Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll

• Chris Murphy (D) 52% [48%] (48%) {48%} [50%] (50%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 43% [44%] (42%) {44%} [42%] (43%)

Among Independents

• Linda McMahon (R) 53% [46%] (51%) {56%} [53%] (48%)
  
• Chris Murphy (D) 39% [41%] (38%) {36%} [36%] (43%)
  

Among Moderates

• Chris Murphy (D) 57% (52%) [50%] (50%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 38% (36%) [38%] (39%)

Among Men

• Linda McMahon (R) 48% [47%] (49%) {54%} [49%] (52%)
• Chris Murphy (D) 48% [47%] (41%) {39%} [42%] (42%)
  

Among Women

• Chris Murphy (D) 55% [48%] (54%) {55%} [57%] (58%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 39% [42%] (35%) {36%} [37%] (36%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Murphy 40% [39%] (36%) {39%} [38%] (35%) / 42% [50%] (44%) {41%} [31%] (28%) {-2%}
• Linda McMahon 37% [45%] (42%) {45%} [42%] (39%) / 52% [48%] (49%) {47%} [48%] (49%) {-15%}

Survey of 1,220 likely Connecticut voters was conducted November 1-2, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 41% [38%] (43%) {46%} [41%] (45%) Democrat; 26% [26%] (26%) {25%} [28%] (31%) Republican; 34% [36%] (32%) {29%} [30%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 36% (37%) [34%] Moderate; 24% (21%) [23%] Somewhat conservative; 19% (23%) [19%] Somewhat liberal; 10% (11%) [14%] Very liberal; 10% (9%) [10%] Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 24-26, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 22-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll

• Chris Murphy (D) 51% {48%} [51%] (46%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 45% {47%} [46%] (49%)
• Some other candidate 1% {2%} [2%] (1%)
• Undecided 3% {3%} [1%] (5%)

Among Independents

• Linda McMahon (R) 49% {56%} [39%] (55%)
• Chris Murphy (D) 47% {37%} [57%] (31%)

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Linda McMahon

• Very favorable 21% {27%} [25%] (26%)
• Somewhat favorable 24% {24%} [21%] (28%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 14% {16%} [14%] (14%)
• Very unfavorable 39% {33%} [33%] (29%)

Chris Murphy

• Very favorable 23% {20%} [16%] (20%)
• Somewhat favorable 26% {29%} [26%] (30%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 20% {16%} [21%] (21%)
• Very unfavorable 27% {32%} [31%] (20%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Murphy 49% {49%} [42%] (50%) / 47% {48%} [52%] (41%) {+2%}
• Linda McMahon 45% {51%} [46%] (54%) / 53% {49%} [47%] (43%) {-8%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 21, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Among the 94% of Connecticut voters who are certain to vote next week, Murphy draws 50% of the vote to McMahon’s 47%.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll

• Chris Murphy (D) 49% [47%] {46%} (46%) [52%] {49%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 43% [48%] {49%} (43%) [37%] {38%} 
  

Among Independents

• Linda McMahon (R) 50% [52%] {55%} (43%) [35%] {41%}
  
• Chris Murphy (D) 41% [43%] {40%} (41%) [50%] {43%}

Among Men

• Linda McMahon (R) 50% [52%] {54%} (48%) [41%] {43%}
  
• Chris Murphy (D) 46% [45%] {42%} (44%) [50%] {44%}

Among Women

• Chris Murphy (D) 52% [50%] {50%} (47%) [54%] {53%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 38% [44%] {46%} (38%) [33%] {33%}

(Among Murphy Voters) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Murphy, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

• Very enthusiastic 30% [27%]
• Somewhat enthusiastic 52% [55%]
• Not so enthusiastic 13% [13%]
• Not enthusiastic at all 5% [5%] 
  

(Among McMahon Voters) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting McMahon, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

• Very enthusiastic 43% [50%]
• Somewhat enthusiastic 46% [39%]
  
• Not so enthusiastic 8% [9%]
• Not enthusiastic at all 3% [2%] 
  

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Murphy 39% [36%] {38%} (37%) [40%] {38%} / 39% [40%] {30%} (17%) [15%] {16%} {0%}
• Linda McMahon 41% [45%] {47%} (45%) [40%] {38%} / 47% [41%] {35%} (38%) [44%] {45%} {-6%}

Regardless of who you may support, who do you think better understands the economic problems people in Connecticut are having, Chris Murphy or Linda McMahon?

