Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll

• Linda McMahon (R) 49% (43%) [37%] {38%} 
  
• Chris Murphy (D) 46% (46%) [52%] {49%}

Among Independents

• Linda McMahon (R) 55% (43%) [35%] {41%}
  
• Chris Murphy (D) 40% (41%) [50%] {43%}

Among Men

• Linda McMahon (R) 54% (48%) [41%] {43%}
  
• Chris Murphy (D) 42% (44%) [50%] {44%}

Among Women

• Chris Murphy (D) 50% (47%) [54%] {53%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 46% (38%) [33%] {33%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Linda McMahon 47% (45%) [40%] {38%} / 35% (38%) [44%] {45%} {+12%}
• Chris Murphy 38% (37%) [40%] {38%} / 30% (17%) [15%] {16%} {+8%}

Do you think Linda McMahon has the right kind of experience to be a United States Senator from Connecticut or not?

• Yes 50% (46%)
• No 42% (45%)

Do you think Chris Murphy has the right kind of experience to be a United States Senator from Connecticut or not?

• Yes 52% (50%)
  
• No 30% (22%)

Would you say that Linda McMahon cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 56%
• No 35%

Would you say that Chris Murphy cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 50%
• No 36%

Does Chris Murphy's experience as a Connecticut Congressman make you more likely to vote for him for United States Senator, less likely or doesn't it make a difference?

• More likely 33%
• Less likely 24%
• No difference 41%

Does Linda McMahon's experience as CEO of World Wrestling Entertainment make you more likely to vote for her for United States Senator, less likely or doesn't it make a difference?

• More likely 21%
• Less likely 30%
• No difference 47%

If Linda McMahon is elected United States Senator she would be Connecticut's first woman U.S. Senator. Does this make you more likely to vote for her, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?

• More likely 11%
• Less likely 5%
• No difference 83%

Have you seen any of Linda McMahon's television advertisements for this year's election for United States Senator? (If Yes:) From what you have seen of Linda McMahon's television ads, are they more informative or more annoying?

• Yes/Informative 41%
• Yes/Annoying 42%
• No/Haven't seen ads 12%

Have you seen any of Chris Murphy's television advertisements for this year's election for United States Senator? (If Yes:) From what you have seen of Chris Murphy's television ads, are they more informative or more annoying?

• Yes/Informative 29%
• Yes/Annoying 36%
• No/Haven't seen ads 28%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 50% (50%) [51%] {51%} (41%) [38%]
• Disapprove 38% (39%) [38%] {40%} (45%) [45%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 35% (37%) [39%] {44%} (35%) [32%]
• Disapprove 51% (52%) [49%] {46%} (49%) [50%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 68% (67%) [61%] {66%} (48%) [54%]
• Disapprove 24% (26%) [31%] {22%} (42%) [33%]

Among Independents

• Approve 52% (50%) [54%] {52%} (44%) [36%]
• Disapprove 35% (38%) [34%] {41%} (42%) [49%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 61% (61%) [64%] {60%} (54%) [49%]
• Disapprove 24% (25%) [23%] {23%} (25%) [25%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 79% (78%) [82%] {81%} (72%) [64%]
• Disapprove 7% (13%) [6%] {7%} (8%) [10%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 41% (36%) [44%] {35%} (38%) [31%]
• Disapprove 45% (45%) [42%] {46%} (43%) [45%]

Among Independents

• Approve 59% (62%) [62%] {56%} (50%) [49%]
• Disapprove 25% (24%) [24%] {24%} (28%) [26%]

Survey of 1,472 likely voters was conducted August 22-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% Democrat; 22% Republican; 40% Independent; 5% Other. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 14-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-13, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 1-7, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Linda McMahon 59% [51%] {50%}
• Chris Shays 30% [42%] {35%}

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY

• Chris Murphy 50% [37%] {36%}
• Susan Bysiewics 20% [25%] {26%}

GENERAL ELECTION

• Chris Murphy (D) 46% [52%] {49%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 43% [37%] {38%} 

