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- Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 46% (48%) {48%} [42%] (50%) {56%} [54%]
- Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 44% (41%) {33%} [39%] (41%) {41%} [38%]
Including Third-Party Candidates:
- Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (45%) {45%} [40%]
- Donald Trump (R) 43% (39%) {31%} [35%]
- Gary Johnson (L) 6% (10%) {10%} [10%]
- Jill Stein (G) 2% (4%) {6%} [5%]
National survey of 940 likely voters was conducted November 1-3, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.Results from the poll conducted September 15-20, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 1-3, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-9, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 4, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22-28, 2015 are in square brackets.
- Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 48% {48%} [42%] (50%) {56%} [54%]
- Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 41% {33%} [39%] (41%) {41%} [38%]
Including Third-Party Candidates:
- Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {45%} [40%]
- Donald Trump (R) 39% {31%} [35%]
- Gary Johnson (L) 10% {10%} [10%]
- Jill Stein (G) 4% {6%} [5%]
National survey of 758 likely voters was conducted September 15-20, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 1-3, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-9, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 4, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22-28, 2015 are in square brackets.
- Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 48% [42%] (50%) {56%} [54%]
- Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 33% [39%] (41%) {41%} [38%]
Including Third-Party Candidates:
- Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [40%]
- Donald Trump (R) 31% [35%]
- Gary Johnson (L) 10% [10%]
- Jill Stein (G) 6% [5%]
National survey of 983 registered voters was conducted August 1-3, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 5-9, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 4, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22-28, 2015 are in square brackets.
- Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (50%) {56%} [54%]
- Donald Trump (R) 39% (41%) {41%} [38%]
Including Third-Party Candidates:
- Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
- Donald Trump (R) 35%
- Gary Johnson (L) 10%
- Jill Stein (G) 5%
National survey of 1,053 registered voters was conducted July 5-9,
2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 4, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22-28, 2015 are in square brackets.
- John Kasich (R) 51% [39%]
- Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [49%]
- Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {53%} [49%] (53%) {54%} [56%] {57%}
- Ted Cruz (R) 47% {43%} [40%] (39%) {39%} [39%] {35%}
- Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {56%} [54%]
- Donald Trump (R) 41% {41%} [38%]
National survey of 1,066 registered voters was conducted March 29-31,
2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 4, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 1-4, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in curly brackets.
- Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [49%]
- Ben Carson (R) 48% [39%]
- Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [47%] (49%) {54%} [58%] {52%} [50%] (52%)
- Marco Rubio (R) 45% [42%] (42%) {38%} [37%] {42%} [38%] (40%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [49%] (49%) {53%} [53%] (48%) {55%} [58%] {53%} [48%] (54%)
- Jeb Bush (R) 44% [43%] (42%) {40%} [42%] (41%) {39%} [38%] {41%} [40%] (38%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [53%]
- Carly Fiorina (R) 43% [35%]
- Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [49%] (53%) {54%} [56%] {57%}
- Ted Cruz (R) 43% [40%] (39%) {39%} [39%] {35%}
- Hillary Clinton (D) 56% [54%]
- Donald Trump (R) 41% [38%]
National survey of 541 registered voters was conducted October 29 - November 4,
2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 22-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 1-4, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 25-27, 2013 are in parentheses.
McClatchy-Marist 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
- Ben Carson 24% {9%} [8%]
- Donald Trump 23%
- Marco Rubio 12% {5%} [3%] (6%) {9%} [7%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
- Ted Cruz 8% {4%} [5%] (4%) {10%} [4%] (5%) {5%} [10%] (7%)
- Jeb Bush 8% {19%} [16%] (15%) {13%} [13%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (10%)
- Rand Paul 5% {7%} [6%] (13%) {7%} [12%] (9%) {9%} [12%] (9%)
- John Kasich 4%
- Carly Fiorina 3% {2%} [1%]
- Mike Huckabee 3% {10%} [12%] [13%] (13%)
- Chris Christie 2% {6%} [10%] (12%) {13%} [12%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (15%)
- George Pataki 1%
- Bobby Jindal 1%
- Rick Santorum 1% {2%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
- Jim Gilmore 0%
- Lindsey Graham 0% {1%}
- Undecided 4% {13%} [18%] (21%) {23%} [14%] (12%) {25%} [13%] (25%)
Survey of 426 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents
was conducted October 29 - November 4, 2015. The margin
of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Party
ID: 65% {68%} {70%} (67%) {57%} [63%] (64%) {65%} [62%] (65%) Republican; 35% {32%}
{30%} (33%) {43%} [37%] (36%) {35%} [38%] (35%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted March 1-4, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-29, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.
