Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Jeb Bush 23% [14%] (8%) {12%} [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
• Chris Christie 13% [9%] (13%) {8%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%)
• Ben Carson 7% [11%]
• Mike Huckabee 6% [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] (10%) {14%}
• Rand Paul 6% [8%] (12%) {14%} [13%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%)
• Marco Rubio 5% [3%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
• Paul Ryan 5% [9%] (11%) {10%} [12%] (15%) {9%} [11%] (16%)
• Ted Cruz 4% [7%] (8%) {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%)
• Bobby Jindal 4% [1%]
• Rick Perry 4% [5%] (11%) {6%} [8%] (11%) {8%} [7%] (6%)
• Scott Walker 4% [5%] (5%) {5%} [7%]
• John Kasich 3% [3%]
• Rick Santorum 2% [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
• Mike Pence 0% [1%]
• Rob Portman 0% [0%]
• Someone else (vol.) 5% [6%] (6%) {6%} [4%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
• None/No one (vol.) 5% [2%] (2%) {2%] [4%] (4%) {3%} [2%] (4%)
• No opinion 3% [4%] (3%) {5%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [6%] (6%)

Among Republicans

• Jeb Bush 28% [20%] (10%) {10%} [15%] (11%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
• Chris Christie 14% [11%] (13%) {8%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [28%] (17%)
• Mike Huckabee 9% [11%] (12%) {14%} [12%] (9%) {17%}
• Bobby Jindal 6% [2%]
• Paul Ryan 5% [7%] (14%) {15%} [14%] (19%) {9%} [11%] (17%)
• Marco Rubio 5% [2%] (6%) {9%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [10%] (10%)
• Ted Cruz 5% [7%] (6%) {9%} [6%] (11%) {5%} [9%] (7%)
• Ben Carson 5% [6%] 
• Rand Paul 5% [6%] (12%) {8%} [12%] (10%) {13%} [12%] (9%)
• Scott Walker 4% [5%] (4%) {4%} [7%] 
• Rick Perry 3% [4%] (10%) {7%} [7%] (11%) {8%} [8%] (7%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [2%] (4%) {3%} [2%] (4%) {5%} [7%] (3%)
• John Kasich 1% [1%]
• Mike Pence 0% [0%]
• Rob Portman 0% [0%]
• Someone else (vol.) 2% [7%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
• None/No one (vol.) 5% [2%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [1%] (4%)
• No opinion 3% [4%] (3%) {4%} [8%] (5%) {3%} [3%] (5%)

Among GOP-Leaning Independents

• Jeb Bush 18% [7%] (5%) {14%} [10%] (7%) {10%} [6%] (6%)
• Chris Christie 13% [6%] (12%) {7%} [10%] (11%) {13%} [20%] (18%) 
• Ben Carson 9% [15%]
• Rand Paul 7% [10%] (13%) {21%} [15%] (22%) {13%} [15%] (17%)
• Marco Rubio 6% [4%] (6%) {7%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%)
• Rick Perry 6% [6%] (12%) {5%} [8%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (6%) 
• Paul Ryan 5% [11%] (7%) {5%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [12%]  (15%)
• John Kasich 5% [4%]
• Scott Walker 4% [6%] (5%) {6%} [6%] 
• Rick Santorum 4% [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (7%)
• Bobby Jindal 3% [1%]
• Mike Huckabee 2% [10%] (13%) {8%} [7%] (11%) {10%}
• Ted Cruz 2% [7%] (10%) {9%} [9%] (6%) {13%} [12%] (7%) 
• Mike Pence 1% [2%]
• Rob Portman 0% [0%]
• Someone else (vol.) 7% [6%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (3%) {12%} [6%] (4%)
• None/No one (vol.) 5% [1%] (3%) {3%} [6%] (6%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
• No opinion 2% [3%] (4%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Men

• Jeb Bush 23% [11%] (7%) {12%} [14%] (7%) {9%} [2%] (9%) 
• Chris Christie 14% [9%] (12%) {7%} [8%] (9%) {6%} [23%] (16%)
• Rand Paul 8% [10%] (14%) {17%} [17%] (17%) {17%} [15%] (13%)
• Ben Carson 6% [12%]
• Scott Walker 6% [9%] (6%) {7%} [8%] 
• Ted Cruz 6% [8%] (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [12%] (12%) 
• Paul Ryan 5% [8%] (12%) {9%} [7%] (15%) {12%} [10%] (14%)
• Mike Huckabee 5% [8%] (11%) {11%} [8%] (11%) {14%}
• Rick Perry 4% [5%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (7%) 
• Bobby Jindal 4% [2%]
• John Kasich 4% [1%] 
• Marco Rubio 3% [3%] (5%) {6%} [4%] (6%) {7%} [11%] (11%)
• Rick Santorum 3% [1%] (3%) {4%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [6%] (6%)
• Mike Pence 1% [0%]
• Rob Portman 0% [0%]
• Someone else (vol.) 4% [7%] (7%) {5%} [3%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (5%)
• None/No one (vol.) 3% [2%] (2%) {1%} [4%] (2%) {4%} [2%] (3%)
• No opinion 3% [5%] (1%) {3%} [6%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (5%)