• Chris Murphy (D) 45% [41%] {43%}
• Chris Shays (R) 37% [40%] {37%}

• Linda McMahon (R) 46% [39%] {38%}
• Susan Bysiewicz (D) 42% [49%] {46%}

• Chris Shays (R) 44% [43%] {42%}
• Susan Bysiewicz (D) 40% [42%] {40%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Shays 38% [47%] {41%} / 16% [13%] {14%} {+22%}
• Chris Murphy 37% [40%] {38%} / 17% [15%] {16%} {+20%}
• Linda McMahon 45% [40%] {38%} / 38% [44%] {45%} {+7%}
• Susan Bysiewicz 33% [39%] {39%} / 27% [27%] {27%} {+6%}

Do you think Linda McMahon has the right kind of experience to be a United States Senator from Connecticut or not?

• Yes 46%
• No 45%

Do you think Chris Shays has the right kind of experience to be a United States Senator from Connecticut or not?

• Yes 58%
• No 18%

Do you think Chris Murphy has the right kind of experience to be a United States Senator from Connecticut or not?

• Yes 50%
  
• No 22%

Do you think Susan Bysiewicz has the right kind of experience to be a United States Senator from Connecticut or not?

• Yes 37%
• No 39%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 50% [51%] {51%} (41%) [38%]
• Disapprove 39% [38%] {40%} (45%) [45%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 37% [39%] {44%} (35%) [32%]
• Disapprove 52% [49%] {46%} (49%) [50%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 67% [61%] {66%} (48%) [54%]
• Disapprove 26% [31%] {22%} (42%) [33%]

Among Independents

• Approve 50% [54%] {52%} (44%) [36%]
• Disapprove 38% [34%] {41%} (42%) [49%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 61% [64%] {60%} (54%) [49%]
• Disapprove 25% [23%] {23%} (25%) [25%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 78% [82%] {81%} (72%) [64%]
• Disapprove 13% [6%] {7%} (8%) [10%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 36% [44%] {35%} (38%) [31%]
• Disapprove 45% [42%] {46%} (43%) [45%]

Among Independents

• Approve 62% [62%] {56%} (50%) [49%]
• Disapprove 24% [24%] {24%} (28%) [26%]

Survey of 1,408 registered voters, including subsamples of 381 Republicans and 538 Democrats, was conducted May 29 - June 3, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 5 percentage points among Republicans; +/- 4.2 percentage points among Democrats.  Results from the poll conducted March 14-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-13, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 1-7, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Linda McMahon 51% {50%}
• Chris Shays 42% {35%}

Conservative

• Linda McMahon 59%
  
• Chris Shays 35%

Moderate

• Chris Shays 53%
• Linda McMahon 43%
  

College Degree

• Linda McMahon 47%
• Chris Shays 46%

No College Degree

• Linda McMahon 54%
• Chris Shays 39%

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY

• Chris Murphy 37% {36%}
• Susan Bysiewics 25% {26%}
• William Tong 4% {1%}

College Degree

• Chris Murphy 44%
  
• Susan Bysiewics 22%
  
• William Tong 4%

No College Degree

• Chris Murphy 32%
  
• Susan Bysiewics 28%
  
• William Tong 4%

GENERAL ELECTION

• Chris Murphy (D) 41% {43%}
• Chris Shays (R) 40% {37%}

• Chris Murphy (D) 52% {49%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 37% {38%}

• Chris Shays (R) 43% {42%}
• Susan Bysiewicz (D) 42% {40%}

• Susan Bysiewicz (D) 49% {46%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 39% {38%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Shays 47% {41%} / 13% {14%} {+34%}
• Chris Murphy 40% {38%} / 15% {16%} {+25%}
• Susan Bysiewicz 39% {39%} / 27% {27%} {+12%}
• Linda McMahon 40% {38%} / 44% {45%} {-4%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 51% {51%} (41%) [38%]
• Disapprove 38% {40%} (45%) [45%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 39% {44%} (35%) [32%]
• Disapprove 49% {46%} (49%) [50%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 61% {66%} (48%) [54%]
• Disapprove 31% {22%} (42%) [33%]