McClatchy-Marist 2016 National Presidential Poll
- Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (49%) {54%} [58%] {52%} [50%] (52%)
- Marco Rubio (R) 42% (42%) {38%} [37%] {42%} [38%] (40%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (51%) {54%} [52%] (48%) {54%} [58%] {55%} [50%] (52%)
- Rand Paul (R) 43% (40%) {40%} [43%] (42%) {40%} [38%] {40%} [38%] (41%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (49%) {53%} [53%] (48%) {55%} [58%] {53%} [48%] (54%)
- Jeb Bush (R) 43% (42%) {40%} [42%] (41%) {39%} [38%] {41%} [40%] (38%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (48%)
- Scott Walker (R) 41% (44%)
-
Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (51%) {58%} [52%]
- Rick Perry (R) 40% (42%) {37%} [36%]
- Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (53%) {54%} [56%] {57%}
- Ted Cruz (R) 40% (39%) {39%} [39%] {35%}
- Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {53%} [55%]
- Mike Huckabee (R) 41% {40%} [41%]
-
Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {53%} [51%] (47%) {53%} [58%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (46%)
- Chris Christie (R) 40% {41%} [42%] (41%) {42%} [37%] (37%) {45%} [41%] (43%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
- John Kasich (R) 39%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
- Ben Carson (R) 39%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
- Rick Santorum (R) 39%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
- George Pataki (R) 37%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
- Bobby Jindal (R) 36%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
- Donald Trump (R) 38%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
- Lindsey Graham (R) 35%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
- Carly Fiorina (R) 35%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
- Jim Gilmore (R) 32%
If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
- Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
- Jeb Bush (R) 29%
- Donald Trump (I) 20
National survey of 964 registered voters was conducted July 22-28, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 33% (32%) {34%} Democrat; 25% (29%) {28%} Republican; 40% (38%) {37%} Independent. Results from the poll conducted March 1-4, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 25-27, 2013 are in parentheses.
- Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
- Scott Walker (R) 44%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {53%} [53%] (48%) {55%} [58%] {53%} [48%] (54%)
- Jeb Bush (R) 42% {40%} [42%] (41%) {39%} [38%] {41%} [40%] (38%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {54%} [58%] {52%} [50%] (52%)
- Marco Rubio (R) 42% {38%} [37%] {42%} [38%] (40%)
-
Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {58%} [52%]
- Rick Perry (R) 42% {37%} [36%]
- Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {54%} [52%] (48%) {54%} [58%] {55%} [50%] (52%)
- Rand Paul (R) 40% {40%} [43%] (42%) {40%} [38%] {40%} [38%] (41%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {54%} [56%] {57%}
- Ted Cruz (R) 39% {39%} [39%] {35%}
National survey of 1,036 registered voters was conducted March 1-4, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 32% {34%} Democrat; 29% {28%} Republican; 38% {37%} Independent. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 25-27, 2013 are in parentheses.
McClatchy-Marist 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
- Hillary Clinton 60% (62%) {64%} [65%] (63%)
- Joe Biden 13% (11%) {15%} [12%] (13%)
- Elizabeth Warren 12% (9%) {8%} [9%]
- Bernie Sanders 5% (4%) {4%}
- Martin O'Malley 1% (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%)
- Jim Webb 1% (1%) {1%}
- Undecided 9% (11%) {6%} [9%] (18%)
Survey of 462 registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning
Independents
was conducted March 1-4, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.6
percentage points. Party ID: 70% (72%) {76%} Democrat; 30% (28%) {24%} Independent. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 24-29, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.
