Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

CNU Virginia 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (47%)
• Donald Trump (R) 35% (40%)

Survey of 1,167 likely voters was conducted March 23 - April 3, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 8, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

CNU Virginia 2016 Presidential Poll

• Ben Carson (R) 49%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43%

• Chris Christie (R) 47% {45%} [42%] (41%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {47%} [49%] (43%)

• Carly Fiorina (R) 47%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43%

• Jeb Bush (R) 46% {48%} [43%] (38%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {46%} [48%] (51%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {49%} [51%] (48%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 45% {45%} [42%] (40%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
• Donald Trump (R) 40%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {49%} (47%)
• Ted Cruz (R) 41% {44%} (37%)

Survey of 1,067 registered voters was conducted September 29 - October 8, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Party ID: 24% {24%} [25%] (27%) Democrat; 21% {22%} [21%] (21%) Republican; 50% {52%} [51%] (50%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted April 13-24, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 23-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

CNU Virginia 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 40% {80%} [65%] (66%)
• Joe Biden 23% {5%} [8%] (19%)
• Bernie Sanders 23% {2%} [2%]
• Jim Webb 5% {6%} [10%]
• Martin O'Malley 2% {1%} [1%]
• Lincoln Chafee 0% {0%}

Survey of 407 registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independent voters was conducted September 29 - October 8, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 13-24, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 23-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Republican Primary Survey

CNU Virginia 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll 

• Donald Trump 23% {5%}
• Ben Carson 17% {7%} [9%]
• Marco Rubio 14% {16%} [6%] (4%)
• Carly Fiorina 13% {1%}
• Jeb Bush 9% {17%} [21%] (18%)
• Ted Cruz 5% {7%} [3%] (9%)
• Chris Christie 4% {10%} [10%] (19%)
• Mike Huckabee 3% {6%} [10%] (13%)
• John Kasich 2% {0%} [3%]
• Rand Paul 2% {10%} [6%] (7%)
• Lindsey Graham 1%
• Rick Santorum 0% {0%} [1%] 
• George Pataki 0%
• Bobby Jindal 0% {2%} [2%]
• Jim Gilmore 0%

Survey of 412 registered Republican and GOP-leaning Independent voters was conducted September 29 - October 8, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 13-24, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 23-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

CNU Virginia 2016 Presidential Poll

• Jeb Bush (R) 48% [43%] (38%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [48%] (51%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [49%] (43%)
• Chris Christie (R) 45% [42%] (41%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [52%] (47%)
• Rand Paul (R) 47% [42%] (40%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [52%] (52%)
• Mike Huckabee (R) 46% [42%] (37%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [51%] (48%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 45% [42%] (40%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (46%)
• Scott Walker (R) 43% (35%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (47%)
• Ted Cruz (R) 44% (37%)

Survey of 658 registered voters was conducted April 13-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 24% [25%] (27%) Democrat; 22% [21%] (21%) Republican; 52% [51%] (50%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 23-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

CNU Virginia 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 80% [65%] (66%)
• Jim Webb 6% [10%]
• Joe Biden 5% [8%] (19%)
• Bernie Sanders 2% [2%]
• Martin O'Malley 1% [1%]
• Lincoln Chafee 0%

Survey of registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independent voters was conducted April 13-24, 2015. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 23-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Republican Primary Survey

CNU Virginia 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll

• Jeb Bush 17% [21%] (18%)
• Marco Rubio 16% [6%] (4%)
• Chris Christie 10% [10%] (19%)
• Rand Paul 10% [6%] (7%)
• Scott Walker 10% [16%] (3%) 
• Ben Carson 7% [9%]
• Ted Cruz 7% [3%] (9%)
• Mike Huckabee 6% [10%] (13%)
• Donald Trump 5%
• Bobby Jindal 2% [2%]
• Carly Fiorina 1%
• John Kasich 0% [3%]
• Rick Perry 0% [1%]
• Rick Santorum 0% [1%] 

Survey of registered Republican and GOP-leaning Independent voters was conducted April 13-24, 2015. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 23-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

