Poll Watch: PPP (D) West Virginia 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) West Virginia 2012 Senatorial Survey

• Joe Manchin (D) 48% (50%)
• Shelley Moore Capito (R) 40% (41%)

• Joe Manchin (D) 61% (60%)
• John Raese (R) 29% (31%)

• Joe Manchin (D) 63% (57%)
• David McKinley (R) 25% (28%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Joe Manchin’s job performance?

• Approve 55% (52%)
• Disapprove 31% (32%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 61% (62%)
• Disapprove 24% (26%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 45% (42%)
• Disapprove 41% (38%)

Among Independents

• Approve 46% (31%)
• Disapprove 42% (49%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jay Rockefeller’s job performance?

• Approve 45%
• Disapprove 42%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Shelley Moore Capito 48% (54%) / 32% (30%) {+16%}
• David McKinley 22% (19%) / 25% (25%) {-3%}
• John Raese 26% (30%) / 52% (52%) {-26%}

Survey of 850 West Virginia voters was conducted April 21-24, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 60% (57%) Democrat; 29% (32%) Republican; 10% (10%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 32% Moderate; 24% Somewhat conservative; 18% Very conservative; 15% Somewhat liberal; 10% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) West Virginia Senatorial Special Election Survey

PPP (D) West Virginia Senatorial Special Election Survey

• Joe Manchin (D) 51% {50%} [48%] (43%)
• John Raese (R) 46% {44%} [45%] (46%)
• Undecided 3% {6%} [7%] (10%)

Among Men

• John Raese (R) 53% {49%} [49%] (50%)
• Joe Manchin (D) 45% {45%} [44%] (39%)
• Undecided 2% {6%} [7%] (10%)

Among Women

• Joe Manchin (D) 56% {54%} [51%] (47%)
• John Raese (R) 40% {38%} [41%] (42%)
• Undecided 4% {7%} [7%] (11%)

Already Voted (27%)

• Joe Manchin (D) 54%
• John Raese (R) 45%

Did Not Vote Yet (73%)

• Joe Manchin (D) 50%
• John Raese (R) 47%

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Joe Manchin’s job performance?

• Approve 70% {69%} [68%] (59%)
• Disapprove 22% {23%} [22%] (32%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John Raese?

• Favorable 41% {42%] [39%] (41%)
• Unfavorable 47% {47%} [46%] (35%)

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 31% {31%} [33%] (30%)
• Disapprove 61% {65%} [61%] (64%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jay Rockefeller’s job performance?

• Approve 49% {47%} [51%]
• Disapprove 40% {43%} [40%]

Survey of 1,676 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 55% {55%} [55%] (51%) Democrat; 34% {35%} [33%] (37%) Republican; 11% {11%} [12%] (12%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 44% {46%} [48%] (42%) Moderate; 43% {42%} [39%] (45%) Conservative; 13% {13%} [13%] (13%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-24, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 9-10, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-19, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) West Virginia Senatorial Special Election Survey

PPP (D) West Virginia Senatorial Special Election Survey

• Joe Manchin (D) 50% [48%] (43%)
• John Raese (R) 44% [45%] (46%)
• Undecided 6% [7%] (10%)

Among Men

• John Raese (R) 49% [49%] (50%)
• Joe Manchin (D) 45% [44%] (39%)
• Undecided 6% [7%] (10%)

Among Women

• Joe Manchin (D) 54% [51%] (47%)
• John Raese (R) 38% [41%] (42%)
• Undecided 7% [7%] (11%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Joe Manchin’s job performance?

• Approve 69% [68%] (59%)
• Disapprove 23% [22%] (32%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John Raese?

• Favorable 42% [39%] (41%)
• Unfavorable 47% [46%] (35%)

Would you rather have Joe Manchin as Governor or a Senator?

• Governor 48% [47%]
• Senator 39% [38%]

Would you rather Democrats or Republicans controlled the next Congress?

• Republicans 52% [48%] (54%)
• Democrats 40% [43%] (37%)

Do you think the national Democratic Party is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 55% [53%] (57%)
• Too conservative 7% [8%] (8%)
• About right 32% [34%] (29%)

Do you think the national Republican Party is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 19% [19%] (23%)
• Too conservative 33% [37%] (32%)
• About right 41% [36%] (37%)

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 31% [33%] (30%)
• Disapprove 65% [61%] (64%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jay Rockefeller’s job performance?

• Approve 47% [51%]
• Disapprove 43% [40%]

Survey of 1,246 likely voters was conducted October 23-24, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 55% [55%] (51%) Democrat; 35% [33%] (37%) Republican; 11% [12%] (12%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 46% [48%] (42%) Moderate; 42% [39%] (45%) Conservative; 13% [13%] (13%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 9-10, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-19, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) West Virginia Senatorial Special Election Survey

PPP (D) West Virginia Senatorial Special Election Survey

• Joe Manchin (D) 48% (43%)
• John Raese (R) 45% (46%)
• Undecided 7% (10%)

Among Democrats

• Joe Manchin (D) (67%)
• John Raese (R) (23%)
• Undecided (9%)

Among Republicans

• John Raese (R) (75%)
• Joe Manchin (D) (14%)
• Undecided (11%)

Among Conservatives

• John Raese (R) 74% (71%)
• Joe Manchin (D) 17% (18%)
• Undecided 10% (10%)

Among Moderates

• Joe Manchin (D) 63% (59%)
• John Raese (R) 31% (30%)
• Undecided 6% (11%)

Among Men

• John Raese (R) 49% (50%)
• Joe Manchin (D) 44% (39%)
• Undecided 7% (10%)

Among Women

• Joe Manchin (D) 51% (47%)
• John Raese (R) 41% (42%)
• Undecided 7% (11%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Joe Manchin’s job performance?

• Approve 68% (59%)
• Disapprove 22% (32%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John Raese?

• Favorable 39% (41%)
• Unfavorable 46% (35%)

Would you rather have Joe Manchin as Governor or a Senator?

• Governor 47%
• Senator 38%
• Not sure 14%

Would you rather Democrats or Republicans controlled the next Congress?

• Republicans 48% (54%)
• Democrats 43% (37%)

Do you think the national Democratic Party is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 53% (57%)
• Too conservative 8% (8%)
• About right 34% (29%)

Do you think the national Republican Party is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 19% (23%)
• Too conservative 37% (32%)
• About right 36% (37%)

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 33% (30%)
• Disapprove 61% (64%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jay Rockefeller’s job performance?

• Approve 51%
• Disapprove 40%

Survey of 1,247 likely voters was conducted October 9-10, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 55% (51%) Democrat; 33% (37%) Republican; 12% (12%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 48% (42%) Moderate; 39% (45%) Conservative; 13% (13%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-19, 2010 are in parentheses.