Poll Watch: Emerson College South Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Emerson College South Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Joe Biden 37.0%
• Bernie Sanders 21.1% 
• Kamala Harris 9.0%
• Cory Booker 5.9%
• Elizabeth Warren 5.2%
• Beto O'Rourke 5.0%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 3.3%
• Michael Bloomberg 1.9%
• Tulsi Gabbard 1.5%
• Amy Klobuchar 0.9%
• Sherrod Brown 0.9%
• Pete Buttigieg 0.4%
• Julián Castro 0.2%
• John Delaney 0.0%
• Someone else 7.7%

Among Men

• Joe Biden 34.0%
• Bernie Sanders 20.6%
• Cory Booker 7.7%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 7.3%
• Elizabeth Warren 6.4%
• Kamala Harris 5.7%
• Beto O'Rourke 4.7%
• Tulsi Gabbard 4.0%
• Michael Bloomberg 2.2%
• Pete Buttigieg 0.5%
• Sherrod Brown 0.5%
• Julián Castro 0.0%
• John Delaney 0.0%
• Amy Klobuchar 0.0%
• Someone else 6.6%

Among Women

• Joe Biden 38.8%
• Bernie Sanders 21.4%
• Kamala Harris 11.0% 
• Beto O'Rourke 5.2%
• Cory Booker 4.9%
• Elizabeth Warren 4.5%
• Michael Bloomberg 1.8%
• Amy Klobuchar 1.5%
• Sherrod Brown 1.2%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 0.9%
• Julián Castro 0.4%
• Pete Buttigieg 0.3%
• John Delaney 0.0%
• Tulsi Gabbard 0.0%
• Someone else 8.3% 

Survey of 291 registered Democratic primary voters was conducted February 28 - March 2, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 5.7 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Emerson College New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Emerson College New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Bernie Sanders 26.8% 
• Joe Biden 25.0%
• Kamala Harris 11.5%
• Elizabeth Warren 8.7%
• Amy Klobuchar 7.6%
• Beto O'Rourke 5.1%
• Cory Booker 4.9%
• Michael Bloomberg 1.9%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 1.4%
• John Delaney 0.9%
• Pete Buttigieg 0.7%
• Sherrod Brown 0.5%
• Tulsi Gabbard 0.3%
• Julián Castro 0.1%
• Someone else 4.6%

Among Men

• Joe Biden 27.5%
• Bernie Sanders 26.2%
• Amy Klobuchar 9.6%
• Kamala Harris 8.8%
• Elizabeth Warren 6.4%
• Beto O'Rourke 5.0%
• Cory Booker 3.8%
• Michael Bloomberg 3.5%
• John Delaney 1.0%
• Pete Buttigieg 0.9%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 0.6%
• Sherrod Brown 0.6%
• Tulsi Gabbard 0.6%
• Julián Castro 0.0%
• Someone else 5.4%

Among Women

• Bernie Sanders 27.4%
• Joe Biden 22.8%
  
• Kamala Harris 13.8%
• Elizabeth Warren 10.8%
• Cory Booker 5.9%
• Amy Klobuchar 5.8%
• Beto O'Rourke 5.3%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 2.2%
• John Delaney 0.7%
• Michael Bloomberg 0.5%
• Pete Buttigieg 0.5%
• Sherrod Brown 0.3%
• Julián Castro 0.3%
• Tulsi Gabbard 0.0%
• Someone else 3.8% 

Survey of 405 registered Democratic primary voters was conducted February 21-22, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

Monmouth University 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Joe Biden 29%
  
• Bernie Sanders 16% 
• Kamala Harris 11%
• Elizabeth Warren 8%
• Beto O'Rourke 7%
• Cory Booker 4%
• Michael Bloomberg 4%
• Amy Klobuchar 2%
• Sherrod Brown 1%
• Julián Castro 1%
• Tulsi Gabbard 1%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
• John Hickenlooper 1%
• Eric Holder 1%
• Andrew Yang 1%
• John Delaney 0%
• Jay Inslee 0%
• Terry McAuliffe 0%
• Pete Buttigieg 0%
• Other (vol.) 1%
• No one, do not want a Dem (vol.) 3%
• Undecided (vol.) 9%

