Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Dan Sullivan (R) 46% {43%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [39%] (41%)
• Mark Begich (D) 45% {41%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [46%] (47%)
• Mark Fish (L) 2% {3%} [4%]
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 2% {2%} [0%] (1%) {1%}

Horse race, with third-party supporters and undecideds asked if they lean Begich or Sullivan:

• Dan Sullivan (R) 47% {45%} [41%]
• Mark Begich (D) 46% {42%} [45%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dan Sullivan 43% {44%} [35%] (34%) {31%} [31%] (37%) / 45% {42%} [43%] (43%) {35%} [28%] (34%) {-2%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Begich’s job performance?

• Approve 43% {42%} [43%] (44%) {43%} [42%] (49%)
• Disapprove 50% {51%} [44%] (45%) {44%} [41%] (39%)

Survey of 1,052 likely voters was conducted November 1-2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% {28%} [32%] (29%) {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 20% {16%} [20%] (18%) {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 46% {56%} [47%] (53%) {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 30% {33%} [33%] (31%) {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 27% {28%} [25%] (21%) {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 18% {17%} [18%] (22%) {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 16% {15%} [16%] (16%) {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 10% {7%} [8%] (9%) {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 18-21, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 3, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 8-11, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Dan Sullivan (R) 47% (48%) {48%} [47%] (44%)
• Mark Begich (D) 42% (45%) {43%} [45%] (44%) 

Survey of 887 likely voters was conducted October 27-30, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 8-12, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 23-24, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 20-21, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 19-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Dan Sullivan (R) 48% {48%} [44%] (37%)
• Mark Begich (D) 44% {42%} [38%] (49%)
• Other 0% {2%} [6%]
• Not sure 9% {8%} [12%]

Among Men

• Dan Sullivan (R) 57% {55%} [50%]
• Mark Begich (D) 34% {35%} [36%]
• Other 0% {1%} [7%]
• Not sure 9% {9%} [7%]

Among Women

• Mark Begich (D) 54% {50%} [40%]
• Dan Sullivan (R) 37% {40%} [37%]
• Other 0% {3%} [6%]
• Not sure 8% {7%} [18%]

Survey of 561 likely voters was conducted October 16-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Dan Sullivan (R) 48% {48%} [47%] (44%)
• Mark Begich (D) 45% {43%} [45%] (44%) 
• Some other candidate 3% {5%} [3%]
• Undecided 3% {4%} [4%]

Survey of 700 likely voters was conducted October 8-12, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 23-24, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 20-21, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 19-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

CNN/ORC Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Dan Sullivan (R) 50%
• Mark Begich (D) 44%

Among Men

• Dan Sullivan (R) 50%
• Mark Begich (D) 45%

Among Women

• Dan Sullivan (R) 51%
• Mark Begich (D) 44%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dan Sullivan 53% / 41% {+12%}
• Mark Begich 45% / 52% {-7%}

Survey of 704 likely voters was conducted October 1-6, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Fox News Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

Fox News Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Dan Sullivan (R) 44%
• Mark Begich (D) 40%
• Mark Fish (L) 3%
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%

Among Men

• Dan Sullivan (R) 48%
• Mark Begich (D) 34%
• Mark Fish (L) 3%
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%

Among Women

• Mark Begich (D) 46%
• Dan Sullivan (R) 41%
• Mark Fish (L) 2%
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 2%

Survey of 706 likely voters was conducted October 4-7, 2014 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% Republican; 25% Democrat; 33% Independent/Other. 

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Dan Sullivan (R) 48% [44%] (37%)
• Mark Begich (D) 42% [38%] (49%)
• Other 2% [6%]
• Not sure 8% [12%]

Among Men

• Dan Sullivan (R) 55% [50%]
• Mark Begich (D) 35% [36%]
• Other 1% [7%]
• Not sure 9% [7%]

Among Women

• Mark Begich (D) 50% [40%]
• Dan Sullivan (R) 40% [37%]
• Other 3% [6%]
• Not sure 7% [18%]

Survey of 593 likely voters was conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Dittman Research (R) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

Dittman Research (R) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Dan Sullivan (R) 49%
• Mark Begich (D) 43%
• Undecided 4%

Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted September 14-17, 2014 for the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Inside the numbers: 

Also worrisome for Begich is that Sullivan has a 12-point lead among those who say they are “extremely” interested in the election.

