Poll Watch: Democracy Corps (D) 2016 National Presidential Survey

Democracy Corps (D) 2016 National Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Mitt Romney (R) 43%
  

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
• Jeb Bush (R) 40%
  

National survey of 950 likely voters was conducted January 7-11, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: NPR/Democracy Corps (D)/Resurgent Republic (R) 2012 Presidential Survey

NPR/Democracy Corps (D)/Resurgent Republic (R) 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48% [44%] (45%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 47% [51%] (47%)

Battleground States

• Barack Obama 50% [50%] (46%)
• Mitt Romney 46% [44%] (46%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Paul Ryan 50% / 40% {+10%}
• Mitt Romney 51% / 45% {+6%}
• Barack Obama 51% / 48% {+3%}
• Joe Biden 46% / 48% {-2%}
  

Battleground States

• Barack Obama 54% / 44% {+10%}
• Joe Biden 48% / 46% {+2%}
• Paul Ryan 44% / 44% {0%}
• Mitt Romney 46% / 49% {-3%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 49% [50%] (49%)
  
• Disapprove 49% [46%] (46%)

Battleground States

• Approve 52% [48%] (48%)
  
• Disapprove 46% [49%] (49%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?

• Approve 47% [51%]
  
• Disapprove 52% [47%]

Battleground States

• Approve 49% [49%]
  
• Disapprove 48% [49%]

Do you think Barack Obama has laid out a clear agenda for what he would like to do over the next four years if he is reelected as President?

• Yes, has laid out agenda 55%
• No, has not laid out agenda 43%

Battleground States

• Yes, has laid out agenda 58%
• No, has not laid out agenda 40%

Do you think Mitt Romney has laid out a clear agenda for what he would like to do over the next four years if he is reelected as President?

• Yes, has laid out agenda 49%
• No, has not laid out agenda 49%

Battleground States

• Yes, has laid out agenda 48%
• No, has not laid out agenda 50%

Which candidate do you trust more to handle each of the following issues:

Jobs and the economy

• Mitt Romney 50%
• Barack Obama 46%

The federal deficit and debt

• Mitt Romney 51%
• Barack Obama 43%

Federal taxes

• Mitt Romney 49%
• Barack Obama 47%

Health care

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 47%

Medicare

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 45%

Foreign policy and diplomacy

• Barack Obama 52%
• Mitt Romney 43%

National security and military affairs

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 46%

BATTLEGROUND STATES

Jobs and the economy

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 48%

The federal deficit and debt

• Mitt Romney 48%
• Barack Obama 47%

Federal taxes

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 46%

Health care

• Barack Obama 52%
• Mitt Romney 43%

Medicare

• Barack Obama 54%
• Mitt Romney 40%

Foreign policy and diplomacy

• Barack Obama 56%
• Mitt Romney 40%

National security and military affairs

• Barack Obama 52%
• Mitt Romney 43%

Did what you saw in the debates make you more likely to vote for Mitt Romney, more likely to vote for Barack Obama, or did the debates have no effect on your vote?

• More likely Romney 34%
• More likely Obama 28%
• No effect 36% 

Battleground States

• More likely Romney 33%
• More likely Obama 28%
• No effect 37%

Survey of 1,000 likely voters, including an oversample of 462 voters in 12 battleground states (CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI), was conducted October 23-25, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3.1 percentage points among all likely voters; ± 4.56 percentage points among voters in battleground states.  Party ID (all likely voters): 35% [37%] (36%) Democrat; 31% [30%] (29%) Republican; 33% [32%] (31%) Independent.  Party ID (Battleground States): 40% Democrat; 31% Republican; 27% Independent.  Ideology (all likely voters): 21% Very conservative; 23% Somewhat conservative; 25% Moderate; 16% Somewhat liberal; 10% Very liberal.  Ideology (Battleground States): 19% Very conservative; 25% Somewhat conservative; 24% Moderate; 17% Somewhat liberal; 10% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 26-30, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49% (50%) {49.1%} [50%] (49%) {47%} [49%] (47%) {45%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 46% (45%) {47.1%} [46%] (46%) {47%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [48%] (46%)

I am going to read an issue and I want you to tell me whether, overall, you think Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would do a better job with that issue.

