Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Virginia 2012 Senatorial Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Virginia 2012 Senate Poll

Likely Voters

• Tim Kaine (D) 49% {46%}
• George Allen (R) 44% {46%}
• Undecided 7% {8%}

Registered Voters

• Tim Kaine (D) 48% {46%} [49%] (48%)
• George Allen (R) 44% {45%} [43%] (39%)
• Undecided 8% {9%} [9%] (14%)

Survey of 1,273 registered voters, including 969 likely voters, was conducted September 30 - October 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 3.1 percentage points among likely voters.  Party ID (among registered voters): 31% {30%} [31%] Democrat; 29% {24%} [29%] Republican; 38% {44%} [39%] Independent.  Party ID (among likely voters): 32% {31%} Democrat; 30% {26%} Republican; 37% {43%} Independent.  Ideology (among registered voters): 38% {40%} [38%] Moderate; 29% {30%} [30%] Conservative; 15% {16%} [17%] Liberal; 13% {9%} [10%] Very conservative; 5% {5%} [5%] Very liberal. Ideology (among likely voters): 37% {39%} Moderate; 29% {31%} Conservative; 15% {16%} Liberal; 14% {10%} Very conservative; 5% {5%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 2, 2012 are in parentheses.