Poll Watch: Marketing Resource Group (MRG) Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

MRG Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

Republican Primary

• Mitt Romney 40%
• Rick Perry 17%
• Newt Gingrich 8%
• Herman Cain 7%
• Ron Paul 5%
• Michele Bachmann 3%
• Rick Santorum 2%
• Thaddeus McCotter 1%
• Jon Huntsman 0%
• Undecided 17%

General Election

• Barack Obama 44%
• Mitt Romney 44%

• Barack Obama 50%
• Rick Perry 39%

Survey of 600 likely voters, including a subsample of 225 likely GOP primary voters, was conducted September 14-19, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points among all likely voters; +/- 6.5 percentage points among likely GOP primary voters.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Iowa 2012 Republican Caucus Survey

Rasmussen Iowa 2012 GOP Caucus Survey

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if it would be more accurate to describe that person’s views as mainstream or extreme.

Mitt Romney

• Mainstream 64% 
• Extreme 16%
• Not sure 20%

Herman Cain

• Mainstream 48%
• Extreme 19%
• Not sure 33%

Rick Perry

• Mainstream 50%
• Extreme 27%
• Not sure 23%

Newt Gingrich

• Mainstream 50%
• Extreme 29%
• Not sure 21%

Michele Bachmann

• Mainstream 50%
• Extreme 34%
• Not sure 15%

Rick Santorum

• Mainstream 40%
• Extreme 25%
• Not sure 35%

Jon Huntsman

• Mainstream 27%
• Extreme 27%
• Not sure 47%

Thad McCotter

• Mainstream 15%
• Extreme 21%
• Not sure 63%

Ron Paul

• Mainstream 29%
• Extreme 52%
• Not sure 20%

Survey of 862 likely GOP caucus participants was conducted August 31, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Quinnipiac 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

• Rick Perry 24% (10%)
• Mitt Romney 18% (25%) {25%} [18%] (18%)
• Sarah Palin 11% (12%) {15%} [15%] (19%)
• Michele Bachmann 10% (14%) {6%} [4%]
• Ron Paul 9% (5%) {8%} [5%]
• Herman Cain 5% (6%) {9%}
• Newt Gingrich 3% (5%) {8%} [5%] (15%)
• Rick Santorum 1% (1%) {4%} [1%]
• Jon Huntsman 1% (1%) {1%} [1%]
• Thaddeus McCotter 1% (0%)
• Don't know 16% (18%) {20%} [15%] (17%)

Among Men

• Rick Perry 27% (11%)
• Mitt Romney 19% (27%) {27%} [20%] (20%)
• Ron Paul 10% (8%) {13%} [6%]
• Michele Bachmann 9% (15%) {5%} [6%]
• Sarah Palin 9% (10%) {11%} [11%] (14%)
• Herman Cain 5% (7%) {11%}
• Newt Gingrich 4% (5%) {9%} [6%] (18%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (1%) {3%} [2%]
• Jon Huntsman 2% (1%) {2%} [1%]
• Thaddeus McCotter 1% (0%)
• Don't know 12% (12%) {13%} [12%] (15%)

Among Women

• Rick Perry 22% (9%)
• Mitt Romney 18% (23%) {22%} [15%] (15%)
• Sarah Palin 13% (13%) {18%} [20%] (25%)
• Michele Bachmann 11% (12%) {7%} [1%]
• Ron Paul 7% (3%) {3%} [4%]
• Herman Cain 6% (5%) {7%}
• Newt Gingrich 2% (5%) {7%} [5%] (11%)
• Rick Santorum 1% (2%) {4%} [0%]
• Jon Hunstman 1% (1%) {1%} [1%]
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% (0%)
• Don't know 20% (25%) {26%} [19%] (19%)

If Sarah Palin doesn't run

• Rick Perry 26% (10%)
• Mitt Romney 20% (28%)
• Michele Bachmann 12% (17%)
• Ron Paul 10% (6%) 
• Herman Cain 5% (6%)
• Newt Gingrich 4% (6%) 
• Rick Santorum 2% (1%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% (1%) 
• Thaddeus McCotter 1% (0%)
• Don't know 19% (22%) 