Among Men

• Joe Biden 35%
  
• Bernie Sanders 17%
• Cory Booker 7%
• Elizabeth Warren 7%
• Kamala Harris 5%
• Beto O'Rourke 5%
• Michael Bloomberg 4%
• Tulsi Gabbard 3%
• Sherrod Brown 2%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
• John Hickenlooper 1%
• Jay Inslee 1%
• Amy Klobuchar 1%
• Julián Castro 0%
• John Delaney 0%
• Eric Holder 0%
• Terry McAuliffe 0%
• Andrew Yang 0%
• Pete Buttigieg 0%
• Other (vol.) 0%
• No one, do not want a Dem (vol.) 4%
• Undecided (vol.) 6%

Among Women

• Joe Biden 26%
  
• Bernie Sanders 16% 
• Kamala Harris 14%
• Beto O'Rourke 8%
• Elizabeth Warren 8%
• Michael Bloomberg 4%
• Cory Booker 2%
• Amy Klobuchar 2%
• Sherrod Brown 1%
• Julián Castro 1%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
• John Hickenlooper 1%
• Eric Holder 1%
• Andrew Yang 1%
• John Delaney 0%
• Tulsi Gabbard 0%
• Jay Inslee 0%
• Terry McAuliffe 0%
• Pete Buttigieg 0%
• Other (vol.) 2%
• No one, do not want a Dem (vol.) 2%
• Undecided (vol.) 10%

Favorable/Unfavorable (Net)

• Joe Biden 80% / 9% (+71)
  
• Bernie Sanders 68% / 19% (+49)
• Elizabeth Warren 57% / 17% (+40)
• Kamala Harris 46% / 13% (+33)
• Cory Booker 44% / 11% (+33)
• Beto O'Rourke 41% / 9% (+32)
• Eric Holder 35% / 14% (+21)
• Kirsten Gillibrand 28% / 12% (+16)
• Julián Castro 24% / 9% (+15)
• Amy Klobuchar 23% / 8% (+15)
• Tulsi Gabbard 21% / 9% (+12)
• Sherrod Brown 19% / 8% (+11)
• Michael Bloomberg 35% / 25% (+10)
• John Delaney 16% / 7% (+9)
• Terry McAuliffe 17% / 10% (+7)
• John Hickenlooper 13% / 10% (+3)
• Jay Inslee 11% / 8% (+3)
• Pete Buttigieg 8% / 6% (+2)
• Andrew Yang 10% / 10% (0)

Survey of 313 registered Democrats and leaning Democratic voters was conducted January 25-27, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Emerson College Iowa 2020 Presidential Survey

Emerson College Iowa 2020 Presidential Poll

• Joe Biden (D) 50.6%
• Donald Trump (R) 49.4% 

• Donald Trump (R) 50.5%
• Bernie Sanders (D) 49.5%

• Donald Trump (R) 51.9%
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 48.1%

• Donald Trump (R) 53.0%
• Beto O'Rourke (D) 47.0%

• Donald Trump (R) 53.2%
• Kamala Harris (D) 46.8%

• Donald Trump (R) 54.0%
• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 46.0%

• Donald Trump (R) 54.5%
• Sherrod Brown (D) 45.5%

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 57.6%
• Joe Biden (D) 42.4%

• Donald Trump (R) 59.7%
• Bernie Sanders (D) 40.3%

• Donald Trump (R) 60.6%
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 39.4%

• Donald Trump (R) 60.5%
• Beto O'Rourke (D) 39.5%

• Donald Trump (R) 61.7%
• Kamala Harris (D) 38.3%

• Donald Trump (R) 62.9%
• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 37.1%