The Economy

• Mitt Romney 49% (47%)
• Barack Obama 45% (45%)

Having plans for a better economy

• Mitt Romney 47%
• Barack Obama 45%

National security and foreign affairs

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 43%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 50% (49%) {47.0%} [50%] (47%) {45%} [50%] (44%) {40%} [45%] (46%) {49%} [44%] (47%)
• Disapprove 48% (48%) {49.7%} [46%] (48%) {50%} [46%] (49%) {53%} [50%] (48%) {45%} [50%] (47%)

Thinking about the elections for Congress in 2012, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?

• Democratic candidate 47% (46%) {45.6%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (47%) {46%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (44%)
• Republican candidate 44% (46%) {46.8%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (47%) {45%} [47%] (47%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 18-21, 2012 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner.  The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (41%) [38%] (37%) {37%} [39%] (40%) {35%} [38%] (35%) {38%} [38%] (34%) Democrat; 29% (30%) [33%] (31%) {31%} [31%] (31%) {31%} [33%] (32%) {31%} [36%] (34%) Republican; 30% (28%) [25%] (28%) {29%} [26%] (26%) {32%} [26%] (30%) {28%} [23%] (28%) Independent. Political ideology: 38% (39%) [37%] (39%) {39%} [41%] (41%) {38%} [42%] (43%) {41%} [43%] (42%) Conservative; 36% (32%) [33%] (33%) {32%} [30%] (35%) {36%} [35%] (33%) {31%} [34%] (34%) Moderate; 21% (22%) [22%] (21%) {21%} [22%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (19%) {21%} [18%] (18%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 23-27, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 8-11, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 21-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10-12, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NPR/Democracy Corps (D)/Resurgent Republic (R) 2012 Presidential Survey

NPR/Democracy Corps (D)/Resurgent Republic (R) 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 51% (47%)
• Mitt Romney 44% (45%)

Battleground States

• Barack Obama 50% (46%)
• Mitt Romney 44% (46%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 50% (49%)
  
• Disapprove 46% (46%)

Battleground States

• Approve 48% (48%)
  
• Disapprove 49% (49%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?

• Approve 51%
  
• Disapprove 47%

Battleground States

• Approve 49%
  
• Disapprove 49%

Survey of 800 likely voters, including an oversample of 265 voters in 12 battleground states (CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI), was conducted September 26-30, 2012. The margin of error is ± 4.0 percentage points among all likely voters.  Party ID: 37% (36%) Democrat; 30% (29%) Republican; 32% (31%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 50% {49.1%} [50%] (49%) {47%} [49%] (47%) {45%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 45% {47.1%} [46%] (46%) {47%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [48%] (46%)

I am going to read an issue and I want you to tell me whether, overall, you think Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would do a better job with that issue.

The Economy

• Mitt Romney 47%
• Barack Obama 45%

Medicare

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 43%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 49% {47.0%} [50%] (47%) {45%} [50%] (44%) {40%} [45%] (46%) {49%} [44%] (47%)
• Disapprove 48% {49.7%} [46%] (48%) {50%} [46%] (49%) {53%} [50%] (48%) {45%} [50%] (47%)

I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections for Congress in 2012, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic House candidate or the Republican House candidate?

• Republican candidate 46% {46.8%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (47%) {45%} [47%] (47%)
• Democratic candidate 46% {45.6%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (47%) {46%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (44%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted September 8-12, 2012 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 41% [38%] (37%) {37%} [39%] (40%) {35%} [38%] (35%) {38%} [38%] (34%) Democrat; 30% [33%] (31%) {31%} [31%] (31%) {31%} [33%] (32%) {31%} [36%] (34%) Republican; 28% [25%] (28%) {29%} [26%] (26%) {32%} [26%] (30%) {28%} [23%] (28%) Independent. Political ideology: 39% [37%] (39%) {39%} [41%] (41%) {38%} [42%] (43%) {41%} [43%] (42%) Conservative; 32% [33%] (33%) {32%} [30%] (35%) {36%} [35%] (33%) {31%} [34%] (34%) Moderate; 22% [22%] (21%) {21%} [22%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (19%) {21%} [18%] (18%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 23-27, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 8-11, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 21-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10-12, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49.1% [50%] (49%) {47%} [49%] (47%) {45%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 47.1% [46%] (46%) {47%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [48%] (46%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 47.0% [50%] (47%) {45%} [50%] (44%) {40%} [45%] (46%) {49%} [44%] (47%)
• Disapprove 49.7% [46%] (48%) {50%} [46%] (49%) {53%} [50%] (48%) {45%} [50%] (47%)

I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections for Congress in 2012, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic House candidate or the Republican House candidate?