Among Independents

• Approve 54% {52%} (44%) [36%]
• Disapprove 34% {41%} (42%) [49%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 64% {60%} (54%) [49%]
• Disapprove 23% {23%} (25%) [25%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 82% {81%} (72%) [64%]
• Disapprove 6% {7%} (8%) [10%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 44% {35%} (38%) [31%]
• Disapprove 42% {46%} (43%) [45%]

Among Independents

• Approve 62% {56%} (50%) [49%]
• Disapprove 24% {24%} (28%) [26%]

Survey of 1,622 registered voters, including subsamples of 429 Republicans and 640 Democrats, was conducted March 14-19, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4.7 percentage points among Republicans; +/- 3.9 percentage points among Democrats. Party ID breakdown: 32% {33%} Democrat; 23% {21%} Republican; 39% {39%} Independent; 5% {5%} Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-13, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 1-7, 2011 are in square brackets.

Sens. Graham and Blumenthal on Fox News Sunday

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

• Chris Shays (R) 42%
• Susan Bysiewicz (D) 40%

• Susan Bysiewicz (D) 46%
• Linda McMahon (R) 38%

• Chris Murphy (D) 43%
• Chris Shays (R) 37%

• Chris Murphy (D) 49%
• Linda McMahon (R) 38%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Shays 41% / 14% {+27%}
• Chris Murphy 38% / 16% {+22%}
• Susan Bysiewicz 39% / 27% {+12%}
• Linda McMahon 38% / 45% {-7%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 51% (41%) [38%]
• Disapprove 40% (45%) [45%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 44% (35%) [32%]
• Disapprove 46% (49%) [50%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 66% (48%) [54%]
• Disapprove 22% (42%) [33%]

Among Independents

• Approve 52% (44%) [36%]
• Disapprove 41% (42%) [49%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 60% (54%) [49%]
• Disapprove 23% (25%) [25%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 81% (72%) [64%]
• Disapprove 7% (8%) [10%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 35% (38%) [31%]
• Disapprove 46% (43%) [45%]

Among Independents

• Approve 56% (50%) [49%]
• Disapprove 24% (28%) [26%]

Survey of 1,230 registered voters was conducted September 8-13, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 5.4 percentage points among Republicans. Party ID breakdown: 33% Democrat; 21% Republican; 39% Independent; 5% Other. Results from the poll conducted June 8-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 1-7, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut Political Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dannel Malloy is handling his job as Governor?

• Approve 38% (35%)
• Disapprove 44% (40%)

Do you think Dannel Malloy has been a better governor than Jodi Rell, a worse governor, or about the same?

• Better 20%
• Worse 32%
• About the same 37%

Regardless of how you feel about Dannel Malloy's policies, would you say you like or don't like Dannel Malloy as a person?

• Like 48%
• Don't like 18%

And regardless of how you feel about Dannel Malloy as a person, would you say you like or don't like most of Dannel Malloy's policies?

• Like 37%
• Don't like 50%

Turning to Connecticut's state budget... Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dannel Malloy is handling the budget?

• Approve 36% (32%)
• Disapprove 52% (51%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the state budget agreed to by Governor Malloy and the state legislature?

• Approve 35%
• Disapprove 50%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 41% (38%)
• Disapprove 45% (45%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 54% (49%)
• Disapprove 25% (25%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 53% (49%)
• Disapprove 44% (47%)

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... If the 2012 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for Barack Obama the Democratic candidate, or for the Republican candidate?

• Obama 46%
• Republican 35%
• Depends on candidate (vol.) 11%

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Yes/Deserves 51%
• No/Does not 43%

Do you think the new state budget has the right mix of tax increases and spending cuts or should there have been bigger spending cuts and smaller tax increases?

• Right mix 20%
• Bigger spending cuts/smaller tax increases 65%

Do you think this new state budget will improve Connecticut's economy, hurt Connecticut's economy, or not make a difference?

