This Week Roundtable: State of the Race

This Week Roundtable: Debate Showdown

Haley Barbour and Howard Dean on Fox News Sunday

Meet the Press - March 25, 2012

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This Week Roundtable: Week in Politics

This Week Roundtable: Two-Man Race?

Lindsey Graham and Haley Barbour Analyze Results from South Carolina GOP Primary

Graham: Gingrich has changed a lot in a positive way

Govs. Haley Barbour, Martin O'Malley and Sen. Lindsey Graham on Face the Nation

Bill Richardson and Haley Barbour Discuss Herman Cain's Candidacy

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Face the Nation: Govs. Martin O'Malley & Haley Barbour Discuss Gov. Chris Christie and His Potential Presidential Candidacy

Haley Barbour on Face the Nation

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

• Mitt Romney 17% [13%] (15%) {16%} [19%] (19%)
• Sarah Palin 15% [10%] (12%) {16%} [16%] (16%)
• Ron Paul 10% [6%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
• Newt Gingrich 9% [6%] (10%) {9%} [13%] (9%)
• Herman Cain 8%
• Tim Pawlenty 6% [3%] (3%) {3%} [4%] (3%)
• Michele Bachmann 5% [4%] (5%) {4%}
• Jon Huntsman 2% [1%] (2%) {1%}
• Gary Johnson 2% [0%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
• Rick Santorum 2% [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (2%)
• Other 2% [1%] (2%) {3%} [2%] (4%)
• None/No opinion 22% [14%] (15%) {14%} [14%] (19%)

Among Conservatives

• Mitt Romney 19% [13%] {15%} [18%] (19%)
• Sarah Palin 16% [10%] {15%} [16%] (16%)
• Herman Cain 10%
• Newt Gingrich 10% [8%] {11%} [14%] (10%)
• Ron Paul 8% [7%] [6%] (7%)

Among Moderates/Liberals

• Ron Paul 15% [6%] [5%] (7%)
• Mitt Romney 12 % [14%] {19%} [21%] (21%)
• Sarah Palin 11% [11%] {20%} [14%] (15%)
• Newt Gingrich 9% [3%] {5%} [9%] (6%)
• Herman Cain 4%

When you think about politics, which of the following sets of issues is most important to you?

• Government spending and power 36% [37%] (38%) {35%}
• Business and the economy 31% [36%] (32%) {31%}
• National security and foreign policy 15% [12%] (12%) {15%}
• Social issues and moral values 15% [15%] (17%) {17%}

Among those who say government spending and power are most important issues

• Mitt Romney 17% [17%] (18%) {17%}
• Herman Cain 13%
• Newt Gingrich 12%
• Sarah Palin 11% [9%] (9%) {11%}
• Ron Paul 10%
• Tim Pawlenty 9%
• Michele Bachmann 6%

Among those who say business and the economy are most important issues

• Mitt Romney 16% [18%] (15%) {20%}
• Sarah Palin 14% [14%] (13%) {17%}
• Ron Paul 11%
• Newt Gingrich 10%
• Michele Bachmann 6%
• Tim Pawlenty 5%
• Herman Cain 4%

Among those who say social issues and moral values are most important issues

• Sarah Palin 23% [18%] (14%) {19%}
• Mitt Romney 18% [8%] (9%) {7%}
• Ron Paul 11%
• Newt Gingrich 5%
• Herman Cain 4%
• Michele Bachmann 3%
• Tim Pawlenty 1%

Among those who say national security and foreign policy are most important issues

• Mitt Romney 18% [16%] (17%) {17%}
• Sarah Palin 18% [19%] (16%) {22%}
• Herman Cain 10%
• Newt Gingrich 8%
• Ron Paul 6%
• Tim Pawlenty 6%
• Michele Bachmann 5%

Survey of 971 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted May 20-24, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 18-22, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 18-20, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-14, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-26, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/Opinion Research 2012 Presidential Survey