• Chris Murphy 47% [45%]
• Linda McMahon 42% [46%]
  

Regardless of who you may support, who do you think seems like the more friendly and likeable person, Chris Murphy or Linda McMahon?

• Chris Murphy 45%
• Linda McMahon 40%

Regardless of who you may support, who do you think has better ideas about how to create jobs, Chris Murphy or Linda McMahon?

• Linda McMahon (R) 48%
  
• Chris Murphy (D) 38%

Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job on women's reproductive health issues such as contraception and abortion, Chris Murphy or Linda McMahon?

• Chris Murphy 46%
• Linda McMahon 38%

Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job on taxes, Chris Murphy or Linda McMahon?

• Chris Murphy 46%
• Linda McMahon 45%

Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job on health care, Chris Murphy or Linda McMahon?

• Chris Murphy 49%
• Linda McMahon 40%

Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job on Social Security and Medicare, Chris Murphy or Linda McMahon?

• Chris Murphy 52%
• Linda McMahon 39%

As a United States Senator do you think Linda McMahon would do more to favor the middle class or more to favor the wealthy?  

• Middle class 36%
• Wealthy 55%

As a United States Senator do you think Chris Murphy would do more to favor the middle class or more to favor the wealthy?

• Middle class 70%
• Wealthy 14%

Do you think the McMahon campaign is mainly saying things it believes to be true, or is it mainly intentionally misleading people?  

• Saying things it believes to be true 38% [46%]
• Intentionally misleading people 52% [44%]

Do you think the Murphy campaign is mainly saying things it believes to be true, or is it mainly intentionally misleading people?  

• Saying things it believes to be true 40% [39%]
• Intentionally misleading people 47% [47%]

Survey of 1,412 likely voters was conducted October 19-22, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% [34%] {33%} Democrat; 21% [23%] {22%} Republican; 40% [38%] {40%} Independent; 4% [5%] {5%} Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 2, 2012 are in square brackets.   Results from the poll conducted August 22-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 14-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-13, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 1-7, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll

• Chris Murphy (D) 48% [51%] (46%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 47% [46%] (49%)
• Some other candidate 2% [2%] (1%)
• Undecided 3% [1%] (5%)

Among Independents

• Linda McMahon (R) 56% [39%] (55%)
• Chris Murphy (D) 37% [57%] (31%)

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Linda McMahon

• Very favorable 27% [25%] (26%)
• Somewhat favorable 24% [21%] (28%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 16% [14%] (14%)
• Very unfavorable 33% [33%] (29%)

Chris Murphy

• Very favorable 20% [16%] (20%)
• Somewhat favorable 29% [26%] (30%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 16% [21%] (21%)
• Very unfavorable 32% [31%] (20%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Linda McMahon 51% [46%] (54%) / 49% [47%] (43%) {+2%}
• Chris Murphy 49% [42%] (50%) / 48% [52%] (41%) {+1%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 21, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 7, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

McMahon has the support of 84% of Connecticut Republicans, while 80% of the state’s Democrats are backing Murphy.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll

• Chris Murphy (D) 47%
• Linda McMahon (R) 43%
• Other 4%
• Undecided 6%

Among Independents

• Linda McMahon (R) 47%
• Chris Murphy (D) 39%
• Other 7%
• Undecided 7%

Among Moderates

• Chris Murphy (D) 51%
• Linda McMahon (R) 39%
• Other 3%
• Undecided 7%

Among Men

• Linda McMahon (R) 51%
• Chris Murphy (D) 42%
• Other 3%
• Undecided 4%

Among Women

• Chris Murphy (D) 52%
• Linda McMahon (R) 36%
• Other 4%
• Undecided 7%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Murphy 31% / 40% {-9%}
• Linda McMahon 35% / 45% {-10%}

Survey of 575 likely voters was conducted October 19-21, 2012 for WABC-TV New York.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% Democrat; 27% Republican; 33% Independent.  Ideology: 44% Moderate; 26% Conservative; 20% Liberal. Gender: 48% Male; 52% Female.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll

• Chris Murphy (D) 48% (48%) {48%} [50%] (50%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 44% (42%) {44%} [42%] (43%)

