Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Mark Begich (D) 42% {41%} [46%] (47%)
• Dan Sullivan (R) 37% {37%} [39%] (41%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 5% {6%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 1% {2%}
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% {1%}

• Mark Begich (D) 41% {44%} [52%] (54%)
• Sarah Palin (R) 35% {40%} [40%] (38%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 6% {4%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 2% {2%}
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% {1%}

• Mark Begich (D) 41% {43%} [44%] (47%)
• Mead Treadwell (R) 33% {37%} [40%] (39%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 6% {5%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 2% {1%}
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% {1%}

• Mark Begich (D) 43% {45%} [55%] (58%)
• Joe Miller (R) 27% {25%} [32%] (30%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 4% {5%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 2% {2%}
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 0% {1%} 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mead Treadwell 30% {33%} [35%] (34%) / 34% {31%} [29%] (26%) {-4%} 
• Dan Sullivan 34% {31%} [31%] (37%) / 43% {35%} [28%] (34%) {-9%}
• Sarah Palin 36% {39%} [39%] (34%) / 56% {55%} [58%] (59%) {-20%}
• Joe Miller 17% {16%} [19%] (20%) / 61% {62%} [63%] (63%) {-44%}
  

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Begich’s job performance?

• Approve 44% {43%} [42%] (49%)
• Disapprove 45% {44%} [41%] (39%)

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Dan Sullivan 40% {30%} [25%]
• Mead Treadwell 26% {25%} [33%]
• Joe Miller 14% {20%} [24%]
• John Jaramillo 3% {2%}
• Someone else/Not sure 17% {19%} [19%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dan Sullivan 54% {46%} [42%] / 28% {21%} [19%] {+26%}
• Mead Treadwell 46% {51%} [50%]/ 23% {20%} [19%] {+23%} 
• Joe Miller 28% {26%} [26%] / 52% {52%} [53%] {-24%}

Survey of 582 registered voters, including 313 Republican primary voters, was conducted May 8-11, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points among all voters; +/- 5.5 percentage points among GOP primary voters.  Party ID (among all voters): 29% {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 18% {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 53% {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology (among all voters): 31% {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 22% {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 21% {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 16% {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 9% {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Mark Begich (D) 41% [46%] (47%)
• Dan Sullivan (R) 37% [39%] (41%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 6%
• Sidney Hill (I) 2%
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%

• Mark Begich (D) 44% [52%] (54%)
• Sarah Palin (R) 40% [40%] (38%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 4%
• Sidney Hill (I) 2%
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%

• Mark Begich (D) 43% [44%] (47%)
• Mead Treadwell (R) 37% [40%] (39%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 5%
• Sidney Hill (I) 1%
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%

• Mark Begich (D) 45% [55%] (58%)
• Joe Miller (R) 25% [32%] (30%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 5%
• Sidney Hill (I) 2%
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mead Treadwell 33% [35%] (34%) / 31% [29%] (26%) {+2%} 
• Dan Sullivan 31% [31%] (37%) / 35% [28%] (34%) {-4%}
• Sarah Palin 39% [39%] (34%) / 55% [58%] (59%) {-16%}
• Joe Miller 16% [19%] (20%) / 62% [63%] (63%) {-46%}
  

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Begich’s job performance?

• Approve 43% [42%] (49%)
• Disapprove 44% [41%] (39%)

GOP SENATE PRIMARY

• Dan Sullivan 30% [25%]
• Mead Treadwell 25% [33%]
• Joe Miller 20% [24%]
• Kathleen Tonn 4%
• John Jaramillo 2% 
• Someone else/Not sure 19% [19%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mead Treadwell 51% [50%]/ 20% [19%] {+31%} 
• Dan Sullivan 46% [42%] / 21% [19%] {+25%}
• Joe Miller 26% [26%] / 52% [53%] {-26%}

Survey of 850 Alaska voters and 442 Republican primary voters was conducted January 31 - February 1, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points among all voters; +/- 4.7 percentage points among GOP primary voters.  Party ID (among all voters): 33% [32%] (32%) Republican; 20% [20%] (21%) Democrat; 46% [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology (among all voters): 32% [30%] (33%) Moderate; 23% [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 21% [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 16% [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 7% [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.