Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49% 
• Mitt Romney 46% 
  

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 48% 
  
• Barack Obama 44% 

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 61% 
• Mitt Romney 32% 
  

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 56% 
  
• Barack Obama 40% 

Among Women

• Barack Obama 57% 
• Mitt Romney 38%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Condoleezza Rice for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Romney-Rice 47%
• Obama-Biden 47%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Richard Burr for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 49%
• Romney-Burr 47%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Bobby Jindal for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 48%
• Romney-Jindal 44%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Tim Pawlenty for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 48%
• Romney-Pawlenty 44%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Rob Portman for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 48%
• Romney-Portman 42%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 42% / 50% {-8%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 38% / 52% {-14%} 
  

Among Moderates 

• Mitt Romney 27% / 61% {-34%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% / 45% {+5%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 34% / 54% {-20%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Condoleezza Rice?

• Favorable 61%
• Unfavorable 25%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bobby Jindal?

• Favorable 27%
• Unfavorable 26%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tim Pawlenty?

• Favorable 27%
• Unfavorable 28%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rob Portman?

• Favorable 16%
• Unfavorable 27%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 48%
• Disapprove 49%
  

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Richard Burr’s job performance?

• Approve 31%
• Disapprove 34%

Among Independents 

• Approve 41%
• Disapprove 54%

Among Men

• Approve 39%
• Disapprove 59%

Among Women

• Approve 55%
• Disapprove 41%

Survey of 813 likely North Carolina voters was conducted August 2-5, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 45% Democrat; 33% Republican; 21% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% Moderate; 22% Somewhat conservative; 21% Very conservative; 17% Somewhat liberal; 12% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 47% 
• Mitt Romney 46% 
  

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 55% 
  
• Barack Obama 39% 

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 59% 
• Mitt Romney 32% 
  

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 51% 
  
• Barack Obama 42% 

Among Women

• Barack Obama 51% 
• Mitt Romney 43%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Richard Burr for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 47%
• Romney-Burr 46%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 44% / 47% {-3%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 52% / 41% {+11%} 
  

Among Moderates 

• Mitt Romney 30% / 59% {-29%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 46% / 44% {+2%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 42% / 49% {-7%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 47%
• Disapprove 50%
  

Does Mitt Romney’s previous experience at Bain Capital, which specialized in buying, restructuring, and selling companies, make you feel more positive or negative about him, or does it not make a difference?

• More Positive 29%
• More Negative 40%
• Doesn't make a difference 27%

Survey of 775 North Carolina voters was conducted July 5-8, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 46% Democrat; 34% Republican; 21% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% Moderate; 24% Somewhat conservative; 20% Very conservative; 17% Somewhat liberal; 12% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 48% 
  
• Barack Obama 46% 

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 53% 
  
• Barack Obama 41% 

Among Women

• Barack Obama 50% 
• Mitt Romney 45%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Richard Burr for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Romney-Burr 47%
• Obama-Biden 46%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 41% / 46% {-5%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 46% / 44% {+2%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 37% / 48% {-11%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 47%
• Disapprove 50%
  

Survey of 810 North Carolina voters was conducted June 7-10, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 44% Democrat; 36% Republican; 20% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% Somewhat conservative; 26% Moderate; 21% Very conservative; 13% Somewhat liberal; 13% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 48% 
• Mitt Romney 47%

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 51% 
  
• Barack Obama 44% 

Among Women

• Barack Obama 53% 
• Mitt Romney 43%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Richard Burr for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 48%
• Romney-Burr 46%

If the candidates for President this year were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Libertarian Gary Johnson, who would you vote for?

• Barack Obama 46%
• Mitt Romney 44%
• Gary Johnson 6%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 37% / 53% {-16%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 41% / 50% {-9%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 34% / 56% {-22%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Gary Johnson?

• Favorable 6%
• Unfavorable 16%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 48%
• Disapprove 50%
  

Survey of 666 North Carolina voters was conducted May 10-13, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 48% Democrat; 34% Republican; 18% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 29% Moderate; 25% Somewhat conservative; 19% Very conservative; 17% Somewhat liberal; 11% Very liberal.