McClatchy-Marist 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
- Jeb Bush 19% [16%] (15%) {13%} [13%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (10%)
- Scott Walker 18% [3%] (3%) {4%} [5%] (7%) {4%} [4%] (2%)
- Mike Huckabee 10% [12%] [13%] (13%)
- Ben Carson 9% [8%]
- Rand Paul 7% [6%] (13%) {7%} [12%] (9%) {9%} [12%] (9%)
- Chris Christie 6% [10%] (12%) {13%} [12%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (15%)
- Marco Rubio 5% [3%] (6%) {9%} [7%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
- Ted Cruz 4% [5%] (4%) {10%} [4%] (5%) {5%} [10%] (7%)
- Rick Perry 3% [5%] (7%) {7%} [3%] (2%) {6%} [3%] (4%)
- Rick Santorum 2% [3%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
- Carly Fiorina 2% [1%]
- Lindsey Graham 1%
- Undecided 13% [18%] (21%) {23%} [14%] (12%) {25%} [13%] (25%)
Survey of 426 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents
was conducted March 1-4, 2015. The margin
of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Party ID: 68% {70%} (67%) {57%} [63%] (64%) {65%} [62%] (65%) Republican; 32% {30%} (33%) {43%} [37%] (36%) {35%} [38%] (35%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-29, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.
-
Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [51%] (47%) {53%} [58%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (46%)
- Chris Christie (R) 41% [42%] (41%) {42%} [37%] (37%) {45%} [41%] (43%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [53%] (48%) {55%} [58%] {53%} [48%] (54%)
- Jeb Bush (R) 40% [42%] (41%) {39%} [38%] {41%} [40%] (38%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [52%] (48%) {54%} [58%] {55%} [50%] (52%)
- Rand Paul (R) 40% [43%] (42%) {40%} [38%] {40%} [38%] (41%)
National survey of 923 registered voters was conducted December 3-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 34% Democrat; 28% Republican; 37% Independent. Results from the poll conducted September 24-29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 25-27, 2013 are in parentheses.
McClatchy-Marist 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
- Hillary Clinton 62% {64%} [65%] (63%)
- Joe Biden 11% {15%} [12%] (13%)
- Elizabeth Warren 9% {8%} [9%]
- Bernie Sanders 4% {4%}
- Martin O'Malley 1% {2%} [1%] (1%)
- Jim Webb 1% {1%}
- Unsure 11% {6%} [9%] (18%)
Survey of 429 registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning
Independents
was conducted December 3-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.7
percentage points. Party ID: 72% {76%} Democrat; 28% {24%} Independent. Results from the poll conducted September 24-29, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.
McClatchy-Marist 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
- Jeb Bush 16% (15%) {13%} [13%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (10%)
- Mike Huckabee 12% [13%] (13%)
- Chris Christie 10% (12%) {13%} [12%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (15%)
- Ben Carson 8%
- Paul Ryan 7% (13%) {9%} [12%] (9%) {12%} [11%] (13%)
- Rand Paul 6% (13%) {7%} [12%] (9%) {9%} [12%] (9%)
- Ted Cruz 5% (4%) {10%} [4%] (5%) {5%} [10%] (7%)
- Rick Perry 5% (7%) {7%} [3%] (2%) {6%} [3%] (4%)
- Marco Rubio 3% (6%) {9%} [7%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
- Scott Walker 3% (3%) {4%} [5%] (7%) {4%} [4%] (2%)