Among Independents

• Linda McMahon (R) 46% (51%) {56%} [53%] (48%)
  
• Chris Murphy (D) 41% (38%) {36%} [36%] (43%)
  

Among Men

• Linda McMahon (R) 47% (49%) {54%} [49%] (52%)
• Chris Murphy (D) 47% (41%) {39%} [42%] (42%)
  

Among Women

• Chris Murphy (D) 48% (54%) {55%} [57%] (58%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 42% (35%) {36%} [37%] (36%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Linda McMahon 45% (42%) {45%} [42%] (39%) / 48% (49%) {47%} [48%] (49%) {-3%}
• Chris Murphy 39% (36%) {39%} [38%] (35%) / 50% (44%) {41%} [31%] (28%) {-11%}

Survey of 1,015 likely Connecticut voters was conducted October 15-16, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points on behalf of the League of Conservation Voters.  Party ID: 38% (43%) {46%} [41%] (45%) Democrat; 26% (26%) {25%} [28%] (31%) Republican; 36% (32%) {29%} [30%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 24-26, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 22-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: University of Connecticut/Hartford Courant 2012 Senatorial Survey

UConn/Hartford Courant Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll

• Chris Murphy (D) 44% (37%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 38% (33%)
• Undecided 17% (28%)

Among Men

• Linda McMahon (R) 45% (32%)
• Chris Murphy (D) 37% (37%)

Among Women

• Chris Murphy (D) 50% (38%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 32% (35%)

Survey of 574 likely voters was conducted October 11-16, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID: 50% (53%) Democrat; 34% (29%) Republican; 16% (18%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 11-16, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Siena College Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

Siena College Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll

• Chris Murphy (D) 46%
• Linda McMahon (R) 44%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Linda McMahon 41% / 49% {-8%}
• Chris Murphy 36% / 45% {-9%}
  

Survey of 552 likely Connecticut voters was conducted October 4-14, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID: 36% Democrat; 20% Republican; 41% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 44% Moderate; 28% Conservative; 23% Liberal.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll

• Chris Murphy (D) 51% (46%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 46% (49%)
• Some other candidate 2% (1%)
• Undecided 1% (5%)

Among Independents

• Chris Murphy (D) 57% (31%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 39% (55%)

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Linda McMahon

• Very favorable 25% (26%)
• Somewhat favorable 21% (28%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 14% (14%)
• Very unfavorable 33% (29%)

Chris Murphy

• Very favorable 16% (20%)
• Somewhat favorable 26% (30%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 21% (21%)
• Very unfavorable 31% (20%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Linda McMahon 46% (54%) / 47% (43%) {-1%}
• Chris Murphy 42% (50%) / 52% (41%) {-10%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 7, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

McMahon earns the support of 86% of the state’s Republican voters while Murphy has the backing from 77% of Democrats.

McMahon leads by 15 points among male voters in the state but trails by 21 among female voters. Voters under 40 prefer Murphy by better than two-to-one, while their elders give the advantage to the Republican.

Most married voters support McMahon. Most unmarrieds favor Murphy.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll

• Linda McMahon (R) 48% {49%} (43%) [37%] {38%} 
  
• Chris Murphy (D) 47% {46%} (46%) [52%] {49%}

Among Independents

• Linda McMahon (R) 52% {55%} (43%) [35%] {41%}
  
• Chris Murphy (D) 43% {40%} (41%) [50%] {43%}

Among Men

• Linda McMahon (R) 52% {54%} (48%) [41%] {43%}
  
• Chris Murphy (D) 45% {42%} (44%) [50%] {44%}

Among Women

• Chris Murphy (D) 50% {50%} (47%) [54%] {53%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 44% {46%} (38%) [33%] {33%}

(Among McMahon Voters) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting McMahon, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

• Very enthusiastic 50%
• Somewhat enthusiastic 39%
  
• Not so enthusiastic 9%
• Not enthusiastic at all 2% 
  

(Among Murphy Voters) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Murphy, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

• Very enthusiastic 27%
  
• Somewhat enthusiastic 55%
• Not so enthusiastic 13%
• Not enthusiastic at all 5% 
  

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Linda McMahon 45% {47%} (45%) [40%] {38%} / 41% {35%} (38%) [44%] {45%} {+4%}
• Chris Murphy 36% {38%} (37%) [40%] {38%} / 40% {30%} (17%) [15%] {16%} {-4%}

Regardless of who you may support, who do you think better understands the economic problems people in Connecticut are having, Chris Murphy or Linda McMahon?

