Poll Watch: SurveyUSA North Carolina Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA North Carolina Senatorial Survey

• Richard Burr (R) 53% {58%} [46%] (50%)
• Elaine Marshall (D) 38% {34%} [36%] (40%)
• Mike Beitler (L) 5% {6%} [6%] (6%)
• Undecided 3% {2%} [12%] (5%)

Already Voted (18%)

• Richard Burr (R) 50%
• Elaine Marshall (D) 40%
• Mike Beitler (L) 6%
• Undecided 4%

Did Not Vote Yet (82%)

• Richard Burr (R) 54%
• Elaine Marshall (D) 38%
• Mike Beitler (L) 5%
• Undecided 3%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Burr 40% {36%} [28%] / 30% {26%} [27%] {+10%}
• Tea Party Movement 42% {40%} [32%] / 34% {32%} [25%] {+8%}
• Elaine Marshall 30% {27%} [25%] / 28% {25%} [12%] {+2%}
• Mike Beitler 7% {8%} / 14% {13%} {-7%}
• Barack Obama 34% {35%} [36%] / 54% {52%} [45%] {-20%}
• Bev Perdue 21% {21%} [23%] / 51% {49%} [40%] {-30%}

Survey of 590 likely and actual voters was conducted October 22-25, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 40% {40%} [38%] (39%) Democrat; 37% {39%} [36%] (38%) Republican; 23% {20%} [23%] (22%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 8-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 23-24, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina Senatorial Survey 

• Richard Burr (R) 48% [49%] {43%} (39%) [38%] {43%} (43%) [41%] {43%}
• Elaine Marshall (D) 40% [36%] {38%} (37%) [33%] {42%} (37%) [36%] {33%}
• Michael Beitler (L) 3% [4%] {6%} (7%) [10%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Republican Senator Richard Burr's job performance?

• Approve 40% [47%] {38%} (32%) [34%] {37%} (32%) [35%] {35%}
• Disapprove 42% [38%] {42%} (44%) [39%] {40%} (41%) [37%] {35%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Elaine Marshall?

• Favorable 42% [37%] {25%} (23%) [22%] {23%} (19%) [17%] {19%}
• Unfavorable 32% [34%] {21%} (19%) [20%] {20%} (11%) [12%] {10%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Michael Beitler?

• Favorable 9% [9%] {6%} (6%) [6%]
• Unfavorable 29% [24%] {13%} (13%) [11%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Democratic Senator Kay Hagan's job performance?

• Approve 38%
• Disapprove 47%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 41%
• Disapprove 54%

Survey of 597 likely voters was conducted October 15-17, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 27-29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 27-31, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 26-27, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 8-10, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 8-11, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 12-15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 12-15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Party ID breakdown: 46% [48%] {45%} (46%) [46%] Democrat; 37% [35%] {40%} (34%) [36%] Republican; 17% [18%] {16%} (20%) [18%] Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 45% [45%] {43%} (48%) [44%] Conservative; 38% [38%] {41%} (36%) [38%] Moderate; 17% [17%] {16%} (17%) [19%] Liberal.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen North Carolina Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen North Carolina Senatorial Survey

• Richard Burr (R) 52% {54%}
• Elaine Marshall (D) 38% {38%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Burr 59% {56%}  / 35% {33%} {+24%}
• Elaine Marshall 46% {46%} / 41% {36%} {+5%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 32% {29%}
• Somewhat approve 11% {15%} 
• Somewhat disapprove 8% {10%}
• Strongly disapprove 48% {45%} 

How would you rate the job Bev Perdue has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 19% {13%}
• Somewhat approve 25% {31%}
• Somewhat disapprove 26% {26%}
• Strongly disapprove 28% {28%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 12, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 8, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Inside the numbers:

Burr has the support of 88% of North Carolina Republicans, while just 70% of the state’s Democrats back Marshall. The GOP candidate leads by two-to-one among voters not affiliated with either major party.

PPP (D) North Carolina Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina Senatorial Survey 

• Richard Burr (R) 49% {43%} (39%) [38%] {43%} (43%) [41%] {43%}
• Elaine Marshall (D) 36% {38%} (37%) [33%] {42%} (37%) [36%] {33%}
• Michael Beitler (L) 4% {6%} (7%) [10%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Republican Senator Richard Burr's job performance?

• Approve 47% {38%} (32%) [34%] {37%} (32%) [35%] {35%}
• Disapprove 38% {42%} (44%) [39%] {40%} (41%) [37%] {35%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Elaine Marshall?

• Favorable 37% {25%} (23%) [22%] {23%} (19%) [17%] {19%}
• Unfavorable 34% {21%} (19%) [20%] {20%} (11%) [12%] {10%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Michael Beitler?

• Favorable 9% {6%} (6%) [6%]
• Unfavorable 24% {13%} (13%) [11%]

Survey of 681 likely voters was conducted September 23-26, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 27-29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 27-31, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 26-27, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 8-10, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 8-11, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 12-15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 12-15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Party ID breakdown: 48% {45%} (46%) [46%] Democrat; 35% {40%} (34%) [36%] Republican; 18% {16%} (20%) [18%] Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 45% {43%} (48%) [44%] Conservative; 38% {41%} (36%) [38%] Moderate; 17% {16%} (17%) [19%] Liberal.