- John Kasich 3%
- Rick Santorum 3% (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
- Bobby Jindal 1% (4%) {2%} [4%] {3%} (1%)
- Carly Fiorina 1%
- Undecided 18% (21%) {23%} [14%] (12%) {25%} [13%] (25%)
Among Republicans
- Jeb Bush 17% (14%) {17%} [14%] (11%) {9%} [11%]
- Mike Huckabee 12% [13%] (15%)
- Chris Christie 11% (14%) {10%} [14%] (13%) {17%} [17%]
- Paul Ryan 7% (15%) {11%} [12%] (8%) {12%} [13%]
- Ben Carson 6%
- Rick Perry 6% (8%) {4%} [4%] (3%) {7%} [2%]
- Ted Cruz 5% (2%) {9%} [3%] (5%) {5%} [10%]
- Rand Paul 4% (10%) {6%} [8%] (7%) {10%} [8%]
- Rick Santorum 3% (2%) {3%} [2%] (1%) {7%} [4%]
- John Kasich 2%
- Marco Rubio 2% (6%) {10%} [7%] (12%) {5%} [5%]
- Scott Walker 2% (3%) {5%} [4%] (5%) {3%} [5%]
- Bobby Jindal 1% (3%) {1%} [3%] {2%}
- Carly Fiorina 0%
- Undecided 20% (23%) {24%} [16%] (13%) {24%} [16%]
Among Independents
- Jeb Bush 14% (17%) {8%} [11%] (4%) {6%} [9%]
- Ben Carson 11%
- Mike Huckabee 11% [12%] (9%)
- Rand Paul 9% (19%) {8%} [19%] (14%) {8%} [20%]
- Chris Christie 8% (7%) {16%} [8%] (14%) {14%} [20%]
- Marco Rubio 7% (5%) {6%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [9%]
- Paul Ryan 6% (9%) {7%} [12%] (11%) {13%} [8%]
- Scott Walker 5% (2%) {2%} [7%] (8%) {5%} [3%]
- John Kasich 4%
- Ted Cruz 4% (8%) {12%} [5%] (5%) {6%} [11%]
- Carly Fiorina 3%
- Bobby Jindal 2% (6%) {5%} [4%] {4%}
- Rick Perry 2% (5%) {11%} [0%] (0%) {4%} [3%]
- Rick Santorum 2% (4%) {4%} [5%] (2%) {3%} [3%]
- Undecided 12% (17%) {21%} [9%] (10%) {26%} [8%]
Among Men
- Jeb Bush 22% (15%) {11%} [14%] (6%) {7%} [10%] (14%)
- Mike Huckabee 10% [11%] (10%)
- Ben Carson 8%
- Chris Christie 7% (10%) {15%} [10%] (13%) {19%} [20%] (17%)
- Rand Paul 7% (15%) {8%} [14%] (11%) {12%} [15%] (9%)
- Rick Perry 7% (6%) {8%} [1%] (3%) {6%} [4%] (6%)
- Paul Ryan 6% (17%) {11%} [11%] (10%) {11%} [9%] (12%)
- Ted Cruz 6% (5%) {16%} [4%] (6%) {6%} [12%] (7%)
- John Kasich 4%
- Scott Walker 4% (2%) {4%} [6%] (10%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
- Marco Rubio 3% (5%) {7%} [5%] (11%) {9%} [6%] (16%)
- Carly Fiorina 2%
- Rick Santorum 2% (3%) {3%} [4%] (2%) {6%} [1%] (1%)
- Bobby Jindal 1% (5%) {4%} [4%] {3%} (1%)
- Undecided 10% (17%) {14%} [13%] (10%) {16%} [11%] (15%)
Among Women
- Chris Christie 13% (14%) {11%} [14%] (14%) {13%} [16%] (13%)
- Mike Huckabee 13% [14%] (16%)
- Jeb Bush 11% (14%) {15%} [11%] (11%) {9%} [10%] (6%)
- Paul Ryan 8% (8%) {7%} [12%] (7%) {13%} [13%] (14%)
- Ben Carson 7%
- Rand Paul 4% (11%) {6%} [10%] (7%) {7%} [9%] (8%)
- Ted Cruz 4% (3%) {5%} [3%] (3%) {5%} [9%] (6%)
- Marco Rubio 3% (7%) {10%} [9%] (13%) {5%} [8%] (8%)
- Rick Santorum 3% (3%) {4%} [2%] (1%) {5%} [6%] (4%)
- John Kasich 2%
- Rick Perry 2% (8%) {6%} [4%] (1%) {6%} [1%] (2%)
- Scott Walker 2% (3%) {4%} [3%] (3%) {2%} [4%] (2%)
- Bobby Jindal 1% (3%) {1%} [4%] {3%} (1%)
- Carly Fiorina 0%
- Undecided 25% (26%) {30%} [14%] (14%) {33%} [15%] (34%)
Survey of 360 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents
was conducted December 3-9, 2014. The margin
of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Party ID: 70% (67%) {57%} [63%] (64%) {65%} [62%] (65%) Republican; 30% (33%) {43%} [37%] (36%) {35%} [38%] (35%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted September 24-29, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.