CNN/Opinion Research 2012 Presidential Survey 

REPUBLICAN NOMINATION

• Mike Huckabee 16% (19%) [19%] {21%} (21%) [14%] {24%} (17%)
• Donald Trump 14% (19%) [10%]
• Mitt Romney 13% (11%) [18%] {18%} (20%) [21%] {20%} (22%)
• Sarah Palin 11% (12%) [12%] {19%} (14%) [18%] {15%} (18%)
• Newt Gingrich 10% (11%) [14%] {10%} (12%) [15%] {14%} (8%)
• Ron Paul 10% (7%) [8%] {7%} (7%) [10%] {8%} (8%)
• Michele Bachmann 5% (5%)
• Mitch Daniels 5% (3%) [3%] {3%}
• Tim Pawlenty 3% (2%) [3%] {3%} (3%) [3%] {2%} (5%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (2%) [3%] {1%} (2%) [2%] {3%} (5%)
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Someone else (vol.) 3% (3%) [4%] {5%} (7%) [6%] {5%} (8%)
• None/No one (vol.) 4% (4%) [3%] {4%} (4%) [0%] {5%} (2%)
• No opinion 2% (1%) [2%] {2%} (6%) [4%] {1%} (3%)

Among Republicans

• Mike Huckabee 17% (24%) [18%] {24%} (21%) [17%]
• Mitt Romney 14% (9%) [18%] {18%} (21%) [20%]
• Sarah Palin 13% (14%) [14%] {17%} (16%) [21%]
• Newt Gingrich 12% (14%) [15%] {9%} (14%) [15%]
• Donald Trump 12% (15%) [8%]
• Ron Paul 9% (5%) [7%] {7%} (4%) [7%]
• Michele Bachmann 5% (8%)
• Mitch Daniels 4% (2%) [3%] {4%}
• Rick Santorum 3% (1%) [3%] {1%} (3%) [3%]
• Tim Pawlenty 3% (2%) [4%] {4%} (3%) [2%]
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Someone else (vol.) 2% (1%) [4%] {4%} (5%)
• None/No one (vol.) 5% (4%) [4%] {3%} (2%)
• No opinion 2% (1%) [2%] {1%} (6%)

Among Independents

• Donald Trump 16% (24%) [13%]
• Mike Huckabee 15% (13%) [22%] {18%} (20%) [9%]
• Ron Paul 12% (10%) [11%] {8%} (11%) [14%]
• Mitt Romney 12% (13%) [17%] {19%} (19%) [23%]
• Sarah Palin 9% (11%) [7%] {22%} (11%) [12%]
• Mitch Daniels 7% (4%) [4%] {2%}
• Newt Gingrich 7% (9%) [14%] {13%} (9%) [14%]
• Michele Bachmann 6% (2%)
• Tim Pawlenty 3% (3%) [2%] {3%} (3%) [5%]
• Jon Huntsman 2%
• Rick Santorum 1% (2%) [2%] {1%} (1%) [2%]
• Someone else (vol.) 6% (5%) [4%] {5%} (10%)
• None/No one (vol.) 3% (5%) [1%] {4%} (7%)
• No opinion 2% (1%) [2%] {3%} (5%)

Among Men

• Ron Paul 14% (9%) [10%] {10%} (9%) [13%]
• Donald Trump 13% (16%) [9%]
• Mitt Romney 13 % (11%) [15%] {20%} (23%) [23%]
• Mike Huckabee 11% (18%) [21%] {18%} (21%) [11%]
• Newt Gingrich 10% (11%) [16%] {12%} (13%) [17%]
• Sarah Palin 10% (12%) [8%] {12%} (12%) [16%]
• Mitch Daniels 7% (4%) [4%] {5%}
• Michele Bachmann 7% (5%)
• Tim Pawlenty 4% (3%) [4%] {5%} (4%) [3%]
• Jon Huntsman 2%
• Rick Santorum 1% (2%) [2%] {1%} (2%) [2%]