• Donald Trump (R) 62.5%
• Sherrod Brown (D) 37.5%

Among Women

• Joe Biden (D) 58.2%
• Donald Trump (R) 41.8% 

• Bernie Sanders (D) 58.1%
• Donald Trump (R) 41.9%

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 56.3%
• Donald Trump (R) 43.7%

• Beto O'Rourke (D) 54.0%
• Donald Trump (R) 46.0%

• Kamala Harris (D) 54.7%
• Donald Trump (R) 45.3%

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 54.3%
• Donald Trump (R) 45.7%

• Sherrod Brown (D) 52.9%
• Donald Trump (R) 47.1%

Including Third-Party Candidate

• Donald Trump (R) 48.5%
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 40.1%
• Howard Schultz (I) 11.4%

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 56.2%
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 32.2%
• Howard Schultz (I) 11.5%

Among Women

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 47.4%
• Donald Trump (R) 41.3%
• Howard Schultz (I) 11.3%

President Trump Job Approval

• Approve 45.6%
• Disapprove 48.0% 

Among Men

• Approve 54.8%
• Disapprove 40.3%

Among Women

• Approve 37.0%
• Disapprove 55.1%

Survey of 831 registered Iowa voters was conducted January 30 - February 2, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Emerson College Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

Emerson College Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll

• Joe Biden 29.2%
  
• Kamala Harris 17.5%
• Bernie Sanders 14.8% 
• Elizabeth Warren 10.6%
• Beto O'Rourke 6.1%
• Sherrod Brown 4.2%
• Cory Booker 3.6%
• Amy Klobuchar 3.0%
• Julián Castro 1.5%
• John Delaney 0.9%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 0.8%
• Tulsi Gabbard 0.0%
• Pete Buttigieg 0.0%
• Andrew Yang 0.0%
• Someone else 7.7%

Among Men

• Joe Biden 25.0%
  
• Kamala Harris 19.5%
• Bernie Sanders 18.3% 
• Elizabeth Warren 10.2%
• Beto O'Rourke 4.8%
• Sherrod Brown 4.0%
• Amy Klobuchar 3.6%
• Cory Booker 2.1%
• John Delaney 1.7%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 1.0%
• Pete Buttigieg 0.0%
• Julián Castro 0.0%
• Tulsi Gabbard 0.0%
• Andrew Yang 0.0%
• Someone else 9.8%

Among Women

• Joe Biden 32.0%
  
• Kamala Harris 16.2%
• Bernie Sanders 12.6% 
• Elizabeth Warren 10.9%
• Beto O'Rourke 7.0%
• Cory Booker 4.5%
• Sherrod Brown 4.4%
• Julián Castro 2.5%
• Amy Klobuchar 2.5%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 0.7%
• John Delaney 0.3%
• Tulsi Gabbard 0.0%
• Pete Buttigieg 0.0%
• Andrew Yang 0.0%
• Someone else 6.3% 

Survey of 260 likely Democratic caucus-goers was conducted January 30 - February 2, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points.

Poll Watch: David Binder Research Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

David Binder Research Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll

• Joe Biden 30% (37%)
• Bernie Sanders 13% (12%)
• Beto O'Rourke 11%
• Amy Klobuchar 10% 
• Elizabeth Warren 9% (16%)
• Kamala Harris 7% (10%)
• Cory Booker 6% (8%)
• Sherrod Brown 3%
• Michael Bloomberg 2%
• John Kerry 2%
• John Delaney 1% (1%)
• Eric Garcetti 0% (0%)
• Undecided 6% (9%)

Survey of 500 registered voters in Iowa who stated they were likely to participate in the Democratic presidential caucuses of 2020 was conducted December 10-11, 2018. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2018 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: University of Cincinnati Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

