Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Rand Paul 15% [16%] (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)
• Kelly Ayotte 13% [13%] [5%] (10%)
• Paul Ryan 13% [6%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (11%)
• Chris Christie 12% [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
• Jeb Bush 7% [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
• Ted Cruz 7% [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
• Donald Trump 5% [4%]
• Bobby Jindal 3% [2%] (2%)
• Scott Walker 3% [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
• Marco Rubio 2% [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
• Rick Perry 1% [2%] (1%) {4%} 
• Rick Santorum 1% (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
• Rob Portman 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%)
• Someone else 3% [6%] (3%) {3%} [0%] (2%)
• Don't know yet 15% [18%] (21%) {20%} [23%] (20%)

(Open-Ended) If the Republican primary for president were held today, who would you support for the Republican nomination?

NOTE: This question was asked prior to respondents hearing the names of any potential candidates.  

• Rand Paul 9%
• Chris Christie 7%
• Ted Cruz 6%
• Mitt Romney 3%
• Scott Brown 3%
• Paul Ryan 2%
• Jeb Bush 2%
• Someone else 6%
• Did not give name 62%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Paul Ryan 60% [48%] (54%) {66%} [68%] (61%) / 15% [20%] (17%) {18%} [13%] (19%) {+45%}
• Marco Rubio 52% [42%] (41%) {47%} [59%] (56%) / 12% [11%] (18%) {14%} [8%] (6%) {+40%}
  
• Rand Paul 56% [49%] (52%) {57%} [54%] (45%) / 21% [14%] (24%) {20%} [19%] (26%) {+35%}
  
• Kelly Ayotte 61% [48%] [71%] (68%) / 27% [27%] [14%] (24%) {+34%}
  
• Scott Walker 38% [30%] (29%) {42%} [38%] (37%) / 12% [9%] (8%) {13%} [8%] (14%) {+26%}
• Ted Cruz 42% [37%] (32%) {29%} [21%] (18%) / 18% [18%] (19%) {17%} [12%] (14%) {+24%} 
• Bobby Jindal 30% {39%} [30%] (31%) / 17% {12%} [16%] (21%) {+13%}
• Jeb Bush 45% [46%] (47%) {53%} [48%] (53%) / 35% [25%] (27%) {27%} [34%] (31%) {+10%}
• Rick Perry 36% [32%] (36%) {39%} / 30% [27%] (30%) {37%} {+6%}
• Rick Santorum 36% (39%) {44%} [39%] (40%) / 31% (27%) {37%} [38%] (42%) {+5%}
• Chris Christie 43% [43%] (49%) {59%} [56%] (60%) / 42% [33%] (23%) {24%} [26%] (21%) {+1%}   
• Rob Portman 11% [15%] (14%) {15%} [13%] (20%) / 15% [8%] (8%) {19%} [11%] (14%) {-4%}
• Donald Trump 23% [29%] / 66% [59%] {-43%}

Survey of 187 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 1-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 7.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
• Chris Christie (R) 39%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
• Kelly Ayotte (R) 42%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Jeb Bush (R) 40%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
• Paul Ryan (R) 41% 

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (52%)
• Rand Paul (R) 41% (41%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
• Ted Cruz (R) 38%

Among Independents

• Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
• Chris Christie (R) 34%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
• Kelly Ayotte (R) 40%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• Jeb Bush (R) 33%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
• Paul Ryan (R) 35%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%)
• Rand Paul (R) 38% (39%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Ted Cruz (R) 34%

Among Moderates

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
• Chris Christie (R) 29%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 62%
• Kelly Ayotte (R) 28%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 62%
• Jeb Bush (R) 24%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 64%
• Paul Ryan (R) 25%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 63% (68%)
• Rand Paul (R) 25% (20%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 64%
• Ted Cruz (R) 20%

Among Men

• Chris Christie (R) 42%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39%

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 47%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 46%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
• Jeb Bush (R) 45%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
• Paul Ryan (R) 44%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (42%)
• Rand Paul (R) 46% (51%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% 
• Ted Cruz (R) 43% 

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
• Chris Christie (R) 36%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
• Kelly Ayotte (R) 39%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
• Jeb Bush (R) 37%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
• Paul Ryan (R) 39%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 54% (61%)
• Rand Paul (R) 37% (31%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 54% 
• Ted Cruz (R) 34% 

