Poll Watch: Monmouth University Oklahoma 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Monmouth University Oklahoma 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Bernie Sanders 48%
• Hillary Clinton 43%

Survey of 300 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 25-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5.7 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Oklahoma 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Monmouth University Oklahoma 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 35%
• Ted Cruz 23%
• Marco Rubio 22%
• John Kasich 8%
• Ben Carson 7%

Survey of 403 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 25-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: The Oklahoman Oklahoma 2016 Republican Primary Survey

The Oklahoman Oklahoma 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 29% [30%] (19%)
• Marco Rubio 21% [21%] (9%)
• Ted Cruz 20% [25%] (7%)
• Ben Carson 6% [6%] (25%) 
• John Kasich 5% [3%] (2%)

Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 22-23, 2016 by Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: The Oklahoman Oklahoma 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

The Oklahoman Oklahoma 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 30% 
• Bernie Sanders 21%
• Martin O'Malley 1%
• Undecided 46% 

Survey of 500 registered Democratic primary voters was conducted October 19-22, 2015 by Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: The Oklahoman Oklahoma 2016 Republican Primary Survey

The Oklahoman Oklahoma 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Ben Carson 25% 
• Donald Trump 19%
• Marco Rubio 9%
• Ted Cruz 7%
• Mike Huckabee 4%
• Jeb Bush 3%
• Carly Fiorina 2% 
• John Kasich 2%
• Chris Christie 1%
• Rand Paul 1%
• Rick Santorum 0%
• George Pataki 0%
• Bobby Jindal 0%
• Lindsey Graham 0%
• Undecided 27% 

Survey of 500 registered Republican primary voters was conducted October 19-22, 2015 by Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Oklahoma 2014 Senatorial Special Election Survey

Rasmussen (R) Oklahoma 2014 Senate Special Election Poll

• James Lankford (R) 58%
• Connie Johnson (D) 29%

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted August 27-28, 2014. The margin of error is ± 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: SoonerPoll Oklahoma 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

SoonerPoll Oklahoma 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• James Lankford 43.4% [41%] (33.8%)
• T.W. Shannon 34.9% [38%] (31.9%)
• Randy Brogdon 4.2% [3%] (4.5%)
• Jason Weger 1.5% (1.5%)
• Kevin Crow 1.4% (1.7%)
• Eric McCray 0.9% (0.6%)
• Andy Craig 0.4% (0.6%)
• Undecided 13.3% [16%] (25.4%)

Note: A candidate needs to get more than 50 percent of the votes cast in the June 24 primary to avoid a runoff.  

Survey of 840 likely GOP primary voters was conducted June 19-21, 2014. The margin of error is ± 3.38 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-10, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SoonerPoll Oklahoma 2012 Presidential Survey

SoonerPoll Oklahoma 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 58.6% [58%] (62%)
• Barack Obama 32.7% [29%] (27%)
• Don't know/Refused 8.6% [13%] (11%)

Survey of 305 likely voters was conducted October 18-24, 2012. The margin of error is ± 5.61 percentage points. Party registration: 49.2% Democrat; 45.4% Republican; 5.4% Independent.  Ideology: 35.1% Moderate; 27.5% Somewhat conservative; 21.8% Very conservative; 6.8% Somewhat liberal; 4.0% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 26 - August 14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-10, 2012 are in parentheses.

Markwayne Mullin Delivers Weekly Republican Address

Poll Watch: SoonerPoll Oklahoma 2012 Presidential Survey

SoonerPoll Oklahoma 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 58% (62%)
• Barack Obama 29% (27%)
• Undecided 13% (11%)

Survey of 495 likely voters was conducted July 26 - August 14, 2012. The margin of error is ± 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 7-10, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Three-fourths of those describing themselves as "somewhat conservative" and nine-of-10 who said they are "very conservative" favored Romney.

Moderates and liberals supported Obama, but by smaller margins.

Eighty-eight percent of Republicans said they would vote for Romney, with only 4 percent for Obama and the rest undecided.