Among Women

• Jeb Bush 24% [16%] (9%) {10%} [12%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (11%)
• Chris Christie 12% [9%] (13%) {8%} [9%] (7%) {15%} [24%] (19%)
• Mike Huckabee 8% [13%] (15%) {12%} [12%] (9%) {14%}
• Ben Carson 7% [9%] 
• Marco Rubio 7% [4%] (7%) {11%} [8%] (5%) {11%} [7%] (7%)
• Paul Ryan 6% [10%] (9%) {12%} [17%] (13%) {6%} [13%] (19%) 
• Bobby Jindal 5% [1%]
• Rick Perry 5% [5%] (13%) {3%} [4%] (13%) {9%} [6%] (6%)
• Rand Paul 5% [6%] (10%) {10%} [10%] (14%) {9%} [11%] (12%)
• Scott Walker 3% [2%] (3%) {3%} [6%]
• Ted Cruz 2% [6%] (6%) {8%} [5%] (6%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
• John Kasich 2% [4%]
• Rick Santorum 2% [2%] (3%) {3%} [2%] (4%) {7%} [6%] (4%) 
• Mike Pence 0% [2%]
• Rob Portman 0% [0%]
• Someone else (vol.) 6% [6%] (5%) {7%} [4%] (4%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
• None/No one (vol.) 6% [2%] (1%) {4%} [3%] (7%) {3%} [2%] (6%)
• No opinion 1% [3%] (5%) {8%} [9%] (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%)

Survey of 453 Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted December 18-21, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 54% [62%] (59%) {55%} [61%] (50%) {52%} Republican; 46% [38%] (41%) {45%} [39%] (50%) {48%} Independent. Results from the poll conducted November 21-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Jeb Bush 14% (8%) {12%} [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
• Ben Carson 11%
• Mike Huckabee 10% (12%) {11%} [10%] (10%) {14%}
• Chris Christie 9% (13%) {8%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%)
• Paul Ryan 9% (11%) {10%} [12%] (15%) {9%} [11%] (16%)
• Rand Paul 8% (12%) {14%} [13%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%)
• Ted Cruz 7% (8%) {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%)
• Rick Perry 5% (11%) {6%} [8%] (11%) {8%} [7%] (6%)
• Scott Walker 5% (5%) {5%} [7%]
• John Kasich 3%
• Marco Rubio 3% (6%) {8%} [6%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (3%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
• Bobby Jindal 1%
• Mike Pence 1%
• Rob Portman 0%
• Someone else (vol.) 6% (6%) {6%} [4%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
• None/No one (vol.) 2% (2%) {2%] [4%] (4%) {3%} [2%] (4%)
• No opinion 4% (3%) {5%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [6%] (6%)

Among Republicans

• Jeb Bush 20% (10%) {10%} [15%] (11%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
• Chris Christie 11% (13%) {8%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [28%] (17%)
• Mike Huckabee 11% (12%) {14%} [12%] (9%) {17%}
• Paul Ryan 7% (14%) {15%} [14%] (19%) {9%} [11%] (17%)
• Ted Cruz 7% (6%) {9%} [6%] (11%) {5%} [9%] (7%)
• Ben Carson 6% 
• Rand Paul 6% (12%) {8%} [12%] (10%) {13%} [12%] (9%)
• Scott Walker 5% (4%) {4%} [7%] 
• Rick Perry 4% (10%) {7%} [7%] (11%) {8%} [8%] (7%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (4%) {3%} [2%] (4%) {5%} [7%] (3%)
• Bobby Jindal 2%
• Marco Rubio 2% (6%) {9%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [10%] (10%)
• John Kasich 1%
• Mike Pence 0%
• Rob Portman 0%
• Someone else (vol.) 7% (5%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
• None/No one (vol.) 2% (1%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [1%] (4%)
• No opinion 4% (3%) {4%} [8%] (5%) {3%} [3%] (5%)

Among GOP-Leaning Independents

• Ben Carson 15%
• Paul Ryan 11% (7%) {5%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [12%]  (15%)
• Mike Huckabee 10% (13%) {8%} [7%] (11%) {10%}
• Rand Paul 10% (13%) {21%} [15%] (22%) {13%} [15%] (17%)
• Jeb Bush 7% (5%) {14%} [10%] (7%) {10%} [6%] (6%)
• Ted Cruz 7% (10%) {9%} [9%] (6%) {13%} [12%] (7%)
• Chris Christie 6% (12%) {7%} [10%] (11%) {13%} [20%] (18%)
• Rick Perry 6% (12%) {5%} [8%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (6%) 
• Scott Walker 6% (5%) {6%} [6%] 
• John Kasich 4%
• Marco Rubio 4% (6%) {7%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%)
• Mike Pence 2%
• Rick Santorum 2% (3%) {4%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (7%)
• Bobby Jindal 1%
• Rob Portman 0%
• Someone else (vol.) 6% (7%) {5%} [5%] (3%) {12%} [6%] (4%)
• None/No one (vol.) 1% (3%) {3%} [6%] (6%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
• No opinion 3% (4%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Men

• Ben Carson 12%
• Jeb Bush 11% (7%) {12%} [14%] (7%) {9%} [2%] (9%)
• Rand Paul 10% (14%) {17%} [17%] (17%) {17%} [15%] (13%)
• Chris Christie 9% (12%) {7%} [8%] (9%) {6%} [23%] (16%)
• Scott Walker 9% (6%) {7%} [8%]
• Paul Ryan 8% (12%) {9%} [7%] (15%) {12%} [10%] (14%)
• Mike Huckabee 8% (11%) {11%} [8%] (11%) {14%}
• Ted Cruz 8% (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [12%] (12%)
• Rick Perry 5% (9%) {8%} [11%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (7%)
• Marco Rubio 3% (5%) {6%} [4%] (6%) {7%} [11%] (11%)  
• Bobby Jindal 2%
• John Kasich 1%
• Rick Santorum 1% (3%) {4%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [6%] (6%)
• Mike Pence 0%
• Rob Portman 0%
• Someone else (vol.) 7% (7%) {5%} [3%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (5%)
• None/No one (vol.) 2% (2%) {1%} [4%] (2%) {4%} [2%] (3%)
• No opinion 5% (1%) {3%} [6%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (5%)