• Republican candidate 46.8% [46%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (47%) {45%} [47%] (47%)
• Democratic candidate 45.6% [46%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (47%) {46%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (44%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted August 23-27, 2012 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: [38%] (37%) {37%} [39%] (40%) {35%} [38%] (35%) {38%} [38%] (34%) Democrat; [33%] (31%) {31%} [31%] (31%) {31%} [33%] (32%) {31%} [36%] (34%) Republican; [25%] (28%) {29%} [26%] (26%) {32%} [26%] (30%) {28%} [23%] (28%) Independent. Political ideology: [37%] (39%) {39%} [41%] (41%) {38%} [42%] (43%) {41%} [43%] (42%) Conservative; [33%] (33%) {32%} [30%] (35%) {36%} [35%] (33%) {31%} [34%] (34%) Moderate; [22%] (21%) {21%} [22%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (19%) {21%} [18%] (18%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 23-27, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 8-11, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 21-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10-12, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 50% (49%) {47%} [49%] (47%) {45%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 46% (46%) {47%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [48%] (46%)

I am going to read you a list of issues and I want you to tell me whether, overall, you think Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would do a better job with each issue.

The economy

• Barack Obama 45% (44%)
• Mitt Romney 44% (45%)

On your side

• Barack Obama 44% (44%)
  
• Mitt Romney 37% (37%)

Sharing my values

• Barack Obama 49% (45%)
  
• Mitt Romney 37% (43%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 50% (47%) {45%} [50%] (44%) {40%} [45%] (46%) {49%} [44%] (47%)
• Disapprove 46% (48%) {50%} [46%] (49%) {53%} [50%] (48%) {45%} [50%] (47%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job in charge of the House of Representatives?

• Approve 32% (32%) {28%} [26%] (26%) {27%} [31%] (32%) {33%} [38%]
• Disapprove 64% (62%) {63%} [68%] (66%) {65%} [64%] (60%) {59%} [55%]

I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections for Congress in 2012, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic House candidate or the Republican House candidate?

• Republican candidate 46% (46%) {45%} [45%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (47%) {45%} [47%] (47%)
• Democratic candidate 46% (45%) {46%} [47%] (47%) {46%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (44%)

Survey of 700 likely voters was conducted July 21-25, 2012 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 38% (37%) {37%} [39%] (40%) {35%} [38%] (35%) {38%} [38%] (34%) Democrat; 33% (31%) {31%} [31%] (31%) {31%} [33%] (32%) {31%} [36%] (34%) Republican; 25% (28%) {29%} [26%] (26%) {32%} [26%] (30%) {28%} [23%] (28%) Independent. Political ideology: 37% (39%) {39%} [41%] (41%) {38%} [42%] (43%) {41%} [43%] (42%) Conservative; 33% (33%) {32%} [30%] (35%) {36%} [35%] (33%) {31%} [34%] (34%) Moderate; 22% (21%) {21%} [22%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (19%) {21%} [18%] (18%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 23-27, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 8-11, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 21-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10-12, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49% {47%} [49%] (47%) {45%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 46% {47%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [48%] (46%)

I am going to read you a list of issues and I want you to tell me whether, overall, you think Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would do a better job with each issue.

The economy

• Mitt Romney 45%
• Barack Obama 44%

Having the right approach to taxes

• Barack Obama 44%
• Mitt Romney 42%

On your side

• Barack Obama 44%
  
• Mitt Romney 37%

Sharing my values

• Barack Obama 45%
  
• Mitt Romney 43%

Looking out for the middle class

• Barack Obama 49%
  
• Mitt Romney 41%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 47% {45%} [50%] (44%) {40%} [45%] (46%) {49%} [44%] (47%)
• Disapprove 48% {50%} [46%] (49%) {53%} [50%] (48%) {45%} [50%] (47%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job in charge of the House of Representatives?