• Linda McMahon 46%
  
• Chris Murphy 45%

Do you think the McMahon campaign is mainly saying things it believes to be true, or is it mainly intentionally misleading people?  

• Saying things it believes to be true 46%
• Intentionally misleading people 44%
  

Do you think the Murphy campaign is mainly saying things it believes to be true, or is it mainly intentionally misleading people?  

• Saying things it believes to be true 39%
  
• Intentionally misleading people 47%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think will win the debates, Murphy or McMahon?

• Linda McMahon 41%
  
• Chris Murphy 35%

Survey of 1,696 likely voters was conducted September 28 - October 2, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% {33%} Democrat; 23% {22%} Republican; 38% {40%} Independent; 5% {5%} Other. Results from the poll conducted August 22-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 14-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-13, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 1-7, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll

• Chris Murphy (D) 48% {48%} [50%] (50%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 42% {44%} [42%] (43%)

Among Independents

• Linda McMahon (R) 51% {56%} [53%] (48%)
  
• Chris Murphy (D) 38% {36%} [36%] (43%)
  

Among Moderates

• Chris Murphy (D) 52% [50%] (50%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 36% [38%] (39%)

Among Men

• Linda McMahon (R) 49% {54%} [49%] (52%)
• Chris Murphy (D) 41% {39%} [42%] (42%)
  

Among Women

• Chris Murphy (D) 54% {55%} [57%] (58%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 35% {36%} [37%] (36%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Linda McMahon 42% {45%} [42%] (39%) / 49% {47%} [48%] (49%) {-7%}
• Chris Murphy 36% {39%} [38%] (35%) / 44% {41%} [31%] (28%) {-8%}

Survey of 801 likely Connecticut voters was conducted September 24-26, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 43% {46%} [41%] (45%) Democrat; 26% {25%} [28%] (31%) Republican; 32% {29%} [30%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 37% [34%] Moderate; 23% [19%] Somewhat liberal; 21% [23%] Somewhat conservative; 11% [14%] Very liberal; 9% [10%] Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted August 22-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: University of Connecticut/Hartford Courant 2012 Senatorial Survey

UConn/Hartford Courant Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll

• Chris Murphy (D) 37%
• Linda McMahon (R) 33%
• Other 1%
• Undecided 28%

Among Men

• Chris Murphy (D) 37%
• Linda McMahon (R) 32%

Among Women

• Chris Murphy (D) 38%
• Linda McMahon (R) 35%

Survey of 517 likely voters was conducted September 11-16, 2012. Party ID: 53% Democrat; 29% Republican; 18% Independent. Political ideology: 49% Moderate; 26% Conservative; 24% Liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll

• Chris Murphy (D) 48% [50%] (50%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 44% [42%] (43%)

Among Independents

• Linda McMahon (R) 56% [53%] (48%)
  
• Chris Murphy (D) 36% [36%] (43%)
  

Among Men

• Linda McMahon (R) 54% [49%] (52%)
• Chris Murphy (D) 39% [42%] (42%)
  

Among Women

• Chris Murphy (D) 55% [57%] (58%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 36% [37%] (36%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Linda McMahon 45% [42%] (39%) / 47% [48%] (49%) {-2%}
• Chris Murphy 39% [38%] (35%) / 41% [31%] (28%) {-2%}

Survey of 881 Connecticut voters was conducted August 22-23, 2012. Party ID: 46% [41%] (45%) Democrat; 25% [28%] (31%) Republican; 29% [30%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll

• Linda McMahon (R) 49% (43%) [37%] {38%} 
  
• Chris Murphy (D) 46% (46%) [52%] {49%}

Among Independents

• Linda McMahon (R) 55% (43%) [35%] {41%}
  
• Chris Murphy (D) 40% (41%) [50%] {43%}

Among Men

• Linda McMahon (R) 54% (48%) [41%] {43%}
  
• Chris Murphy (D) 42% (44%) [50%] {44%}

Among Women

• Chris Murphy (D) 50% (47%) [54%] {53%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 46% (38%) [33%] {33%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Linda McMahon 47% (45%) [40%] {38%} / 35% (38%) [44%] {45%} {+12%}
• Chris Murphy 38% (37%) [40%] {38%} / 30% (17%) [15%] {16%} {+8%}

Do you think Linda McMahon has the right kind of experience to be a United States Senator from Connecticut or not?

