Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

If the candidates for Governor next year were Democrat Bev Perdue and Republican Pat McCrory, who would you vote for?

• Pat McCrory 47% [45%] (46%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {47%}
• Bev Perdue 39% [39%] (39%) {38%} [36%] (37%) {40%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Bev Perdue’s job performance?

• Approve 34% [36%] (35%) {35%} [30%] (30%) {33%}
• Disapprove 49% [47%] (49%) {49%} [52%] (48%) {46%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Pat McCrory?

• Favorable 29% [30%] (31%) {33%} [34%] (31%) {33%}
• Unfavorable 23% [29%] (24%) {27%} [22%] (22%) {22%}

Survey of 651 North Carolina voters was conducted July 7-10, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 12-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Party ID breakdown: 46% [47%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} Democrat; 33% [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} Republican; 21% [16%] (16%) {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% [31%] (31%) {32%} [28%] Moderate; 25% [27%] (26%) {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 20% [17%] (18%) {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 16% [17%] (15%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 9% [9%] (10%) {9%} [9%] Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

If the candidates for Governor next year were Democrat Bev Perdue and Republican Pat McCrory, who would you vote for?

• Pat McCrory 45% (46%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {47%}
• Bev Perdue 39% (39%) {38%} [36%] (37%) {40%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Bev Perdue’s job performance?

• Approve 36% (35%) {35%} [30%] (30%) {33%}
• Disapprove 47% (49%) {49%} [52%] (48%) {46%}

Do you have more faith in Governor Perdue or Legislative Republicans to lead the state?

• Governor Perdue 42% (40%) (37%)
• Legislative Republicans 40% (41%) (44%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Pat McCrory?

• Favorable 30% (31%) {33%} [34%] (31%) {33%}
• Unfavorable 29% (24%) {27%} [22%] (22%) {22%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Richard Burr's job performance?

• Approve 35% (38%) {37%}
• Disapprove 38% (33%) {35%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kay Hagan's job performance?

• Approve 39% (41%) {42%}
• Disapprove 39% (38%) {38%}

Survey of 563 North Carolina voters was conducted June 8-11, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 12-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Party ID breakdown: 47% (48%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} Democrat; 36% (36%) {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} Republican; 16% (16%) {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} Independent/Other. Political ideology: 31% (31%) {32%} [28%] Moderate; 27% (26%) {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 17% (18%) {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 17% (15%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 9% (10%) {9%} [9%] Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

If the candidates for Governor next year were Democrat Bev Perdue and Republican Pat McCrory, who would you vote for?

• Pat McCrory 46% {49%} [50%] (49%) {47%}
• Bev Perdue 39% {38%} [36%] (37%) {40%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Bev Perdue’s job performance?

• Approve 35% {35%} [30%] (30%) {33%}
• Disapprove 49% {49%} [52%] (48%) {46%}

Do you have more faith in Governor Perdue or Legislative Republicans to lead the state?

• Legislative Republicans 41% (44%)
• Governor Perdue 40% (37%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Pat McCrory?

• Favorable 31% {33%} [34%] (31%) {33%}
• Unfavorable 24% {27%} [22%] (22%) {22%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Richard Burr's job performance?

• Approve 38% {37%}
• Disapprove 33% {35%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kay Hagan's job performance?

• Approve 41% {42%}
• Disapprove 38% {38%}

Survey of 835 North Carolina voters was conducted May 12-15, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Party ID breakdown: 48% {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} Democrat; 36% {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} Republican; 16% {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} Independent/Other. Political ideology: 31% {32%} [28%] Moderate; 26% {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 18% {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 15% {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 10% {9%} [9%] Very liberal.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA North Carolina Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA North Carolina Senatorial Survey

• Richard Burr (R) 53% {58%} [46%] (50%)
• Elaine Marshall (D) 38% {34%} [36%] (40%)
• Mike Beitler (L) 5% {6%} [6%] (6%)
• Undecided 3% {2%} [12%] (5%)

Already Voted (18%)

• Richard Burr (R) 50%
• Elaine Marshall (D) 40%
• Mike Beitler (L) 6%
• Undecided 4%

Did Not Vote Yet (82%)

• Richard Burr (R) 54%
• Elaine Marshall (D) 38%
• Mike Beitler (L) 5%
• Undecided 3%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Burr 40% {36%} [28%] / 30% {26%} [27%] {+10%}
• Tea Party Movement 42% {40%} [32%] / 34% {32%} [25%] {+8%}
• Elaine Marshall 30% {27%} [25%] / 28% {25%} [12%] {+2%}
• Mike Beitler 7% {8%} / 14% {13%} {-7%}
• Barack Obama 34% {35%} [36%] / 54% {52%} [45%] {-20%}
• Bev Perdue 21% {21%} [23%] / 51% {49%} [40%] {-30%}

Survey of 590 likely and actual voters was conducted October 22-25, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 40% {40%} [38%] (39%) Democrat; 37% {39%} [36%] (38%) Republican; 23% {20%} [23%] (22%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 8-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 23-24, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen North Carolina Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen North Carolina Senatorial Survey

• Richard Burr (R) 52% {54%}
• Elaine Marshall (D) 38% {38%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Burr 59% {56%}  / 35% {33%} {+24%}
• Elaine Marshall 46% {46%} / 41% {36%} {+5%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 32% {29%}
• Somewhat approve 11% {15%} 
• Somewhat disapprove 8% {10%}
• Strongly disapprove 48% {45%} 

How would you rate the job Bev Perdue has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 19% {13%}
• Somewhat approve 25% {31%}
• Somewhat disapprove 26% {26%}
• Strongly disapprove 28% {28%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 12, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 8, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Inside the numbers:

Burr has the support of 88% of North Carolina Republicans, while just 70% of the state’s Democrats back Marshall. The GOP candidate leads by two-to-one among voters not affiliated with either major party.