Poll Watch: Rasmussen New Hampshire Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen New Hampshire Gubernatorial Survey

• John Lynch (D) 51% (53%) {48%} [50%] (47%) {47%} [50%]
• John Stephen (R) 45% (43%) {46%} [39%] (35%) {37%} [35%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Lynch 54% (57%) {55%} [55%] (53%) {60%} [59%] / 43% (39%) {38%} [42%] (43%) {35%} [37%] {+11%}
• John Stephen 48% (47%) {47%} [39%] (36%) {36%} [32%] / 45% (44%) {38%] [32%] (25%) {27%} [30%] {+3%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 27, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 33% (34%) {30%} Republican; 31% (31%) {34%} Democrat; 35% (35%) {36%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 10, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 8, 2010 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers:

Lynch is backed by 91% of New Hampshire Democrats, while Stephen draws support from 80% of Republicans. Lynch leads 49% to 44% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen New Hampshire Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen New Hampshire Senatorial Survey

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 55% (49%) {48%} [51%] (49%) {50%} [50%] (47%) {46%} [49%] (46%)
• Paul Hodes (D) 40% (43%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {38%} [35%] (37%) {39%} [40%] (38%)

With Leaners

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 56% (51%) {51%}
• Paul Hodes (D) 41% (44%) {44%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 57% (55%) {55%}
• Paul Hodes (D) 43% (45%) {45%}

Among Men

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 64% (55%) {56%}
• Paul Hodes (D) 34% (38%) {39%}

Among Women

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 50% (47%) {48%}
• Paul Hodes (D) 46% (50%) {48%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Kelly Ayotte 58% (58%) {56%} [55%] (56%) {63%} [61%] (60%) [57%} [60%] (58%) / 37% (37%) {39%} [33%] (32%) {27%} [19%] (22%) {21%} [21%] (21%) {+21%}
• Paul Hodes 45% (47%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {49%} [49%] (46%) / 51% (47%) {48%} [44%] (48%) {47%} [46%] (42%) {42%} [43%] (38%) {-6%}

How would you rate the job John Lynch has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 34% (34%) {28%} [24%] (24%) {22%} [22%] (25%) {24%} [23%] (22%)
• Somewhat approve 22% (23%) {29%} [31%] (33%) {34%} [37%] (38%) {36%} [35%] (42%)
• Somewhat disapprove 20% (22%) {21%} [26%] (26%) {24%} [25%] (21%) {25%} [19%] (21%)
• Strongly disapprove 24% (19%) {18%} [18%] (17%) {19%} [14%] (15%) {14%} [19%] (13%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 32% (36%) {28%} [36%] (27%) {32%} [27%] (29%) {31%} [31%] (38%)
• Somewhat approve 12% (14%) {19%} [13%] (15%) {18%} [22%] (19%) {18%} [21%] (12%)
• Somewhat disapprove 8% (7%) {8%} [8%] (11%) {9%} [7%] (11%) {10%} [9%] (9%)
• Strongly disapprove 47% (42%) {43%} [42%] (46%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {41%} [38%] (41%)

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 27, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 33% (34%) {30%} Republican; 31% (31%) {34%} Democrat; 35% (35%) {36%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 10, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 8, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Ninety percent (90%) of New Hampshire Republicans support Ayotte, while 84% of the state’s Democrats back Hodes. The Republican has a 28-point lead among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire Gubernatorial Survey

• John Lynch (D) 53% {51%} [51%] (47%)
• John Stephen (R) 44% {39%} [34%] (36%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor John Lynch’s job performance?

• Approve 51% {51%} [52%] (44%)
• Disapprove 39% {38%} [36%] (42%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Stephen 37% {31%} [14%] (12%) / 40% {30%} [21%] (20%) {-3%}

Survey of 1,308 likely voters was conducted October 27-29, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 37% {36%} [29%] (30%) Republican; 28% {35%} [35%] (33%) Democrat;  36% {30%} [36%] (37%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 47% {41%} [47%] (47%) Moderate; 39% {39%} [30%] (35%) Conservative; 14% {21%} [23%] (18%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 11-12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-25, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 17-18, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire Gubernatorial Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire Gubernatorial Survey

• John Lynch (D) 51% (51%) {54%} [49%]
• John Stephen (R) 38% (34%) {29%} [32%]

Survey of 709 likely voters was conducted October 7-12, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party registration breakdown: 38% (46%) Independent; 33% (30%) Republican; 29% (24%) Democrat; Party ID breakdown: 44% (42%) Republican; 43% (39%) Democrat; 14% (19%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-27, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 18-28, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen New Hampshire Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen New Hampshire Gubernatorial Survey