Among Women

• Jeb Bush 16% (9%) {10%} [12%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (11%)
• Mike Huckabee 13% (15%) {12%} [12%] (9%) {14%}
• Paul Ryan 10% (9%) {12%} [17%] (13%) {6%} [13%] (19%)
• Chris Christie 9% (13%) {8%} [9%] (7%) {15%} [24%] (19%)
• Ben Carson 9%
• Rand Paul 6% (10%) {10%} [10%] (14%) {9%} [11%] (12%)
• Ted Cruz 6% (6%) {8%} [5%] (6%) {7%} [8%] (3%) 
• Rick Perry 5% (13%) {3%} [4%] (13%) {9%} [6%] (6%)
• John Kasich 4%
• Marco Rubio 4% (7%) {11%} [8%] (5%) {11%} [7%] (7%)
• Mike Pence 2%
• Scott Walker 2% (3%) {3%} [6%]
• Rick Santorum 2% (3%) {3%} [2%] (4%) {7%} [6%] (4%) 
• Bobby Jindal 1%
• Rob Portman 0%
• Someone else (vol.) 6% (5%) {7%} [4%] (4%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
• None/No one (vol.) 2% (1%) {4%} [3%] (7%) {3%} [2%] (6%)
• No opinion 3% (5%) {8%} [9%] (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%)

Survey of 510 Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted November 21-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 62% (59%) {55%} [61%] (50%) {52%} Republican; 38% (41%) {45%} [39%] (50%) {48%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Jeb Bush 14% [10%] (11%) {11%} [11%] (10%)
• Chris Christie 11% [10%] (12%) {17%} [13%] (14%)
• Ben Carson 9%
• Rand Paul 8% [11%] (13%) {14%} [17%] (15%)
• Mike Huckabee 7% [10%]
• Paul Ryan 7% [8%] (13%) {9%} [10%] (17%) 
• Scott Walker 6% [8%] (6%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
• Ted Cruz 5% [8%] (9%) {13%} [10%]
• Rick Perry 3% [3%]
• Bobby Jindal 3% [1%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%) 
• Marco Rubio 3% [6%] (8%) {7%} [12%] (19%)
• John Kasich 2% [2%] (2%) {2%}
• Rick Santorum 2% [2%]
• Rob Portman 1%
• Don't know 19% [20%] (22%) {17%} [19%] (18%)

Among Men

• Jeb Bush 14% [9%] (11%) {11%} [13%] (9%)
• Chris Christie 12% [8%] (13%) {14%} [11%] (17%) 
• Rand Paul 9% [11%] (15%) {18%} [18%] (18%) 
• Paul Ryan 8% [8%] (12%) {9%} [10%] (16%)
• Ted Cruz 8% [8%] (11%) {14%} [13%]
• Ben Carson 8%
• Scott Walker 7% [9%] (6%) {6%} [5%] (2%)   
• Mike Huckabee 6% [11%]
• John Kasich 4% [3%] (3%) {2%}
• Rick Perry 4% [4%]
• Marco Rubio 4% [7%] (10%) {8%} [10%] (19%)
• Bobby Jindal 3% [2%] (4%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [2%] 
• Rob Portman 0%
• Don't know 12% [15%] (14%) {14%} [15%] (14%)

Among Women

• Jeb Bush 14% [10%] (12%) {11%} [9%] (12%)
• Ben Carson 11%
• Chris Christie 9% [11%] (11%) {21%} [15%] (11%)
• Mike Huckabee 8% [10%]
• Rand Paul 6% [10%] (11%) {9%} [17%] (11%)
• Paul Ryan 6% [9%] (15%) {9%} [10%] (17%) 
• Scott Walker 5% [7%] (5%) {4%} [2%] (2%)
• Marco Rubio 2% [4%] (7%) {6%} [13%] (19%)
• Rick Perry 2% [3%]
• Rick Santorum 2% [2%]
• Bobby Jindal 2% [0%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%) 
• Rob Portman 1%
• Ted Cruz 1% [7%] (7%) {12%} [7%]
• John Kasich 0% [1%] (1%) {1%}
• Don't know 25% [25%] (30%) {21%} [22%] (23%)

Survey of 707 registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted November 18-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26 - April 1, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Fox News Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Mike Huckabee 13%
• Ben Carson 12%
• Paul Ryan 9%
• Jeb Bush 8%
• Rand Paul 8%
• Chris Christie 7%
• Ted Cruz 7%
• Rick Santorum 6%
• Marco Rubio 5%
• Scott Walker 5%
• Rick Perry 3%
• Bobby Jindal 1%
• John Kasich 1%
• Rob Portman 0%
• Other (vol.) 1%
• None of the above (vol.) 4%
• Don't know (vol.) 10%

Survey of 329 likely Republican voters was conducted October 28-30, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

Rob Portman on Meet the Press

This Week: Interview with Sen. Rob Portman

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Ohio 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 48% {47%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [46%] (44%)
• Mitt Romney 45% {44%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (42%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 49% {42%} [43%] (45%) {39%} [35%] (38%) {34%} [37%] (34%)
  
