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Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV IL-8 Congressional District Poll
- Tammy Duckworth (D) 50%
- Joe Walsh (R) 40%
- Undecided 9%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Tammy Duckworth 44% / 33% {+11%}
- Joe Walsh 35% / 44% {-9%}
Joe Walsh is an active member of the Tea Party caucus in Congress. Does being a supporter of the Tea Party make you feel more like voting for Walsh, less, or does it make no difference?
- Feel more like voting for Walsh 12%
- Feel less like voting for Walsh 40%
- Makes no difference 46%
Joe Walsh accused Tammy Duckworth of exploiting her military background for political purposes. Do you agree?
Survey of 600 likely IL-8 voters was conducted October 20-24, 2012 by Market Shares Corp. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.
Inside the numbers:
Among very conservative voters in Illinois — 29 percent of the GOP electorate — Santorum was backed by 43 percent compared with 29 percent for Romney.
The trend ran the other direction among the 31 percent of Republican voters who call themselves moderate: Romney is favored by 39 percent to Santorum's 17 percent.
That leaves those who call themselves fairly conservative, almost 40 percent of Republican primary voters. They give a narrow and statistically insignificant edge to Romney over Santorum, 36 percent to 32 percent.
Forty-two percent (42%) of voters described themselves as born-again or evangelical Christians. Of that group, 42 percent are backing Santorum compared with 26 percent for Romney. Of the 54 percent of voters who do not consider themselves born-again or evangelical Christians, Romney leads Santorum, 43 percent to 22 percent.
Romney was viewed favorably by six in 10 GOP primary voters, while 19 percent looked at him unfavorably. Santorum, a former Pennsylvania senator, was considered favorably by 54 percent of primary voters, while 17 percent had an unfavorable view.
Fully 61 percent of those preferring Romney say their minds are made up, compared with only 51 percent of Santorum voters.
Among voters age 50 and older, a group that reliably goes to the polls, Romney led Santorum 37 percent to 29 percent. Among suburban women, a key demographic that tends to be more moderate, Romney had a 45 percent to 27 percent edge over Santorum.
Voters with incomes of more than $100,000 a year favored Romney over Santorum 42 percent to 27 percent. But Santorum held a 35 percent to 32 percent lead among those voters earning less than $100,000 annually.
The poll found that Republican voters viewed picking a contender who could beat home-state Democratic President Barack Obama as the most important quality in a candidate, at 35 percent. Another 25 percent said choosing a candidate of strong moral character was most important, while 21 percent said finding a person who has the necessary experience and 14 percent said selecting a true conservative.
A total of 46 percent of Romney voters cited defeating Obama as their top priority, compared with 34 percent of Gingrich supporters and 32 percent of Santorum backers. Forty-four percent of Paul voters cited strong moral character as their top issue, compared with 35 percent of those backing Santorum.
When voters were asked to name the issue they cared most about, 38 percent listed the nation's economy. Another 33 percent of voters cited too much size and power in the federal government. Seventeen percent said the federal budget deficit was their top issue, while 9 percent said abortion.
Almost half of Gingrich voters cited economic concerns as their priority, ahead of the 44 percent of Romney supporters. About one-third of Romney and Santorum voters said the size and power of the government was their top issue.
Seventy-two percent (72%) said they were satisfied with the field of contenders, compared with 26 percent who weren't satisfied.
Romney voters were the most satisfied at 82 percent, while Paul backers were the least satisfied with their options, at 44 percent.
Forty-six percent (46%) of voters said they could still change their minds before the election.
Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV Illinois 2012 Presidential Poll
- Barack Obama 56%
- Mitt Romney 35%
- Barack Obama 58%
- Newt Gingrich 30%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
- Approve 53%
- Disapprove 40%
Survey of 600 voters was conducted February 2-6, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.
Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV Illinois Gubernatorial Survey
- Bill Brady (R) 43% [38%] (37%)
- Pat Quinn (D) 39% [39%] (32%)
- Scott Lee Cohen (I) 5% [4%] (4%)
- Rich Whitney (G) 4% [3%] (2%)
- Lex Green (L) 2% [2%] (2%)
- Undecided 6% [12%] (19%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Bill Brady 34% [30%] (28%) / 30% [29%] (19%) {+4%}
- Pat Quinn 34% [34%] (26%) / 41% [39%] (42%) {-7%}
Survey of 700 likely voters was conducted October 18-22, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 24-28, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 28 - September 1, 2010 are in parentheses.
Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV Illinois Senatorial Survey
- Mark Kirk (R) 44% [36%] (34%)
- Alexi Giannoulias (D) 41% [38%] (34%)
- LeAlan Jones (G) 5% [5%] (6%)
- Mike Labno (L) 4% [3%] (3%)
- Undecided 7% [17%] (22%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Mark Kirk 31% [23%] (25%) / 31% [32%] (19%) {0%}
- Alexi Giannoulias 27% [31%] (22%) / 40% [31%] (28%) {-13%}
Survey of 700 registered voters was conducted October 18-22, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 24-28, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 28 - September 1, 2010 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
In the Republican-leaning collar counties, Kirk now holds a 55 percent to 30 percent edge over Giannoulias. That's up from Kirk's 43 percent to 36 percent edge in late September.
Kirk's support among independents increased from 38 percent to 50 percent, the poll showed, while Giannoulias' backing among unaligned voters was relatively stagnant at about 28 percent. During that time period, the number of undecided independent voters dropped from 22 percent to 8 percent — with Kirk picking up virtually all of those deciding on a candidate.
Trust has been a central campaign theme on both sides, and voters' views on the two candidates have changed since the end of last month. Back then, 35 percent of voters considered Giannoulias more honest and trustworthy, compared with 30 percent for Kirk. The latest survey showed 36 percent of voters felt Kirk was more honest and trustworthy, compared with 31 percent for Giannoulias.