University of Cincinnati Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Sherrod Brown (D) 50.6% (49%) {51%} [52%] (48%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 46.8% (44%) {47%} [45%] (47%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 2.6% (4%)

Survey of 901 probable voters was conducted October 31 - November 4, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 25-30, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 18-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Sherrod Brown (D) 54% {53%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [48%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (47%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [48%]
• Josh Mandel (R) 44% {42%} [44%] (42%) {41%} [40%] (37%) {39%} [37%] (36%) {34%} [40%] (33%) {31%} [32%]

Among Independents

• Sherrod Brown (D) 52% {48%} [45%]
• Josh Mandel (R) 47% {44%} [43%]

Among Moderates

• Sherrod Brown (D) 67% {62} [59%]
• Josh Mandel (R) 30% {30%} [34%]

Among Men

• Sherrod Brown (D) 52% {50%} [43%]
• Josh Mandel (R) 47% {46%} [51%]

Among Women

• Sherrod Brown (D) 55% {55%} [54%]
• Josh Mandel (R) 40% {38%} [39%]

Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?

• Yes 34% {36%} [21%] (19%)
• No 66% {64%} [79%] (81%)

Already Voted

• Sherrod Brown (D) 61% {63%} [66%] (71%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 37% {34%} [31%] (25%)

Did Not Vote Yet

• Sherrod Brown (D) 50% {47%} [45%] (44%) 
• Josh Mandel (R) 47% {46%} [48%] (46%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Josh Mandel 36% {38%} [38%] (37%) {33%} [33%] (26%) {24%} [25%] (14%) {14%} [12%] (14%) {15%} [13%] / 50% {51%} [50%] (50%) {48%} [44%] (42%) {39%} [30%] (25%) {19%} [21%] (20%) {18%} [12%] {-14%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Sherrod Brown's job performance?

• Approve 48% {47%} [44%] (45%) {42%} [42%] (41%) {38%} [40%] (42%) {42%} [40%] (37%) {39%} [40%] (40%)
• Disapprove 43% {44%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (37%) {42%} [35%] (34%) {33%} [35%] (34%) {28%} [30%] (37%)

Survey of 1,000 likely Ohio voters was conducted November 3-4, 2012. The margin of error is +/-3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 43% {43%} [42%] (40%) {41%} [41%] (40%) {39%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [47%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (44%) Democrat; 35% {35%} [34%] (36%) {36%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [39%] (36%) {35%} [37%] (34%) {35%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 22% {21%} [23%] (24%)  {23%} [22%] (24%) {24%} [20%] (21%) {24%} [16%] (22%) {20%} [21%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political views: 29% {32%} [32%] (29%) {33%} [29%] (30%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {31%} [30%] (31%) {33%} [29%] Moderate; 23% {23%} [25%] (26%) {24%} [25%] (25%) {27%} [22%] (21%) {25%} [19%] (24%) {25%} [28%] Somewhat conservative; 18% {15%} [14%] (16%) {17%} [17%] (18%) {15%} [19%] (21%) {18%} [19%] (17%) {13%} [15%] Very conservative; 17% {19%} [16%] (16%) {16%} [17%] (18%) {17%} [18%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (19%) {16%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 13% {12%} [13%] (13%) {11%} [11%] (10%) {9%} [9%] (10%) {7%} [10%] (8%) {13%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 26-28, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-20, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-13, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 4-6, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 13-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Columbus Dispatch Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

Columbus Dispatch Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Sherrod Brown (D) 51% [49%] (44%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 45% [39%] (44%)

Mail poll of 1,501 likely voters was conducted October 24 - November 3, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points. Party ID: 40% [43%] Democrat; 36% [35%] Republican; 21% [20%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-29, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 15-25, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers: 

Brown is winning by 14 points among women, while Mandel is taking men by 2 points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Josh Mandel (R) 48% {48%} [44%] (44%) {46%} [46%] (41%) {44%} [42%] (42%) {41%} [43%] (40%)
• Sherrod Brown (D) 48% {50%} [48%] (49%) {47%} [46%] (49%) {44%} [46%] (47%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
  