• Approve 32% {28%} [26%] (26%) {27%} [31%] (32%) {33%} [38%]
• Disapprove 62% {63%} [68%] (66%) {65%} [64%] (60%) {59%} [55%]

I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections for Congress in 2012, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic House candidate or the Republican House candidate?

• Republican candidate 46% {45%} [45%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (47%) {45%} [47%] (47%)
• Democratic candidate 45% {46%} [47%] (47%) {46%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (44%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted June 23-27, 2012 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner.  The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 37% {37%} [39%] (40%) {35%} [38%] (35%) {38%} [38%] (34%) Democrat; 31% {31%} [31%] (31%) {31%} [33%] (32%) {31%} [36%] (34%) Republican; 28% {29%} [26%] (26%) {32%} [26%] (30%) {28%} [23%] (28%) Independent. Political ideology: 39% {39%} [41%] (41%) {38%} [42%] (43%) {41%} [43%] (42%) Conservative; 33% {32%} [30%] (35%) {36%} [35%] (33%) {31%} [34%] (34%) Moderate; 21% {21%} [22%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (19%) {21%} [18%] (18%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 8-11, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 21-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10-12, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers: 

It is important to note that Obama’s gains have come entirely from the Rising American Electorate (youth, unmarried women, African Americans and Latinos) – the broad coalition of voters who supported him enthusiastically in 2008. These voters are beginning to come back. Obama has moved his vote up from 60 to 63 percent with the Rising American Electorate and Romney has slipped a like amount. The gains have come with African Americans (Obama’s vote is up from 88 to 95 percent) and unmarried women (up from 60 to 63 percent). African American gains are driving up the youth vote, but Romney has fallen off with whites under 30 years old. This vote is still well short of 2008, but Obama has improved his vote margin with young people by 15 points since the beginning of this year.

Obama has moved slightly ahead among independents (46 to 44 percent) after trailing slightly in previous polls — and he has consolidated his bloc more than Romney — with only 1 percent vulnerable in our Obama Voter Choice Scale.

Poll Watch: Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 47% [49%] (47%) {45%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 47% [45%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [48%] (46%)

Now let me ask you again about your vote for president, but this time including an independent candidate nominated by the online organization Americans Elect. Thinking about the presidential election in November, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and independent candidate Buddy Roemer, for whom would you vote?

• Barack Obama 45%
• Mitt Romney 43%
• Buddy Roemer 7%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 45% [50%] (44%) {40%} [45%] (46%) {49%} [44%] (47%)
• Disapprove 50% [46%] (49%) {53%} [50%] (48%) {45%} [50%] (47%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job in charge of the House of Representatives?

• Approve 28% [26%] (26%) {27%} [31%] (32%) {33%} [38%]
• Disapprove 63% [68%] (66%) {65%} [64%] (60%) {59%} [55%]

I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections for Congress in 2012, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic House candidate or the Republican House candidate?

• Democratic candidate 46% [47%] (47%) {46%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (44%)
• Republican candidate 45% [45%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (47%) {45%} [47%] (47%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted April 28 - May 1, 2012 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner.  The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Party ID: 37% [39%] (40%) {35%} [38%] (35%) {38%} [38%] (34%) Democrat; 31% [31%] (31%) {31%} [33%] (32%) {31%} [36%] (34%) Republican; 29% [26%] (26%) {32%} [26%] (30%) {28%} [23%] (28%) Independent. Political ideology: 39% [41%] (41%) {38%} [42%] (43%) {41%} [43%] (42%) Conservative; 32% [30%] (35%) {36%} [35%] (33%) {31%} [34%] (34%) Moderate; 21% [22%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (19%) {21%} [18%] (18%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 8-11, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 21-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10-12, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 47% {45%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 46% {45%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [48%] (46%)

If the election for president were held today and the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Independent candidate Ron Paul, for whom would you vote?