Survey of 1,038 New Hampshire voters was conducted September 13-16, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 31% (32%) Democrat; 30% (29%) Republican; 39% (39%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% (31%) Moderate; 21% (23%) Somewhat conservative; 19% (18%) Somewhat liberal; 15% (15%) Very conservative; 12% (13%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Rand Paul 20% {28%} [4%] (10%) 
• Chris Christie 19% {14%} [21%] (24%)
• Jeb Bush 14% {7%} [11%] (15%) 
• Kelly Ayotte 12%
• Ted Cruz 10%
• Paul Ryan 7% {7%} [10%] (8%)  
• Marco Rubio 7% {25%} [14%] (12%)
• Bobby Jindal 3% {1%}
• Rick Santorum 2% {4%} [5%] (7%)
• Someone else/Not sure 6% {11%} [10%] (2%)

Among Republicans

• Rand Paul 18% {26%} [4%] (9%)
• Chris Christie 17% {9%} [22%] (21%)
• Jeb Bush 16% {6%} [13%] (15%) 
• Kelly Ayotte 12%
• Ted Cruz 10%
• Paul Ryan 8% {10%} [10%] (10%)
• Marco Rubio 8% {29%} [15%] (13%) 
• Bobby Jindal 3% {1%}
• Rick Santorum 2% {6%} [5%] (8%)
• Someone else/Not sure 5% {9%} [8%] (2%)

Among Independents

• Rand Paul 24% {32%} [3%] (12%)
• Chris Christie 22% {19%} [21%] (33%)
• Kelly Ayotte 11%  
• Jeb Bush 10% {10%} [8%] (14%) 
• Ted Cruz 10%
• Paul Ryan 6% {1%} [10%] (5%)
• Marco Rubio 5% {17%} [11%] (10%)
• Bobby Jindal 3% {1%}
• Rick Santorum 2% {1%} [4%] (4%)  
• Someone else/Not sure 7% {14%} [14%] (2%) 

Among Men

• Rand Paul 25% {33%} [4%] (12%)
  
• Chris Christie 17% {13%} [22%] (28%)
• Kelly Ayotte 14%
• Jeb Bush 13% {9%} [13%] (15%)
• Ted Cruz 10%
• Marco Rubio 9% {22%} [13%] (10%)
• Paul Ryan 6% {7%} [10%] (8%)
• Bobby Jindal 2% {2%}
• Rick Santorum 1% {3%} [4%] (4%)
• Someone else/Not sure 4% {9%} [10%] (1%)

Among Women

• Chris Christie 21% {14%} [21%] (21%)
• Jeb Bush 15% {6%} [10%] (16%)
• Rand Paul 15% {22%} [3%] (8%)
• Kelly Ayotte 10%
• Ted Cruz 10%
• Paul Ryan 8% {6%} [10%] (8%)
• Bobby Jindal 4% {0%} 
• Marco Rubio 4% {27%} [14%] (14%)
• Rick Santorum 2% {5%} [5%] (10%)
• Someone else/Not sure 9% {12%} [11%] (2%)

Survey of 491 usual Republican primary voters was conducted September 13-16, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 57% {59%} [66%] (66%) Republican; 42% {40%} [33%] (33%) Independent/Other; 1% {1%} [1%] (2%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 37% {41%} [43%] (43%) Somewhat conservative; 31% {32%} [29%] (31%) Very conservative; 24% {23%} [24%] (21%) Moderate; 6% {3%} [4%] (4%) Somewhat liberal; 2% {1%} [1%] (1%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: New England College/NH Journal New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

New England College/NH Journal New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Rand Paul 19% (15%)
• Chris Christie 17.5% (12%)
• Marco Rubio 13% (17%)
• Paul Ryan 9.5% (12%)
• Kelly Ayotte 8.6%
• Rick Santorum 5.5% (4%)
• Bobby Jindal 2.5% (2%)
• Rick Perry 2.1%
• Scott Walker 1.8%
• Unsure 20% (17%)
  