Among Women

• Mike Huckabee 21% (19%) [17%] {24%} (20%) [18%]
• Donald Trump 15% (23%) [10%]
• Mitt Romney 14% (10%) [20%] {17%} (17%) [19%]
• Sarah Palin 12% (12%) [16%] {26%} (17%) [20%]
• Newt Gingrich 9% (12%) [12%] {9%} (9%) [13%]
• Ron Paul 6% (5%) [7%] {5%} (4%) [6%]
• Michele Bachmann 4% (5%)
• Mitch Daniels 3% (0%) [2%] {1%}
• Rick Santorum 3% (1%) [3%] {1%} (3%) [2%]
• Tim Pawlenty 2% (1%) [3%] {2%} (2%) [4%]
• Jon Huntsman 0%

Who would be your second choice?

• Mitt Romney 17% (14%) [15%] {18%}
• Mike Huckabee 14% (16%) [18%] {14%}
• Donald Trump 14% (13%) [6%]
• Sarah Palin 13% (13%) [12%] {19%}
• Michele Bachmann 9% (3%)
• Newt Gingrich 9% (12%) [11%] {8%}
• Ron Paul 5% (9%) [10%] {8%}
• Tim Pawlenty 4% (3%) [4%] {5%}
• Mitch Daniels 3% (4%) [4%] {4%}
• Jon Hunstman 2%
• Rick Santorum 2% (0%) [3%] {3%}
• Someone else (vol.) 1% (3%) [2%] {5%}
• None/ No one (vol.) 5% (4%) [9%] {7%}
• No opinion 1% (2%) [3%] {4%}

GENERAL ELECTION

• Barack Obama 52%
• Ron Paul 45%

• Barack Obama 53% (44%) {54%}
• Mike Huckabee 45% (52%) {45%}

• Barack Obama 54% (45%) {53%}
• Mitt Romney 43% (50%) {45%}

• Barack Obama 57% (49%) {55%}
• Newt Gingrich 40% (47%) {43%}

• Barack Obama 59% (52%) {55%}
• Sarah Palin 38% (44%) {42%}

• Barack Obama 58%
• Donald Trump 36%

Favorable / Unfavorable

• Mike Huckabee: 46% (42%) {43%} / 27% (26%) {29%} {+19%}
• Mitt Romney: 40% (36%) {40%} / 30% (29%) {34%} {+10%}
• Ron Paul: 30% / 27% {+3%}
• Michele Bachmann: 22% / 23% {-1%}
• Tim Pawlenty: 17% / 18% {-1%}
• Mitch Daniels: 14% / 15% {-1%}
• Rick Santorum: 16% / 19% {-3%}
• John Huntsman: 9% / 13% {-4%}
• Newt Gingrich: 30% (32%) {38%} / 44% (40%) {38%} {-14%}
• Sarah Palin: 35% (40%) {39%} / 59% (49%) {55%} {-24%}
• Donald Trump: 31% / 64% {-33%}

Survey of 964 registered voters, including a subsample of 475 Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents, was conducted April 29 - May 1, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 4.5 percentage points among Republican and Republican-leaning Independents.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-10, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 11-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 27-30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-10, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: University of Iowa Hawkeye 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

UI Hawkeye 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

National Republican Nomination

• Mitt Romney 17%
• Mike Huckabee 16%
• Ron Paul 13%
• Sarah Palin 11%
• Newt Gingrich 9%
• Michele Bachmann 3%
• Tim Pawlenty 3%
• Haley Barbour 2%
• Mitch Daniels 1%
• Someone else 10%
• Don't know 16%

Iowa Caucus

• Mitt Romney 24%
• Mike Huckabee 23%
• Sarah Palin 15%
• Newt Gingrich 9%
• Tim Pawlenty 8%
• Ron Paul 2%
• Haley Barbour 1%
• Michele Bachmann 0%
• Mitch Daniels 0%
• Someone else 11%
• Don't know 8%

Survey of 234 adult self-described Republicans nationwide, including a subsample of 92 adult Republicans in Iowa, was conducted April 4-11, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 6.41 percentage points among Republicans nationally; +/- 10.22 percentage points among Republicans in Iowa.  Click here to view topline results.

