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PPP (D) Massachusetts 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
The candidates for Governor are Democrat
Martha Coakley, Republican Charlie Baker,
United Independent Evan Falchuk,
independent Scott Lively, and independent Jeff
McCormick. If the election was today, who
would you vote for?
- Charlie Baker (R) 46%
- Martha Coakley (D) 42%
- Evan Falchuk (UI) 3%
- Scott Lively (I) 3%
- Jeff McCormick (I) 1%
- Undecided 6%
Horse race, with third-party
supporters and undecideds asked if they lean
Coakley or Baker:
- Charlie Baker (R) 48%
- Martha Coakley (D) 47%
- Not sure 5%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Charlie Baker 52% / 33% {+19%}
- Martha Coakley 44% / 44% {0%}
Survey of 887 likely voters was conducted October 30 - November 1,
2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 41% Democrat; 17% Republican; 42% Independent/Other. Ideology: 31% Moderate; 23% Somewhat conservative; 21% Somewhat liberal; 18% Very liberal; 7% Very conservative.
Boston Herald/Suffolk University Massachusetts 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
- Charlie Baker (R) 46.0% {43.2%} [28.50%] (30.83%)
- Martha Coakley (D) 42.6% {43.8%} [36.13%] (44.17%)
- Evan Falchuk (UI) 2.6% {2.0%} [0.75%] (0.83%)
- Jeffrey McCormick (I) 1.8% {1.6%} [1.63%] (2.17%)
- Scott Douglas Lively (I) 0.6% {0.4%} [1.25%] (1.33%)
- Undecided 5.8% {8.4%} [26.63%] (19.33%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Charlie Baker 49.0% {44.6%} [32.88%] (35.33%) / 26.2% {27.0%} [20.25%] (14.00%) {+22.8%}
- Martha Coakley 46.2% {46.4%} [53.38%] (53.67%) / 44.2% {41.8%} [26.75%] (28.67%) {+2.0%}
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 27-29,
2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 25-28, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29 - February 3, 2014 are in parentheses.
PPP (D) Massachusetts ObamaCare/RomneyCare Survey
Do you support or oppose the health care plan Barack Obama signed into law last year?
Among Democrats
Among Republicans
Among Independents
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhat conservative
Very conservative
Do you support or oppose the health care plan Mitt Romney signed into law as Governor of Massachusetts?
Among Democrats
Among Republicans
Among Independents
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhat conservative
Very conservative
Do you think Mitt Romney should apologize for the health care bill he supported while Governor or not?
- He should apologize 20%
- He should not 66%
Among Democrats
- He should apologize 17%
- He should not 70%
Among Republicans
- He should apologize 32%
- He should not 50%
Among Independents
- He should apologize 19%
- He should not 68%
Very liberal
- He should apologize 17%
- He should not 80%
Somewhat liberal
- He should apologize 16%
- He should not 72%
Moderate
- He should apologize 16%
- He should not 63%
Somewhat conservative
- He should apologize 24%
- He should not 62%
Very conservative
- He should apologize 48%
- He should not 41%
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Deval Patrick’s job performance?
- Approve 54%
- Disapprove 36%
If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again would you vote for Democrat Deval Patrick, Republican Charlie Baker, or independent Tim Cahill?
- Deval Patrick 54%
- Charlie Baker 32%
- Tim Cahill 9%
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator John Kerry’s job performance?
- Approve 55%
- Disapprove 36%
Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?
Survey of 957 Massachusetts voters was conducted June 2-5, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 46% Democrat; 15% Republican; 40% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% Moderate; 24% Somewhat liberal; 19% Somewhat conservative; 16% Very liberal; 8% Very conservative.
Western New England College Massachusetts Gubernatorial Survey
- Deval Patrick (D) 42% {44%} [39%]
- Charlie Baker (R) 37% {36%} [33%]
- Tim Cahill (I) 11% {8%} [16%]
- Jill Stein (G) 3% {5%} [3%]
- Undecided 4% {5%} [7%]
Among Voters 'Very Sure' of Their Vote
- Deval Patrick (D) 35.28% {32.56%}
- Charlie Baker (R) 29.60% {29.16%}
- Tim Cahill (I) 4.29% {2.48%}
Survey of 361 likely voters was conducted October 24-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 16-21, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2010 are in square brackets.
