NPR/PBS News/Marist 2024 Presidential Election Poll

NPR/PBS News/Marist 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Registered Voters

• Joe Biden 50% (49%) {50%} [50%] (51%) {50%} [48%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (47%)
• Donald Trump 48% (49%) {48%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (46%)

• Donald Trump 43% (42%) {44%} [42%] (38%) {41%}
• Joe Biden 42% (41%) {40%} [42%] (43%) {43%}
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 8% (11%) {8%} [11%] (14%) {11%}
• Cornel West 3% (3%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%}
• Jill Stein 2% (1%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%}
• Chase Oliver <1% (1%)

• Kamala Harris 50%
• Donald Trump 49%

• Gavin Newsom 50%
• Donald Trump 48%

• Gretchen Whitmer 49%
• Donald Trump 49%

Survey of 1,174 registered voters was conducted July 9-10, 2024. The overall margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 10-12, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 21-23, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 22-25, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-18, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 25-28, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29 - February 1, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-7, 2023 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 11, 2023 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-28, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2023 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Bernie Sanders 31% (22%)
• Michael Bloomberg 19% (4%)
• Joe Biden 15% (24%)
• Elizabeth Warren 12% (17%)
• Amy Klobuchar 9% (4%)
• Pete Buttigieg 8% (13%)
• Tom Steyer 2% (0%)
• Tulsi Gabbard 0% (1%)

Among Men

• Bernie Sanders 41% (27%)
• Michael Bloomberg 15%
• Elizabeth Warren 12% (14%)
• Joe Biden 9% (18%)
• Pete Buttigieg 9% (12%)
• Amy Klobuchar 8%

Among Women

• Bernie Sanders 24% (18%)
• Michael Bloomberg 22%
• Joe Biden 18% (28%)
• Elizabeth Warren 11% (18%)
• Amy Klobuchar 9%
• Pete Buttigieg 7% (14%)

Under Age 45

• Bernie Sanders 54% (37%)
• Elizabeth Warren 16% (18%)
• Michael Bloomberg 8%
• Joe Biden 6% (14%)
• Pete Buttigieg 5% (9%)
• Amy Klobuchar 5%

Age 45+

• Michael Bloomberg 27%
• Joe Biden 22% (33%)
• Bernie Sanders 13% (8%)
• Amy Klobuchar 11%
• Pete Buttigieg 10% (16%)
• Elizabeth Warren 7% (15%)

.@NPR/@NewsHour/@MaristPoll 2020 Dem

White
Sanders 29%
Bloomberg 18%
Warren 15%
Klobuchar 13%
Buttigieg 10%
Biden 9%
Steyer 1%
Gabbard 0%

Black
Biden 31%
Sanders 28%
Bloomberg 16%
Warren 5%
Buttigieg 4%
Klobuchar 3%
Steyer 3%
Gabbard 0%

Feb 13-16, 2020https://t.co/HaOsmEkFwu

— Aron Goldman (@ArgoJournal) February 18, 2020

.@NPR/@NewsHour/@MaristPoll 2020 Dem

Progressive
Sanders 46%
Warren 19%
Bloomberg 12%
Biden 7%
Buttigieg 7%
Klobuchar 5%
Steyer 2%
Gabbard 0

Moderate
Bloomberg 29%
Biden 23%
Sanders 14%
Klobuchar 13%
Buttigieg 8%
Warren 5%
Steyer 1%
Gabbard 1%

Feb 13-16https://t.co/HaOsmEkFwu

— Aron Goldman (@ArgoJournal) February 18, 2020

Survey of 527 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents was conducted February 13-16, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 9-11, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Joe Biden 24%
• Bernie Sanders 22%
• Elizabeth Warren 17%
• Pete Buttigieg 13%
• Andrew Yang 5%
• Michael Bloomberg 4%
• Amy Klobuchar 4%
• Cory Booker 4%
• Julián Castro 1%
• Tulsi Gabbard 1%
• Michael Bennet 1%
• Tom Steyer 0%
• Deval Patrick 0%
• Marianne Williamson 0%
• John Delaney 0%

Among Men

• Bernie Sanders 27%
• Joe Biden 18%
• Elizabeth Warren 14%
• Pete Buttigieg 12%

Among Women

• Joe Biden 28% 
• Bernie Sanders 18%
• Elizabeth Warren 18%
• Pete Buttigieg 14%

Under Age 45

• Bernie Sanders 37%
• Elizabeth Warren 18%
• Joe Biden 14%
• Pete Buttigieg 9%

Age 45+

• Joe Biden 33%
• Pete Buttigieg 16%
• Elizabeth Warren 15%
• Bernie Sanders 8%

Survey of 704 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents was conducted December 9-11, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: NPR/Democracy Corps (D)/Resurgent Republic (R) 2012 Presidential Survey

NPR/Democracy Corps (D)/Resurgent Republic (R) 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48% [44%] (45%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 47% [51%] (47%)

Battleground States

• Barack Obama 50% [50%] (46%)
• Mitt Romney 46% [44%] (46%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Paul Ryan 50% / 40% {+10%}
• Mitt Romney 51% / 45% {+6%}
• Barack Obama 51% / 48% {+3%}
• Joe Biden 46% / 48% {-2%}
  

Battleground States

• Barack Obama 54% / 44% {+10%}
• Joe Biden 48% / 46% {+2%}
• Paul Ryan 44% / 44% {0%}
• Mitt Romney 46% / 49% {-3%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 49% [50%] (49%)
  
• Disapprove 49% [46%] (46%)

Battleground States

• Approve 52% [48%] (48%)
  
• Disapprove 46% [49%] (49%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?