Survey of 1,185 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted August 16-27, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-11, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 6, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 26 - May 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-15, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2012 Republican Nomination Survey 

• Rick Perry 27% [15%] (14%)
• Mitt Romney 14% [17%] (16%)
• Sarah Palin 10% [12%] (13%)
• Rudy Giuliani 9% [12%] (13%)
• Michele Bachmann 9% [7%] (12%)
• Newt Gingrich 6% [5%] (4%)
• Ron Paul 6% [12%] (8%)
• Herman Cain 2% [4%] (6%)
• Gary Johnson 2% [0%] (0%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% [4%] (1%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [2%] (2%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% [0%] (0%)
• Someone else (vol.) 3% [2%] (1%)
• None/No one (vol.) 5% [4%] (8%)
• No opinion 3% [2%] (1%)

Among Republicans (MoE: +/-6.0%)

• Rick Perry 29% [21%] (15%)
• Mitt Romney 16% [17%] (18%)
• Rudy Giuliani 12% [10%] (12%)
• Michele Bachmann 11% [6%] (9%)
• Sarah Palin 8% [15%] (14%)
• Ron Paul 5% [10%] (8%)
• Newt Gingrich 3% [4%] (4%)
• Jon Huntsman 2% [4%] (1%)
• Herman Cain 2% [3%] (4%)
• Gary Johnson 2% [0%] (0%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [2%] (2%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% [1%] (0%)

Among GOP-Leaning Independents (MoE: +/-7.0%)

• Rick Perry 26% [7%] (14%)
• Sarah Palin 14% [9%] (10%)
• Mitt Romney 13% [16%] (12%)
• Newt Gingrich 9% [6%] (4%)
• Rudy Giuliani 6% [13%] (14%)
• Michele Bachmann 6% [7%] (15%)
• Ron Paul 6% [14%] (9%)
• Herman Cain 3% [6%] (8%)
• Gary Johnson 2% [0%] (1%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% [4%] (0%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [2%] (0%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% [0%] (0%)

Tea Party Supporter (MoE: +/-6.5%)

• Rick Perry 37% [20%] (22%)
• Michele Bachmann 14% [11%]
• Mitt Romney 11% [15%] (12%)
• Newt Gingrich 6% [5%] (3%)
• Sarah Palin 6% [11%] (10%)
• Ron Paul 5% [12%] (9%)
• Rudy Giuliani 4% [4%] (10%)
• Herman Cain 2% [4%] (10%)
• Jon Huntsman 2% [4%] (1%)
• Rick Santorum 2% [1%] (1%)
• Gary Johnson 0% [0%] (0%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% [0%] (0%)

Tea Party Neutral (MoE: +/-7.0%)

• Rick Perry 18% [9%] (5%)
• Mitt Romney 16% [18%] (22%)
• Rudy Giuliani 15% [20%] (17%)
• Sarah Palin 14% [13%] (13%)
• Michele Bachmann 6% [3%] (5%)
• Ron Paul 6% [12%] (6%)
• Newt Gingrich 5% [5%] (4%)
• Gary Johnson 4% [0%] (1%)
• Herman Cain 3% [3%] (2%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [3%] (2%)
• Jon Huntsman 0% [2%] (0%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% [1%] (0%)

Among Men (MoE: +/-6.0%)

• Rick Perry 32% [13%] (20%)
• Mitt Romney 14% [12%] (17%)
• Rudy Giuliani 8% [12%] (12%)
• Sarah Palin 8% [10%] (9%)
• Michele Bachmann 8% [9%] (13%)
• Newt Gingrich 6% [7%] (4%)
• Ron Paul 6% [17%] (8%)
• Herman Cain 2% [5%] (8%)
• Jon Huntsman 2% [4%] (0%)
• Gary Johnson 2% [0%] (1%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [3%] (1%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% [0%] (0%)

Among Women (MoE: +/-6.5%)