Rasmussen Massachusetts Gubernatorial Survey
- Deval Patrick (D) 43% [44%] {43%} (42%) [39%] {38%} (41%) [45%] {35%} (35%) [33%]
- Charlie Baker (R) 42% [37%] {39%} (38%) [34%] {32%} (34%) [31%] {27%} (32%) [28%]
- Tim Cahill (I) 11% [14%] {11%} (11%) [18%] {17%} (16%) [14%] {23%} (19%) [25%]
With Leaners
- Deval Patrick (D) 46% [47%] {47%} (45%) [44%]
- Charlie Baker (R) 44% [42%] {42%} (42%) [42%]
- Tim Cahill (I) 6% [6%] {6%} (5%) [8%]
Among Voters Certain of Their Vote
- Charlie Baker (R) 47% [44%] {42%} (44%) [39%]
- Deval Patrick (D) 46% [49%] {52%} (51%) [50%]
- Tim Cahilll (I) 7% [7%] {6%} (5%) [10%]
Certain to Vote
- Charlie Baker (R) 45% [44%]
- Deval Patrick (D) 45% [46%]
- Tim Cahill (I) 6% [5%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Charlie Baker 53% [47%] {52%} (50%) [48%] {36%} (46%) [41%] {43%} (46%) [42%] / 44% [50%] {40%} (34%) [36%] {46%} (35%) [34%] {32%} (26%) [29%] {+9%}
- Deval Patrick 49% [53%] {55%} (52%) [48%] {51%} (52%) [53%] {49%} (43%) [42%] / 49% [45%] {43%} (46%) [50%] {48%} (47%) [47%] {48%} (55%) [56%] {0%}
- Tim Cahill 33% [32%] {37%} (40%) [40%] {44%} / 63% [61%] {54%} (45%) [44%] {38%} {-30%}
How would you rate the job Deval Patrick has been doing as Governor?
- Strongly approve 24% [23%] {23%} (19%) [21%] {18%} (14%) [12%] {12%} (14%) [11%]
- Somewhat approve 23% [28%] {25%} (30%) [25%] {32%} (34%) [36%] {34%} (25%) [23%]
- Somewhat disapprove 15% [13%] {17%} (18%) [19%] {13%} (20%) [19%] {20%} (24%) [27%]
- Strongly disapprove 37% [35%] {34%} (32%) [33%] {36%} (30%) [31%] {33%} (37%) [37%]
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
- Strongly approve 28% [32%] {34%} (34%) [33%] {37%} (33%) [42%] {37%} (34%) [31%]
- Somewhat approve 22% [21%] {20%} (20%) [23%] {19%} (23%) [21%] {19%} (20%) [24%]
- Somewhat disapprove 7% [9%] {11%} (10%) [9%] {10%} (11%) [11%] {11%} (11%) [9%]
- Strongly disapprove 41% [36%] {34%} (35%) [34%] {35%} (32%) [26%] {33%} (35%) [35%]
Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 27, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 41% [40%] {42%} (41%) Democrat; 21% [19%] {21%} (18%) Republican; 37% [41%] {37%} (41%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 16, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 1, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 10, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 5, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 8, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 23, 2009 are in square brackets.
Inside the numbers:
Baker has the backing of 82% of the state’s Republicans, while 75% of Democrats support Patrick. Baker leads Patrick among voters not affiliated with either party by 21 points. Cahill earns single-digit support from all three groups.
Suffolk University Massachusetts Gubernatorial Survey
- Deval Patrick (D) 46% {46%} (41%) [42%]
- Charlie Baker (R) 39% {39%} (34%) [29%]
- Tim Cahill (I) 9% {10%} (14%) [14%]
- Jill Stein (G) 2%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Scott Brown 54% {54%} / 28% {29%} {+26%}
- Barack Obama 51% {51%} / 38% {44%} {+13%}
- John Kerry 45% {49%} / 42% {36%} {+3%}
- Deval Patrick 47% {46%} / 44% {43%} {+3%}
- Charlie Baker 36% {33%} / 36% {35%} {0%}
- Jill Stein 17% / 25% {-8%}
- Tim Cahill 28% {24%} / 39% {45%} {-11%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Deval Patrick is doing as Governor?
- Approve 44% {45%}
- Disapprove 44% {44%}
Survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted October 25-27, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party registration breakdown: 37% {37%} Democrat; 12% {12%} Republican; 50% {50%} Independent. Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 16-19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 20-23, 2010 are in square brackets. Click here to view crosstabs.
UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts Gubernatorial Survey
- Deval Patrick (D) 43% [35%] (38%)
- Charlie Baker (R) 39% [34%] (31%)
- Tim Cahill (I) 8% [11%] (9%)
- Jill Stein (G) 2% [4%] (2%)
- Other 1% [2%] (2%)
- Don't know 8% [14%] (17%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Deval Patrick 49% [44%] (44%) / 43% [43%] (47%) {+6%}
- Charlie Baker 38% [33%] (21%) / 40% [25%] (20%) {-2%}
- Jill Stein 16% [14%] / 24% [18%] {-8%}
- Tim Cahill 24% [27%] (22%) / 46% [33%] (32%) {-22%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Deval Patrick is handling his job as governor?
- Approve 44% [41%] (41%)
- Disapprove 49% [49%] (51%)
Survey of 519 likely voters was conducted October 17-22, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 17-22, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 17-23, 2010 are in parentheses.
Western New England College Massachusetts Gubernatorial Survey
- Deval Patrick (D) 44% [39%]
- Charlie Baker (R) 36% [33%]
- Tim Cahill (I) 8% [16%]
- Jill Stein (G) 5% [3%]
- Undecided 5% [7%]
Among Voters 'Very Sure' of Their Vote
- Deval Patrick (D) 32.56%
- Charlie Baker (R) 29.16%
- Tim Cahill (I) 2.48%
Survey of 400 likely voters was conducted October 16-21, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2010 are in square brackets.
Rasmussen Massachusetts Gubernatorial Survey
- Deval Patrick (D) 44% {43%} (42%) [39%] {38%} (41%) [45%] {35%} (35%) [33%]
- Charlie Baker (R) 37% {39%} (38%) [34%] {32%} (34%) [31%] {27%} (32%) [28%]
- Tim Cahill (I) 14% {11%} (11%) [18%] {17%} (16%) [14%] {23%} (19%) [25%]
With Leaners
- Deval Patrick (D) 47% {47%} (45%) [44%]
- Charlie Baker (R) 42% {42%} (42%) [42%]
- Tim Cahill (I) 6% {6%} (5%) [8%]
Among Voters Certain of Their Vote
- Deval Patrick (D) 49% {52%} (51%) [50%]
- Charlie Baker (R) 44% {42%} (44%) [39%]
- Tim Cahilll (I) 7% {6%} (5%) [10%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Deval Patrick 53% {55%} (52%) [48%] {51%} (52%) [53%] {49%} (43%) [42%] / 45% {43%} (46%) [50%] {48%} (47%) [47%] {48%} (55%) [56%] {+8%}
- Charlie Baker 47% {52%} (50%) [48%] {36%} (46%) [41%] {43%} (46%) [42%] / 50% {40%} (34%) [36%] {46%} (35%) [34%] {32%} (26%) [29%] {-3%}
- Tim Cahill 32% {37%} (40%) [40%] {44%} / 61% {54%} (45%) [44%] {38%} {-29%}
How would you rate the job Deval Patrick has been doing as Governor?
- Strongly approve 23% {23%} (19%) [21%] {18%} (14%) [12%] {12%} (14%) [11%]
- Somewhat approve 28% {25%} (30%) [25%] {32%} (34%) [36%] {34%} (25%) [23%]
- Somewhat disapprove 13% {17%} (18%) [19%] {13%} (20%) [19%] {20%} (24%) [27%]
- Strongly disapprove 35% {34%} (32%) [33%] {36%} (30%) [31%] {33%} (37%) [37%]
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
- Strongly approve 32% {34%} (34%) [33%] {37%} (33%) [42%] {37%} (34%) [31%]
- Somewhat approve 21% {20%} (20%) [23%] {19%} (23%) [21%] {19%} (20%) [24%]
- Somewhat disapprove 9% {11%} (10%) [9%] {10%} (11%) [11%] {11%} (11%) [9%]
- Strongly disapprove 36% {34%} (35%) [34%] {35%} (32%) [26%] {33%} (35%) [35%]
Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 16, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 40% {42%} (41%) Democrat; 19% {21%} (18%) Republican; 41% {37%} (41%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 1, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 10, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 5, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 8, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 23, 2009 are in square brackets.
Inside the numbers:
Baker has the backing of 78% of the state’s Republicans, while 80% of Democrats support Patrick. Baker leads Patrick among voters not affiliated with either party by 21 points. Cahill earns single-digit support from all three groups.