Nearly 30 percent of Democrats said they would vote for Romney, with Obama getting 55 percent of the Democratic vote - a slight improvement from May. Democrats were about twice as likely as Republicans to say they didn't know who they would vote for or to refuse to answer.

Romney was preferred by more than 60 percent of voters in the Oklahoma City metro area and among the state's nonurban voters but was weaker in the Tulsa metro area, where his lead on Obama was reduced to 7 points - 46 percent to 39 percent.

Poll Watch: SoonerPoll Oklahoma 2012 Presidential Survey

SoonerPoll Oklahoma 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 62%
• Barack Obama 27%
• Undecided 11%

Survey of 504 likely voters was conducted May 7-10, 2012. The margin of error is ± 4.4 percentage points.

Gov. Mary Fallin (R-OK) Delivers Weekly GOP Address on Obama's Lack of Leadership on Energy

Poll Watch: American Research Group Oklahoma 2012 Republican Primary Survey

ARG Oklahoma 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Rick Santorum 37% (16%) 
• Mitt Romney 26% (31%) 
• Newt Gingrich 22% (34%)
• Ron Paul 9% (10%)
• Other 1% (2%)
• Undecided 5% (7%)

Among Tea Party Supporters

• Rick Santorum 36% (15%) 
• Newt Gingrich 31% (46%)
• Mitt Romney 23% (26%)
• Ron Paul 5% (7%)
• Other 1% (2%)
• Undecided 4% (4%)

Among Non-Tea Party GOP Primary Voters

• Rick Santorum 38% (17%)  
• Mitt Romney 30% (36%)
• Ron Paul 14% (13%) 
• Newt Gingrich 11% (22%)
• Other 1% (2%)
• Undecided 6% (10%)

Among Men

• Rick Santorum 37% (15%)
• Newt Gingrich 22% (39%)
• Mitt Romney 22% (29%)
• Ron Paul 15% (13%)
• Other 1% (3%)
• Undecided 3% (1%)

Among Women

• Rick Santorum 37% (17%) 
• Mitt Romney 30% (33%)
• Newt Gingrich 22% (30%)
• Ron Paul 3% (7%)
• Other 1% (1%)
• Undecided 7% (12%)

Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 1-2, 2012. The margin of error is ± 4 percentage points. Tea Party supporter: 54% (51%); Not a Tea Party supporter/Undecided: 46% (49%).  Results from the poll conducted February 6-7, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Oklahoma 2012 Republican Primary Survey

Rasmussen Oklahoma 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Rick Santorum 43%
• Newt Gingrich 22%
• Mitt Romney 18%
• Ron Paul 7%
• Some other candidate 2%
• Undecided 7%

If the 2012 Republican primary for president were held today and you only had a choice between Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum. For whom would you vote?

• Rick Santorum 65%
• Mitt Romney 27%

Are you certain you will vote for that candidate or is it possible that something come up that causes you to change your mind?

• Certain 45%
• Could change mind 47%

Which Republican presidential candidate would be the strongest opponent against Barack Obama in the general election?

• Rick Santorum 35%
• Mitt Romney 30%
• Newt Gingrich 21%

Regardless of who you want to win, who do you think will win the Republican presidential nomination?

• Mitt Romney 48%
• Rick Santorum 34%

Survey of 750 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 21, 2012. The margin of error is ± 4 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Santorum is well ahead of the GOP pack among very conservative primary voters in Oklahoma and leads both Romney and Gingrich by double digits among somewhat conservative voters.

Santorum also leads his closest opponent by double digits among Evangelical Christian and Catholic primary voters in the state and holds modest leads among Protestants and non-Christians.

Among Tea Party voters in Oklahoma, it's Santorum 50%, Gingrich 26%. Among primary voters who say they are not members of the grass roots movement, it’s Santorum 37%, Romney 22% and Gingrich 20%.