McClatchy-Marist 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
- Hillary Clinton 64% [65%] (63%)
- Joe Biden 15% [12%] (13%)
- Elizabeth Warren 8% [9%]
- Bernie Sanders 4%
- Martin O'Malley 2% [1%] (1%)
- Jim Webb 1%
- Undecided 6% [9%] (18%)
Survey of 408 registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents
was conducted September 24-29, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Party ID: 76% Democrat; 24% Independent. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.
McClatchy-Marist 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
- Jeb Bush 15% {13%} [13%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (10%)
- Paul Ryan 13% {9%} [12%] (9%) {12%} [11%] (13%)
- Rand Paul 13% {7%} [12%] (9%) {9%} [12%] (9%)
- Chris Christie 12% {13%} [12%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (15%)
- Rick Perry 7% {7%} [3%] (2%) {6%} [3%] (4%)
- Marco Rubio 6% {9%} [7%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
- Ted Cruz 4% {10%} [4%] (5%) {5%} [10%] (7%)
- Bobby Jindal 4% {2%} [4%] {3%} (1%)
- Rick Santorum 3% {3%} [3%] (2%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
- Scott Walker 3% {4%} [5%] (7%) {4%} [4%] (2%)
- Undecided 21% {23%} [14%] (12%) {25%} [13%] (25%)
Among Republicans
- Paul Ryan 15% {11%} [12%] (8%) {12%} [13%]
- Chris Christie 14% {10%} [14%] (13%) {17%} [17%]
- Jeb Bush 14% {17%} [14%] (11%) {9%} [11%]
- Rand Paul 10% {6%} [8%] (7%) {10%} [8%]
- Rick Perry 8% {4%} [4%] (3%) {7%} [2%]
- Marco Rubio 6% {10%} [7%] (12%) {5%} [5%]
- Scott Walker 3% {5%} [4%] (5%) {3%} [5%]
- Bobby Jindal 3% {1%} [3%] {2%}
- Ted Cruz 2% {9%} [3%] (5%) {5%} [10%]
- Rick Santorum 2% {3%} [2%] (1%) {7%} [4%]
- Undecided 23% {24%} [16%] (13%) {24%} [16%]
Among Independents
- Rand Paul 19% {8%} [19%] (14%) {8%} [20%]
- Jeb Bush 17% {8%} [11%] (4%) {6%} [9%]
- Paul Ryan 9% {7%} [12%] (11%) {13%} [8%]
- Ted Cruz 8% {12%} [5%] (5%) {6%} [11%]
- Chris Christie 7% {16%} [8%] (14%) {14%} [20%]
- Bobby Jindal 6% {5%} [4%] {4%}
- Rick Perry 5% {11%} [0%] (0%) {4%} [3%]
- Marco Rubio 5% {6%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [9%]
- Rick Santorum 4% {4%} [5%] (2%) {3%} [3%]
- Scott Walker 2% {2%} [7%] (8%) {5%} [3%]
- Undecided 17% {21%} [9%] (10%) {26%} [8%]
Among Men
- Paul Ryan 17% {11%} [11%] (10%) {11%} [9%] (12%)
- Jeb Bush 15% {11%} [14%] (6%) {7%} [10%] (14%)
- Rand Paul 15% {8%} [14%] (11%) {12%} [15%] (9%)
- Chris Christie 10% {15%} [10%] (13%) {19%} [20%] (17%)
- Rick Perry 6% {8%} [1%] (3%) {6%} [4%] (6%)
- Marco Rubio 5% {7%} [5%] (11%) {9%} [6%] (16%)
- Ted Cruz 5% {16%} [4%] (6%) {6%} [12%] (7%)
- Bobby Jindal 5% {4%} [4%] {3%} (1%)
- Rick Santorum 3% {3%} [4%] (2%) {6%} [1%] (1%)
- Scott Walker 2% {4%} [6%] (10%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
- Undecided 17% {14%} [13%] (10%) {16%} [11%] (15%)
Among Women
- Chris Christie 14% {11%} [14%] (14%) {13%} [16%] (13%)
- Jeb Bush 14% {15%} [11%] (11%) {9%} [10%] (6%)
- Rand Paul 11% {6%} [10%] (7%) {7%} [9%] (8%)
- Paul Ryan 8% {7%} [12%] (7%) {13%} [13%] (14%)
