Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 53% [44%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 41% [46%] (46%)

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 93% [82%] (83%)
• Mitt Romney 5% [12%] (13%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 82% [82%] (87%)
• Barack Obama 13% [11%] (9%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 50% [35%] (44%)
• Mitt Romney 39% [46%] (44%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 58% [52%] (59%)
• Mitt Romney 34% [35%] (32%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 48% [51%] (50%)
• Barack Obama 47% [36%] (44%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 58% [50%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 35% [42%] (42%)

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Kelly Ayotte for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 52%
• Romney-Ayotte 42%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Judd Gregg for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 52%
• Romney-Gregg 41%

If the candidates for President this year were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Libertarian Gary Johnson, who would you vote for?

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 38%
• Gary Johnson 7%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 40% [43%] (45%) / 54% [42%] (44%) {-14%}

Among Democrats

• Mitt Romney 8% [25%] (25%) / 89% [58%] (66%) {-81%}

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 77% [63%] (72%) / 18% [26%] (17%) {+59%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 38% [43%] (42%) / 53% [40%] (44%) {-15%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 34% [43%] (42%) / 57% [38%] (48%) {-23%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 44% [48%] (47%) / 52% [42%] (43%) {-8%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 37% [39%] (43%) / 57% [42%] (44%) {-20%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Gary Johnson?

• Favorable 9%
• Unfavorable 26%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 52% [46%] (46%)
• Disapprove 45% [49%] (46%)

Among Independents

• Approve 51% [39%] (46%)
• Disapprove 44% [53%] (43%)

Among Men

• Approve 46% [39%] (44%)
• Disapprove 52% [57%] (51%)

Among Women

• Approve 58% [52%] (48%)
• Disapprove 38% [42%] (42%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kelly Ayotte’s job performance?

• Approve 43%
• Disapprove 43%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Judd Gregg?

• Favorable 44%
• Unfavorable 35%

Survey of 1,163 New Hampshire voters was conducted May 10-13, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 34% [34%] (35%) Democrat; 31% [32%] (29%) Republican; 35% [33%] (36%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 31% [26%] (32%) Moderate; 24% [21%] (23%) Somewhat conservative; 23% [20%] (21%) Somewhat liberal; 12% [19%] (15%) Very conservative; 10% [14%] (9%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 3, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire Senatorial Survey

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 56% {47%} [45%] (47%)
• Paul Hodes (D) 41% {43%} [42%] (40%)
• Undecided 3% {9%} [13%] (13%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Kelly Ayotte 57% {35%} [36%] (34%) / 34% {47%} [39%] (24%) {+23%}
• Paul Hodes 34% {35%} [35%] (32%) / 50% {46%} [40%] (39%) {-16%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Judd Gregg’s job performance?

• Approve 52% {45%} [44%] (44%)
• Disapprove 29% {41%} [39%] (37%) 

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jeanne Shaheen’s job performance?

• Approve 41% {44%} [45%] (42%)
• Disapprove 46% {49%} [44%] (48%)

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 39% {44%} [49%] (47%)
• Disapprove 55% {52%} [47%] (48%)

Survey of 1,959 likely voters was conducted October 27-29, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 37% {36%} [29%] (30%) Republican; 28% {35%} [35%] (33%) Democrat; 36% {30%} [36%] (37%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 47% {41%} [47%] (47%) Moderate; 39% {39%} [30%] (35%) Conservative; 14% {21%} [23%] (18%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 11-12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-25, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 17-18, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire Senatorial Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire Senatorial Survey

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 50% {45%} [47%] (41%)
• Paul Hodes (D) 35% {37%} [32%] (33%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Judd Gregg 56% {52%} [51%] (54%) / 21% {26%} [25%] (23%) {+35%}
• Jeanne Shaheen 49% {52%} [47%] (48%) / 35% {35%} [39%] (39%) {+14%}
• Kelly Ayotte 41% {36%} [38%] (38%) / 29% {27%} [13%] (12%) {+12%}
• Paul Hodes 29% {32%} [30%] (32%) / 39% {31%} [31%] (27%) {-10%}

Survey of 472 likely voters was conducted September 23-29, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party registration breakdown: 46% Independent; 30% Republican; 24% Democrat; Party ID breakdown: 42% Republican; 39% Democrat; 19% Independent.  Political ideology: 47% Moderate; 34% Conservative; 19% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-27, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Ayotte leads Hodes by 58% to 39% among voters who have definitely decided who they will support.

Among likely voters who are very interested in the election, Ayotte holds a 56% to 36% lead.