• Yes 50% (46%)
• No 42% (45%)

Do you think Chris Murphy has the right kind of experience to be a United States Senator from Connecticut or not?

• Yes 52% (50%)
  
• No 30% (22%)

Would you say that Linda McMahon cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 56%
• No 35%

Would you say that Chris Murphy cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 50%
• No 36%

Does Chris Murphy's experience as a Connecticut Congressman make you more likely to vote for him for United States Senator, less likely or doesn't it make a difference?

• More likely 33%
• Less likely 24%
• No difference 41%

Does Linda McMahon's experience as CEO of World Wrestling Entertainment make you more likely to vote for her for United States Senator, less likely or doesn't it make a difference?

• More likely 21%
• Less likely 30%
• No difference 47%

If Linda McMahon is elected United States Senator she would be Connecticut's first woman U.S. Senator. Does this make you more likely to vote for her, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?

• More likely 11%
• Less likely 5%
• No difference 83%

Have you seen any of Linda McMahon's television advertisements for this year's election for United States Senator? (If Yes:) From what you have seen of Linda McMahon's television ads, are they more informative or more annoying?

• Yes/Informative 41%
• Yes/Annoying 42%
• No/Haven't seen ads 12%

Have you seen any of Chris Murphy's television advertisements for this year's election for United States Senator? (If Yes:) From what you have seen of Chris Murphy's television ads, are they more informative or more annoying?

• Yes/Informative 29%
• Yes/Annoying 36%
• No/Haven't seen ads 28%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 50% (50%) [51%] {51%} (41%) [38%]
• Disapprove 38% (39%) [38%] {40%} (45%) [45%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 35% (37%) [39%] {44%} (35%) [32%]
• Disapprove 51% (52%) [49%] {46%} (49%) [50%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 68% (67%) [61%] {66%} (48%) [54%]
• Disapprove 24% (26%) [31%] {22%} (42%) [33%]

Among Independents

• Approve 52% (50%) [54%] {52%} (44%) [36%]
• Disapprove 35% (38%) [34%] {41%} (42%) [49%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 61% (61%) [64%] {60%} (54%) [49%]
• Disapprove 24% (25%) [23%] {23%} (25%) [25%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 79% (78%) [82%] {81%} (72%) [64%]
• Disapprove 7% (13%) [6%] {7%} (8%) [10%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 41% (36%) [44%] {35%} (38%) [31%]
• Disapprove 45% (45%) [42%] {46%} (43%) [45%]

Among Independents

• Approve 59% (62%) [62%] {56%} (50%) [49%]
• Disapprove 25% (24%) [24%] {24%} (28%) [26%]

Survey of 1,472 likely voters was conducted August 22-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% Democrat; 22% Republican; 40% Independent; 5% Other. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 14-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-13, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 1-7, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll

• Linda McMahon (R) 49%
• Chris Murphy (D) 46%
• Some other candidate 1%
• Undecided 5%

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Linda McMahon

• Very favorable 26%
• Somewhat favorable 28%
• Somewhat unfavorable 14%
• Very unfavorable 29%

Chris Murphy

• Very favorable 20%
• Somewhat favorable 30%
• Somewhat unfavorable 21%
• Very unfavorable 20%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Linda McMahon 54% / 43% {+11%}
• Chris Murphy 50% / 41% {+9%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted August 21, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

McMahon has the backing of 90% of Connecticut Republicans, while Murphy draws 79% of the Democratic vote. McMahon leads the Democrat 55% to 31% among voters not affiliated with either major party.