• Mitt Romney 39% {42%} [40%] (40%) {45%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [39%] (40%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 66% {56%} [56%] (62%) {64%} [54%] (57%) {52%} [61%] (59%)
• Mitt Romney 27% {29%} [31%] (33%) {23%} [35%] (28%) {30%} [21%] (24%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 48% {48%} [50%] (49%) {47%} [54%] (44%) {50%} [47%] (47%)
• Barack Obama 44% {41%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [38%] (42%) {43%} [38%] (37%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 52% {52%} [55%] (54%) {54%} [53%] (47%) {49%} [52%] (51%)
• Mitt Romney 43% {41%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (43%) {35%} [35%] (37%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 41% {35%} [37%] (28%) {28%} [36%] (30%) {32%} [33%] (36%) / 52% {54%} [53%] (56%) {48%} [48%] (49%) {43%} [43%] (39%) {-11%} 

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 34% {28%} [33%] (30%) {32%} [42%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (38%) / 57% {54%} [59%] (53%) {40%} [42%] (44%) {38%} [38%] (36%) {-23%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 24% {19%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [37%] (22%) {26%} [26%] (27%) / 68% {68%} [62%] (59%) {46%} [40%] (54%) {48%} [50%] (47%) {-44%} 

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 45% {39%} [43%] (30%) {30%} [38%] (31%) {42%} [35%] (39%) / 49% {50%} [49%] (58%) {53%} [51%] (53%) {41%} [44%] (40%) {-4%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 37% {31%} [31%] (25%) {26%} [33%] (29%) {24%} [32%] (33%) / 55% {57%} [56%] (53%) {44%} [45%] (46%) {44%} [42%] (38%) {-18%} 

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Paul Ryan?

• Favorable 34%
• Unfavorable 33%

Among Independents

• Favorable 32%
• Unfavorable 43%

Among Moderates

• Favorable 19%
• Unfavorable 44%

Among Men

• Favorable 41%
• Unfavorable 37%

Among Women

• Favorable 29%
• Unfavorable 30%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 46% {44%} [48%] (48%) {41%} [43%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (42%)
• Disapprove 51% {51%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [52%] (52%) {49%} [46%] (49%)

Among Independents

• Approve 46% {37%} [41%] (40%) {30%} [39%] (34%) {37%} [39%] (40%)
• Disapprove 49% {53%} [53%] (53%) {56%} [57%] (59%) {55%} [49%] (54%)

Survey of 961 likely Ohio voters was conducted August 9-12, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 40% {39%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [47%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (44%) Democrat; 37% {37%} [39%] (36%) {35%} [37%] (34%) {35%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 24% {24%} [20%] (21%) {24%} [16%] (22%) {20%} [21%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% {31%} [31%] (30%) {31%} [30%] (31%) {33%} [29%] Moderate; 25% {27%} [22%] (21%) {25%} [19%] (24%) {25%} [28%] Somewhat conservative; 18% {17%} [18%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (19%) {16%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 18% {15%} [19%] (21%) {18%} [19%] (17%) {13%} [15%] Very conservative; 10% {9%} [9%] (10%) {7%} [10%] (8%) {13%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 4-6, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 13-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Colorado 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49% [49%] (53%) {47%} [48%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 43% [42%] (40%) {45%} [41%] (41%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 49% [48%] (57%) {49%} [42%] (43%)
• Mitt Romney 38% [38%] (31%) {37%} [40%] (34%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 66% [64%] (54%) {55%} [58%] (58%)
• Mitt Romney 25% [23%] (32%) {32%} [29%] (24%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 48% [45%] (47%) {49%} [42%] (44%) 
• Barack Obama 47% [45%] (47%) {45%} [47%] (43%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 51% [54%] (58%) {49%} [50%] (51%)
• Mitt Romney 39% [40%] (34%) {42%} [40%] (37%)

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney 48% [45%] (41%) {49%} (43%)
• Barack Obama 47% [47%] (52%) {43%} (43%) 
  

Among Hispanics

• Barack Obama 58% [60%] (53%) {63%} (59%)
• Mitt Romney 29% [33%] (38%) {29%} (32%)

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Condoleezza Rice for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 47%
• Romney-Rice 45%
  

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Bobby Jindal for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 48%
• Romney-Jindal 43%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Tim Pawlenty for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 48%
• Romney-Pawlenty 42%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Rob Portman for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 48%
• Romney-Portman 40%

If the candidates for President this year were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Libertarian Gary Johnson, who would you vote for?

• Barack Obama 46% [47%]
• Mitt Romney 42% [39%]
• Gary Johnson 6% [7%]
• Undecided 7% [7%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 44% [40%] (31%) {35%} [30%] (40%) / 51% [52%] (60%) {53%} [51%] (40%) {-7%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 38% [36%] (25%) {28%} [29%] (41%) / 54% [53%] (65%) {59%} [49%] (35%) {-16%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 28% [26%] (31%) {32%} [33%] (39%) / 66% [67%] (61%) {55%} [44%] (37%) {-38%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 48% [46%] (33%) {36%} [31%] (42%) / 49% [48%] (59%) {55%} [57%] (42%) {-1%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 41% [33%] (29%) {33%} [29%] (38%) / 53% [56%] (61%) {51%} [46%] (38%) {-12%}

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney 47% [42%] (33%) {38%} (43%) / 48% [52%] (59%) {49%} (36%) {-1%}

Among Hispanics

• Mitt Romney 28% [31%] (29%) {21%} (27%)  / 69% [55%] (63%) {70%} (51%) {-41%} 
  

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Gary Johnson?

• Favorable 9% [6%]
• Unfavorable 12% [15%]

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Condoleezza Rice?

• Favorable 56%
• Unfavorable 32%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bobby Jindal?

• Favorable 22%
• Unfavorable 27%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tim Pawlenty?