• Approve 47% [51%]
  
• Disapprove 52% [47%]

Battleground States

• Approve 49% [49%]
  
• Disapprove 48% [49%]

Do you think Barack Obama has laid out a clear agenda for what he would like to do over the next four years if he is reelected as President?

• Yes, has laid out agenda 55%
• No, has not laid out agenda 43%

Battleground States

• Yes, has laid out agenda 58%
• No, has not laid out agenda 40%

Do you think Mitt Romney has laid out a clear agenda for what he would like to do over the next four years if he is reelected as President?

• Yes, has laid out agenda 49%
• No, has not laid out agenda 49%

Battleground States

• Yes, has laid out agenda 48%
• No, has not laid out agenda 50%

Which candidate do you trust more to handle each of the following issues:

Jobs and the economy

• Mitt Romney 50%
• Barack Obama 46%

The federal deficit and debt

• Mitt Romney 51%
• Barack Obama 43%

Federal taxes

• Mitt Romney 49%
• Barack Obama 47%

Health care

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 47%

Medicare

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 45%

Foreign policy and diplomacy

• Barack Obama 52%
• Mitt Romney 43%

National security and military affairs

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 46%

BATTLEGROUND STATES

Jobs and the economy

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 48%

The federal deficit and debt

• Mitt Romney 48%
• Barack Obama 47%

Federal taxes

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 46%

Health care

• Barack Obama 52%
• Mitt Romney 43%

Medicare

• Barack Obama 54%
• Mitt Romney 40%

Foreign policy and diplomacy

• Barack Obama 56%
• Mitt Romney 40%

National security and military affairs

• Barack Obama 52%
• Mitt Romney 43%

Did what you saw in the debates make you more likely to vote for Mitt Romney, more likely to vote for Barack Obama, or did the debates have no effect on your vote?

• More likely Romney 34%
• More likely Obama 28%
• No effect 36% 

Battleground States

• More likely Romney 33%
• More likely Obama 28%
• No effect 37%

Survey of 1,000 likely voters, including an oversample of 462 voters in 12 battleground states (CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI), was conducted October 23-25, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3.1 percentage points among all likely voters; ± 4.56 percentage points among voters in battleground states.  Party ID (all likely voters): 35% [37%] (36%) Democrat; 31% [30%] (29%) Republican; 33% [32%] (31%) Independent.  Party ID (Battleground States): 40% Democrat; 31% Republican; 27% Independent.  Ideology (all likely voters): 21% Very conservative; 23% Somewhat conservative; 25% Moderate; 16% Somewhat liberal; 10% Very liberal.  Ideology (Battleground States): 19% Very conservative; 25% Somewhat conservative; 24% Moderate; 17% Somewhat liberal; 10% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 26-30, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NPR/Democracy Corps (D)/Resurgent Republic (R) 2012 Presidential Survey

NPR/Democracy Corps (D)/Resurgent Republic (R) 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 51% (47%)
• Mitt Romney 44% (45%)

Battleground States

• Barack Obama 50% (46%)
• Mitt Romney 44% (46%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 50% (49%)
  
• Disapprove 46% (46%)

Battleground States

• Approve 48% (48%)
  
• Disapprove 49% (49%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?

• Approve 51%
  
• Disapprove 47%

Battleground States

• Approve 49%
  
• Disapprove 49%

Survey of 800 likely voters, including an oversample of 265 voters in 12 battleground states (CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI), was conducted September 26-30, 2012. The margin of error is ± 4.0 percentage points among all likely voters.  Party ID: 37% (36%) Democrat; 30% (29%) Republican; 32% (31%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NPR 2012 Presidential Survey

NPR 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 45%
• Undecided 5%

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 45%
• Barack Obama 40%
• Undecided 11%

Battleground States

• Barack Obama 46%
• Mitt Romney 46%
• Undecided 3%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 49%
  
• Disapprove 46%

Among Independents

• Approve 43%
  
• Disapprove 50%

Battleground States

• Approve 48%
  
• Disapprove 49%

Survey of 1,000 likely voters, including an oversample of 462 voters in 12 battleground states (CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI), was conducted July 9-12, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3.1 percentage points among all likely voters; ± 4.56 percentage points among voters in battleground states.  Party ID: 36% Democrat; 29% Republican; 31% Independent.