1%} [2%] (2%)
• Amy Klobuchar 1% {0%} [1%] (1%)
• Cory Booker 1% {1%} [3%] (3%)
• Jay Inslee 1% {0%} [1%] (0%)
• Marianne Williamson {0%} [0%] (0%)
• Tom Steyer 0%
• John Delaney 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
• John Hickenlooper 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
• Bill de Blasio 0% {0%}
• Mike Gravel 0% {0%}
• Kirsten Gillibrand 0% {0%} [0%] (1%)
• Tim Ryan 0% {0%} [0%]
• Wayne Messam 0% {0%} [0%]
• Michael Bennet 0% {0%} [0%]
• Joe Sestak 0%

Survey of 1,609 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted July 9-11, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 25-28, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 6-9, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 9-11, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Change Research Florida 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Change Research Florida 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Joe Biden 33%
• Bernie Sanders 20%
• Pete Buttigieg 15%
• Elizabeth Warren 15%
• Kamala Harris 7%
• Beto O'Rourke 3%
• Andrew Yang 3%
• Cory Booker 2%
• Amy Klobuchar 2%
• Julián Castro 1%
• Wayne Messam 1%
• Mike Gravel 0%
• Marianne Williamson 0%
• John Hickenlooper 0%
• Tulsi Gabbard 0%
• Seth Moulton 0%
• John Delaney 0%
• Tim Ryan 0%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 0%
• Michael Bennet 0%
• Steve Bullock 0%
• Bill de Blasio 0%
• Jay Inslee 0%
• Eric Swalwell 0%

Survey of 1,130 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted June 16-17, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Change Research Minnesota 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Change Research Minnesota 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Elizabeth Warren 21%
• Joe Biden 20%
• Bernie Sanders 19%
• Amy Klobuchar 16%
• Pete Buttigieg 11%
• Kamala Harris 4%
• Beto O'Rourke 3%
• Andrew Yang 2%
• Cory Booker 1%
• Jay Inslee 1%
• Julián Castro 1%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 0%
• Michael Bennet 0%
• Seth Moulton 0% 
• Wayne Messam 0%
• Mike Gravel 0%
• Marianne Williamson 0%
• John Delaney 0%
• Tulsi Gabbard 0%
• Tim Ryan 0%
• Steve Bullock 0%
• Bill de Blasio 0%
• John Hickenlooper 0%
• Eric Swalwell 0%

Survey of 772 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted June 8-12, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Post and Courier/Change Research South Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Post and Courier/Change Research South Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Joe Biden 37% {46%} [32%] (36%)
• Elizabeth Warren 17% {8%} [6%] (9%)
• Pete Buttigieg 11% {8%} [7%]
• Kamala Harris 9% {10%} [10%] (13%)
• Bernie Sanders 9% {15%} [14%] (14%)
• Cory Booker 5% {4%} [9%] (10%)
• Beto O'Rourke 4% {2%} [9%] (8%)
• Andrew Yang 3% {2%} [1%] (1%)
• Marianne Williamson 1% {1%} [0%] 
• Amy Klobuchar 1% {1%} [1%] (1%)
• Bill de Blasio 1%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 1% {0%} [1%] (1%)
• Tulsi Gabbard 1% {0%} [0%] (1%)
• Michael Bennet 0% {0%} [0%]
• Steve Bullock 0%
• Julián Castro 0% {0%} [1%] (1%)
• John Delaney 0% {0%} [0%]
• John Hickenlooper 0% {0%} [1%] (1%)
• Mike Gravel 0%
• Jay Inslee 0% {0%} [0%]
• Wayne Messam 0%
• Seth Moulton 0%
• Tim Ryan 0% {0%}
• Eric Swalwell 0% {0%} [0%] (1%)

Survey of 933 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted June 11-14, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 15-18, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Change Research California 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Change Research California 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Joe Biden 30% [21%] (26%)
• Bernie Sanders 23% [22%] (20%)
• Kamala Harris 15% [19%] (26%)
• Pete Buttigieg 12% [9%] (1%)
• Elizabeth Warren 12% [8%] (7%)
• Beto O'Rourke 3% [10%] (8%)
• Cory Booker 1% [3%] (3%)
• Julián Castro 1% [2%] (2%)
• Tulsi Gabbard 1% [1%] (1%)
• Andrew Yang 1% [1%] (0%)
• Stacey Abrams 0% [1%]
• Michael Bennet 0% [0%]
• Mike Gravel 0%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 0% [0%] (1%)
• John Hickenlooper 0% [0%] (0%)
• Jay Inslee 0% [1%] (0%)
• Amy Klobuchar 0% [1%] (1%)
• Seth Moulton 0%
• Tim Ryan 0% [0%]
• Eric Swalwell 0% [1%] (0%)
• Marianne Williamson 0% [0%] (0%)
• Steve Bullock 0% (0%)
• Bill de Blasio 0%
• John Delaney 0% [0%] (0%)
• Wayne Messam 0% [0%]

Survey of 1,649 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted May 25-28, 2019. Results from the poll conducted April 6-9, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 9-11, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Iowa Starting Line/Change Research Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

Iowa Starting Line/Change Research Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll

• Joe Biden 24%
• Bernie Sanders 24%
• Pete Buttigieg 14%
• Elizabeth Warren 12%
• Kamala Harris 10%
• Beto O'Rourke 5%
• Amy Klobuchar 2%
• Andrew Yang 2%
• Cory Booker 1%
• Stacey Abrams 1%
• Jay Inslee 1%
• Eric Swalwell 1%
• John Delaney 1%
• Tulsi Gabbard 1%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
• John Hickenlooper 1%
• Michael Bennet 0%
• Steve Bullock 0%
• Julián Castro 0%
• Marianne Williamson 0%
• Tim Ryan 0%
• Mike Gravel 0%
• Wayne Messam 0%
• Seth Moulton 0%