• Rick Perry 23% [16%] (8%)
• Mitt Romney 15% [22%] (15%)
• Sarah Palin 13% [15%] (17%)
• Rudy Giuliani 11% [11%] (14%)
• Michele Bachmann 10% [4%] (9%)
• Newt Gingrich 5% [3%] (4%)
• Ron Paul 5% [5%] (8%)
• Gary Johnson 2% [0%] (0%)
• Herman Cain 2% [3%] (4%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [1%] (2%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% [1%] (0%)
• Jon Huntsman 0% [4%] (1%)

If Rudy Giuliani and Sarah Palin don't run

• Rick Perry 32% [18%] (17%)
• Mitt Romney 18% [23%] (22%)
• Michele Bachmann 12% [9%] (14%)
• Newt Gingrich 7% [8%] (5%)
• Ron Paul 6% [14%] (12%)
• Herman Cain 3% [5%] (7%)
• Gary Johnson 2% [0%] (0%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% [5%] (1%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [3%] (2%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 1% [0%] (0%)
• Someone else (vol.) 4% [2%] (3%)
• None/No one (vol.) 6% [5%] (10%)
• No opinion 4% [4%] (2%)

Survey of 467 Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents was conducted August 24-25, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 5-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: WPA Research (R) Iowa 2012 Republican Caucus Survey

WPA Research (R) Iowa 2012 GOP Caucus Survey

• Rick Perry 23%
• Michele Bachmann 20%
• Mitt Romney 16%
• Ron Paul 9%
• Herman Cain 8%
• Rick Santorum 7%
• Newt Gingrich 3%
• Jon Huntsman 2%
• Thad McCotter 0%
• Undecided/Not sure 12%

Between Michele Bachmann, Rick Perry, and Mitt Romney, who would you think would be the best at creating jobs and improving the economy?

• Rick Perry 38%
• Mitt Romney 27%
• Michele Bachmann 18%

Between Michele Bachmann, Rick Perry, and Mitt Romney, who do you believe has the best chance to defeat Barack Obama for president?

• Rick Perry 41%
• Mitt Romney 24%
• Michele Bachmann 13%

Survey of 402 likely Republican caucus-goers was conducted August 21-22, 2011 for the Make Us Great Again PAC, a Rick Perry-favored Super PAC. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Self-described "very conservative" voters favor Perry, at 30 percent, over Bachmann, at 23 percent, and Cain, at 10 percent (Romney got 9 percent, as did Santorum). And those who described themselves as "a Tea Party conservative concerned about spending, the federal debt, and protecting the U.S. Constitution" also had Perry on top, with 30 percent, followed by Bachmann, at 22 percent and Paul at 13 percent.

Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2012 Republican Primary Survey

EPIC-MRA Michigan 2012 GOP Primary Survey

• Mitt Romney 32%
• Rick Perry 17%
• Michele Bachmann 12%
• Newt Gingrich 5%
• Ron Paul 5%
• Sarah Palin 5%
• Thaddeus McCotter 1%
• Undecided 16%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 70% / 20% {+50%}
• Sarah Palin 51% / 40% {+11%}

Survey of 210 likely primary voters was conducted August 13-16, 2011. The margin of error is +/-6.7 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Despite Romney's Michigan connections, support for the former Massachusetts governor remains relatively soft. Overall, 70 percent of likely Republican primary voters have a favorable impression of Romney, higher than the candidates he leads, like Perry (48 percent) and Bachmann (58 percent). But only 22 percent of Republican voters have a "very favorable" opinion of Romney, equal to the percentage that view Bachmann "very favorably" and narrowly more than have a "very favorable" impression of Perry (17 percent).

Iowa Straw Poll Results

• 1. Michele Bachmann 4,823 votes (28.55%)
• 2. Ron Paul 4,671 (27.65%)
• 3. Tim Pawlenty 2,293 (13.57%)
• 4. Rick Santorum 1,657 (9.81%)
• 5. Herman Cain 1,456 (8.62%)
• 6. Rick Perry (write-in) 718 (3.62%)
• 7. Mitt Romney 567 (3.36%)
• 8. Newt Gingrich 385 (2.28%)
• 9. Jon Huntsman 69 (0.41%)
• 10. Thad McCotter 35 (0.21%)

A total of 16,892 votes were cast.