In a generic question, 54 percent of the voters think it’s time to give someone another chance at the job, 32 percent approve of Obama and 69 percent of the voters think the country is on the “wrong track.”

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Dan Sullivan (R) 48% [47%] (44%)
• Mark Begich (D) 43% [45%] (44%) 
• Some other candidate 5% [3%]
• Undecided 4% [4%]

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted September 23-24, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 20-21, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 19-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Dan Sullivan (R) 43% [37%] (37%) {37%} [39%] (41%)
• Mark Begich (D) 41% [43%] (42%) {41%} [46%] (47%)
• Mark Fish (L) 3% [4%]
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 2% [0%] (1%) {1%}

Horse race, with third-party supporters asked if they lean Begich or Sullivan

• Dan Sullivan (R) 45% [41%]
• Mark Begich (D) 42% [45%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dan Sullivan 44% [35%] (34%) {31%} [31%] (37%) / 42% [43%] (43%) {35%} [28%] (34%) {+2%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Begich’s job performance?

• Approve 42% [43%] (44%) {43%} [42%] (49%)
• Disapprove 51% [44%] (45%) {44%} [41%] (39%)

Survey of 880 likely voters was conducted September 18-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 28% [32%] (29%) {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 16% [20%] (18%) {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 56% [47%] (53%) {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 33% [33%] (31%) {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 28% [25%] (21%) {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 17% [18%] (22%) {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 15% [16%] (16%) {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 7% [8%] (9%) {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 3, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 8-11, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Dan Sullivan (R) 44% (37%)
• Mark Begich (D) 38% (49%)
• Other 6%
• Not sure 12%

Survey of 412 likely voters was conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 6.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Dan Sullivan (R) 47% (44%)
• Mark Begich (D) 45% (44%) 
• Some other candidate 3%
• Undecided 4%

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted August 20-21, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 19-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

If the candidates for Senate this fall were Democrat Mark Begich, Republican Mead Treadwell, Libertarian Mark Fish, Alaska Independence Party candidate Vic Kohring, non-affiliated candidate Ted Gianoutsos, and non-affiliated candidate Sid Hill, who would you vote for?

• Mark Begich (D) 42% (41%) {43%} [44%] (47%)
• Mead Treadwell (R) 37% (33%) {37%} [40%] (39%)
• Mark Fish (L) 5%
• Vic Kohring (AIP) 3%
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 0% (1%) {1%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 0% (2%) {1%}

Horse race, with third-party candidates asked whether they support Begich or Treadwell

• Mark Begich (D) 44%
• Mead Treadwell (R) 41%

If the candidates for Senate this fall were Democrat Mark Begich, Republican Dan Sullivan, Libertarian Mark Fish, Alaska Independence Party candidate Vic Kohring, non-affiliated candidate Ted Gianoutsos, and non-affiliated candidate Sid Hill, who would you vote for?

• Mark Begich (D) 43% (42%) {41%} [46%] (47%)
• Dan Sullivan (R) 37% (37%) {37%} [39%] (41%)
• Mark Fish (L) 4%
• Vic Kohring (AIP) 3%
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 0% (1%) {1%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 0% (1%) {2%}

Horse race, with third-party candidates asked whether they support Begich or Sullivan

• Mark Begich (D) 45%
• Dan Sullivan (R) 41%

If the candidates for Senate this fall were Democrat Mark Begich, Republican Joe Miller, Libertarian Mark Fish, Alaska Independence Party candidate Vic Kohring, non-affiliated candidate Ted Gianoutsos, and non-affiliated candidate Sid Hill, who would you vote for?