Second Choice

• Elizabeth Warren 19%
• Joe Biden 16%
• Kamala Harris 15%
• Bernie Sanders 14%
• Pete Buttigieg 11%
• Beto O'Rourke 7%
• Tulsi Gabbard 4%
• Amy Klobuchar 4%
• Cory Booker 3%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
• Julián Castro 1%
• Andrew Yang 1%
• John Delaney 1%
• Eric Swalwell 1%
• Stacey Abrams 1%
• Steve Bullock 1%
• Tim Ryan 1%
• John Hickenlooper 0%
• Mike Gravel 0%
• Marianne Williamson 0%
• Jay Inslee 0%
• Michael Bennet 0%
• Wayne Messam 0%
• Seth Moulton 0%

1st and 2nd Choices Combined

• Joe Biden 40%
• Bernie Sanders 38%
• Elizabeth Warren 31%
• Pete Buttigieg 25%
• Kamala Harris 25%
• Beto O'Rourke 12%
• Amy Klobuchar 6%
• Tulsi Gabbard 5%
• Cory Booker 4%
• Andrew Yang 3%
• Stacey Abrams 2%
• John Delaney 2%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 2%
• Eric Swalwell 2%
• John Hickenlooper 1%
• Jay Inslee 1%
• Steve Bullock 1%
• Julián Castro 1%
• Tim Ryan 1%
• Michael Bennet 0%
• Mike Gravel 0%
• Wayne Messam 0%
• Seth Moulton 0%
• Marianne Williamson 0%

Favorable/Unfavorable (Net)

• Elizabeth Warren 78% / 8% (+70)
• Kamala Harris 70% / 7% (+63)
• Pete Buttigieg 65% / 8% (+57)
• Bernie Sanders 71% / 16% (+55)
  
• Joe Biden 69% / 22% (+47)
• Cory Booker 56% / 9% (+47)
• Beto O'Rourke 55% / 12% (+43)
• Stacey Abrams 44% / 2% (+42)
• Amy Klobuchar 42% / 11% (+31)
• Julián Castro 32% / 5% (+27)
• Kirsten Gillibrand 38% / 13% (+25)
• Eric Swalwell 22% / 3% (+19)
• Andrew Yang 21% / 5% (+16)
• Jay Inslee 17% / 2% (+15)
• Tulsi Gabbard 24% / 11% (+13)
• John Hickenlooper 18% / 5% (+13)
• John Delaney 16% / 6% (+10)
• Steve Bullock 11% / 2% (+9)
• Michael Bennet 10% / 3% (+7)
• Tim Ryan 9% / 5% (+4)
• Mike Gravel 5% / 2% (+3)
• Seth Moulton 5% / 2% (+3)
• Wayne Messam 2% / 1% (+1)
• Marianne Williamson 6% / 7% (-1)

Survey of 615 likely Democratic caucus-goers was conducted May 15-19, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Post and Courier/Change Research South Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Post and Courier/Change Research South Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Joe Biden 46% [32%] (36%)
• Bernie Sanders 15% [14%] (14%)
• Kamala Harris 10% [10%] (13%)
• Pete Buttigieg 8% [7%]
• Elizabeth Warren 8% [6%] (9%)
• Cory Booker 4% [9%] (10%)
• Beto O'Rourke 2% [9%] (8%)
• Andrew Yang 2% [1%] (1%)
• Stacey Abrams 1% [7%]
• Amy Klobuchar 1% [1%] (1%)
• Marianne Williamson 1% [0%]
• Michael Bennet 0% [0%]
• Julián Castro 0% [1%] (1%)
• John Delaney 0% [0%]
• Tulsi Gabbard 0% [0%] (1%)
• Kirsten Gillibrand 0% [1%] (1%)
• John Hickenlooper 0% [1%] (1%)
• Jay Inslee 0% [0%]
• Tim Ryan 0%
• Eric Swalwell 0% [0%] (1%)

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• Joe Biden 81% / 9% (+72)
• Kamala Harris 64% / 6% (+58)
• Cory Booker 55% / 3% (+52)
• Bernie Sanders 67% / 16% (+51)
• Elizabeth Warren 57% / 8% (+49)
• Stacey Abrams 52% / 3% (+49)
• Beto O'Rourke 45% / 7% (+38)
• Pete Buttigieg 43% / 8% (+35)
• Julián Castro 27% / 4% (+23)
• Amy Klobuchar 22% / 6% (+16)
• Kirsten Gillibrand 21% / 10% (+11)
• Eric Swalwell 15% / 5% (+10)
• Andrew Yang 14% / 6% (+8)
• Michael Bennet 10% / 3% (+7)
• John Hickenlooper 9% / 5% (+4)
• Tim Ryan 10% / 7% (+3)
• Jay Inslee 7% / 4% (+3)
• Tulsi Gabbard 9% / 8% (+1)
• John Delaney 6% / 5% (+1)
• Seth Moulton 4% / 3% (+1)
• Steve Bullock 3% / 3% (0)
• Wayne Messam 3% / 3% (0)
• Marianne Williamson 4% / 6% (-2)
• Mike Gravel 2% / 5% (-3)

Survey of 595 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted May 6-9, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 15-18, 2019 are in parentheses.