On the Record: Mitt Romney and Tim Pawlenty

Poll Watch: ARG South Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey

ARG South Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Survey

• Mike Huckabee 20%
• Mitt Romney 18%
• Donald Trump 13%
• Sarah Palin 10%
• Newt Gingrich 9%
• Michele Bachmann 5%
• Rudy Giuliani 4%
• Haley Barbour 2%
• Rand Paul 2%
• Tim Pawlenty 2%
• Mitch Daniels 1%
• Ron Paul 1%
• Herman Cain 1%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Jon Huntsman 0%
• Gary Johnson 0%
• Fred Karger 0%
• George Pataki 0%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Undecided 11%

Among Republicans

• Mike Huckabee 23%
• Mitt Romney 16%
• Newt Gingrich 12%
• Donald Trump 11%
• Sarah Palin 10%
• Rudy Giuliani 4%
• Michele Bachmann 4%
• Rand Paul 3%
• Tim Pawlenty 3%
• Haley Barbour 1%
• Mitch Daniels 1%
• Herman Cain 1%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Jon Huntsman 0%
• Gary Johnson 0%
• Fred Karger 0%
• George Pataki 0%
• Ron Paul 0%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Undecided 10%

Among GOP-Leaning Independents

• Mitt Romney 26%
• Donald Trump 21%
• Mike Huckabee 11%
• Sarah Palin 10%
• Michele Bachmann 7%
• Haley Barbour 5%
• Rudy Giuliani 4%
• Ron Paul 4%
• Herman Cain 3%
• Rand Paul 0%
• Tim Pawlenty 0%
• Mitch Daniels 0%
• Rick Santorum 0%
• Jon Huntsman 0%
• Gary Johnson 0%
• Fred Karger 0%
• George Pataki 0%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Newt Gingrich 0%
• Undecided 9%

Among Tea Party Supporters

• Mike Huckabee 18%
• Donald Trump 16%
• Mitt Romney 12%
• Newt Gingrich 12%
• Sarah Palin 10%
• Michele Bachmann 8%
• Rudy Giuliani 4%
• Rand Paul 4%
• Tim Pawlenty 4%
• Herman Cain 3%
• Ron Paul 2%
• Haley Barbour 0%
• Mitch Daniels 0%
• Rick Santorum 0%
• Jon Huntsman 0%
• Gary Johnson 0%
• Fred Karger 0%
• George Pataki 0%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Undecided 7%

Among Non-Tea Party Republican Primary Voters

• Mitt Romney 25%
• Mike Huckabee 22%
• Donald Trump 11%
• Sarah Palin 10%
• Newt Gingrich 6%
• Rudy Giuliani 4%
• Haley Barbour 4%
• Mitch Daniels 2%
• Rick Santorum 2%
• Michele Bachmann 1%
• Herman Cain 0%
• Jon Huntsman 0%
• Gary Johnson 0%
• Fred Karger 0%
• George Pataki 0%
• Rand Paul 0%
• Ron Paul 0%
• Tim Pawlenty 0%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Undecided 13%

Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters (453 Republicans, 144 independents, and 3 Democrats) was conducted April 18-23, 2011. The margin of error is ± 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 76% Republican; 24% Independent. Tea Party supporter: 52%; Not a Tea Party supporter/Undecided: 48%.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

• Donald Trump 16%
• Mike Huckabee 16% (19%) {18%} [16%] [(12%)
• Mitt Romney 13% (15%) {16%} [19%] (19%)
• Sarah Palin 10% (12%) {16%} [16%] (16%)
• Ron Paul 6% (6%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
• Newt Gingrich 6% (10%) {9%} [13%] (9%)
• Michele Bachmann 4% (5%) {4%}
• Mitch Daniels 3% (4%) {3%} [1%] (2%)
• Tim Pawlenty 3% (3%) {3%} [4%] (3%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (2%) {2%} [1%] (2%)
• Haley Barbour 2% (2%) {3%} [4%] (3%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% (2%) {1%}
• Gary Johnson 0% (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
• Other 1% (2%) {3%} [2%] (4%)
• None/No opinion 14% (15%) {14%} [14%] (19%)