Sen. Richard Burr (R-NC) Delivers Weekly Republican Address On GOP Jobs Proposals

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

If the candidates for Governor next year were Democrat Bev Perdue and Republican Pat McCrory, who would you vote for?

• Pat McCrory 45% (46%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {47%}
• Bev Perdue 39% (39%) {38%} [36%] (37%) {40%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Bev Perdue’s job performance?

• Approve 36% (35%) {35%} [30%] (30%) {33%}
• Disapprove 47% (49%) {49%} [52%] (48%) {46%}

Do you have more faith in Governor Perdue or Legislative Republicans to lead the state?

• Governor Perdue 42% (40%) (37%)
• Legislative Republicans 40% (41%) (44%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Pat McCrory?

• Favorable 30% (31%) {33%} [34%] (31%) {33%}
• Unfavorable 29% (24%) {27%} [22%] (22%) {22%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Richard Burr's job performance?

• Approve 35% (38%) {37%}
• Disapprove 38% (33%) {35%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kay Hagan's job performance?

• Approve 39% (41%) {42%}
• Disapprove 39% (38%) {38%}

Survey of 563 North Carolina voters was conducted June 8-11, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 12-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Party ID breakdown: 47% (48%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} Democrat; 36% (36%) {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} Republican; 16% (16%) {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} Independent/Other. Political ideology: 31% (31%) {32%} [28%] Moderate; 27% (26%) {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 17% (18%) {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 17% (15%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 9% (10%) {9%} [9%] Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

If the candidates for Governor next year were Democrat Bev Perdue and Republican Pat McCrory, who would you vote for?

• Pat McCrory 46% {49%} [50%] (49%) {47%}
• Bev Perdue 39% {38%} [36%] (37%) {40%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Bev Perdue’s job performance?

• Approve 35% {35%} [30%] (30%) {33%}
• Disapprove 49% {49%} [52%] (48%) {46%}

Do you have more faith in Governor Perdue or Legislative Republicans to lead the state?

• Legislative Republicans 41% (44%)
• Governor Perdue 40% (37%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Pat McCrory?

• Favorable 31% {33%} [34%] (31%) {33%}
• Unfavorable 24% {27%} [22%] (22%) {22%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Richard Burr's job performance?

• Approve 38% {37%}
• Disapprove 33% {35%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kay Hagan's job performance?

• Approve 41% {42%}
• Disapprove 38% {38%}

Survey of 835 North Carolina voters was conducted May 12-15, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Party ID breakdown: 48% {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} Democrat; 36% {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} Republican; 16% {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} Independent/Other. Political ideology: 31% {32%} [28%] Moderate; 26% {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 18% {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 15% {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 10% {9%} [9%] Very liberal.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA North Carolina Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA North Carolina Senatorial Survey

• Richard Burr (R) 53% {58%} [46%] (50%)
• Elaine Marshall (D) 38% {34%} [36%] (40%)
• Mike Beitler (L) 5% {6%} [6%] (6%)
• Undecided 3% {2%} [12%] (5%)

Already Voted (18%)

• Richard Burr (R) 50%
• Elaine Marshall (D) 40%
• Mike Beitler (L) 6%
• Undecided 4%

Did Not Vote Yet (82%)

• Richard Burr (R) 54%
• Elaine Marshall (D) 38%
• Mike Beitler (L) 5%
• Undecided 3%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Burr 40% {36%} [28%] / 30% {26%} [27%] {+10%}
• Tea Party Movement 42% {40%} [32%] / 34% {32%} [25%] {+8%}
• Elaine Marshall 30% {27%} [25%] / 28% {25%} [12%] {+2%}
• Mike Beitler 7% {8%} / 14% {13%} {-7%}
• Barack Obama 34% {35%} [36%] / 54% {52%} [45%] {-20%}
• Bev Perdue 21% {21%} [23%] / 51% {49%} [40%] {-30%}

Survey of 590 likely and actual voters was conducted October 22-25, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 40% {40%} [38%] (39%) Democrat; 37% {39%} [36%] (38%) Republican; 23% {20%} [23%] (22%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 8-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 23-24, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina Senatorial Survey 

• Richard Burr (R) 48% [49%] {43%} (39%) [38%] {43%} (43%) [41%] {43%}
• Elaine Marshall (D) 40% [36%] {38%} (37%) [33%] {42%} (37%) [36%] {33%}
• Michael Beitler (L) 3% [4%] {6%} (7%) [10%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Republican Senator Richard Burr's job performance?