• Barack Obama 43%
• Mitt Romney 34%
• Ron Paul 18%

If the election for president were held today and the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, Independent candidate Ron Paul, Independent candidate Donald Trump, and Independent candidate Michael Bloomberg, for whom would you vote?

• Barack Obama 42%
• Mitt Romney 30%
• Ron Paul 14%
• Donald Trump 7%
• Michael Bloomberg 4%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 44% {40%} [45%] (46%) {49%} [44%] (47%)
• Disapprove 49% {53%} [50%] (48%) {45%} [50%] (47%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job in charge of the House of Representatives?

• Approve 26% {27%} [31%] (32%) {33%} [38%]
• Disapprove 66% {65%} [64%] (60%) {59%} [55%]

I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections for Congress in 2012, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic House candidate or the Republican House candidate?

• Democratic candidate 47% {46%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (44%)
• Republican candidate 44% {46%} [47%] (47%) {45%} [47%] (47%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted January 8-11, 2012 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner.  The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 40% {35%} [38%] (35%) {38%} [38%] (34%) Democrat; 31% {31%} [33%] (32%) {31%} [36%] (34%) Republican; 26% {32%} [26%] (30%) {28%} [23%] (28%) Independent. Political ideology: 41% {38%} [42%] (43%) {41%} [43%] (42%) Conservative; 35% {36%} [35%] (33%) {31%} [34%] (34%) Moderate; 19% {19%} [20%] (19%) {21%} [18%] (18%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 21-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10-12, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

• Barack Obama 45% [48%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 45% [46%] (45%) {44%} [48%] (46%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 40% [45%] (46%) {49%} [44%] (47%)
• Disapprove 53% [50%] (48%) {45%} [50%] (47%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job in charge of the House of Representatives?

• Approve 27% [31%] (32%) {33%} [38%]
• Disapprove 65% [64%] (60%) {59%} [55%]

I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections for Congress in 2012, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic House candidate or the Republican House candidate?

• Republican candidate 46% [47%] (47%) {45%} [47%] (47%)
• Democratic candidate 46% [46%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (44%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 15-18, 2011, by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for the Center for American Progress. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 35% [38%] (35%) {38%} [38%] (34%) Democrat; 31% [33%] (32%) {31%} [36%] (34%) Republican; 32% [26%] (30%) {28%} [23%] (28%) Independent. Political ideology: 38% [42%] (43%) {41%} [43%] (42%) Conservative; 36% [35%] (33%) {31%} [34%] (34%) Moderate; 19% [20%] (19%) {21%} [18%] (18%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 6-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 21-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10-12, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Democracy Corps/The Campaign for America’s Future (D) Take Back the American Dream Conference 2011 Straw Poll

Democracy Corps/The Campaign for America’s Future Take Back the American Dream Conference 2011 Straw Poll

Which ONE of the following people do you think is most qualified to be president? 

• Jon Huntsman 49% 
• Mitt Romney 22% 
• Rudy Giuliani 10% 
• Ron Paul 9% 
• Chris Christie 3% 
• Newt Gingrich 3% 
• Herman Cain 2% 
• Sarah Palin 1% 
• Rick Perry 1% 
• Rick Santorum 0% 
• Michele Bachmann 0% 

Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Barack Obama as president? 

• Strongly approve 20% 
• Somewhat approve 52% 
• Somewhat disapprove 20% 
• Strongly disapprove 8% 

Survey of 337 respondents was conducted October 3-4, 2011.

Poll Watch: Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

• Barack Obama 48% (47%) {48%} [46%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 46% (45%) {44%} [48%] (46%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 45% (46%) {49%} [44%] (47%)
• Disapprove 50% (48%) {45%} [50%] (47%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job in charge of the House of Representatives?

• Approve 31% (32%) {33%} [38%]
• Disapprove 64% (60%) {59%} [55%]

I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections for Congress in 2012, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic House candidate or the Republican House candidate?

• Republican candidate 47% (47%) {45%} [47%] (47%)
• Democratic candidate 46% (44%) {46%} [45%] (44%)

I am going to read a list of issues and I want you to tell me whether, overall, you think the Democrats or the Republicans would do a better job with this issue.