Source: Des Moines Register

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Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2012 Republican Nomination Survey 

• Mitt Romney 17% (16%)
• Rick Perry 15% (14%)
• Rudy Giuliani 12% (13%)
• Sarah Palin 12% (13%)
• Ron Paul 12% (8%)
• Michele Bachmann 7% (12%)
• Newt Gingrich 5% (4%)
• Herman Cain 4% (6%)
• Jon Huntsman 4% (1%)
• Tim Pawlenty 2% (3%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (2%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (0%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% (0%)
• Someone else (vol.) 2% (1%)
• None/No one (vol.) 4% (8%)
• No opinion 2% (1%)

Among Republicans (MoE: +/-6.0%)

• Rick Perry 21% (15%)
• Mitt Romney 17% (18%)
• Sarah Palin 15% (14%)
• Rudy Giuliani 10% (12%)
• Ron Paul 10% (8%)
• Michele Bachmann 6% (9%)
• Jon Huntsman 4% (1%)
• Newt Gingrich 4% (4%)
• Herman Cain 3% (4%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (2%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 1% (0%)
• Tim Pawlenty 1% (2%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (0%)

Among GOP-Leaning Independents (MoE: +/-7.0%)

• Mitt Romney 16% (12%)
• Ron Paul 14% (9%)
• Rudy Giuliani 13% (14%)
• Sarah Palin 9% (10%)
• Michele Bachmann 7% (15%)
• Rick Perry 7% (14%)
• Newt Gingrich 6% (4%)
• Herman Cain 6% (8%)
• Jon Huntsman 4% (0%)
• Tim Pawlenty 3% (3%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (0%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (1%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% (0%)

Among Men (MoE: +/-6.5%)

• Ron Paul 17% (8%)
• Rick Perry 13% (20%)
• Rudy Giuliani 12% (12%)
• Mitt Romney 12% (17%)
• Sarah Palin 10% (9%)
• Michele Bachmann 9% (13%)
• Newt Gingrich 7% (4%)
• Herman Cain 5% (8%)
• Jon Huntsman 4% (0%)
• Rick Santorum 3% (1%)
• Tim Pawlenty 2% (3%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (1%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% (0%)

Among Women (MoE: +/-7.0%)

• Mitt Romney 22% (15%)
• Rick Perry 16% (8%)
• Sarah Palin 15% (17%)
• Rudy Giuliani 11% (14%)
• Ron Paul 5% (8%)
• Jon Huntsman 4% (1%)
• Michele Bachmann 4% (9%)
• Newt Gingrich 3% (4%)
• Herman Cain 3% (4%)
• Tim Pawlenty 2% (3%)
• Rick Santorum 1% (2%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 1% (0%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (0%)

If Rudy Giuliani and Sarah Palin don't run

• Mitt Romney 23% (22%)
• Rick Perry 18% (17%)
• Ron Paul 14% (12%)
• Michele Bachmann 9% (14%)
• Newt Gingrich 8% (5%)
• Herman Cain 5% (7%)
• Jon Huntsman 5% (1%)
• Tim Pawlenty 3% (4%)
• Rick Santorum 3% (2%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (0%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% (0%)
• Someone else (vol.) 2% (3%)
• None/No one (vol.) 5% (10%)
• No opinion 4% (2%)

Survey of 449 Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents was conducted August 5-7, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2011 are in parentheses.