• Mark Begich (D) 45% (43%) {45%} [55%] (58%)
• Joe Miller (R) 32% (27%) {25%} [32%] (30%)
• Mark Fish (L) 6%
• Vic Kohring (AIP) 4%
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% (0%) {1%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 1% (2%) {2%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mead Treadwell 38% (30%) {33%} [35%] (34%) / 32% (34%) {31%} [29%] (26%) {+6%} 
• Dan Sullivan 35% (34%) {31%} [31%] (37%) / 43% (43%) {35%} [28%] (34%) {-8%}
• Joe Miller 22% (17%) {16%} [19%] (20%) / 59% (61%) {62%} [63%] (63%) {-37%}
  

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Begich’s job performance?

• Approve 43% (44%) {43%} [42%] (49%)
• Disapprove 44% (45%) {44%} [41%] (39%)

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Dan Sullivan 35% (40%) {30%} [25%]
• Mead Treadwell 29% (26%) {25%} [33%]
• Joe Miller 20% (14%) {20%} [24%]
• John Jaramillo 2% (3%) {2%}
• Undecided 14% (17%) {19%} [19%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mead Treadwell 58% (46%) {51%} [50%] / 20% (23%) {20%} [19%] {+38%}
• Dan Sullivan 57% (54%) {46%} [42%] / 25% (28%) {21%} [19%] {+32%}
• Joe Miller 38% (28%) {26%} [26%] / 47% (52%) {52%} [53%] {-9%}

Survey of 673 Alaska voters, including 337 Republican primary voters, was conducted July 31 - August 3, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points among all voters; +/- 5.3 percentage points among GOP primary voters.  Party ID (among all voters): 32% (29%) {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 20% (18%) {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 47% (53%) {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology (among all voters): 33% (31%) {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 25% (21%) {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 18% (22%) {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 16% (16%) {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 8% (9%) {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 8-11, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Moore Information (R) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

Moore Information (R) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

Among Registered GOP Primary Voters

• Dan Sullivan 36% (38%)
• Mead Treadwell 27% (22%)
• Joe Miller 13% (12%)

Among Likely GOP Primary Voters

• Dan Sullivan 43%
• Mead Treadwell 25%
• Joe Miller 15%

GENERAL ELECTION

• Mark Begich (D) 43% (44%) 
• Dan Sullivan (R) 43% (42%)

Survey of 500 registered voters, including a subsample of GOP primary voters, was conducted June 16-18, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 27-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Mark Begich (D) 42% {41%} [46%] (47%)
• Dan Sullivan (R) 37% {37%} [39%] (41%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 5% {6%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 1% {2%}
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% {1%}

• Mark Begich (D) 41% {44%} [52%] (54%)
• Sarah Palin (R) 35% {40%} [40%] (38%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 6% {4%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 2% {2%}
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% {1%}

• Mark Begich (D) 41% {43%} [44%] (47%)
• Mead Treadwell (R) 33% {37%} [40%] (39%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 6% {5%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 2% {1%}
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% {1%}

• Mark Begich (D) 43% {45%} [55%] (58%)
• Joe Miller (R) 27% {25%} [32%] (30%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 4% {5%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 2% {2%}
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 0% {1%} 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mead Treadwell 30% {33%} [35%] (34%) / 34% {31%} [29%] (26%) {-4%} 
• Dan Sullivan 34% {31%} [31%] (37%) / 43% {35%} [28%] (34%) {-9%}
• Sarah Palin 36% {39%} [39%] (34%) / 56% {55%} [58%] (59%) {-20%}
• Joe Miller 17% {16%} [19%] (20%) / 61% {62%} [63%] (63%) {-44%}
  

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Begich’s job performance?

• Approve 44% {43%} [42%] (49%)
• Disapprove 45% {44%} [41%] (39%)

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Dan Sullivan 40% {30%} [25%]
• Mead Treadwell 26% {25%} [33%]
• Joe Miller 14% {20%} [24%]
• John Jaramillo 3% {2%}
• Someone else/Not sure 17% {19%} [19%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dan Sullivan 54% {46%} [42%] / 28% {21%} [19%] {+26%}
• Mead Treadwell 46% {51%} [50%]/ 23% {20%} [19%] {+23%} 
• Joe Miller 28% {26%} [26%] / 52% {52%} [53%] {-24%}