• Approve 40% [47%] {38%} (32%) [34%] {37%} (32%) [35%] {35%}
• Disapprove 42% [38%] {42%} (44%) [39%] {40%} (41%) [37%] {35%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Elaine Marshall?

• Favorable 42% [37%] {25%} (23%) [22%] {23%} (19%) [17%] {19%}
• Unfavorable 32% [34%] {21%} (19%) [20%] {20%} (11%) [12%] {10%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Michael Beitler?

• Favorable 9% [9%] {6%} (6%) [6%]
• Unfavorable 29% [24%] {13%} (13%) [11%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Democratic Senator Kay Hagan's job performance?

• Approve 38%
• Disapprove 47%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 41%
• Disapprove 54%

Survey of 597 likely voters was conducted October 15-17, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 27-29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 27-31, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 26-27, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 8-10, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 8-11, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 12-15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 12-15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Party ID breakdown: 46% [48%] {45%} (46%) [46%] Democrat; 37% [35%] {40%} (34%) [36%] Republican; 17% [18%] {16%} (20%) [18%] Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 45% [45%] {43%} (48%) [44%] Conservative; 38% [38%] {41%} (36%) [38%] Moderate; 17% [17%] {16%} (17%) [19%] Liberal.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen North Carolina Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen North Carolina Senatorial Survey

• Richard Burr (R) 52% {54%}
• Elaine Marshall (D) 38% {38%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Burr 59% {56%}  / 35% {33%} {+24%}
• Elaine Marshall 46% {46%} / 41% {36%} {+5%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 32% {29%}
• Somewhat approve 11% {15%} 
• Somewhat disapprove 8% {10%}
• Strongly disapprove 48% {45%} 

How would you rate the job Bev Perdue has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 19% {13%}
• Somewhat approve 25% {31%}
• Somewhat disapprove 26% {26%}
• Strongly disapprove 28% {28%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 12, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 8, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Inside the numbers:

Burr has the support of 88% of North Carolina Republicans, while just 70% of the state’s Democrats back Marshall. The GOP candidate leads by two-to-one among voters not affiliated with either major party.

PPP (D) North Carolina Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina Senatorial Survey 

• Richard Burr (R) 49% {43%} (39%) [38%] {43%} (43%) [41%] {43%}
• Elaine Marshall (D) 36% {38%} (37%) [33%] {42%} (37%) [36%] {33%}
• Michael Beitler (L) 4% {6%} (7%) [10%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Republican Senator Richard Burr's job performance?

• Approve 47% {38%} (32%) [34%] {37%} (32%) [35%] {35%}
• Disapprove 38% {42%} (44%) [39%] {40%} (41%) [37%] {35%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Elaine Marshall?

• Favorable 37% {25%} (23%) [22%] {23%} (19%) [17%] {19%}
• Unfavorable 34% {21%} (19%) [20%] {20%} (11%) [12%] {10%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Michael Beitler?

• Favorable 9% {6%} (6%) [6%]
• Unfavorable 24% {13%} (13%) [11%]

Survey of 681 likely voters was conducted September 23-26, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 27-29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 27-31, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 26-27, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 8-10, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 8-11, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 12-15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 12-15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Party ID breakdown: 48% {45%} (46%) [46%] Democrat; 35% {40%} (34%) [36%] Republican; 18% {16%} (20%) [18%] Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 45% {43%} (48%) [44%] Conservative; 38% {41%} (36%) [38%] Moderate; 17% {16%} (17%) [19%] Liberal.