Survey of 326 registered GOP primary voters was conducted July, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 5.42 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Marco Rubio 15% (12%)
• Rand Paul 15% (8%)
• Chris Christie 11% (14%)
• Paul Ryan 11% (11%)  
• Kelly Ayotte 5% (10%)
• Jon Huntsman 5% (8%)
• Jeb Bush 5% (5%)
• Rick Santorum 4% (3%)
• Bobby Jindal 2% (2%)
• Ted Cruz 2% (1%)
• Scott Walker 1% (3%)
• Rob Portman 1% (0%)
• John Thune 0% (1%)
• Someone else 0% (2%)
• Don't know yet 23% (20%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Kelly Ayotte 71% (68%) / 14% (24%) {+57%}
• Paul Ryan 68% (61%) / 13% (19%) {+55%}
• Marco Rubio 59% (56%) / 8% (6%) {+51%}
• Rand Paul 54% (45%) / 19% (26%) {+35%}
• Chris Christie 56% (60%) / 26% (21%) {+30%}
• Scott Walker 38% (37%) / 8% (14%) {+30%}
• Jon Huntsman 43% (37%) / 24% (31%) {+19%} 
• Jeb Bush 48% (53%) / 34% (31%) {+14%}  
• Bobby Jindal 30% (31%) / 16% (21%) {+14%} 
• Ted Cruz 21% (18%) / 12% (14%) {+9%}
• Rob Portman 13% (20%) / 11% (14%) {+2%}
• Rick Santorum 39% (40%) / 38% (42%) {+1%}
• John Thune 9% (16%) / 9% (13%) {0%}

Survey of 171 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 4-9, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 7.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Chris Christie 14%
• Marco Rubio 12%
• Paul Ryan 11%  
• Kelly Ayotte 10%
• Rand Paul 8%
• Jon Huntsman 8%
• Jeb Bush 5%
• Rick Santorum 3%
• Scott Walker 3%
• Bobby Jindal 2%
• Ted Cruz 1%
• John Thune 1%
• Rob Portman 0%
• Someone else 2%
• Don't know yet 20%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Marco Rubio 56% / 6% {+50%}
• Kelly Ayotte 68% / 24% {+44%}
• Paul Ryan 61% / 19% {+42%}
• Chris Christie 60% / 21% {+39%}
• Scott Walker 37% / 14% {+23%}
• Jeb Bush 53% / 31% {+22%}  
• Rand Paul 45% / 26% {+19%}
• Bobby Jindal 31% / 21% {+10%}
• Jon Huntsman 37% / 31% {+6%}
• Rob Portman 20% / 14% {+6%}
• Ted Cruz 18% / 14% {+4%}
• John Thune 16% / 13% {+3%}
• Rick Santorum 40% / 42% {-2%}

Survey of 212 likely Republican primary voters was conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 7 percentage points.

Deval Patrick and Kelly Ayotte on Meet the Press

CNN State of the Union: Interview with Sen. Kelly Ayotte (Part 2)

CNN State of the Union: Interview with Sen. Kelly Ayotte (Part 1)

This Week: Interview with Sen. Kelly Ayotte

Intrade Republican 2012 Vice Presidential Nominee Odds

Intrade GOP 2012 VP Nominee Odds

• Paul Ryan 50.0%
• Tim Pawlenty 11.0%
• Rob Portman 10.6% 
• Marco Rubio 5.0%       
• Bobby Jindal 2.4%
• Bob McDonnell 2.1%
• John Thune 2.0%  
• Chris Christie 1.5% 
• Condoleezza Rice 1.0%
• Sarah Palin 0.9% 
• Kelly Ayotte 0.6%          
• Susana Martinez 0.4%
• Nikki Haley 0.3%  
• Cathy McMorris Rodgers 0.3%
• Brian Sandoval 0.3%
• David Petraeus 0.3%
• Eric Cantor 0.2%
• Pat Toomey 0.2%
• Mike Huckabee 0.2%
• Dave Heineman 0.2%
• Jeb Bush 0.2%
• Meg Whitman 0.2%
• John Kasich 0.2%
• Jon Kyl 0.2%
• Ron Paul 0.2% 
• Jon Huntsman 0.2% 
• Luis Fortuño 0.2% 
• Rick Santorum 0.1% 
• Rudy Giuliani 0.1%
• Michele Bachmann 0.1% 
• Haley Barbour 0.1%   
• Mitch Daniels 0.1%
• Rand Paul 0.1%
• Michael Bloomberg 0.1%
• John Bolton 0.1%
• Scott Brown 0.1%
• Carly Fiorina 0.1%
• Newt Gingrich 0.1%
• Judd Gregg 0.1%
• Gary Johnson 0.1%
• George Pataki 0.1% 
• Kay Bailey Hutchison 0.1%
• Mike Pence 0.1%
• Rick Perry 0.1%
• Donald Trump 0.1%
• Scott Walker 0.1%
• J.C. Watts 0.1%
• Jim DeMint 0.1%
• Allen West 0.1% 