• Favorable 21%
• Unfavorable 26%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rob Portman?

• Favorable 11%
• Unfavorable 21%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 47% [49%] (50%) {45%} [46%] (51%)
• Disapprove 49% [48%] (47%) {50%} [50%] (45%)

Survey of 779 likely Colorado voters was conducted August 2-5, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 37% [35%] (35%) {35%} [33%] (35%) Republican; 34% [39%] (36%) {37%} [41%] (43%) Democrat; 29% [26%] (30%) {28%} [26%] (22%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 27% [30%] (28%) {32%} [27%] Moderate; 22% [17%] (13%) {14%} [16%] Very conservative; 21% [24%] (23%) {25%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 16% [17%] (22%) {18%} [22%] Somewhat liberal; 14% [12%] (13%) {11%} [13%] Very liberal.  Race: 78% [77%] (79%) {79%} [80%] (81%) White; 13% [15%] (14%) {15%} [14%] (14%) Hispanic; 9% [8%] (7%) {6%} [6%] (5%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-17, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 5-7, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 1-4, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-6, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49% 
• Mitt Romney 46% 
  

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 48% 
  
• Barack Obama 44% 

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 61% 
• Mitt Romney 32% 
  

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 56% 
  
• Barack Obama 40% 

Among Women

• Barack Obama 57% 
• Mitt Romney 38%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Condoleezza Rice for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Romney-Rice 47%
• Obama-Biden 47%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Richard Burr for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 49%
• Romney-Burr 47%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Bobby Jindal for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 48%
• Romney-Jindal 44%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Tim Pawlenty for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 48%
• Romney-Pawlenty 44%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Rob Portman for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 48%
• Romney-Portman 42%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 42% / 50% {-8%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 38% / 52% {-14%} 
  

Among Moderates 

• Mitt Romney 27% / 61% {-34%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% / 45% {+5%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 34% / 54% {-20%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Condoleezza Rice?

• Favorable 61%
• Unfavorable 25%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bobby Jindal?

• Favorable 27%
• Unfavorable 26%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tim Pawlenty?

• Favorable 27%
• Unfavorable 28%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rob Portman?

• Favorable 16%
• Unfavorable 27%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 48%
• Disapprove 49%
  

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Richard Burr’s job performance?

• Approve 31%
• Disapprove 34%

Among Independents 

• Approve 41%
• Disapprove 54%

Among Men

• Approve 39%
• Disapprove 59%

Among Women

• Approve 55%
• Disapprove 41%

Survey of 813 likely North Carolina voters was conducted August 2-5, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 45% Democrat; 33% Republican; 21% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% Moderate; 22% Somewhat conservative; 21% Very conservative; 17% Somewhat liberal; 12% Very liberal.

Fox News Sunday: Panel Plus

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 51% (47%)
• Mitt Romney 43% (45%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 47% (48%)
• Barack Obama 40% (36%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 49% (53%)
• Barack Obama 43% (38%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 57% (55%)
• Mitt Romney 38% (37%)

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Condoleezza Rice for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 48%
• Romney-Rice 43%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Bobby Jindal for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 51%
• Romney-Jindal 41%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Rob Portman for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 49%
• Romney-Portman 39%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Tim Pawlenty for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 51%
• Romney-Pawlenty 40%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 41% (41%) / 53% (42%) {-12%}

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 73% (64%) / 22% (22%) {+51%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 47% (45%) / 44% (37%) {+3%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 35% (43%) / 57% (38%) {-22%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 49% (42%) / 45% (44%) {+4%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 35% (40%) / 60% (40%) {-25%} 
  

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Condoleezza Rice?

• Favorable 57%
• Unfavorable 32%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tim Pawlenty?

• Favorable 22%
• Unfavorable 29%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rob Portman?

• Favorable 15%
• Unfavorable 23%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bobby Jindal?

• Favorable 21%
• Unfavorable 32%

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 50% (48%)
• Disapprove 46% (49%)

Among Independents

• Approve 41% (41%)
• Disapprove 43% (53%)

Among Moderates

• Approve 50% (48%)
• Disapprove 45% (46%)

Among Men

• Approve 42% (39%)
• Disapprove 54% (58%)

Among Women

• Approve 57% (56%)
• Disapprove 40% (40%)

Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?

• He should 59%
• He should not 34%

Survey of 771 likely Connecticut voters was conducted July 26-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 41% (45%) Democrat; 28% (31%) Republican; 30% (24%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 34% (29%) Moderate; 23% (24%) Somewhat conservative; 19% (26%) Somewhat liberal; 14% (10%) Very liberal; 10% (11%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 48% (50%) {50%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (46%)
• Mitt Romney 47% (46%) {45%} [44%] (45%) {43%} [44%] (44%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% (53%) {53%} [49%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (45%)
• Barack Obama 45% (43%) {43%} [40%] (42%) {44%} [42%] (46%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 51% (57%) {55%} [48%] (50%) {49%} [49%] (46%)
• Mitt Romney 44% (39%) {39%} [40%] (43%) {38%} [41%] (42%)

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Marco Rubio for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Romney-Rubio 49% (46%) {43%}
• Obama-Biden 47% (49%) {50%}

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Condoleezza Rice for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Romney-Rice 46%
• Obama-Biden 45%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Tim Pawlenty for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 46%
• Romney-Pawlenty 45%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Bobby Jindal for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 47%
• Romney-Jindal 44%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Rob Portman for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 46%
• Romney-Portman 42%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 46% (39%) {41%} [37%] (40%) {41%} [39%] (43%) / 49% (53%) {51%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [39%] (38%) {-3%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 34% (24%) {34%} [40%] (27%) {42%} [33%] (31%) / 58% (62%) {54%} [43%] (55%) {44%} [44%] (43%) {-24%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 49% (45%) {49%} [42%] (44%) {46%} [42%] (44%) / 48% (46%) {46%} [47%] (42%) {42%} [37%] (43%) {+1%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 43% (32%) {34%} [32%] (37%) {37%} [36%] (42%) / 50% (60%) {56%} [47%] (49%) {46%} [40%] (32%) {-7%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Condoleezza Rice?

