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Columbus Dispatch Ohio 2012 Presidential Poll
- Barack Obama-Joe Biden 50% [51%] (45%)
- Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48% [42%] (45%)
Mail poll of 1,501 likely voters was conducted October 24 - November 3, 2012. The
margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points. Party ID: 40% [43%] Democrat; 36%
[35%] Republican; 21% [20%] Independent. Results from the poll
conducted September 19-29, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll
conducted August 15-25, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Obama leads by 15 points among the 40 percent-plus of voters who say they have or will cast an early ballot. Romney leads by 11 points with those who plan to vote on Election Day. Through Friday, more than 1.6 million Ohioans had cast an early ballot.
More than a quarter of Ohio voters view their presidential vote this year as “the lesser of two evils.” About 21 percent of Obama supporters agreed with that sentiment, as do 30 percent of those voting for Romney.
One key to Obama’s lead: He is winning by more than 2-to-1 among the 11 percent of Ohio voters who say they didn’t cast a ballot in the 2010 governor’s race, which Republican John Kasich won by 2 points.
Obama’s lead is built on a 10-point advantage in heavily Democratic northeastern Ohio and a 5-point margin in central Ohio, regarded as a swing area this year. Romney rolls to a 23-point bulge in heavily Republican southwestern Ohio, a 17-point lead in western Ohio and a 4-point edge in northwestern Ohio, which in past elections has proved a reliable barometer for the whole state.
The latest poll shows that those debates helped Romney more than Obama. While 52 percent said they had little or no impact on their vote, 27 percent said the face-offs moved them toward Romney, 20 percent said toward Obama.
Columbus Dispatch Ohio 2012 Senate Poll
- Sherrod Brown (D) 51% [49%] (44%)
- Josh Mandel (R) 45% [39%] (44%)
Mail poll of 1,501 likely voters was conducted October 24 - November 3, 2012. The
margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points. Party ID: 40% [43%] Democrat; 36%
[35%] Republican; 21% [20%] Independent. Results from the poll
conducted September 19-29, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll
conducted August 15-25, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Brown is winning by 14 points among women, while Mandel is taking men by 2 points.
Columbus Dispatch Ohio 2012 Senate Poll
- Sherrod Brown (D) 49% (44%)
- Josh Mandel (R) 39% (44%)
- Scott Rupert (I) 3%
- Undecided 9% (12%)
Among Independents
- Sherrod Brown (D) 41%
- Josh Mandel (R) 36%
- Scott Rupert (I) 7%
- Undecided 16%
Among Men
- Sherrod Brown (D) 48%
- Josh Mandel (R) 43%
- Scott Rupert (I) 3%
- Undecided 7%
Among Women
- Sherrod Brown (D) 51%
- Josh Mandel (R) 34%
- Scott Rupert (I) 4%
- Undecided 11%
Mail poll of 1,662 likely voters was conducted September 19-29, 2012. The
margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points. Party ID: 43% Democrat;
35% Republican; 20% Independent; 2% Libertarian; Results from the poll
conducted August 15-25, 2012 are in parentheses.
Columbus Dispatch Ohio 2012 Presidential Poll
- Barack Obama-Joe Biden 51% (45%)
- Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 42% (45%)
- Other 3%
- Undecided 5% (10%)
Among Independents
- Barack Obama-Joe Biden 45%
- Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 42%
- Other 5%
- Undecided 9%
Among Men
- Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48%
- Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 46%
- Other 3%
- Undecided 4%
Among Women
- Barack Obama-Joe Biden 54%
- Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 37%
- Other 2%
- Undecided 6%
Mail poll of 1,662 likely voters was conducted September 19-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points. Party ID: 43% Democrat; 35% Republican; 20% Independent; 2% Libertarian; Results from the poll conducted August 15-25, 2012 are in parentheses.
Columbus Dispatch Ohio 2012 Senate Poll
- Sherrod Brown (D) 44%
- Josh Mandel (R) 44%
- Undecided 12%
Mail poll of 1,758 likely voters was conducted August 15-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.1 percentage points.
Inside the numbers:
Sen. Sherrod Brown leads Josh Mandel by 0.87 percent.
Inside the numbers:
For the record, Republican Mitt Romney holds a “lead” of 0.22 percentage point over President Barack Obama. That’s a mere 2 votes out of more than 1,730 cast for president in the mail poll.
Only 27 percent say Romney’s much-touted experience with Bain Capital is a good thing in preparing him to be president; 53 percent of his supporters agree, but 45 percent say it doesn’t make any difference.