Last Updated: August 10, 2012

Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

NBC News/Marist New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 45% [43%] (40%)
• Mitt Romney 45% [46%] (49%)

How about if the candidates are:

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 45%
• Mitt Romney-Kelly Ayotte 43%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• Barack Obama 50% / 44% {+6%}
• Mitt Romney 45% / 45% {0%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 47% [40%] (38%)
• Disapprove 45% [52%] (53%)

Which candidate will do a better job handling the economy:

• Mitt Romney 46%
• Barack Obama 42%

Which candidate will do a better job handling foreign policy:

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 39%

Survey of 1,029 registered voters was conducted June 24-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted November 28-30, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 53% [44%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 41% [46%] (46%)

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 93% [82%] (83%)
• Mitt Romney 5% [12%] (13%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 82% [82%] (87%)
• Barack Obama 13% [11%] (9%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 50% [35%] (44%)
• Mitt Romney 39% [46%] (44%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 58% [52%] (59%)
• Mitt Romney 34% [35%] (32%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 48% [51%] (50%)
• Barack Obama 47% [36%] (44%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 58% [50%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 35% [42%] (42%)

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Kelly Ayotte for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 52%
• Romney-Ayotte 42%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Judd Gregg for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 52%
• Romney-Gregg 41%

If the candidates for President this year were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Libertarian Gary Johnson, who would you vote for?

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 38%
• Gary Johnson 7%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 40% [43%] (45%) / 54% [42%] (44%) {-14%}

Among Democrats

• Mitt Romney 8% [25%] (25%) / 89% [58%] (66%) {-81%}

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 77% [63%] (72%) / 18% [26%] (17%) {+59%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 38% [43%] (42%) / 53% [40%] (44%) {-15%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 34% [43%] (42%) / 57% [38%] (48%) {-23%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 44% [48%] (47%) / 52% [42%] (43%) {-8%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 37% [39%] (43%) / 57% [42%] (44%) {-20%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Gary Johnson?

• Favorable 9%
• Unfavorable 26%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 52% [46%] (46%)
• Disapprove 45% [49%] (46%)

Among Independents

• Approve 51% [39%] (46%)
• Disapprove 44% [53%] (43%)

Among Men

• Approve 46% [39%] (44%)
• Disapprove 52% [57%] (51%)

Among Women

• Approve 58% [52%] (48%)
• Disapprove 38% [42%] (42%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kelly Ayotte’s job performance?

• Approve 43%
• Disapprove 43%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Judd Gregg?

• Favorable 44%
• Unfavorable 35%

Survey of 1,163 New Hampshire voters was conducted May 10-13, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 34% [34%] (35%) Democrat; 31% [32%] (29%) Republican; 35% [33%] (36%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 31% [26%] (32%) Moderate; 24% [21%] (23%) Somewhat conservative; 23% [20%] (21%) Somewhat liberal; 12% [19%] (15%) Very conservative; 10% [14%] (9%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 3, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) 2012 Weekly Presidential Tracking Survey

PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) 2012 Weekly Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 48% {49%} [49%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 45% {44%} [44%] (44%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 46% {41%} [48%] (48%) 
• Mitt Romney 41% {42%} [39%] (41%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 60% {55%} [61%] (63%)
• Mitt Romney 33% {36%} [32%] (29%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 46% {46%} [48%] (49%)
• Barack Obama 45% {45%} [46%] (44%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 51% {52%} [52%] (54%)
• Mitt Romney 45% {43%} [40%] (40%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 47% {49%} [50%] (48%) / 48% {46%} [46%] (47%) {-1%}
• Mitt Romney 39% {38%} [38%] (36%) / 48% {48%} [48%] (51%) {-9%}

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 44% {43%} [51%] (45%) / 46% {49%} [44%] (47%) {-2%}
• Mitt Romney 34% {37%} [33%] (34%) / 45% {41%} [50%] (52%) {-11%}