- Rick Perry 8% {6%} [4%] (1%) {6%} [1%] (2%)
- Marco Rubio 7% {10%} [9%] (13%) {5%} [8%] (8%)
- Bobby Jindal 3% {1%} [4%] {3%} (1%)
- Ted Cruz 3% {5%} [3%] (3%) {5%} [9%] (6%)
- Scott Walker 3% {4%} [3%] (3%) {2%} [4%] (2%)
- Rick Santorum 3% {4%} [2%] (1%) {5%} [6%] (4%)
- Undecided 26% {30%} [14%] (14%) {33%} [15%] (34%)
Survey of 376 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents
was conducted September 24-29, 2014. The margin
of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Party ID: 67% {57%} [63%] (64%) {65%} [62%] (65%) Republican; 33% {43%} [37%] (36%) {35%} [38%] (35%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.
-
Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (47%) {53%} [58%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (46%)
- Chris Christie (R) 42% (41%) {42%} [37%] (37%) {45%} [41%] (43%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 52% (48%) {54%} [58%] {55%} [50%] (52%)
- Rand Paul (R) 43% (42%) {40%} [38%] {40%} [38%] (41%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (48%) {55%} [58%] {53%} [48%] (54%)
- Jeb Bush (R) 42% (41%) {39%} [38%] {41%} [40%] (38%)
National survey of 884 registered voters was conducted September 24-29, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 25-27, 2013 are in parentheses.
McClatchy-Marist 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
- Jeb Bush 13% [13%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (10%)
- Chris Christie 13% [12%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (15%)
- Ted Cruz 10% [4%] (5%) {5%} [10%] (7%)
- Paul Ryan 9% [12%] (9%) {12%} [11%] (13%)
- Marco Rubio 9% [7%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
- Rick Perry 7% [3%] (2%) {6%} [3%] (4%)
- Rand Paul 7% [12%] (9%) {9%} [12%] (9%)
- Scott Walker 4% [5%] (7%) {4%} [4%] (2%)
- Rick Santorum 3% [3%] (2%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
- Bobby Jindal 2% [4%] {3%} (1%)
- Undecided 23% [14%] (12%) {25%} [13%] (25%)
Among Republicans
- Jeb Bush 17% [14%] (11%) {9%} [11%]
- Paul Ryan 11% [12%] (8%) {12%} [13%]
- Chris Christie 10% [14%] (13%) {17%} [17%]
- Marco Rubio 10% [7%] (12%) {5%} [5%]
- Ted Cruz 9% [3%] (5%) {5%} [10%]
- Rand Paul 6% [8%] (7%) {10%} [8%]
- Scott Walker 5% [4%] (5%) {3%} [5%]
- Rick Perry 4% [4%] (3%) {7%} [2%]
- Rick Santorum 3% [2%] (1%) {7%} [4%]
- Bobby Jindal 1% [3%] {2%}
- Undecided 24% [16%] (13%) {24%} [16%]
Among Independents
- Chris Christie 16% [8%] (14%) {14%} [20%]
- Ted Cruz 12% [5%] (5%) {6%} [11%]
- Rick Perry 11% [0%] (0%) {4%} [3%]
- Rand Paul 8% [19%] (14%) {8%} [20%]
- Jeb Bush 8% [11%] (4%) {6%} [9%]
- Paul Ryan 7% [12%] (11%) {13%} [8%]
- Marco Rubio 6% [8%] (11%) {10%} [9%]
- Bobby Jindal 5% [4%] {4%}
- Rick Santorum 4% [5%] (2%) {3%} [3%]
- Scott Walker 2% [7%] (8%) {5%} [3%]
- Undecided 21% [9%] (10%) {26%} [8%]
Among Men
- Ted Cruz 16% [4%] (6%) {6%} [12%] (7%)
- Chris Christie 15% [10%] (13%) {19%} [20%] (17%)
- Jeb Bush 11% [14%] (6%) {7%} [10%] (14%)
- Paul Ryan 11% [11%] (10%) {11%} [9%] (12%)
- Rand Paul 8% [14%] (11%) {12%} [15%] (9%)
- Rick Perry 8% [1%] (3%) {6%} [4%] (6%)