• Improve economy 22%
• Hurt economy 35%
• Not make difference 36%

Some people say that if the new budget raised taxes more on the wealthy that it would make Connecticut less economically competitive with nearby states. Do you agree or disagree?

• Agree 39%
• Disagree 57%

Both Governor Rell and Governor Malloy have promised the state public employee unions no layoffs for a total of six years in return for concessions. Do you think that is a good idea or a bad idea?

• Good idea 46%
• Bad idea 48%

As you may know, Connecticut will have a new law that requires large companies to offer five days of paid sick leave to service workers. Do you support or oppose this new law?

• Support 72%
• Oppose 25%

As you may know, Connecticut will have a new law that decriminalizes possession of small amounts of marijuana. Low-level marijuana users would be punished with a fine, instead of a criminal charge. Do you support or oppose this new law?

• Support 66%
• Oppose 31%

Survey of 1,311 registered voters was conducted June 8-13, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 1-7, 2011 are in parentheses.

Face the Nation: Sens. Kirk, Coons & Blumenthal

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut Senatorial Survey

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 53% (54%) {54%} [49%] (51%) [50%] {54%} (55%) [56%] {61%} (64%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 44% (42%) {43%} [46%] (45%) [40%] {37%} (35%) [31%] {28%} (23%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Blumenthal 53% (55%) {57%} [51%] (55%) [57%] {60%} (59%) [61%] {70%} (74%) / 43% (39%) {38%} [41%] (39%) [30%] {28%} (29%) [29%] {18%} (13%) {+10%}
• Linda McMahon 43% (43%) {46%} [42%] (45%) [43%] {43%} (38%) [32%] {36%} (24%) [20%] / 50% (51%) {46%} [43%] (41%) [37%] {37%} (35%) [39%] {26%} (21%) [13%] {-7%}

Survey of 930 likely voters was conducted October 25-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 21-26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28 - August 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-8, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-25, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 9-15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 8-12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-8, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-14 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Connecticut Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Connecticut Senatorial Survey

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 52% (54%) {50%} [52%] (50%) {51%} [47%] (53%) {56%} [48%] (52%) {55%} [60%] (56%) {58%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 45% (42%) {44%} [43%] (41%) {43%} [40%] (40%) {33%} [45%] (39%) {35%} [31%] (36%) {34%}

With Leaners

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 53% (56%) {51%} [54%] (50%) {53%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 46% (43%) {46%} [43%] (45%) {44%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 55% (57%) {54%} [56%] (56%) {59%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 45% (43%) {46%} [44%] (44%) {41%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Blumenthal 55% (58%) {54%} [59%] (61%) {62%} [59%] (61%) {64%} [66%] (72%) {69%} [72%] (70%) / 43% (42%) {44%} [39%] (38%) {38%} [39%] (36%) {32%} [32%] (23%) {28%} [26%] (27%) {+12%}
• Linda McMahon 47% (43%) {48%} [46%] (56%) {49%} [52%] (50%) {38%} [54%] (55%) {45%} [46%] (51%) / 51% (56%) {50%} [52%] (43%) {49%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [42%] (31%) {45%} [42%] (34%) {-4%}

How would you rate the job Jodi Rell has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 18% (15%) {18%} [17%] (21%) {18%} [18%] (17%) {15%} [20%] (17%) {17%} [18%] (22%)
• Somewhat approve 42% (45%) {42%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [47%] (44%) {38%} [36%] (43%) {43%} [47%] (45%)
• Somewhat disapprove 25% (27%) {24%} [29%] (24%) {24%} [22%] (21%) {24%} [29%] (28%) {20%} [19%] ( 23%)
• Strongly disapprove 14% (13%) {15%} [12%] (12%) {17%} [13%] (16%) {21%} [14%] (12%) {19%} [14%] (10%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 34% (37%) {33%} [37%] (35%) {36%} [32%] (32%) {29%} [39%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (32%) {39%} [36%] (44%)
• Somewhat approve 18% (17%) {20%} [16%] (18%) {19%} [23%] (22%) {27%} [20%] (17%) {20%} [19%] (19%) {17%} [21%] (15%)
• Somewhat disapprove 7% (7%) {8%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {10%} [11%] (10%) {8%} [10%] (9%)
• Strongly disapprove 40% (39%) {37%} [38%] (39%) {35%} [37%] (37%) {32%} [29%] (32%) {34%} [35%] (39%) {35%} [33%] (30%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 44% (42%) {43%} [40%] (40%) Democrat; 30% (31%) {31%} [30%] (31%) Republican; 26% (27%) {26%} [29%] (29%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 14, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 1, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 18, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 4, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 6, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 7, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10, 2009 are in parentheses. 