The Republican leads by 15 points among male voters but trails by seven among female voters.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY

• Chris Murphy 49% 
• Susan Bysiewicz 32%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Murphy 60% / 17% {+43%} 
• Susan Bysiewicz 36% / 38% {-2%}

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Linda McMahon 68%
• Chris Shays 20%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Linda McMahon 73% / 17% {+56%}
• Chris Shays 37% / 40% {-3%}

GENERAL ELECTION

• Chris Murphy (D) 50% (50%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 42% (43%)

• Chris Murphy (D) 47% (43%)
• Chris Shays (R) 38% (39%)

• Chris Shays (R) 43% (48%)
• Susan Bysiewicz (D) 40% (37%)

• Susan Bysiewicz (D) 45% (47%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 42% (46%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Murphy 38% (35%) / 31% (28%) {+7%}
• Chris Shays 32% (37%) / 36% (28%) {-4%}
• Linda McMahon 42% (39%) / 48% (49%) {-6%}
• Susan Bysiewicz 27% (29%) / 42% (41%) {-15%}

Survey of 771 likely Connecticut voters, including an oversample of 400 likely voters in each the Democratic and Republican primaries, was conducted July 26-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points among all likely voters; +/- 4.9 percentage points among Democratic and GOP primary voters. Party ID: 41% (45%) Democrat; 28% (31%) Republican; 30% (24%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 34% Moderate; 23% Somewhat conservative; 19% Somewhat liberal; 14% Very liberal; 10% Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Linda McMahon 59% [51%] {50%}
• Chris Shays 30% [42%] {35%}

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY

• Chris Murphy 50% [37%] {36%}
• Susan Bysiewics 20% [25%] {26%}

GENERAL ELECTION

• Chris Murphy (D) 46% [52%] {49%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 43% [37%] {38%} 

• Chris Murphy (D) 45% [41%] {43%}
• Chris Shays (R) 37% [40%] {37%}

• Linda McMahon (R) 46% [39%] {38%}
• Susan Bysiewicz (D) 42% [49%] {46%}

• Chris Shays (R) 44% [43%] {42%}
• Susan Bysiewicz (D) 40% [42%] {40%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Shays 38% [47%] {41%} / 16% [13%] {14%} {+22%}
• Chris Murphy 37% [40%] {38%} / 17% [15%] {16%} {+20%}
• Linda McMahon 45% [40%] {38%} / 38% [44%] {45%} {+7%}
• Susan Bysiewicz 33% [39%] {39%} / 27% [27%] {27%} {+6%}

Do you think Linda McMahon has the right kind of experience to be a United States Senator from Connecticut or not?

• Yes 46%
• No 45%

Do you think Chris Shays has the right kind of experience to be a United States Senator from Connecticut or not?

• Yes 58%
• No 18%

Do you think Chris Murphy has the right kind of experience to be a United States Senator from Connecticut or not?

• Yes 50%
  
• No 22%

Do you think Susan Bysiewicz has the right kind of experience to be a United States Senator from Connecticut or not?

• Yes 37%
• No 39%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 50% [51%] {51%} (41%) [38%]
• Disapprove 39% [38%] {40%} (45%) [45%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 37% [39%] {44%} (35%) [32%]
• Disapprove 52% [49%] {46%} (49%) [50%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 67% [61%] {66%} (48%) [54%]
• Disapprove 26% [31%] {22%} (42%) [33%]

Among Independents

• Approve 50% [54%] {52%} (44%) [36%]
• Disapprove 38% [34%] {41%} (42%) [49%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 61% [64%] {60%} (54%) [49%]
• Disapprove 25% [23%] {23%} (25%) [25%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 78% [82%] {81%} (72%) [64%]
• Disapprove 13% [6%] {7%} (8%) [10%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 36% [44%] {35%} (38%) [31%]
• Disapprove 45% [42%] {46%} (43%) [45%]

Among Independents

• Approve 62% [62%] {56%} (50%) [49%]
• Disapprove 24% [24%] {24%} (28%) [26%]

Survey of 1,408 registered voters, including subsamples of 381 Republicans and 538 Democrats, was conducted May 29 - June 3, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 5 percentage points among Republicans; +/- 4.2 percentage points among Democrats.  Results from the poll conducted March 14-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-13, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 1-7, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Linda McMahon 51% {50%}
• Chris Shays 42% {35%}

Conservative

• Linda McMahon 59%
  
• Chris Shays 35%

Moderate

• Chris Shays 53%
• Linda McMahon 43%
  

College Degree

• Linda McMahon 47%
• Chris Shays 46%

No College Degree

• Linda McMahon 54%
• Chris Shays 39%

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY

• Chris Murphy 37% {36%}
• Susan Bysiewics 25% {26%}
• William Tong 4% {1%}

College Degree

• Chris Murphy 44%
  
• Susan Bysiewics 22%
  
• William Tong 4%

No College Degree

• Chris Murphy 32%
  
• Susan Bysiewics 28%
  
• William Tong 4%

GENERAL ELECTION

• Chris Murphy (D) 41% {43%}
• Chris Shays (R) 40% {37%}

• Chris Murphy (D) 52% {49%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 37% {38%}