• John Lynch (D) 53% {48%} [50%] (47%) {47%} [50%]
• John Stephen (R) 43% {46%} [39%] (35%) {37%} [35%]

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• John Lynch (D) 58%
• John Stephen (R) 42%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Lynch 57% {55%} [55%] (53%) {60%} [59%] / 39% {38%} [42%] (43%) {35%} [37%] {+18%}
• John Stephen 47% {47%} [39%] (36%) {36%} [32%] / 44% {38%] [32%] (25%) {27%} [30%] {+3%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 10, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 34% {30%} Republican; 31% {34%} Democrat; 35% {36%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 8, 2010 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers:

Lynch is backed by 89% of New Hampshire Democrats, while Stephen draws support from 75% of Republicans. Lynch leads 53% to 40% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen New Hampshire Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen New Hampshire Senatorial Survey

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 49% {48%} [51%] (49%) {50%} [50%] (47%) {46%} [49%] (46%)
• Paul Hodes (D) 43% {41%} [38%] (37%) {38%} [35%] (37%) {39%} [40%] (38%)

With Leaners

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 51% {51%}
• Paul Hodes (D) 44% {44%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 55% {55%}
• Paul Hodes (D) 45% {45%}

Among Men

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 55% {56%}
• Paul Hodes (D) 38% {39%}

Among Women

• Paul Hodes (D) 50% {48%}
• Kelly Ayotte (R) 47% {48%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Kelly Ayotte 58% {56%} [55%] (56%) {63%} [61%] (60%) [57%} [60%] (58%) / 37% {39%} [33%] (32%) {27%} [19%] (22%) {21%} [21%] (21%) {+21%}
• Paul Hodes 47% {44%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {49%} [49%] (46%) / 47% {48%} [44%] (48%) {47%} [46%] (42%) {42%} [43%] (38%) {0%}

How would you rate the job John Lynch has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 34% {28%} [24%] (24%) {22%} [22%] (25%) {24%} [23%] (22%)
• Somewhat approve 23% {29%} [31%] (33%) {34%} [37%] (38%) {36%} [35%] (42%)
• Somewhat disapprove 22% {21%} [26%] (26%) {24%} [25%] (21%) {25%} [19%] (21%)
• Strongly disapprove 19% {18%} [18%] (17%) {19%} [14%] (15%) {14%} [19%] (13%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 36% {28%} [36%] (27%) {32%} [27%] (29%) {31%} [31%] (38%)
• Somewhat approve 14% {19%} [13%] (15%) {18%} [22%] (19%) {18%} [21%] (12%)
• Somewhat disapprove 7% {8%} [8%] (11%) {9%} [7%] (11%) {10%} [9%] (9%)
• Strongly disapprove 42% {43%} [42%] (46%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {41%} [38%] (41%)

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 10, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 34% {30%} Republican; 31% {34%} Democrat; 35% {36%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 8, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Eighty-five percent (85%) of New Hampshire Republicans support Ayotte, while 82% of the state’s Democrats back Hodes. The Republican has a six-point lead among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Poll Watch: ARG New Hampshire Political Survey

ARG New Hampshire Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 47% {46%}
• Paul Hodes (D) 42% {32%}
• Chris Booth (I) 3% {1%}
• Ken Blevens (L) 1% {1%}
• Undecided 7% {20%}

Gubernatorial Election

• John Lynch (D) 51% {42%}
• John Stephen (R) 41% {40%}
• John Babiarz (L) 1% {4%}
• Undecided 6% {14%}

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 3-5, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party registration breakdown: 40% Independent; 31% Democrat; 29% Republican.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-26, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire Gubernatorial Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire Gubernatorial Survey

• John Lynch (D) 51% {54%} [49%]
• John Stephen (R) 34% {29%} [32%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Lynch 61% {61%} [58%] / 24% {22%} [26%] {+37%}
• John Stephen 24% {18%} [16%] / 21% {16%} [18%] {+3%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Governor Lynch is handling his job as governor?

• Approve 58% {59%} [56%]
• Disapprove 28% {27%} [29%]

Survey of 472 likely voters was conducted September 23-29, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party registration breakdown: 46% Independent; 30% Republican; 24% Democrat; Party ID breakdown: 42% Republican; 39% Democrat; 19% Independent. Political ideology: 47% Moderate; 34% Conservative; 19% Liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 19-27, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 18-28, 2010 are in square brackets.