• Favorable 59%
• Unfavorable 28%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bobby Jindal?

• Favorable 29%
• Unfavorable 29%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tim Pawlenty?

• Favorable 26%
• Unfavorable 30%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rob Portman?

• Favorable 18%
• Unfavorable 27%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Marco Rubio's job performance?

• Approve 45% (44%) {43%}
• Disapprove 42% (40%) {41%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 47% (49%) {51%} [45%] (46%) {48%} [48%] (45%)
• Disapprove 50% (46%) {45%} [50%] (51%) {49%} [47%] (49%)

Among Moderates

• Approve 57% (60%) {64%} [53%] (64%) {59%} [73%] (62%)
• Disapprove 40% (32%) {30%} [39%] (32%) {37%} [24%] (30%)

Among Men

• Approve 43% (42%) {43%} [43%] (44%) {44%} [44%] (45%)
• Disapprove 55% (54%) {54%} [52%] (53%) {53%} [51%] (52%)

Among Women

• Approve 50% (57%) {58%} [46%] (47%) {52%} [52%] (45%)
• Disapprove 46% (38%) {38%} [48%] (50%) {45%} [42%] (46%)

Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?

• He should 53%
• He should not 36%

Survey of 871 likely Florida voters was conducted July 26-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 42% (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [41%] (42%) Democrat; 40% (40%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (40%) Republican; 19% (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {21%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% (33%) {32%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 20% (25%) {22%} [23%] (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 20% (16%) {16%} [14%] (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 17% (16%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 10% (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-20, 2010 are in parentheses.

Cheney: McCain Picking Palin for VP Was ‘A Mistake’

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49% {50%} [49%] (45%) {44%} [42%] (46%)
• Mitt Romney 43% {42%} [42%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (42%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% {48%} [47%] (49%) {44%} [47%] (46%)
• Barack Obama 44% {43%} [48%] (39%) {44%} [38%] (43%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 54% {56%} [50%] (51%) {45%} [46%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 37% {36%} [38%] (40%) {43%} [39%] (38%)

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Condoleezza Rice for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Romney-Rice 45%
• Obama-Biden 45%
• Undecided 9%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Tim Pawlenty for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 47%
• Romney-Pawlenty 43%
• Undecided 10%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Bobby Jindal for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 48%
• Romney-Jindal 43%
• Undecided 9%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Rob Portman for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 47%
• Romney-Portman 40%
• Undecided 13%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 39% {37%} [30%] (32%) {35%} [31%] (34%) / 51% {51%} [60%] (51%) {46%} [41%] (38%) {-12%} 

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 43% {46%} [36%] (33%) {37%} [39%] (32%) / 47% {47%} [56%] (52%) {50%} [43%] (46%) {-4%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 34% {28%} [24%] (30%) {32%} [24%] (37%) / 55% {55%} [64%] (50%) {41%} [40%] (31%) {-21%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Condoleezza Rice?

• Favorable 60%
• Unfavorable 27%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tim Pawlenty?

• Favorable 25%
• Unfavorable 25%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bobby Jindal?

• Favorable 23%
• Unfavorable 27%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rob Portman?

• Favorable 15%
• Unfavorable 21%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 46% {48%} [47%] (42%) {46%} [42%] (46%)
• Disapprove 50% {49%} [47%] (53%) {48%} [52%] (49%)

Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?

• He should 62%
• He should not 31%

Survey of 758 Pennsylvania voters was conducted July 21-23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID: 47% {46%} [46%] (49%) {50%} [51%] (48%) Democrat; 43% {42%} [41%] (41%) {39%} [38%] (43%) Republican; 10% {12%} [13%] (9%) {11%} [11%] (9%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 29% {28%} [30%] (26%) {30%} [33%] Moderate; 26% {22%} [25%] (28%) {21%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 19% {18%} [16%] (18%) {22%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 16% {19%} [19%] (18%) {17%} [17%] Very conservative; 10% {12%} [10%] (11%) {10%} [8%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 8-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 17-20, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 53% [53%] (54%) {47%} [48%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 39% [39%] (38%) {42%} [41%] (43%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 50% [48%] (50%) {34%} [41%] (42%)
• Mitt Romney 37% [36%] (38%) {45%} [40%] (41%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 68% [66%] (70%) {56%} [56%] (59%)
• Mitt Romney 23% [21%] (22%) {30%} [25%] (29%)

Among Men

• Barack Obama 48% [48%] (46%) {43%} [48%] (42%)
• Mitt Romney 45% [45%] (45%) {46%} [44%] (50%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 59% [58%] (61%) {51%} [48%] (52%)
• Mitt Romney 33% [34%] (31%) {38%} [38%] (36%)

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Condoleezza Rice for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 50%
• Romney-Rice 42%
• Undecided 9%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Tim Pawlenty for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 52%
• Romney-Pawlenty 38%
• Undecided 10%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Rob Portman for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 52%
• Romney-Portman 37%
• Undecided 11%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Bobby Jindal for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 54%
• Romney-Jindal 37%
• Undecided 9%

Who do you think has been better for the automotive industry in Michigan: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 55% [55%]
• Mitt Romney 29% [31%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 38% [35%] (29%) {39%} [37%] (39%) / 55% [57%] (58%) {43%} [45%] (37%) {-17%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 36% [32%] (32%) {48%} [42%] (43%) / 57% [60%] (52%) {34%} [39%] (34%) {-21%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 20% [22%] (29%) {37%} [34%] (31%) / 71% [65%] (57%) {42%} [46%] (39%) {-51%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 43% [40%] (35%) {41%} [35%] (46%) / 50% [53%] (55%) {40%} [50%] (41%) {-7%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 32% [30%] (25%) {37%} [39%] (33%) / 61% [60%] (61%) {46%} [40%] (32%) {-29%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Condoleezza Rice?