• Some other candidate 2% {1%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (4%)
• Undecided 2% {1%} [5%] (5%) {4%} [6%] (7%) {9%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [11%] (12%)

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Sherrod Brown

• Very favorable 30% {25%} [29%] (30%) {27%} [25%] (26%)
• Somewhat favorable 17% {20%} [18%] (19%) {17%} [20%] (21%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 13% {14%} [12%] (17%) {16%} [17%] (15%)
• Very unfavorable 35% {35%} [31%] (27%) {30%} [31%] (26%)

Josh Mandel

• Very favorable 22% {21%} [22%] (17%) {21%} [23%] (17%)
• Somewhat favorable 24% {28%} [23%] (26%) {25%} [25%] (25%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 12% [17%} [12%] (14%) {13%} [17%] (13%)
• Very unfavorable 37% {31%} [34%] (35%) {33%} [28%] (31%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Sherrod Brown 47% {45%} [47%] (49%) {44%} [45%] (47%) / 48% {49%} [43%] (44%) {46%} [48%] (41%) {-1%} 
• Josh Mandel 46% {49%} [45%] (43%) {46%} [48%] (42%) / 49% {48%} [46%] (49%) {46%} [45%] (44%) {-3%} 

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted November 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 28, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 10, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Forty percent (40%) of Ohio voters have already voted, and Brown leads 58% to 38% among this group.

Among the 96% of the state’s likely voters who say they are certain to vote in this election, Mandel leads by one – 48% to 47%.

Mandel leads by five among male voters but trails by five among female voters. Brown is ahead by six points among voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Sherrod Brown (D) 50% [52%] (50%) {49%}
• Josh Mandel (R) 45% [41%] (41%) {42%} 
• Other 1% [1%] (1%) {0%}
• Undecided 4% [6%] (7%) {9%}

Survey of 971 likely voters was conducted October 31 - November 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% [40%] (36%) {38%} Democrat; 29% [29%] (31%) {28%} Republican; 32% [29%] (32%) {32%} Independent.  Ideology: 34% [34%] (31%) {30%} Conservative; 32% [32%] (32%) {32%} Moderate; 18% [17%] (18%) {17%} Liberal; 11% [12%] (13%) {14%} Very conservative; 5% [5%] (6%) {7%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 1, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2012 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS News Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac/NY Times/CBS News Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Sherrod Brown (D) 51% (51%) {50%} [48%] (51%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 42% (42%) {40%} [41%] (39%)

Among Independents

• Sherrod Brown (D) 46% (45%) {48%} [42%] (49%) 
• Josh Mandel (R) 44% (46%) {39%} [43%] (38%)

Among Men

• Josh Mandel (R) 51% (48%) {47%} [45%] (46%)
• Sherrod Brown (D) 44% (46%) {43%} [48%] (47%)

Among Women

• Sherrod Brown (D) 58% (56%) {56%} [49%] (55%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 34% (36%) {35%} [37%] (34%)

Survey of 1,110 likely voters was conducted October 23-28, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 37% (35%) {35%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 29% (26%) {26%} [26%] (27%) Republican; 30% (34%) {35%} [34%] (32%) Independent; 4% (4%) {4%} [6%] (5%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-24, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 15-21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 24-30, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: University of Cincinnati Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

University of Cincinnati Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Sherrod Brown (D) 49% {51%} [52%] (48%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 44% {47%} [45%] (47%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 4%

Survey of 1,182 likely voters was conducted October 25-30, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 43.5% {47%} [48%] Democrat; 41.6% {44%} [42%] Republican; 10.7% {10%} [10%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-21, 2012 are in parentheses

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Sherrod Brown (D) 50% [48%] (49%) {47%} [46%] (49%) {44%} [46%] (47%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
  