Independent voters have been viewing Giannoulias more dimly the last few weeks, and he is viewed unfavorably by 52 percent, up from 35 percent. At the same time, independents now view Kirk more favorably than unfavorably — 34 percent to 28 percent. Another 30 percent still don't know what to make of the five-term congressman.
Independents also view Kirk as more honest and trustworthy than Giannoulias, 38 percent to 24 percent. Still, reflecting the negativity that has engulfed the contest, more than 1 in 4 independents say neither candidate is more honest and trustworthy than the other.
Though Kirk's socially moderate positions in his North Shore district made some conservatives uncomfortable in the February primary, Republicans have moved strongly to support him. Kirk repudiated an early vote in support of carbon-based emissions trading that conservatives consider an energy tax, sought backing from unsuccessful 2008 vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin and has stressed support of fiscal conservatism.
Though Giannoulias and Democrats have sought to mock those positions, they have only engendered more support for Kirk in his own party. Republicans who said they're going to vote for Kirk jumped from 76 percent to 86 percent since the last poll.
The poll showed potential avenues where Giannoulias can grow support — if he can get Democrats motivated. Concerns of a post-2008 letdown have prompted Obama to make two visits back home to Chicago to help Giannoulias and other Democrats, with a third trip planned for Saturday.
Only two-thirds of voters in predominantly Democratic Chicago back Giannoulias' candidacy, a gain of less than 5 percentage points from late September, while 15 percent of city voters said they were undecided. At the same time, in increasingly Democratic suburban Cook County, Giannoulias carries a slim 49 percent to 43 percent advantage over Kirk.
Kirk holds a strong 15 percentage-point advantage among men, and Giannoulias has an 8 percentage-point edge among women across the state. But the two men each have the support of 43 percent of a key voting demographic: white suburban women who tend to be social moderates.
Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV Illinois Senatorial Survey
- Mark Kirk (R) 44% [36%] (34%)
- Alexi Giannoulias (D) 41% [38%] (34%)
- LeAlan Jones (G) 5% [5%] (6%)
- Mike Labno (L) 4% [3%] (3%)
- Undecided 7% [17%] (22%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Mark Kirk 31% [23%] (25%) / 31% [32%] (19%) {0%}
- Alexi Giannoulias 27% [31%] (22%) / 40% [31%] (28%) {-13%}
Survey of 700 registered voters was conducted October 18-22, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 24-28, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 28 - September 1, 2010 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
In the Republican-leaning collar counties, Kirk now holds a 55 percent to 30 percent edge over Giannoulias. That's up from Kirk's 43 percent to 36 percent edge in late September.
Kirk's support among independents increased from 38 percent to 50 percent, the poll showed, while Giannoulias' backing among unaligned voters was relatively stagnant at about 28 percent. During that time period, the number of undecided independent voters dropped from 22 percent to 8 percent — with Kirk picking up virtually all of those deciding on a candidate.
Trust has been a central campaign theme on both sides, and voters' views on the two candidates have changed since the end of last month. Back then, 35 percent of voters considered Giannoulias more honest and trustworthy, compared with 30 percent for Kirk. The latest survey showed 36 percent of voters felt Kirk was more honest and trustworthy, compared with 31 percent for Giannoulias.
Independent voters have been viewing Giannoulias more dimly the last few weeks, and he is viewed unfavorably by 52 percent, up from 35 percent. At the same time, independents now view Kirk more favorably than unfavorably — 34 percent to 28 percent. Another 30 percent still don't know what to make of the five-term congressman.
Independents also view Kirk as more honest and trustworthy than Giannoulias, 38 percent to 24 percent. Still, reflecting the negativity that has engulfed the contest, more than 1 in 4 independents say neither candidate is more honest and trustworthy than the other.
Though Kirk's socially moderate positions in his North Shore district made some conservatives uncomfortable in the February primary, Republicans have moved strongly to support him. Kirk repudiated an early vote in support of carbon-based emissions trading that conservatives consider an energy tax, sought backing from unsuccessful 2008 vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin and has stressed support of fiscal conservatism.
Though Giannoulias and Democrats have sought to mock those positions, they have only engendered more support for Kirk in his own party. Republicans who said they're going to vote for Kirk jumped from 76 percent to 86 percent since the last poll.
The poll showed potential avenues where Giannoulias can grow support — if he can get Democrats motivated. Concerns of a post-2008 letdown have prompted Obama to make two visits back home to Chicago to help Giannoulias and other Democrats, with a third trip planned for Saturday.
Only two-thirds of voters in predominantly Democratic Chicago back Giannoulias' candidacy, a gain of less than 5 percentage points from late September, while 15 percent of city voters said they were undecided. At the same time, in increasingly Democratic suburban Cook County, Giannoulias carries a slim 49 percent to 43 percent advantage over Kirk.
Kirk holds a strong 15 percentage-point advantage among men, and Giannoulias has an 8 percentage-point edge among women across the state. But the two men each have the support of 43 percent of a key voting demographic: white suburban women who tend to be social moderates.
Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV Illinois Gubernatorial Survey
- Pat Quinn (D) 39% (32%)
- Bill Brady (R) 38% (37%)
- Scott Lee Cohen (I) 4% (4%)
- Rich Whitney (G) 3% (2%)
- Lex Green (L) 2% (2%)
- Undecided 12% (19%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Bill Brady 30% (28%) / 29% (19%) {+1%}
- Pat Quinn 34% (26%) / 39% (42%) {-5%}
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted September 24-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 28 - September 1, 2010 are in parentheses.