• Favorable 56%
• Unfavorable 28%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tim Pawlenty?

• Favorable 22%
• Unfavorable 30%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bobby Jindal?

• Favorable 21%
• Unfavorable 29%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rob Portman?

• Favorable 15%
• Unfavorable 23%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 51% [53%] (52%) {50%} [47%] (50%)
• Disapprove 44% [41%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (45%)

Among Men

• Approve 44% [48%] (44%) {47%} [49%] (44%)
• Disapprove 50% [48%] (52%) {49%} [47%] (51%)

Among Women

• Approve 58% [57%] (58%) {53%} [46%] (56%)
• Disapprove 37% [36%] (38%) {44%} [44%] (39%)

Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?

• He should 58%
• He should not 34%

Do you consider Mitt Romney to be a Michigander, or not?

• He is a Michigander 22%
• He is not 67%

Survey of 579 Michigan voters was conducted July 21-23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 32% [38%] (40%) {40%} [41%] (35%) Democrat; 28% [28%] (30%) {30%} [28%] (35%) Republican; 40% [34%] (30%) {30%} [31%] (29%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 31% [30%] (30%) {30%} [35%] Moderate; 21% [22%] (21%) {26%} [21%] Somewhat conservative; 21% [15%] (17%) {14%} [16%] Very conservative; 16% [23%] (20%) {18%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 11% [11%] (12%) {12%} [12%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-24, 2011 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted March 18-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-6, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2012 Presidential Survey

Fox News 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 45% [45%] {43%} (46%) [46%] {44%} (46%) [47%] {46%} (44%) [42%] {45%} (47%) [48%] {48%} 
• Mitt Romney 41% [40%] {43%} (39%) [46%] {46%} (42%) [42%] {45%} {42%} [44%] {42%} (41%) [41%] {41%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 43% [40%] {46%} (46%) [49%] {52%} [47%]
• Barack Obama 42% [45%] {41%} (37%) [45%] {38%} [42%]

Among Women

• Barack Obama 48% [46%] {46%} (55%) [47%] {49%} [50%]
• Mitt Romney 40% [39%] {40%} (33%) [42%] {41%} [38%]

Let’s say the Democratic ticket is Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president and the Republican ticket is Mitt Romney for president and Condoleezza Rice for vice president. If you were voting today, how would you vote?

• Obama/Biden 46%
• Romney/Rice 46%

Which one of the following people would you most like to see Mitt Romney pick as his vice presidential running mate?

• Condoleezza Rice 30%
• Marco Rubio 12%
• Chris Christie 8%
• Paul Ryan 6%
• Susana Martinez 4%
• Bobby Jindal 4%
• Tim Pawlenty 3%
• Rob Portman 3%
• Bob McDonnell 2%

Among Republicans

• Condoleezza Rice 30%
• Marco Rubio 19%
• Chris Christie 8%
• Paul Ryan 8%
• Bobby Jindal 5%
• Susana Martinez 3%
• Rob Portman 3%
• Bob McDonnell 3%
• Tim Pawlenty 2%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 52% {46%} (45%) [42%] (39%) {45%} / 40% {42%} (43%) [45%] (49%) {38%} {+12%}
• Barack Obama 52% {54%} (52%) [50%] (50%) {51%} / 46% {42%} (44%) [48%] (47%) {46%} {+6%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 47% [48%] {49%} (49%) [45%] {42%} (47%) [48%] {45%} (44%) [42%] {43%} (45%) [48%] {51%}
  
• Disapprove 49% [43%] {45%} (47%) [51%] {51%} (45%) [45%] {47%} (51%) [48%] {51%} (46%) [43%] {43%}

Regardless of how you might vote, do you think President Obama deserves to be re-elected or not?

• Yes, he deserves to be re-elected 50%
• No, he doesn’t 48%

Do you think Barack Obama is honest and trustworthy, or not?

• Yes 51%
• No 46%

Do you think Mitt Romney is honest and trustworthy, or not?

• Yes 46%
• No 43%

If you had to make the toughest decision of your life, who would you rather get advice from -- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 46%
• Mitt Romney 41%

Survey of 901 registered voters was conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D)/Shaw & Company Research (R) July 15-17, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points.  Party ID: 42% Democrat; 38% Republican; 18% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted June 24-26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 3-5, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 13-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 22-24, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 25-27, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-19, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 5-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Vice Presidential Favorability Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 VP Favorability Poll 

I’m now going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression. 