• Josh Mandel (R) 48% [44%] (44%) {46%} [46%] (41%) {44%} [42%] (42%) {41%} [43%] (40%)
• Some other candidate 1% [2%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (4%)
• Undecided 1% [5%] (5%) {4%} [6%] (7%) {9%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [11%] (12%)

Among Independents

• Sherrod Brown (D) 52% [43%] (49%) {45%} [38%] (49%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 42% [37%] (41%) {43%} [49%] (38%) 

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Josh Mandel

• Very favorable 21% [22%] (17%) {21%} [23%] (17%)
• Somewhat favorable 28% [23%] (26%) {25%} [25%] (25%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 17% [12%] (14%) {13%} [17%] (13%)
• Very unfavorable 31% [34%] (35%) {33%} [28%] (31%)

Sherrod Brown

• Very favorable 25% [29%] (30%) {27%} [25%] (26%)
• Somewhat favorable 20% [18%] (19%) {17%} [20%] (21%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 14% [12%] (17%) {16%} [17%] (15%)
• Very unfavorable 35% [31%] (27%) {30%} [31%] (26%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Josh Mandel 49% [45%] (43%) {46%} [48%] (42%) / 48% [46%] (49%) {46%} [45%] (44%) {+1%} 
• Sherrod Brown 45% [47%] (49%) {44%} [45%] (47%) / 49% [43%] (44%) {46%} [48%] (41%) {-4%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 10, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Thirty-two percent (32%) of Ohio voters say they have already voted, and Brown leads 62% to 36% among this group.

Mandel leads by 11 points among male voters in the state but trails by 13 among female voters. Most under 40 favor the incumbent, while the majority of older voters prefers the GOP challenger.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Sherrod Brown (D) 46% {43%} [43%] (42%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 41% {42%} [38%] (38%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 3% {3%} [4%] (4%)
• Undecided 9% {10%} [13%] (14%)

Among Independents

• Josh Mandel (R) 43% {46%} [37%] (39%)
• Sherrod Brown (D) 34% {33%} [34%] (32%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 7% {6%} [10%] (9%)
• Undecided 13% {14%} [19%] (17%)

Among Moderates

• Sherrod Brown (D) 53% {54%} [52%] (53%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 31% {30%} [28%] (25%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 4% {4%} [5%] (5%)
• Undecided 11% {11%} [14%] (15%)

Among Men

• Josh Mandel (R) 45% {47%} [42%] (41%)
• Sherrod Brown (D) 43% {41%} [40%] (41%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 4% {2%} [5%] (4%)
• Undecided 8% {8%} [13%] (13%)

Among Women

• Sherrod Brown (D) 50% {45%} [45%] (44%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 37% {37%} [35%] (34%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 2% {5%} [4%] (4%)
• Undecided 10% {12%} [14%] (15%)

Already Voted (25%)

• Sherrod Brown (D) 60% {54%} [52%] (57%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 35% {35%} [38%] (37%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 2% {4%} [4%] (0%)
• Undecided 1% {4%} [3%] (2%)

Will Vote Before Election Day (14%)

• Sherrod Brown (D) 47%
• Josh Mandel (R) 31%
• Scott Rupert (I) 4%
• Undecided 18%

Will Vote on Election Day (60%)

• Josh Mandel (R) 46% 
• Sherrod Brown (D) 41%
• Scott Rupert (I) 3%
• Undecided 10%

Survey of 603 likely and actual voters was conducted October 26-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% {39%} [39%] (39%) Democrat; 32% {32%} [32%] (33%) Republican; 26% {25%} [26%] (25%) Independent.  Ideology: 41% {38%} [42%] (40%) Moderate; 32% {34%} [34%] (35%) Conservative; 17% {18%} [17%] (16%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-22, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: University of Cincinnati Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

University of Cincinnati Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Sherrod Brown (D) 51% [52%] (48%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 47% [45%] (47%)

Survey of 1,015 likely voters was conducted October 18-23, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 47% [48%] Democrat; 44% [42%] Republican; 10% [10%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers: 

Women favor Brown by 16 percentage points, while men favor Mandel by 9 points.