Among Conservatives

• Mike Huckabee 18% {21%} [17%] (15%)
• Donald Trump 13%
• Mitt Romney 13% {15%} [18%] (19%)
• Sarah Palin 10% {15%} [16%] (16%)
• Newt Gingrich 8% {11%} [14%] (10%)
• Ron Paul 7% [6%] (7%)
• Michele Bachmann 6%
• Mitch Daniels 4% [1%]
• Haley Barbour 3% [3%]
• Tim Pawlenty 3% [4%]
• Rick Santorum 3% [2%]
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Gary Johnson 0% [1%]
• Other 2%
• None/No opinion 10%

Among Moderates/Liberals

• Donald Trump 21%
• Mitt Romney 14% {19%} [21%] (21%)
• Mike Huckabee 13% {12%} [12%] (5%)
• Sarah Palin 11% {20%} [14%] (15%)
• Ron Paul 6% [5%] (7%)
• Newt Gingrich 3% {5%} [9%] (6%)
• Tim Pawlenty 3% [3%]
• Mitch Daniels 2% [2%]
• Haley Barbour 2% [4%]
• Michele Bachmann 2%
• Rick Santorum 2% [0%]
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Gary Johnson 1% [1%]
• Other 2%
• None/No opinion 19%

Survey of 1,047 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted April 15-20, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted March 18-22, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 18-20, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-14, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-26, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Dartmouth College Rockefeller Center New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

Dartmouth College Rockefeller Center New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

• Colin Powell 48%
• Barack Obama 28%

• Mitt Romney 47%
• Barack Obama 39%

• Barack Obama 45%
• Mike Huckabee 37%

• Barack Obama 41%
• Tim Pawlenty 25%

• Barack Obama 42%
• Haley Barbour 23%

• Barack Obama 47%
• Ron Paul 27%

• Barack Obama 51%
• Donald Trump 29%

• Barack Obama 54%
• Sarah Palin 27%

Survey of 426 registered voters was conducted April 11-14, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times 2012 Presidential Survey

CBS News/New York Times 2012 Presidential Survey

Any Potential Candidate You Feel Enthusiastic About?

Among Republicans

• No one 56%
• Mitt Romney 9%
• Mike Huckabee 8%
• Donald Trump 7%
• Newt Gingrich 5%
• Sarah Palin 4%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mike Huckabee 32% / 25% {+7%}
• Mitt Romney 28% / 24% {+4%}
• Tim Pawlenty 12% / 8% {+4%}
• Jon Huntsman 6% / 5% {+1%}
• Michele Bachmann 12% / 13% {-1%}
• Haley Barbour 6% / 7% {-1%}
• Mitch Daniels 5% / 6% {-1%}
• Rick Santorum 10% / 12% {-2%}
• Newt Gingrich 23% / 37% {-14%}
• Donald Trump 25% / 46% {-21%}
• Sarah Palin 26% / 55% {-29%}

Among Republicans

• Mike Huckabee 54% / 11% {+43%}
• Mitt Romney 42% / 15% {+27%}
• Sarah Palin 51% / 26% {+25%}
• Newt Gingrich 42% / 20% {+22%}
• Tim Pawlenty 20% / 3% {+17%}
• Michele Bachmann 21% / 5% {+16%}
• Rick Santorum 19% / 5% {+14%}
• Haley Barbour 12% / 3% {+9%}
• Mitch Daniels 9% / 3% {+6%}
• Jon Huntsman 5% / 1% {+4%}
• Donald Trump 35% / 32% {+3%}