• Chris Shays (R) 43% {42%}
• Susan Bysiewicz (D) 42% {40%}

• Susan Bysiewicz (D) 49% {46%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 39% {38%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Shays 47% {41%} / 13% {14%} {+34%}
• Chris Murphy 40% {38%} / 15% {16%} {+25%}
• Susan Bysiewicz 39% {39%} / 27% {27%} {+12%}
• Linda McMahon 40% {38%} / 44% {45%} {-4%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 51% {51%} (41%) [38%]
• Disapprove 38% {40%} (45%) [45%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 39% {44%} (35%) [32%]
• Disapprove 49% {46%} (49%) [50%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 61% {66%} (48%) [54%]
• Disapprove 31% {22%} (42%) [33%]

Among Independents

• Approve 54% {52%} (44%) [36%]
• Disapprove 34% {41%} (42%) [49%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 64% {60%} (54%) [49%]
• Disapprove 23% {23%} (25%) [25%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 82% {81%} (72%) [64%]
• Disapprove 6% {7%} (8%) [10%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 44% {35%} (38%) [31%]
• Disapprove 42% {46%} (43%) [45%]

Among Independents

• Approve 62% {56%} (50%) [49%]
• Disapprove 24% {24%} (28%) [26%]

Survey of 1,622 registered voters, including subsamples of 429 Republicans and 640 Democrats, was conducted March 14-19, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4.7 percentage points among Republicans; +/- 3.9 percentage points among Democrats. Party ID breakdown: 32% {33%} Democrat; 23% {21%} Republican; 39% {39%} Independent; 5% {5%} Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-13, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 1-7, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

• Chris Shays (R) 48%
• Susan Bysiewicz (D) 37%

• Rob Simmons (R) 42%
• Susan Bysiewicz (D) 41%

• Susan Bysiewicz (D) 47%
• Linda McMahon (R) 46%

• Chris Murphy (D) 43%
• Chris Shays (R) 39%

• Chris Murphy (D) 50%
• Linda McMahon (R) 43%

• Chris Murphy (D) 45%
• Rob Simmons (R) 36%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Shays 37% / 28% {+9%}
• Chris Murphy 35% / 28% {+7%}
• Rob Simmons 28% / 28% {0%}
• Linda McMahon 39% / 49% {-10%}
• Susan Bysiewicz 29% / 41% {-12%}

Survey of 592 Connecticut voters was conducted September 22-25, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 45% Democrat; 31% Republican; 24% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

• Chris Shays (R) 42%
• Susan Bysiewicz (D) 40%

• Susan Bysiewicz (D) 46%
• Linda McMahon (R) 38%

• Chris Murphy (D) 43%
• Chris Shays (R) 37%

• Chris Murphy (D) 49%
• Linda McMahon (R) 38%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Shays 41% / 14% {+27%}
• Chris Murphy 38% / 16% {+22%}
• Susan Bysiewicz 39% / 27% {+12%}
• Linda McMahon 38% / 45% {-7%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 51% (41%) [38%]
• Disapprove 40% (45%) [45%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 44% (35%) [32%]
• Disapprove 46% (49%) [50%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 66% (48%) [54%]
• Disapprove 22% (42%) [33%]

Among Independents

• Approve 52% (44%) [36%]
• Disapprove 41% (42%) [49%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 60% (54%) [49%]
• Disapprove 23% (25%) [25%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 81% (72%) [64%]
• Disapprove 7% (8%) [10%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 35% (38%) [31%]
• Disapprove 46% (43%) [45%]

Among Independents

• Approve 56% (50%) [49%]
• Disapprove 24% (28%) [26%]

Survey of 1,230 registered voters was conducted September 8-13, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 5.4 percentage points among Republicans. Party ID breakdown: 33% Democrat; 21% Republican; 39% Independent; 5% Other. Results from the poll conducted June 8-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 1-7, 2011 are in square brackets.