More than half of independents, 54 percent, said they were supporting Brown, compared with 38 percent for Mandel.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Sherrod Brown (D) 48% (43.9%) {47.46%} [43.5%] (43.6%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 47% (43.0%) {41.82%} [44.3%] (41.4%)
• Undecided 5% (13.1%) {10.73%} [12.2%] (15.06%)

Among Men

• Josh Mandel (R) 52%
• Sherrod Brown (D) 45%
• Undecided 3%

Among Women

• Sherrod Brown (D) 51%
• Josh Mandel (R) 43%
• Undecided 6%

Already Voted (20%)

• Sherrod Brown (D) 61%
• Josh Mandel (R) 35%
• Undecided 4%

Did Not Vote Yet (80%)

• Josh Mandel (R) 50%
• Sherrod Brown (D) 45%
• Undecided 5%

Survey of 730 likely voters was conducted October 27, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 40% (41.4%) Democrat; 32% (31.1%) Republican; 28% (27.5%) Independent/Other.  Gender: 47% Male; 53% Female. Results from the poll conducted September 21-22, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 2, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Sherrod Brown (D) 53% [49%] (49%) {49%} [48%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (47%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [48%]
• Josh Mandel (R) 42% [44%] (42%) {41%} [40%] (37%) {39%} [37%] (36%) {34%} [40%] (33%) {31%} [32%]

Among Independents

• Sherrod Brown (D) 48% [45%]
• Josh Mandel (R) 44% [43%]

Among Moderates

• Sherrod Brown (D) 62% [59%]
• Josh Mandel (R) 30% [34%]

Among Men

• Sherrod Brown (D) 50% [43%]
• Josh Mandel (R) 46% [51%]

Among Women

• Sherrod Brown (D) 55% [54%]
• Josh Mandel (R) 38% [39%]

Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?

• Yes 36% [21%] (19%)
• No 64% [79%] (81%)

Already Voted

• Sherrod Brown (D) 63% [66%] (71%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 34% [31%] (25%)

Did Not Vote Yet

• Sherrod Brown (D) 47% [45%] (44%) 
• Josh Mandel (R) 46% [48%] (46%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Josh Mandel 38% [38%] (37%) {33%} [33%] (26%) {24%} [25%] (14%) {14%} [12%] (14%) {15%} [13%] / 51% [50%] (50%) {48%} [44%] (42%) {39%} [30%] (25%) {19%} [21%] (20%) {18%} [12%] {-13%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Sherrod Brown's job performance?

• Approve 47% [44%] (45%) {42%} [42%] (41%) {38%} [40%] (42%) {42%} [40%] (37%) {39%} [40%] (40%)
• Disapprove 44% [43%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (37%) {42%} [35%] (34%) {33%} [35%] (34%) {28%} [30%] (37%)

Survey of 718 likely Ohio voters was conducted October 26-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/-3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 43% [42%] (40%) {41%} [41%] (40%) {39%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [47%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (44%) Democrat; 35% [34%] (36%) {36%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [39%] (36%) {35%} [37%] (34%) {35%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 21% [23%] (24%)  {23%} [22%] (24%) {24%} [20%] (21%) {24%} [16%] (22%) {20%} [21%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political views: 32% [32%] (29%) {33%} [29%] (30%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {31%} [30%] (31%) {33%} [29%] Moderate; 23% [25%] (26%) {24%} [25%] (25%) {27%} [22%] (21%) {25%} [19%] (24%) {25%} [28%] Somewhat conservative; 19% [16%] (16%) {16%} [17%] (18%) {17%} [18%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (19%) {16%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 15% [14%] (16%) {17%} [17%] (18%) {15%} [19%] (21%) {18%} [19%] (17%) {13%} [15%] Very conservative; 12% [13%] (13%) {11%} [11%] (10%) {9%} [9%] (10%) {7%} [10%] (8%) {13%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-20, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-13, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 4-6, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 13-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Sherrod Brown (D) 48% (49%) {47%} [46%] (49%) {44%} [46%] (47%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
  