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 59% {56%} [63%] (63%) / 34% {36%} [33%] (33%) {+25%}
• Mitt Romney 29% {35%} [31%] (29%) / 58% {52%} [55%] (61%) {-29%}

Among Men

• Barack Obama 45% {45%} [47%] (43%) / 48% {48%} [51%] (51%) {-3%}
• Mitt Romney 41% {40%} [42%] (41%) / 46% {47%} [45%] (46%) {-5%}

Among Women

• Barack Obama 49% {52%} [53%] (52%) / 47% {43%} [42%] (44%) {+2%}
• Mitt Romney 37% {35%} [34%] (32%) / 50% {49%} [51%] (55%) {-13%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 45% {48%} [47%] (46%)
• Disapprove 50% {47%} [48%] (48%)

Do you think Barack Obama is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 45% {44%} [43%] (45%)
• Too conservative 7% {6%} [7%] (9%)
• About right 44% {44%} [46%] (43%)

Given the following list of choices, who do you think would be the best Republican candidate for Vice President: former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, Arizona Governor Jan Brewer, Florida Senator Marco Rubio, New Hampshire Senator Kelly Ayotte, Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan, Ohio Senator Rob Portman, or New Mexico Governor Susana Martinez?

• Chris Christie 17%
• Marco Rubio 14%
• Jeb Bush 13%
• Jan Brewer 9%
• Paul Ryan 8%
• Susana Martinez 5%
• Rob Portman 3%
• Kelly Ayotte 2%
• Someone else/Not sure 30%

Among Republicans

• Marco Rubio 25%
• Chris Christie 19%
  
• Jeb Bush 16%
  
• Paul Ryan 8%
  
• Jan Brewer 6%
• Susana Martinez 4%
  
• Rob Portman 3%
  
• Kelly Ayotte 0%
  
• Someone else/Not sure 18%

Among Independents

• Chris Christie 19%
  
• Marco Rubio 14%
  
• Jeb Bush 12%
  
• Jan Brewer 10%
  
• Paul Ryan 9%
  
• Susana Martinez 4%
  
• Rob Portman 2%
  
• Kelly Ayotte 1%
  
• Someone else/Not sure 28%

Survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted May 3-6, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 38% {43%} [40%] (41%) Democrat; 35% {32%} [34%] (36%) Republican; 26% {25%} [26%] (24%) Independent/Other. Political views: 41% {46%} [46%] (43%) Moderate; 40% {37%} [38%] (38%) Conservative; 19% {17%} [16%] (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses. 

Meet the Press Roundtable

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

2011 Foreign Policy Initiative Forum: Maintaining America's Global Responsibilities in an Age of Austerity

Restoring American Leadership - A Conversation with Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL)

Global Leadership During a Time of Uncertainty - A Conversation with Governor Tim Pawlenty (R-MN)

The Future of Defense, the Military, and America’s Role in the World - A Conversation with Senator Kelly Ayotte (R-NH)

Can America Afford the Foreign Policy We Need? - A Conversation with Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC)

Winning the War on Terror - A Conversation with Congressman Mike Rogers (R-MI)

The Path to Victory in Afghanistan - A Conversation with Senator Mark Kirk (R-IL) and and Congressman Adam Kinzinger (R-IL)

The Obama Administration's Pivot to Asia - A Conversation with Assistant Secretary Kurt Campbell

Defense Sequestration and National Security - A Conversation with Senator John McCain

Sen. Kelly Ayotte Discusses Danger of Iraq Troop Withdrawal

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire Political Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jeanne Shaheen’s job performance?

• Approve 47% [50%] (41%) {44%} [45%] (42%)
• Disapprove 42% [36%] (46%) {49%} [44%] (48%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kelly Ayotte’s job performance?

• Approve 44% [46%]
• Disapprove 38% [34%]

If there was an election today for the state legislature would you be more likely to vote for Democratic or Republican candidates?

• Democrats 48% [49%]
• Republicans 45% [41%]

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

• Legal 51%
• Illegal 38%

Among Democrats

• Legal 77%
• Illegal 16%

Among Republicans

• Legal 24%
• Illegal 63%

Among Independents

• Legal 51%
• Illegal 36%

Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage?  Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry; or, gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry; or, there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship.