Santorum is viewed favorably by 84% of likely Oklahoma primary voters, Gingrich by 63% and Romney by 61%. Only 36% share a favorable opinion of Paul.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Oklahoma primary voters say it’s at least somewhat likely that Romney would beat Obama in November if he wins the nomination, while 73% say that about Santorum. Fifty-seven percent (57%) see a Gingrich win over Obama as likely, but most see a Paul victory as unlikely.

Poll Watch: SoonerPoll Oklahoma 2012 Republican Primary Survey

SoonerPoll Oklahoma 2012 GOP Primary Survey

• Rick Santorum 39% (2%)
• Mitt Romney 23% (14%)
• Newt Gingrich 18% (33%) 
• Ron Paul 8% (4%)
• Undecided 13% (24%)

Survey of 278 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 8-16, 2012. The margin of error is ± 5.66 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 17 - December 16, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: American Research Group Oklahoma 2012 Republican Primary Survey

ARG Oklahoma 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Newt Gingrich 34% 
• Mitt Romney 31%
• Rick Santorum 16%
• Ron Paul 10%
• Other 2%
• Undecided 7%

Among Tea Party Supporters

• Newt Gingrich 46%
• Mitt Romney 26%
• Rick Santorum 15%
• Ron Paul 7%
• Other 2%
• Undecided 4%

Among Non-Tea Party GOP Primary Voters

• Mitt Romney 36%
• Newt Gingrich 22%
• Rick Santorum 17% 
• Ron Paul 13% 
• Other 2%
• Undecided 10%

Among Men

• Newt Gingrich 39%
• Mitt Romney 29%
• Rick Santorum 15%
• Ron Paul 13%
• Other 3%
• Undecided 1%

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 33%
• Newt Gingrich 30%
• Rick Santorum 17%
• Ron Paul 7%
• Other 1%
• Undecided 12%

Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 6-7, 2012. The margin of error is ± 4 percentage points. Tea Party supporter: 51%; Not a Tea Party supporter/Undecided: 49%.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Oklahoma Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Oklahoma Senatorial Survey

• Tom Coburn (R) 68% {67%} [65%] (65%)
• Jim Rogers (D) 26% {24%} [31%] (26%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Coburn 71% {71%} [71%] (70%) / 24% {26%} [26%] (23%) {+47%}
• Jim Rogers 36% {37%} [36%] (38%) / 34% {31%} [30%] (23%) {+2%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 23, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 45% Republican; 39% Democrat; 17% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted July 28, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 28, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 30, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Coburn draws support from 91% of Republicans and 35% of Democrats. Rogers is backed by 55% of voters in his own party. Coburn also earns 81% support from voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Oklahoma Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Oklahoma Gubernatorial Survey

• Mary Fallin (R) 60% [52%] {57%} (55%) [51%]
• Jari Askins (D) 34% [37%] {36%} (32%) [37%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mary Fallin 70% [65%] {67%} (58%) [62%] / 26% [28%] {26%} (32%) [31%] {+44%}
• Jari Askins 51% [59%] {56%} (50%) [48%] / 41% [35%] {35%} (38%) [36%] {+10%}

How would you rate the job Brad Henry has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 21% [24%] {23%} (26%) [25%]
• Somewhat approve 37% [38%] {36%} (34%) [39%]
• Somewhat disapprove 23% [22%] {21%} (25%) [25%]
• Strongly disapprove 18% [13%] {16%} (14%) [9%]

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 21% [21%] {20%} (19%) [23%]
• Somewhat approve 10% [13%] {16%} (16%) [15%]
• Somewhat disapprove 7% [10%] {10%} (11%) [13%]
• Strongly disapprove 60% [55%] {55%} (54%) [49%]

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 23, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 45% Democrat; 39% Republican; 17% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted August 26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 28, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 24, 2010 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers:

Fallin earns the vote from 89% of Oklahoma Republicans, while Askins is backed by just 64% of Democrats. Fallin holds a 25-point lead over Askins among voters not affiliated with either major political party.