• Josh Mandel (R) 44% (44%) {46%} [46%] (41%) {44%} [42%] (42%) {41%} [43%] (40%)
• Some other candidate 2% (1%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (4%)
• Undecided 5% (5%) {4%} [6%] (7%) {9%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [11%] (12%)

Among Independents

• Sherrod Brown (D) 43% (49%) {45%} [38%] (49%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 37% (41%) {43%} [49%] (38%) 

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Sherrod Brown

• Very favorable 29% (30%) {27%} [25%] (26%)
• Somewhat favorable 18% (19%) {17%} [20%] (21%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 12% (17%) {16%} [17%] (15%)
• Very unfavorable 31% (27%) {30%} [31%] (26%)

Josh Mandel

• Very favorable 22% (17%) {21%} [23%] (17%)
• Somewhat favorable 23% (26%) {25%} [25%] (25%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 12% (14%) {13%} [17%] (13%)
• Very unfavorable 34% (35%) {33%} [28%] (31%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Sherrod Brown 47% (49%) {44%} [45%] (47%) / 43% (44%) {46%} [48%] (41%) {+4%}
• Josh Mandel 45% (43%) {46%} [48%] (42%) / 46% (49%) {46%} [45%] (44%) {-1%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 10, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Thirty-one percent (31%) of Ohio voters say they have already cast a ballot in this year's election. Among those who've already voted, Brown holds a 52% to 41% lead over Mandel.

Eighty-nine percent (89%) have already made up their minds whom they will vote for. Brown is also ahead in this group, 51% to 47%.

Mandel holds a four-point slight advantage over Brown among men but trails by 10 among women. Senior citizens support Mandel, but those who are younger favor Brown.

Eighty-eight percent (88%) of the state's Republicans support Mandel, while Brown is backed by 94% of Democrats.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Sherrod Brown (D) 43% [43%] (42%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 42% [38%] (38%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 3% [4%] (4%)
• Undecided 10% [13%] (14%)

Among Independents

• Josh Mandel (R) 46% [37%] (39%)
• Sherrod Brown (D) 33% [34%] (32%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 6% [10%] (9%)
• Undecided 14% [19%] (17%)

Among Moderates

• Sherrod Brown (D) 54% [52%] (53%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 30% [28%] (25%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 4% [5%] (5%)
• Undecided 11% [14%] (15%)

Among Men

• Josh Mandel (R) 47% [42%] (41%)
• Sherrod Brown (D) 41% [40%] (41%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 2% [5%] (4%)
• Undecided 8% [13%] (13%)

Among Women

• Sherrod Brown (D) 45% [45%] (44%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 37% [35%] (34%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 5% [4%] (4%)
• Undecided 12% [14%] (15%)

Already Voted: 26%

• Sherrod Brown (D) 54% [52%] (57%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 35% [38%] (37%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 4% [4%] (0%)
• Undecided 4% [3%] (2%)

Did Not Vote Yet: 74%

• Josh Mandel (R) 44% [39%] (38%)
• Sherrod Brown (D) 39% [41%] (40%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 3% [4%] (4%)
• Undecided 12% [16%] (16%)

Survey of 609 likely and actual voters was conducted October 20-22, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% [39%] (39%) Democrat; 32% [32%] (33%) Republican; 25% [26%] (25%) Independent.  Ideology: 38% [42%] (40%) Moderate; 34% [34%] (35%) Conservative; 18% [17%] (16%) Liberal.  Already voted: 26% [18%] (11%) Yes; 74% [82%] (89%) No.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.