Inside the numbers:

Blumenthal has the backing of 83% of Connecticut Democrats, while 85% of Republicans support McMahon.  The Republican candidate has a 5-point lead among voters not affiliated with either party.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut Political Survey

PPP (D) Connecticut Political Survey

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• Tom Foley (R) 49% [40%]
• Dan Malloy (D) 47% [50%]
• Undecided 4% [10%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Foley 41% [41%] / 38% [40%] {+3%}
• Dan Malloy 39% [48%] / 40% [30%] {-1%}

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 54% [53%]
• Linda McMahon (R) 43% [41%]
• Undecided 3% [7%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Blumenthal 50% / 40% {+10%}
• Linda McMahon 37% / 52% {-15%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Jodi Rell’s job performance?

• Approve 55% [51%]
• Disapprove 31% [37%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Joe Lieberman’s job performance?

• Approve 33%
• Disapprove 54%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Chris Dodd’s job performance?

• Approve 36%
• Disapprove 52%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 46%
• Disapprove 44%

Survey of 759 likely voters was conducted October 27-29, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% [41%] Democrat; 27% [28%] Republican; 31% [31%] Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 52% [49%] Moderate; 28% [32%] Conservative; 21% [19%] Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 2, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group Connecticut Political Survey

CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group Connecticut Political Survey

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 51.8% [52.4%]
• Linda McMahon (R) 43.8% [44.7%]
• Neither 1.8%
• Not sure 2.5% [2.9%] 

Survey of 1,846 likely voters was conducted October 24-26, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 3, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut Senatorial Survey

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 54% {54%} [49%] (51%) [50%] {54%} (55%) [56%] {61%} (64%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 42% {43%} [46%] (45%) [40%] {37%} (35%) [31%] {28%} (23%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Blumenthal 55% {57%} [51%] (55%) [57%] {60%} (59%) [61%] {70%} (74%) / 39% {38%} [41%] (39%) [30%] {28%} (29%) [29%] {18%} (13%) {+16%}
• Linda McMahon 43% {46%} [42%] (45%) [43%] {43%} (38%) [32%] {36%} (24%) [20%] / 51% {46%} [43%] (41%) [37%] {37%} (35%) [39%] {26%} (21%) [13%] {-8%}

Survey of 702 likely voters was conducted October 18-24, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 21-26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28 - August 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-8, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-25, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 9-15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 8-12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-8, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-14 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Connecticut Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Connecticut Senatorial Survey

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 54% {50%} [52%] (50%) {51%} [47%] (53%) {56%} [48%] (52%) {55%} [60%] (56%) {58%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 42% {44%} [43%] (41%) {43%} [40%] (40%) {33%} [45%] (39%) {35%} [31%] (36%) {34%}

With Leaners

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 56% {51%} [54%] (50%) {53%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 43% {46%} [43%] (45%) {44%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 57% {54%} [56%] (56%) {59%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 43% {46%} [44%] (44%) {41%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Blumenthal 58% {54%} [59%] (61%) {62%} [59%] (61%) {64%} [66%] (72%) {69%} [72%] (70%) / 42% {44%} [39%] (38%) {38%} [39%] (36%) {32%} [32%] (23%) {28%} [26%] (27%) {+16%}
• Linda McMahon 43% {48%} [46%] (56%) {49%} [52%] (50%) {38%} [54%] (55%) {45%} [46%] (51%) / 56% {50%} [52%] (43%) {49%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [42%] (31%) {45%} [42%] (34%) {-13%}

In political terms, please tell me whether Richard Blumenthal is very conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal or very liberal.