Condoleezza Rice

• Very favorable 29% [32%]
  
• Somewhat favorable 36% [34%]
• Somewhat unfavorable 18%
  
• Very unfavorable 6%
• No opinion 12%

Paul Ryan

• Very favorable 21% (22%)
• Somewhat favorable 18% (14%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 10% (13%)
• Very unfavorable 15% (17%)
• No opinion 35% (35%)

Bobby Jindal

• Very favorable 15%
• Somewhat favorable 19%
• Somewhat unfavorable 18%
• Very unfavorable 13%
• No opinion 36%
  

Tim Pawlenty

• Very favorable 7%
• Somewhat favorable 25%
• Somewhat unfavorable 19%
• Very unfavorable 13%
• No opinion 37%
  

Rob Portman

• Very favorable 5% {3%} (2%)
• Somewhat favorable 18% {20%} (12%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 16% {23%} (15%)
• Very unfavorable 8% {8%} (11%)
• No opinion 53% {47%} (60%)
  

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Condoleezza Rice 65% [66%] / 24% [24%] {+41%}
• Paul Ryan 39% (36%) / 25% (30%) {+14%} 
• Bobby Jindal 34% / 31% {+3%}
• Tim Pawlenty 32% / 32% {0%}
• Rob Portman 23% {23%} (14%) / 24% {31%} (26%) {-1%}

National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted July 15-16, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 19-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 24-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10-11, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Eighty-three percent (83%) of Republicans and 63% of voters not affiliated with either major party give Rice favorable marks. She’s even viewed favorably by a plurality (47%) of Democrats.

Male voters regard Rice more favorably than female voters do, but 59% of women share a favorable opinion of her. Unusual for a prominent Republican, most black voters (58%) also hold a favorable view of Rice.

Sixty-nine percent (69%) of Republicans have a favorable opinion of Ryan. Unaffiliated voters tend to view him favorably, but 42% have no opinion.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of Republicans like Jindal. Among unaffiliated voters, 31% view him favorably, 29% unfavorably, and 40% have no opinion.

Among GOP voters, 52% see Pawlenty in a favorable light. Unaffiliated voters are closely divided in their views of the ex-governor, but 46% have no opinion of him.

Forty-two percent (42%) of Republicans have a favorable view of Portman, who also served as budget director under President George W. Bush, but nearly as many (40%) don’t know what they think of him. Seventy percent (70%) of unaffiliated voters have no opinion of Portman.

Rob Portman Delivers Weekly Republican Address

Intrade Republican 2012 Vice Presidential Nominee Odds

Intrade GOP 2012 VP Nominee Odds

• Paul Ryan 50.0%
• Tim Pawlenty 11.0%
• Rob Portman 10.6% 
• Marco Rubio 5.0%       
• Bobby Jindal 2.4%
• Bob McDonnell 2.1%
• John Thune 2.0%  
• Chris Christie 1.5% 
• Condoleezza Rice 1.0%
• Sarah Palin 0.9% 
• Kelly Ayotte 0.6%          
• Susana Martinez 0.4%
• Nikki Haley 0.3%  
• Cathy McMorris Rodgers 0.3%
• Brian Sandoval 0.3%
• David Petraeus 0.3%
• Eric Cantor 0.2%
• Pat Toomey 0.2%
• Mike Huckabee 0.2%
• Dave Heineman 0.2%
• Jeb Bush 0.2%
• Meg Whitman 0.2%
• John Kasich 0.2%
• Jon Kyl 0.2%
• Ron Paul 0.2% 
• Jon Huntsman 0.2% 
• Luis Fortuño 0.2% 
• Rick Santorum 0.1% 
• Rudy Giuliani 0.1%
• Michele Bachmann 0.1% 
• Haley Barbour 0.1%   
• Mitch Daniels 0.1%
• Rand Paul 0.1%
• Michael Bloomberg 0.1%
• John Bolton 0.1%
• Scott Brown 0.1%
• Carly Fiorina 0.1%
• Newt Gingrich 0.1%
• Judd Gregg 0.1%
• Gary Johnson 0.1%
• George Pataki 0.1% 
• Kay Bailey Hutchison 0.1%
• Mike Pence 0.1%
• Rick Perry 0.1%
• Donald Trump 0.1%
• Scott Walker 0.1%
• J.C. Watts 0.1%
• Jim DeMint 0.1%
• Allen West 0.1% 

Last Updated: August 10, 2012

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2012 Vice Presidential Survey

CNN/ORC 2012 Vice Presidential Poll

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Marco Rubio 29% / 23% {+6%}
• Bobby Jindal 25% / 21% {+4%}
• Paul Ryan 25% / 22% {+3%}
• Rob Portman 12% / 11% {+1%}
• Tim Pawlenty 20% / 20% {0%}

Among Republicans

• Marco Rubio 45% / 9% {+36%}
• Paul Ryan 39% / 7% {+32%}
• Bobby Jindal 32% / 8% {+24%}
• Tim Pawlenty 29% / 12% {+17%}
• Rob Portman 17% / 6% {+11%}

Among Democrats

• Rob Portman 9% / 11% {-2%}
• Tim Pawlenty 10% / 25% {-15%}
• Marco Rubio 12% / 32% {-20%}
• Bobby Jindal 10% / 30% {-20%}
• Paul Ryan 9% / 29% {-20%}

Among Independents

• Marco Rubio 29% / 22% {+7%}
• Bobby Jindal 26% / 20% {+6%}
• Paul Ryan 27% / 22% {+5%}
• Tim Pawlenty 20% / 20% {0%}
• Rob Portman 10% / 12% {-2%}

Among Moderates

• Rob Portman 11% / 11% {0%}
• Paul Ryan 23% / 25% {-2%}
• Marco Rubio 22% / 25% {-3%}
• Bobby Jindal 19% / 23% {-4%}
• Tim Pawlenty 17% / 22% {-5%}

Survey of 1,390 registered voters was conducted June 28 - July 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.