Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Florida 2012 Senatorial Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Florida 2012 Senate Poll

Likely Voters

• Bill Nelson (D) 52% [51%]
  
• Connie Mack (R) 41% [37%]
• Undecided 7% [12%]

Registered Voters

• Bill Nelson (D) 52% [51%] (46%)
  
• Connie Mack (R) 38% [35%] (42%)
• Undecided 10% [14%] (12%) 

Survey of 1,191 registered voters, including 890 likely voters, was conducted September 30 - October 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 3.3 percentage points among likely voters. Party registration (among registered voters): 40% [42%] (43%) Democrat; 36% [36%] (35%) Republican; 22% [22%] (21%) Independent.  Party registration (among likely voters): 40% [41%] Democrat; 38% [38%] Republican; 21% [20%] Independent.  Ideology (among registered voters): 37% [34%] (34%) Moderate; 28% [30%] (29%) Conservative; 18% [18%] (19%) Liberal; 13% [12%] (12%) Very conservative; 4% [6%] (6%) Very liberal.  Ideology (among likely voters): 37% [33%] Moderate; 29% [31%] Conservative; 18% [18%] Liberal; 13% [13%] Very conservative; 4% [5%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2012 are in parentheses.