Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

Likely Voters

• Sherrod Brown (D) 50% {49%}
• Josh Mandel (R) 41% {42%}
• Undecided 7% {9%}

Registered Voters

• Sherrod Brown (D) 50% {48%} [51%] (47%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 41% {41%} [37%] (37%)
• Undecided 8% {11%} [12%] (16%)

Survey of 1,241 registered voters, including 931 likely voters, was conducted September 30 - October 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 3.2 percentage points among likely voters.  Party ID (among registered voters): 35% {37%} [37%] Democrat; 30% {28%} [28%] Republican; 34% {34%} [34%] Independent.  Party ID (among likely voters): 36% {38%} Democrat; 31% {28%} Republican; 32% {32%} Independent.  Ideology (among registered voters): 33% {33%} [36%] Moderate; 30% {30%} [31%] Conservative; 18% {18%} [17%] Liberal; 12% {13%} [13%] Very conservative; 6% {7%} [4%] Very liberal.  Ideology (among likely voters): 32% {32%} Moderate; 31% {30%} Conservative; 18% {17%} Liberal; 13% {14%} Very conservative; 6% {7%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 2, 2012 are in parentheses.