- Marco Rubio 7% [5%] (11%) {9%} [6%] (16%)
- Scott Walker 4% [6%] (10%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
- Bobby Jindal 4% [4%] {3%} (1%)
- Rick Santorum 3% [4%] (2%) {6%} [1%] (1%)
- Undecided 14% [13%] (10%) {16%} [11%] (15%)
Among Women
- Jeb Bush 15% [11%] (11%) {9%} [10%] (6%)
- Chris Christie 11% [14%] (14%) {13%} [16%] (13%)
- Marco Rubio 10% [9%] (13%) {5%} [8%] (8%)
- Paul Ryan 7% [12%] (7%) {13%} [13%] (14%)
- Rand Paul 6% [10%] (7%) {7%} [9%] (8%)
- Rick Perry 6% [4%] (1%) {6%} [1%] (2%)
- Bobby Jindal 1% [4%] {3%} (1%)
- Ted Cruz 5% [3%] (3%) {5%} [9%] (6%)
- Scott Walker 4% [3%] (3%) {2%} [4%] (2%)
- Rick Santorum 4% [2%] (1%) {5%} [6%] (4%)
- Undecided 30% [14%] (14%) {33%} [15%] (34%)
Survey of 342 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents
was conducted August 4-7, 2014. The margin
of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Party ID: 57% [63%] (64%) {65%} [62%] (65%) Republican; 43% [37%] (36%) {35%} [38%] (35%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.
-
Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {53%} [58%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (46%)
- Chris Christie (R) 41% {42%} [37%] (37%) {45%} [41%] (43%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {54%} [58%] {55%} [50%] (52%)
- Rand Paul (R) 42% {40%} [38%] {40%} [38%] (41%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {55%} [58%] {53%} [48%] (54%)
- Jeb Bush (R) 41% {39%} [38%] {41%} [40%] (38%)
National survey of 806 registered voters was conducted August 4, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 25-27, 2013 are in parentheses.
- Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [52%] {56%} [53%]
- Paul Ryan (R) 43% [44%] {40%} [37%]
-
Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [58%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (46%)
- Chris Christie (R) 42% [37%] (37%) {45%} [41%] (43%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [55%]
- Mike Huckabee (R) 40% [41%]
- Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [58%] {55%} [50%] (52%)
- Rand Paul (R) 40% [38%] {40%} [38%] (41%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [56%] {57%}
- Ted Cruz (R) 39% [39%] {35%}
- Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [58%] {52%} [50%] (52%)
- Marco Rubio (R) 38% [37%] {42%} [38%] (40%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [58%] {53%} [48%] (54%)
- Jeb Bush (R) 39% [38%] {41%} [40%] (38%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Hillary Clinton 52% [52%] (51%) / 43% [43%] (39%) {+9%}
- Joe Scarborough 14% / 21% {-7%}
- Chris Christie 36% [33%] (29%) / 44% [46%] (32%) {-8%}
- Jeb Bush 31% / 42% {-11%}
National survey of 1,036 registered voters was conducted April 7-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 32% [34%] (34%) {31%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 26% [27%]
(25%) {27%} [25%] (28%) Republican; 41% [37%] (39%) {41%} [37%] (35%)
Independent. Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 25-27, 2013 are in parentheses.