CNU Virginia 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (51%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 43% (38%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (43%)
• Chris Christie (R) 42% (41%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (48%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 42% (40%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52% (52%)
• Paul Ryan (R) 42% (37%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52% (52%)
• Mike Huckabee (R) 42% (37%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52% (47%)
• Rand Paul (R) 42% (40%)

Survey of 794 registered voters was conducted January 30 - February 10, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 25% (27%) Democrat; 21% (21%) Republican; 51% (50%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted February 23-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

CNU Virginia 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 65% (66%)
• Jim Webb 10%
• Joe Biden 8% (19%)
• Elizabeth Warren 8% (7%) 
• Deval Patrick 2%
• Bernie Sanders 2% 
• Andrew Cuomo 1%
• Martin O'Malley 1%
• Someone else 1%
• Undecided 2% (9%)

Survey of registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independent voters was conducted January 30 - February 10, 2015. Results from the poll conducted February 23-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Republican Primary Survey

CNU Virginia 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll

• Jeb Bush 21% (18%)
• Scott Walker 16% (3%) 
• Mike Huckabee 10% (13%)
• Chris Christie 10% (19%)
• Ben Carson 9%
• Rand Paul 6% (7%)
• Marco Rubio 6% (4%)
• Paul Ryan 5% (13%)
• Ted Cruz 3% (9%) 
• John Kasich 3%
• Bobby Jindal 2% 
• Rick Perry 1%
• Mike Pence 1%
• Rob Portman 1%
• Rick Santorum 1% 
• Undecided 4% (13%)

Survey of registered Republican and GOP-leaning Independent voters was conducted January 30 - February 10, 2015. Results from the poll conducted February 23-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

CNU Virginia 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
• Chris Christie (R) 41%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
• Rand Paul (R) 40%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• Marco Rubio (R) 40%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
• Ted Cruz (R) 37%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
• Scott Walker (R) 35%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
• Jeb Bush (R) 38%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
• Paul Ryan (R) 37%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 37%

Among Independents

• Chris Christie (R) 42%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 36%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
• Rand Paul (R) 37%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
• Marco Rubio (R) 34%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
• Ted Cruz (R) 37%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
• Scott Walker (R) 33%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
• Jeb Bush (R) 36%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
• Paul Ryan (R) 36%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 36%

Among Men

• Chris Christie (R) 44%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40%

• Rand Paul (R) 46%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
• Marco Rubio (R) 42%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
• Ted Cruz (R) 42%

• Scott Walker (R) 49%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
• Jeb Bush (R) 42%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
• Paul Ryan (R) 42%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 40%

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
• Chris Christie (R) 38%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
• Rand Paul (R) 33%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
• Marco Rubio (R) 38%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
• Ted Cruz (R) 33%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
• Scott Walker (R) 31%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
• Jeb Bush (R) 35%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
• Paul Ryan (R) 33%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 60%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 34% 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Christie 46% / 30% {+16%}
• Hillary Clinton 51% / 42% {+9%}
• Marco Rubio 29% / 27% {+2%}
• Scott Walker 19% / 19% {0%}
• Elizabeth Warren 18% / 25% {-7%}
• Paul Ryan 29% / 38% {-9%}
• Jeb Bush 30% / 42% {-12%}
• Rand Paul 25% / 40% {-15%}
• Mike Huckabee 28% / 44% {-16%}
• Ted Cruz 16% / 34% {-18%}
• Joe Biden 33% / 56% {-23%}

Survey of 901 registered voters was conducted February 23-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 27% Democrat; 21% Republican; 50% Independent.

Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

CNU Virginia 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 66%
• Joe Biden 19%
• Elizabeth Warren 7%
• Undecided 9%

Survey of 391 registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independent voters was conducted February 23-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Republican Primary Survey

CNU Virginia 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll

• Chris Christie 19%
• Jeb Bush 18%
• Mike Huckabee 13%
• Paul Ryan 13%
• Ted Cruz 9% 
• Rand Paul 7%
• Marco Rubio 4% 
• Scott Walker 3%
• Undecided 13%

Survey of 338 registered Republican and GOP-leaning Independent voters was conducted February 23-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points.