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Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Michigan Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) 2012 Michigan GOP Primary Survey

• Mitt Romney 25% (26%) {22%} [30%] (37%)
• Rick Perry 13%
• Michele Bachmann 12%
• Sarah Palin 12% (14%) {18%} [17%] (24%)
• Herman Cain 7%
• Ron Paul 6% (7%) {10%} [8%] (6%)
• Newt Gingrich 6% (16%) {15%} [16%] (16%)
• Thad McCotter 5%
• Tim Pawlenty 3% (3%) {3%}
• Someone else/Undecided 11% (10%) {7%}

If Sarah Palin doesn't run

• Mitt Romney 24%
• Michele Bachmann 18%
• Rick Perry 14%
• Herman Cain 7%
• Newt Gingrich 7%
• Ron Paul 6%
• Thad McCotter 5%
• Tim Pawlenty 4%
• Someone else/Undecided 17%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Sarah Palin 64% (64%) {64%} / 24% (28%) {28%} {+40%}
• Mitt Romney 61% (66%) {66%} / 23% (20%) {18%} {+38%}
• Michele Bachmann 51% / 22% {+29%}
• Rick Perry 40% / 13% {+27%}
• Herman Cain 37% / 14% {+23%}
• Thad McCotter 20% / 19% {+1%}

Survey of 400 usual Michigan Republican primary voters was conducted July 21-24, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Political ideology: 43% (38%) Somewhat conservative; 34% (40%) Very conservative; 20% (16%) Moderate; 2% (3%) Somewhat liberal; 1% (2%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted March 18-20, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-6, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 25-27, 2010 are in parentheses.

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Gallup: Perry, Giuliani Score High on Positive Intensity With Republicans

Gallup reports:

Texas Gov. Rick Perry and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani would enter as credible players in the 2012 GOP presidential race, should they decide to run. Perry is recognized by 55% of Republicans and has a Positive Intensity Score of 21, while Giuliani is recognized by 86% and has a Positive Intensity Score of 20. Both Positive Intensity Scores are among the highest of any candidate or potential candidate Gallup measures.

Click Image to Enlarge

Despite intense media speculation about his presidential plans, far fewer Republicans recognize Perry (55%) than recognize Sarah Palin, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Michele Bachmann, and Ron Paul. Perry, however, is already known by as many Republicans nationally as announced candidate Tim Pawlenty, and has higher name recognition than several other candidates who have been hard at work campaigning in recent weeks, including Rick Santorum, Herman Cain, and Jon Huntsman. 

Perry's Positive Intensity Score of 21 ties Bachmann's, and is slightly below Cain's 25. Cain continues to generate the most enthusiasm of any candidate tested. 

Giuliani's Positive Intensity Score of 20 puts him one point below Perry and Bachmann. 

There has been little change in Gallup's update for the two weeks ending July 17 in the positioning of the other potential GOP candidates Gallup measures. Palin's and Romney's Positive Intensity Scores are below those of Cain, Bachmann, Perry, and Giuliani, with Santorum's and Pawlenty's scores well below those. Huntsman's position among Republicans has also not changed; he appears stuck with a relatively low recognition score of 41%, and his Positive Intensity Score of 2 is still among the lowest of any candidate or potential candidate tested. 

This week's Gallup tracking for the first time includes measures of two other announced candidates -- Michigan Rep. Thad McCotter and Californian Fred Karger. Both have only 10% recognition among Republicans, and neither generates strong interest among that very small group of Republicans who do know them, with Positive Intensity Scores of 5 and -1, respectively.

In their inaugural appearance in Gallup's weekly GOP candidate tracking, Perry and Giuliani have strongly positive images among Republicans nationwide, with Positive Intensity Scores in the top tier of all candidates and potential candidates Gallup measures. Both men generate slightly more intensely positive responses than Romney, and considerably more positive reactions than several other announced candidates who have been campaigning actively, including Pawlenty and Huntsman.

Perry does have relatively low name recognition among Republicans nationwide, roughly on par with where Bachmann was at the beginning of this year. Bachmann's name recognition has increased significantly since then, however, in contrast to the situations of Pawlenty, Huntsman, Santorum, and Cain, who have not been able to move the needle on name recognition despite vigorous campaigning. It remains to be seen how quickly Perry's name recognition will increase if he officially jumps into the race.

Giuliani does not have a name ID problem; he is as well-known as any candidate or potential candidate tested except for Palin. Giuliani also scores well on Gallup's Positive Intensity measure, meaning that both he and Perry would be formidable factors in the race for the GOP nomination should they make the decision to run.