• Very conservative 3% [8%]
• Somewhat conservative 6% [10%]
• Moderate 32% [21%] 
• Somewhat liberal 31% [29%]
• Very liberal 23% [18%]

In political terms, please tell me whether Linda McMahon is very conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal or very liberal.

• Very conservative 40% [27%]
• Somewhat conservative 38% [32%]
• Moderate 12% [17%]
• Somewhat liberal 3% [6%]
• Very liberal 3% [4%]

Would it be more accurate to describe Richard Blumenthal’s views as mainstream or extreme?

• Mainstream 56% [55%]
• Extreme 32% [29%]

Would it be more accurate to describe Linda McMahon’s views as mainstream or extreme?

• Mainstream  43% [52%]
• Extreme 48% [36%]

How would you rate the job Jodi Rell has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 15% {18%} [17%] (21%) {18%} [18%] (17%) {15%} [20%] (17%) {17%} [18%] (22%)
• Somewhat approve 45% {42%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [47%] (44%) {38%} [36%] (43%) {43%} [47%] (45%)
• Somewhat disapprove 27% {24%} [29%] (24%) {24%} [22%] (21%) {24%} [29%] (28%) {20%} [19%] ( 23%)
• Strongly disapprove 13% {15%} [12%] (12%) {17%} [13%] (16%) {21%} [14%] (12%) {19%} [14%] (10%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 37% {33%} [37%] (35%) {36%} [32%] (32%) {29%} [39%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (32%) {39%} [36%] (44%)
• Somewhat approve 17% {20%} [16%] (18%) {19%} [23%] (22%) {27%} [20%] (17%) {20%} [19%] (19%) {17%} [21%] (15%)
• Somewhat disapprove 7% {8%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {10%} [11%] (10%) {8%} [10%] (9%)
• Strongly disapprove 39% {37%} [38%] (39%) {35%} [37%] (37%) {32%} [29%] (32%) {34%} [35%] (39%) {35%} [33%] (30%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 24, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% {43%} [40%] (40%) Democrat; 31% {31%} [30%] (31%) Republican; 27% {26%} [29%] (29%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 14, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 1, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 18, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 4, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 6, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 7, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10, 2009 are in parentheses. 

Inside the numbers:

Blumenthal has the backing of 89% of Connecticut Democrats, while 83% of Republicans support McMahon.  The Democratic candidate has a two-point lead among voters not affiliated with either party.

Poll Watch: Suffolk University Connecticut Political Survey

Suffolk University Connecticut Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 57%
• Linda McMahon (R) 39%
• Other 3%
• Undecided 2%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Blumenthal 56%  / 34% {+22%}
• Linda McMahon 33%  / 52% {-19%}

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION 

• Dan Malloy (D) 49%
• Tom Foley (R) 38%
• Other 4% 
• Undecided 8%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dan Malloy 41% / 29% {+12%}
• Tom Foley 32% / 36% {-4%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 46%
• Disapprove 42%

Is your opinion of Barack Obama generally favorable or generally unfavorable?

• Favorable 54%
• Unfavorable 40%

Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton generally favorable or generally unfavorable?

• Favorable 65%
• Unfavorable 26%

Currently possession of a "Useable Amount" of marijuana is treated as a misdemeanor, punishable by up to one year in jail or fine of up to $1,000 for the first offense. Democratic candidate for Governor Dan Malloy has said he supports decriminalizing possession of small amounts of marijuana. His opponent, Republican Tom Foley has come out against decriminalizing marijuana. Both candidates oppose full legalization. 

At this time, which of the following describes how you feel about marijuana laws in Connecticut? One, it should be fully legal to have one ounce or less for personal use; two, It should be decriminalized to have one ounce or less for personal use; three, It should be legal only when prescribed by a doctor to have one ounce or less or; four, possession of one ounce or less should be illegal under any circumstances.