Haven't Heard Enough About Candidate to Form an Opinion/Undecided

• Jon Huntsman 89%
• Mitch Daniels 88%
• Haley Barbour 86%
• Tim Pawlenty 79%
• Rick Santorum 78%
• Michele Bachmann 75%
• Mitt Romney 47%
• Mike Huckabee 42%
• Newt Gingrich 41%
• Donald Trump 28%
• Sarah Palin 18%

Among Republicans

• Jon Huntsman 93%
• Mitch Daniels 88%
• Haley Barbour 85%
• Tim Pawlenty 77%
• Rick Santorum 76%
• Michele Bachmann 75%
• Mitt Romney 43%
• Newt Gingrich 37%
• Mike Huckabee 35%
• Donald Trump 33%
• Sarah Palin 23%

According to the Constitution, American Presidents must be "natural born citizens." Some people say Barack Obama was NOT born in the United States, but was born in another country. Do YOU think Barack Obama was born in the United States, or was he born in another country?

• Born in US 57%
• Another country 25%
• Don't know 18%

Among Republicans

• Born in US 33%
• Another country 45%
• Don't know 22%

Among Tea Party Supporters

• Born in US 34%
• Another country 45%
• Don't know 21%

Do you think of Donald Trump as a serious presidential candidate?

• Yes 23%
• No 72%

Among Democrats

• Yes 8%
• No 88%

Among Republicans

• Yes 37%
• No 57%

Among Independents

• Yes 27%
• No 68%

Among Tea Party Supporters

• Yes 38%
• No 55%

Which one of the following television networks do you watch most for information about politics and current events -- ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN, FOX News Channel, MSNBC, or don't you watch television news?

• ABC/CBS/NBC 31%
• FOX News 21%
• CNN 18%
• MSNBC 5%
• Don't watch TV news 12%
• Other 3%
• Combination (vol.) 8%

Among Republicans

• FOX News 45%
• ABC/CBS/NBC 26%
• CNN 8%
• MSNBC 2%
• Don't watch TV news 10%
• Other 1%
• Combination (vol.) 7%

Survey of 1,116 registered voters, including 524 registered Republicans, was conducted April 15-20, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points for all voters; +/- 4 percentage points for Republican voters.

Inside the numbers:

When Republicans were asked whom they were most enthusiastic about -- without mentioning any names -- none of the contenders garnered more than 9 percent. That high of 9 percent went to Mitt Romney, with 8 percent saying they felt the same about Mike Huckabee, followed by 7 percent for Donald Trump, then Newt Gingrich with 5 percent, and Sarah Palin with 4 percent. Fifty-seven percent (57%) could not name anyone. 

Favorable ratings for some of these possible candidates are slightly higher among those who support the Tea Party movement (54 percent of whom identify as Republicans and 36 percent of whom are independents). Huckabee and Palin's favorable ratings are higher, as are Bachmann's. Bachmann does especially well among those Tea Party supporters who are Republicans, compared to those who call themselves independents. 

A plurality of Republican voters, 47 percent, said they believed Mr. Obama, who was born in Hawaii, was born in another country; 22 percent said they did not know where he was born, and 32 percent said they believed he was born in the United States. 

Most registered voters nationwide (72 percent) do not think Trump is a serious presidential candidate, including majorities of Republicans, Democrats and independents. Even though 37 percent of Republicans (and 38 percent of Tea Party supporters) think Trump is a serious candidate, more than half of each of these groups does not.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Name Recognition/Positive Intensity Survey

Santorum Is Middle of the Road on GOP Recognition, Intensity

Survey Methods

Results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking April 4-17, 2011, with random samples of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Questions asking about the 14 potential candidates measured in this research were rotated among randomly selected samples of Republicans each night; over the 14-day period, each candidate was rated by a minimum of 1,500 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. 

For the overall ratings of each potential candidate among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, including recognition scores, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points. For the Positive Intensity Score for each candidate, the maximum margin of sampling error varies depending on the size of the group recognizing the candidate.