Overall, Cain, Bachmann, Perry, and Giuliani generate the most positive enthusiasm among Republicans nationwide who recognize them, with Palin and Romney trailing slightly behind.

Thaddeus McCotter Discusses What He Would Do Differently if Elected President

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Quinnipiac 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

• Mitt Romney 25% {25%} [18%] (18%)
• Michele Bachmann 14% {6%} [4%]
• Sarah Palin 12% {15%} [15%] (19%)
• Rick Perry 10%
• Herman Cain 6% {9%}
• Newt Gingrich 5% {8%} [5%] (15%)
• Ron Paul 5% {8%} [5%]
• Tim Pawlenty 3% {5%} [4%] (6%)
• Rick Santorum 1% {4%} [1%]
• Jon Huntsman 1% {1%} [1%]
• Thaddeus McCotter 0%
• Don't know 18% {20%} [15%] (17%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 27% {27%} [20%] (20%)
• Michele Bachmann 15% {5%} [6%]
• Rick Perry 11%
• Sarah Palin 10% {11%} [11%] (14%)
• Ron Paul 8% {13%} [6%]
• Herman Cain 7% {11%}
• Newt Gingrich 5% {9%} [6%] (18%)
• Tim Pawlenty 3% {6%} [5%] (6%)
• Rick Santorum 1% {3%} [2%]
• Jon Huntsman 1% {2%} [1%]
• Thaddeus McCotter 0%
• Don't know 12% {13%} [12%] (15%)

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 23% {22%} [15%] (15%)
• Sarah Palin 13% {18%} [20%] (25%)
• Michele Bachmann 12% {7%} [1%]
• Rick Perry 9%
• Herman Cain 5% {7%}
• Newt Gingrich 5% {7%} [5%] (11%)
• Tim Pawlenty 3% {4%} [3%] (5%)
• Ron Paul 3% {3%} [4%]
• Rick Santorum 2% {4%} [0%]
• Jon Hunstman 1% {1%} [1%]
• Thaddeus McCotter 0%
• Don't know 25% {26%} [19%] (19%)

If Sarah Palin doesn't run

• Mitt Romney 28%
• Michele Bachmann 17%
• Rick Perry 10%
• Herman Cain 6% 
• Newt Gingrich 6% 
• Ron Paul 6% 
• Tim Pawlenty 3%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Jon Huntsman 1% 
• Thaddeus McCotter 0%
• Don't know 22% 

Survey of 913 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted July 5-11, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 6, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 26 - May 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-15, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Denno Research Michigan 2012 Republican Primary Survey

Denno Research Michigan 2012 GOP Primary Survey

• Mitt Romney 28.7%
• Sarah Palin 5.8%
• Michele Bachmann 4.5%
• Tim Pawlenty 2.8%
• Newt Gingrich 1.8%
• Thaddeus McCotter 1.7%
• None of the above 8%
• Wouldn't vote in GOP primary 18%
• Undecided 26%

Survey of 600 likely voters, commissioned by the bipartisan Lansing public relations firm Lambert, Edwards & Associates and The Perricone Group, was conducted June 16-17, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 43% Democrat; 36% Republican; 18% Independent.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Rasmussen 2012 GOP Nomination Survey (Dark Horse Edition)

If the 2012 Republican Primary for President were held today and you had a choice between Rick Perry, Rick Santorum, Michele Bachman, Herman Cain, Buddy Roemer, Gary Johnson, Thaddeus McCotter or John Huntsman for whom would you vote?

• Michele Bachmann 27%
• Rick Santorum 12%
• Herman Cain 9%
• Rick Perry 7%
• Jon Huntsman 3%
• Buddy Roemer 1%
• Gary Johnson 1%
• Thaddeus McCotter 1%
• Some other candidate 17%
• Undecided 22%

National survey of 1,000 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 26, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Bachmann’s support climbs to 31% among unaffiliated voters who are likely to vote in a Republican primary. 

Given this slate of candidates, however, 42% of Republicans who plan to vote in the primaries either want another candidate or are undecided, compared to 32% of unaffiliated primary voters.