• It should be fully legal to have one ounce or less for personal use 17%
• It should be decriminalized to have one ounce or less for personal use 24%
• It should be legal only when prescribed by a doctor to have one ounce or less. 37%
• Possession of one ounce or less should be illegal under any circumstances. 18%

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 19-20, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 37% Democrat; 21% Republican; 42% Independent. 

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Connecticut Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Connecticut Senatorial Survey

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 50% [52%] (50%) {51%} [47%] (53%) {56%} [48%] (52%) {55%} [60%] (56%) {58%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 44% [43%] (41%) {43%} [40%] (40%) {33%} [45%] (39%) {35%} [31%] (36%) {34%}

With Leaners

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 51% [54%] (50%) {53%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 46% [43%] (45%) {44%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 54% [56%] (56%) {59%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 46% [44%] (44%) {41%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Blumenthal 54% [59%] (61%) {62%} [59%] (61%) {64%} [66%] (72%) {69%} [72%] (70%) / 44% [39%] (38%) {38%} [39%] (36%) {32%} [32%] (23%) {28%} [26%] (27%) {+10%}
• Linda McMahon 48% [46%] (56%) {49%} [52%] (50%) {38%} [54%] (55%) {45%} [46%] (51%) / 50% [52%] (43%) {49%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [42%] (31%) {45%} [42%] (34%) {-2%}

How would you rate the job Jodi Rell has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 18% [17%] (21%) {18%} [18%] (17%) {15%} [20%] (17%) {17%} [18%] (22%)
• Somewhat approve 42% [42%] (41%) {41%} [47%] (44%) {38%} [36%] (43%) {43%} [47%] (45%)
• Somewhat disapprove 24% [29%] (24%) {24%} [22%] (21%) {24%} [29%] (28%) {20%} [19%] ( 23%)
• Strongly disapprove 15% [12%] (12%) {17%} [13%] (16%) {21%} [14%] (12%) {19%} [14%] (10%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 33% [37%] (35%) {36%} [32%] (32%) {29%} [39%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (32%) {39%} [36%] (44%)
• Somewhat approve 20% [16%] (18%) {19%} [23%] (22%) {27%} [20%] (17%) {20%} [19%] (19%) {17%} [21%] (15%)
• Somewhat disapprove 8% [8%] (8%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {10%} [11%] (10%) {8%} [10%] (9%)
• Strongly disapprove 37% [38%] (39%) {35%} [37%] (37%) {32%} [29%] (32%) {34%} [35%] (39%) {35%} [33%] (30%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 14, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 43% [40%] (40%) Democrat; 31% [30%] (31%) Republican; 26% [29%] (29%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 1, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 18, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 4, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 6, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 7, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10, 2009 are in parentheses. 

Inside the numbers:

McMahon picks up 87% of the vote from Republicans, while Blumenthal is backed by 83% of Democrats.  The Republican candidate has a slim one-point lead among voters not affiliated with either party.

Quinnipiac Connecticut Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut Senatorial Survey

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 54% [49%] (51%) [50%] {54%} (55%) [56%] {61%} (64%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 43% [46%] (45%) [40%] {37%} (35%) [31%] {28%} (23%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Blumenthal 57% [51%] (55%) [57%] {60%} (59%) [61%] {70%} (74%) / 38% [41%] (39%) [30%] {28%} (29%) [29%] {18%} (13%) {+19%}
• Linda McMahon 46% [42%] (45%) [43%] {43%} (38%) [32%] {36%} (24%) [20%] / 46% [43%] (41%) [37%] {37%} (35%) [39%] {26%} (21%) [13%] {0%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as State Attorney General?