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 45% [44%]
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry 35% [35%]
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 19% [19%]

Among Democrats

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 73% [67%]
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry 18% [25%]
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 8% [8%]

Among Republicans

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 17% [14%]
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry 50% [47%]
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 32% [38%]

Among Independents

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 44% [47%]
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry 38% [36%]
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 18% [13%]

Survey of 662 New Hampshire voters was conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 34% [35%] (28%) {35%} [35%] (33%) Democrat; 32% [29%] (37%) {36%} [29%] (30%) Republican; 33% [36%] (36%) {30%} [36%] (37%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 26% [32%] Moderate; 21% [23%] Somewhat conservative; 20% [21%] Somewhat liberal; 19% [15%] Very conservative; 14% [9%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 3, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 27-29, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 11-12, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 23-25, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-18, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire Political Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jeanne Shaheen’s job performance?

• Approve 50% (41%) {44%} [45%] (42%)
• Disapprove 36% (46%) {49%} [44%] (48%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kelly Ayotte’s job performance?

• Approve 46%
• Disapprove 34%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Charlie Bass?

• Favorable 30%
• Unfavorable 45%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Frank Guinta?

• Favorable 25%
• Unfavorable 42%

If there was an election today for the state legislature would you be more likely to vote for Democratic or Republican candidates?

• Democrats 49%
• Republicans 41%

Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage?  Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry; or, gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry; or, there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship.

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 44%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry 35%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 19%

Among Democrats

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 67%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry 25%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 8%

Among Republicans

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 14%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry 47%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 38%

Among Independents

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 47%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry 36%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 13%

Survey of 769 New Hampshire voters was conducted March 31 - April 3, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 35% (28%) {35%} [35%] (33%) Democrat; 29% (37%) {36%} [29%] (30%) Republican; 36% (36%) {30%} [36%] (37%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 32% Moderate; 23% Somewhat conservative; 21% Somewhat liberal; 15% Very conservative; 9% Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 27-29, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 11-12, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 23-25, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-18, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen New Hampshire Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen New Hampshire Senatorial Survey

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 55% (49%) {48%} [51%] (49%) {50%} [50%] (47%) {46%} [49%] (46%)
• Paul Hodes (D) 40% (43%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {38%} [35%] (37%) {39%} [40%] (38%)

With Leaners

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 56% (51%) {51%}
• Paul Hodes (D) 41% (44%) {44%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 57% (55%) {55%}
• Paul Hodes (D) 43% (45%) {45%}

Among Men

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 64% (55%) {56%}
• Paul Hodes (D) 34% (38%) {39%}

Among Women

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 50% (47%) {48%}
• Paul Hodes (D) 46% (50%) {48%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Kelly Ayotte 58% (58%) {56%} [55%] (56%) {63%} [61%] (60%) [57%} [60%] (58%) / 37% (37%) {39%} [33%] (32%) {27%} [19%] (22%) {21%} [21%] (21%) {+21%}
• Paul Hodes 45% (47%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {49%} [49%] (46%) / 51% (47%) {48%} [44%] (48%) {47%} [46%] (42%) {42%} [43%] (38%) {-6%}

How would you rate the job John Lynch has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 34% (34%) {28%} [24%] (24%) {22%} [22%] (25%) {24%} [23%] (22%)
• Somewhat approve 22% (23%) {29%} [31%] (33%) {34%} [37%] (38%) {36%} [35%] (42%)
• Somewhat disapprove 20% (22%) {21%} [26%] (26%) {24%} [25%] (21%) {25%} [19%] (21%)
• Strongly disapprove 24% (19%) {18%} [18%] (17%) {19%} [14%] (15%) {14%} [19%] (13%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 32% (36%) {28%} [36%] (27%) {32%} [27%] (29%) {31%} [31%] (38%)
• Somewhat approve 12% (14%) {19%} [13%] (15%) {18%} [22%] (19%) {18%} [21%] (12%)
• Somewhat disapprove 8% (7%) {8%} [8%] (11%) {9%} [7%] (11%) {10%} [9%] (9%)
• Strongly disapprove 47% (42%) {43%} [42%] (46%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {41%} [38%] (41%)

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 27, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 33% (34%) {30%} Republican; 31% (31%) {34%} Democrat; 35% (35%) {36%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 10, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 8, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Ninety percent (90%) of New Hampshire Republicans support Ayotte, while 84% of the state’s Democrats back Hodes. The Republican has a 28-point lead among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.