The economy

• Republicans 44% (46%)
• Democrats 38% (37%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted August 6-10, 2011, by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Women’s Voices. Women Vote Action Fund. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 38% (35%) {38%} [38%] (34%) Democrat; 33% (32%) {31%} [36%] (34%) Republican; 26% (30%) {28%} [23%] (28%) Independent. Political ideology: 42% (43%) {41%} [43%] (42%) Conservative; 35% (33%) {31%} [34%] (34%) Moderate; 20% (19%) {21%} [18%] (18%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted June 18-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 21-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10-12, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

• Barack Obama 47% {48%} [46%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 45% {44%} [48%] (46%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 46% {49%} [44%] (47%)
• Disapprove 48% {45%} [50%] (47%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job in charge of the House of Representatives?

• Approve 32% {33%} [38%]
• Disapprove 60% {59%} [55%]

I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections for Congress in 2012, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic House candidate or the Republican House candidate?

• Republican candidate 47% {45%} [47%] (47%)
• Democratic candidate 44% {46%} [45%] (44%)

I am going to read a list of issues and I want you to tell me whether, overall, you think the Democrats or the Republicans would do a better job with this issue.

The economy

• Republicans 46%
• Democrats 37%

Has the right approach to the economy and jobs

• Republicans 43%
• Democrats 40%

Has the right approach to spending and deficits

• Republicans 48%
• Democrats 31%

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted June 18-21, 2011, by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 35% {38%} [38%] (34%) Democrat; 32% {31%} [36%] (34%) Republican; 30% {28%} [23%] (28%) Independent. Political ideology: 43% {41%} [43%] (42%) Conservative; 33% {31%} [34%] (34%) Moderate; 19% {21%} [18%] (18%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 21-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10-12, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

• Barack Obama 48% [46%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 44% [48%] (46%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 49% [44%] (47%)
• Disapprove 45% [50%] (47%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Barack Obama is handling the economy?

• Approve 44%
• Disapprove 52%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job in charge of the House of Representatives?

• Approve 33% [38%]
• Disapprove 59% [55%]

I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections for Congress in 2012, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic House candidate or the Republican House candidate?

• Democratic candidate 46% [45%] (44%)
• Republican candidate 45% [47%] (47%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted May 21-25, 2011, by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps and Women's Voices. Women Vote Action Fund. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 38% [38%] (34%) Democrat; 31% [36%] (34%) Republican; 28% [23%] (28%) Independent. Political ideology: 41% [43%] (42%) Conservative; 31% [34%] (34%) Moderate; 21% [18%] (18%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 10-12, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Democracy Corps/CAF (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

Democracy Corps/CAF (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

• Mitt Romney 48% (46%)
• Barack Obama 46% (48%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 44% (47%)
• Disapprove 50% (47%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job in charge of the House of Representatives?

• Approve 38%
• Disapprove 55%

I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections for Congress in 2012, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic House candidate or the Republican House candidate?

• Republican candidate 47% (47%)
• Democratic candidate 45% (44%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted April 10-12, 2011, by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps and Campaign for America’s Future. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 38% (34%) Democrat; 36% (34%) Republican; 23% (28%) Independent. Political ideology: 43% (42%) Conservative; 34% (34%) Moderate; 18% (18%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Democracy Corps/CAF (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

Democracy Corps/CAF (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 46%

• Barack Obama 49%
• Sarah Palin 39%

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 89%
• Mitt Romney 8%

• Barack Obama 90%
• Sarah Palin 8%

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 88%
• Barack Obama 7%

• Sarah Palin 74%
• Barack Obama 9%

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 44%
• Barack Obama 44%

• Barack Obama 48%
• Sarah Palin 35%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 47%
• Disapprove 47%

I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections for Congress in 2012, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic House candidate or the Republican House candidate?

• Republican candidate 47%
• Democratic candidate 44%

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps and Campaign for America’s Future January 9-12, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 34% Democrat; 34% Republican; 28% Independent. Political ideology: 42% Conservative; 34% Moderate; 18% Liberal.  Click here to view crosstabs.  Click here to view graphs.  Click here to view memo.