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MRG Michigan 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
- Hillary Clinton 41%
- Joe Biden 22%
- Bernie Sanders 22%
- Martin O'Malley 1%
- Lincoln Chafee 0%
- Jim Webb 0%
Survey of 600 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted September 9-14, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.
MRG Michigan 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Ben Carson 24%
- Donald Trump 22%
- Jeb Bush 8%
- Mike Huckabee 6%
- Marco Rubio 4%
- Ted Cruz 3%
- Carly Fiorina 3%
- John Kasich 2%
- Rand Paul 2%
- Scott Walker 2%
- Chris Christie 1%
- Jim Gilmore 0%
- Lindsey Graham 0%
- Bobby Jindal 0%
- George Pataki 0%
- Rick Santorum 0%
Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters was conducted September 9-14, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.
MRG (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
- Gary Peters (D) 46.7% (38.0%)
- Terri Lynn Land (R) 40.0% (40.0%)
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted July 26-30, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage
points. Results from the poll conducted March 24-28, 2014 are in parentheses.
MRG (R) Michigan 2016 Presidential Poll
- Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
- Chris Christie (R) 38%
- Unsure 18%
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted March 24-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage
points. Party ID: 31% Democrat; 28% Republican; 36.5% Independent; 3% Other.
MRG (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
- Terri Lynn Land (R) 40%
- Gary Peters (D) 38%
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted March 24-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage
points. Party ID: 31% Democrat; 28% Republican; 36.5% Independent; 3% Other.
MRG (R) Michigan 2012 Senate Poll
- Debbie Stabenow (D) 46.2% [45%]
- Pete Hoekstra (R) 40.2% [40%]
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted September 10-15, 2012. The margin of
error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 14-19, 2012 are in square brackets.
Inside the numbers:
About 45 percent of overall respondents said they had a “favorable” impression of Stabenow, while 39 percent said they had an “unfavorable” impression.
MRG (R) Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll
- Barack Obama-Joe Biden 47.5% [49%] (44%)
- Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 42.3% [42%] (44%)
- Undecided 8%
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted September 10-15, 2012. The margin of
error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 14-19, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 14-19, 2011 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Paul King, MRG's director of survey research, said a big concern for Romney is Oakland County, the suburban Detroit swing county where Obama was leading 54 percent to 38 percent.
"They seem to be falling in the president's direction, which is not good news for the Romney campaign," he said. "If Oakland County goes big for one candidate or another, typically the state of Michigan does the same."
The last time a GOP presidential candidate won the vote-rich county was 1992, when President George H.W. Bush narrowly held it but lost the statewide election to Bill Clinton. Romney grew up in the county, and it is a place where Republicans want to do well.
Among self-described independents, Obama was leading 45 percent to 38 percent, with 16 percent undecided.
The federal government's rescue of the auto industry continued to enjoy significant support in this auto-heavy state. Sixty-one percent said they supported it, and 32 percent opposed it.
The federal health care law evenly split the potential electorate, with 45 percent in favor and 47 percent against.
Though Obama and Romney were about even among male voters (Obama had a 3-percentage point edge), the president enjoyed a 7-point lead with female voters. "We've seen a larger difference in past elections," King said. Romney needs to win over more men to offset women favoring Obama. Women 55 and older have helped Romney narrow the gender gap a bit despite younger women - particularly age 18-34 - backing Obama in droves, King said.
Fifty-two percent of respondents had a favorable impression of Obama, and 44 percent had an unfavorable impression. That is about the same as March, when he had a 53 percent favorability rating and 44 percent unfavorablility rating. A question on Romney's favorables was not asked.
Fifty percent approved of the job Obama is doing, while 46 percent disapproved. Those numbers are similar to six months ago, when he had a 50 percent approval rating and 45 percent disapproval rating.
Romney was up in the Flint-Saginaw-Bay City market (50-38), Cadillac-Traverse City-Sault Ste. Marie (44-41) and Upper Peninsula-northern Michigan (56-44). Obama fared better in metropolitan Detroit (52-39), Grand Rapids-Kalamazoo-west Michigan (46-44) and Lansing-Mid-Michigan (47-40). The surprises? Obama doing well in west Michigan - a GOP stronghold - and Romney faring better in Interstate 75 stretch linking Flint, Saginaw and Bay City.
MRG Michigan 2012 GOP Primary Poll
- Rick Santorum 43% (2%)
- Mitt Romney 33% (40%)
- Newt Gingrich 11% (8%)
- Ron Paul 8% (5%)
- Undecided 5% (17%)
Inside the numbers:
The poll showed a large difference between men and women as Santorum leads Romney by eighteen percent (43 percent Santorum – 25 percent Romney) among males while the vote among females is virtually tied (38 percent Santorum – 37 percent Romney).
Forty-seven percent (47%) of poll respondents considered themselves “strong supporters of the tea party movement, while 34 percent are not strong supporters. Santorum had a twenty-nine point lead (51 percent Santorum – 22 percent Romney) among tea party supporters, while Romney led by thirteen percent (42 percent Romney – 29 percent Santorum) among voters who were not tea party supporters.
Santorum leads among all age groups except for senior citizens, (38 percent Romney –35 percent Santorum) where the Romney family name appears to carry more weight.
Romney leads Santorum by seven percent (39 percent Romney – 32 percent Santorum) among those most concerned about the economy, but Santorum held a twenty point lead (47 percent Santorum – 27 percent Romney) among those focused on spending issues and a forty-five (64 percent Santorum – 19 percent Romney) percent lead among those focused on social issues.
Geographically, the poll shows Santorum leading in every media market in the state from the three percent in the Lansing Media Market (37 percent Santorum – 34 percent Romney) to a forty-five percent lead in the sparsely populated Upper Peninsula (60 percent Santorum – 15 percent Romney). Santorum leads Romney by sixteen percent in Grand Rapids/West Michigan area (46 percent Santorum – 30 percent Romney), by eighteen percent in the Traverse City market (43 percent Santorum – 25 percent Romney) and by four percent in the Flint/Saginaw Bay city market (38 percent Santorum – 34 percent Romney) in the state’s largest market, Santorum leads Romney by six percent in the Metro Detroit area (38 percent Santorum – 34 percent Romney). A closer look at the Detroit area shows Romney leading by nine percent in Oakland County where he was born and raised (38 percent Romney – 30 percent Santorum) and tied with Santorum in Macomb County (32 percent for both).
MRG Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey
Republican Primary
- Mitt Romney 40%
- Rick Perry 17%
- Newt Gingrich 8%
- Herman Cain 7%
- Ron Paul 5%
- Michele Bachmann 3%
- Rick Santorum 2%
- Thaddeus McCotter 1%
- Jon Huntsman 0%
- Undecided 17%
General Election
- Barack Obama 44%
- Mitt Romney 44%
- Barack Obama 50%
- Rick Perry 39%
Survey of 600 likely voters, including a subsample of 225 likely GOP primary voters, was conducted September 14-19, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points among all likely voters; +/- 6.5 percentage points among likely GOP primary voters.