• Approve 69% [68%] (70%) {72%} (73%) [76%] {79%} (84%) [78%] {78%}
• Disapprove 26% [29%] (26%) {21%} (22%) [16%] {13%} (11%) [13%] {14%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 47% [45%] (45%) {50%} (53%) {54%} (55%) [58%] {57%}
• Disapprove 47% [51%] (52%) {44%} (42%) {42%} (41%) [35%] {36%}

Survey of 1,119 likely voters was conducted October 7-11, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 21-26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28 - August 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-8, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-25, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 9-15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 8-12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-8, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-14 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Connecticut Political Survey

Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Connecticut Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 49% (52%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 43% (42%)
• Other 3% (3%)
• Not sure 5% (4%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Blumenthal 53% (55%)  / 40% (37%) {+13%}
• Linda McMahon 44% (40%)  / 48% (51%) {-4%}

Regardless of how you plan to vote, is Richard Blumenthal honest and trustworthy?

• Yes 42% (48%)
• No 42% (35%)

Regardless of how you plan to vote, is Linda McMahon honest and trustworthy?

• Yes 38% (36%)
• No 39% (38%)

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION 

• Dan Malloy (D) 45% (47%)
• Tom Foley (R) 41% (41%)
• Other 4% (2%)
• Not sure 10% (9%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 42% (48%)
• Disapprove 49% (46%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 9, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 2, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/Time/Opinion Research Connecticut Political Survey

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Connecticut Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 54%
• Linda McMahon (R) 41% 

Gubernatorial Election

• Dan Malloy (D) 50%
• Tom Foley (R) 42%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 46%
• Disapprove 49%

Survey of 773 likely voters was conducted October 1-5, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Rasmussen Connecticut Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Connecticut Senatorial Survey

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 52% (50%) {51%} [47%] (53%) {56%} [48%] (52%) {55%} [60%] (56%) {58%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 43% (41%) {43%} [40%] (40%) {33%} [45%] (39%) {35%} [31%] (36%) {34%}

With Leaners

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 54% (50%) {53%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 43% (45%) {44%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 56% (56%) {59%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 44% (44%) {41%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Blumenthal 59% (61%) {62%} [59%] (61%) {64%} [66%] (72%) {69%} [72%] (70%) / 39% (38%) {38%} [39%] (36%) {32%} [32%] (23%) {28%} [26%] (27%) {+20%}
• Linda McMahon 46% (56%) {49%} [52%] (50%) {38%} [54%] (55%) {45%} [46%] (51%) / 52% (43%) {49%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [42%] (31%) {45%} [42%] (34%) {-6%}

How would you rate the job Jodi Rell has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 17% (21%) {18%} [18%] (17%) {15%} [20%] (17%) {17%} [18%] (22%)
• Somewhat approve 42% (41%) {41%} [47%] (44%) {38%} [36%] (43%) {43%} [47%] (45%)
• Somewhat disapprove 29% (24%) {24%} [22%] (21%) {24%} [29%] (28%) {20%} [19%] ( 23%)
• Strongly disapprove 12% (12%) {17%} [13%] (16%) {21%} [14%] (12%) {19%} [14%] (10%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 37% (35%) {36%} [32%] (32%) {29%} [39%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (32%) {39%} [36%] (44%)
• Somewhat approve 16% (18%) {19%} [23%] (22%) {27%} [20%] (17%) {20%} [19%] (19%) {17%} [21%] (15%)
• Somewhat disapprove 8% (8%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {10%} [11%] (10%) {8%} [10%] (9%)
• Strongly disapprove 38% (39%) {35%} [37%] (37%) {32%} [29%] (32%) {34%} [35%] (39%) {35%} [33%] (30%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 5, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 40% (40%) Democrat; 30% (31%) Republican; 29% (29%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 1, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 18, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 4, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 6, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 7, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10, 2009 are in parentheses. 

Inside the numbers:

Eighty-seven percent (87%) of Connecticut Democrats support Blumenthal, while 84% of the state’s GOP voters back McMahon. The Democratic candidate leads, 51-44%, among voters not affiliated with either party.

Poll Watch: CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group Connecticut Political Survey

CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group Connecticut Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 52.4%
• Linda McMahon (R) 44.7%
• Not sure 2.9% 

Gubernatorial Election

• Dan Malloy (D) 47.5%
• Tom Foley (R) 44.9%
• Not sure 7.6%

Survey of 1,623 likely voters was conducted October 3, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 37% Democrat; 25% Republican; 37% Independent/Other.