Suffolk University Massachusetts Gubernatorial Survey
- Deval Patrick (D) 46% (41%) [42%]
- Charlie Baker (R) 39% (34%) [29%]
- Tim Cahill (I) 10% (14%) [14%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Scott Brown 54% / 29% {+25%}
- John Kerry 49% / 36% {+13%}
- Bararck Obama 51% / 44% {+7%}
- Deval Patrick 46% / 43% {+3%}
- Charlie Baker 33% / 35% {-2%}
- Tim Cahill 24% / 45% {-21%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Deval Patrick is doing as Governor?
- Approve 45%
- Disapprove 44%
Survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted October 10-12, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party registration breakdown: 37% Democrat; 12% Republican; 50% Independent. Results from the poll conducted September 16-19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 20-23, 2010 are in square brackets.
Rasmussen Massachusetts Gubernatorial Survey
- Deval Patrick (D) 43% (42%) [39%] {38%} (41%) [45%] {35%} (35%) [33%]
- Charlie Baker (R) 39% (38%) [34%] {32%} (34%) [31%] {27%} (32%) [28%]
- Tim Cahill (I) 11% (11%) [18%] {17%} (16%) [14%] {23%} (19%) [25%]
With Leaners
- Deval Patrick (D) 47% (45%) [44%]
- Charlie Baker (R) 42% (42%) [42%]
- Tim Cahill (I) 6% (5%) [8%]
Among Voters Certain of Their Vote
- Deval Patrick (D) 52% (51%) [50%]
- Charlie Baker (R) 42% (44%) [39%]
- Tim Cahilll (I) 6% (5%) [10%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Deval Patrick 55% (52%) [48%] {51%} (52%) [53%] {49%} (43%) [42%] / 43% (46%) [50%] {48%} (47%) [47%] {48%} (55%) [56%] {+12%}
- Charlie Baker 52% (50%) [48%] {36%} (46%) [41%] {43%} (46%) [42%] / 40% (34%) [36%] {46%} (35%) [34%] {32%} (26%) [29%] {+12%}
- Tim Cahill 37% (40%) [40%] {44%} / 54% (45%) [44%] {38%} {-17%}
How would you rate the job Deval Patrick has been doing as Governor?
- Strongly approve 23% (19%) [21%] {18%} (14%) [12%] {12%} (14%) [11%]
- Somewhat approve 25% (30%) [25%] {32%} (34%) [36%] {34%} (25%) [23%]
- Somewhat disapprove 17% (18%) [19%] {13%} (20%) [19%] {20%} (24%) [27%]
- Strongly disapprove 34% (32%) [33%] {36%} (30%) [31%] {33%} (37%) [37%]
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
- Strongly approve 34% (34%) [33%] {37%} (33%) [42%] {37%} (34%) [31%]
- Somewhat approve 20% (20%) [23%] {19%} (23%) [21%] {19%} (20%) [24%]
- Somewhat disapprove 11% (10%) [9%] {10%} (11%) [11%] {11%} (11%) [9%]
- Strongly disapprove 34% (35%) [34%] {35%} (32%) [26%] {33%} (35%) [35%]
Survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted September 28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 42% (41%) Democrat; 21% (18%) Republican; 37% (41%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 1, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 10, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 5, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 8, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 23, 2009 are in square brackets.
UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts Gubernatorial Survey
- Deval Patrick (D) 35% (38%)
- Charlie Baker (R) 34% (31%)
- Tim Cahill (I) 11% (9%)
- Jill Stein (G) 4% (2%)
- Other 2% (2%)
- Don't know 14% (17%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Charlie Baker 33% (21%) / 25% (20%) {+8%}
- Deval Patrick 44% (44%) / 43% (47%) {+1%}
- Jill Stein 14% / 18% {-4%}
- Tim Cahill 27% (22%) / 33% (32%) {-6%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Deval Patrick is handling his job as governor?
- Approve 41% (41%)
- Disapprove 49% (51%)
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
- Approve 55% (51%)
- Disapprove 41% (47%)
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of President Barack Obama?
- Favorable 57% (53%)
- Unfavorable 37% (43%)
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Senator John Kerry?
- Favorable 49% (52%)
- Unfavorable 37% (39%)
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Senator Scott Brown?
- Favorable 61% (57%)
- Unfavorable 20% (19%)
Overall, would you say you support or oppose the political movement known as the Tea Party?
- Support Tea Party 17% (22%)
- Lean Support 8% (7%)
- Neither 27% (26%)
- Lean Oppose 3% (3%)
- Oppose Tea Party 41% (36%)
Survey of 471 likely voters was conducted September 17-22, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 17-23, 2010 are in parentheses.