Survey of 582 registered voters, including 313 Republican primary voters, was conducted May 8-11, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points among all voters; +/- 5.5 percentage points among GOP primary voters.  Party ID (among all voters): 29% {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 18% {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 53% {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology (among all voters): 31% {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 22% {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 21% {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 16% {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 9% {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Moore Information (R) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

Moore Information (R) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Dan Sullivan 38%
• Mead Treadwell 22%
• Joe Miller 12%
  

GENERAL ELECTION

• Mark Begich (D) 44% 
• Dan Sullivan (R) 42%

Survey of 500 registered voters, including a subsample of GOP primary voters, was conducted April 27-28, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Dan Sullivan (R) 46%
• Mark Begich (D) 41%
• Some other candidate 7%
• Undecided 6%

Survey of 603 likely Alaska voters was conducted April 14, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America. The margin of error is +/- 3.99 percentage points. Party registration: 32% Republican; 14% Democrat; 54% Independent.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Mead Treadwell (R) 47%
• Mark Begich (D) 43%

• Dan Sullivan (R) 44%
• Mark Begich (D) 44%

• Mark Begich (D) 49%
• Joe Miller (R) 38%

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted March 19-20, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Mead Treadwell (R) 47% (34%)
• Mark Begich (D) 41% (44%)

• Dan Sullivan (R) 47%
• Mark Begich (D) 41%

• Mark Begich (D) 51% (52%)
• Joe Miller (R) 32% (29%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mead Treadwell 42% (32%) / 34% (27%) {+8%}
• Dan Sullivan 36% / 37% {-1%}
• Mark Begich 43% (48%) / 48% (39%) {-5%}
• Joe Miller 17% (21%) / 67% (56%) {-50%}
  

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Begich is handling his job as Senator?

• Approve 41%
• Disapprove 47% 

Survey of 677 likely voters was conducted January 20-22, 2014 for American Crossroads.  The margin of error is +/- 3.76 percentage points.  Party ID: 30% (31%) Republican; 20% (15%) Democrat; 51% (54%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 47% Moderate; 38% Conservative; 13% Liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 29-30, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Mark Begich (D) 41% [46%] (47%)
• Dan Sullivan (R) 37% [39%] (41%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 6%
• Sidney Hill (I) 2%
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%

• Mark Begich (D) 44% [52%] (54%)
• Sarah Palin (R) 40% [40%] (38%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 4%
• Sidney Hill (I) 2%
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%

• Mark Begich (D) 43% [44%] (47%)
• Mead Treadwell (R) 37% [40%] (39%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 5%
• Sidney Hill (I) 1%
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%

• Mark Begich (D) 45% [55%] (58%)
• Joe Miller (R) 25% [32%] (30%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 5%
• Sidney Hill (I) 2%
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mead Treadwell 33% [35%] (34%) / 31% [29%] (26%) {+2%} 
• Dan Sullivan 31% [31%] (37%) / 35% [28%] (34%) {-4%}
• Sarah Palin 39% [39%] (34%) / 55% [58%] (59%) {-16%}
• Joe Miller 16% [19%] (20%) / 62% [63%] (63%) {-46%}
  

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Begich’s job performance?

• Approve 43% [42%] (49%)
• Disapprove 44% [41%] (39%)

GOP SENATE PRIMARY

• Dan Sullivan 30% [25%]
• Mead Treadwell 25% [33%]
• Joe Miller 20% [24%]
• Kathleen Tonn 4%
• John Jaramillo 2% 
• Someone else/Not sure 19% [19%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mead Treadwell 51% [50%]/ 20% [19%] {+31%} 
• Dan Sullivan 46% [42%] / 21% [19%] {+25%}
• Joe Miller 26% [26%] / 52% [53%] {-26%}

Survey of 850 Alaska voters and 442 Republican primary voters was conducted January 31 - February 1, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points among all voters; +/- 4.7 percentage points among GOP primary voters.  Party ID (among all voters): 33% [32%] (32%) Republican; 20% [20%] (21%) Democrat; 46% [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology (among all voters): 32% [30%] (33%) Moderate; 23% [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 21% [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 16% [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 7% [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.