Poll Watch: Kimball Political Consulting (R) Massachusetts 2012 Senatorial Survey

KPC (R) Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll

• Scott Brown (R) 48.9% (45.5%) {48.2%} [45.9%] (49%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 46.6% (48.0%) {46.7%} [45.1%] (43%)
• Undecided 4.5% (6.6%) {5.2%} [9.0%] (9%)

Among Independents

• Scott Brown (R) 61.0% (59.7%) {58.4%} [54.4%] (56%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 33.9% (31.7%) {35.4%} [35.5%] (31%)
• Undecided 5.1% (8.5%) {6.2%} [10.1%] (12%)

Among Men

• Scott Brown (R) 49.1% (48.8%) {52.0%} [49.2%] (54%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 46.6% (46.1%) {44.4%} [44.4%] (39%)
• Undecided 4.3% (5.1%) {3.7%} [6.5%] (7%)

Among Women

• Scott Brown (R) 48.7% (42.3%) {44.3%} [42.7%] (44%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 46.7% (49.7%) {49.0%} [45.8%] (46%)
• Undecided 4.6% (7.9%) {6.7%} [11.5%] (10%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Scott Brown (R) 55.1% (49.4%) {58.1%} [54.1%] (57%) / 38.2% (41.1%) {34.2%} [34.1%] (31%) {+16.9%}
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 49.4% (52.4%) {51.3%} [54.5%] (49%) / 45.2% (42.4%) {41.9%} [38.4%] (39%) {+4.2%}

Among Independents

• Scott Brown (R) 66.8% (64.3%) {67.1%} [62.2%] (64%) / 26.0% (25.6%) {23.9%} [26.4%] (22%) {+40.8%}
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 36.0% (37.9%) {41.4%} [46.3%] (39%) / 57.7% (55.2%) {50.1%} [46.9%] (47%) {-21.7%}

Among Men

• Scott Brown (R) 56.6% (52.0%) {64.0%} [56.5%] (60%) / 38.2% (41.2%) {32.0%} [33.9%] (30%) {+18.4%}
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 49.3% (49.6%) {47.6%} [52.2%] (42%) / 46.3% (47.2%) {47.4%} [42.2%] (45%) {+3.0%}

Among Women

• Scott Brown (R) 53.6% (46.9%) {52.4%} [51.8%] (55%) / 38.3% (41.0%) {37.0%} [34.4%] (32%) {+15.3%}
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 49.5% (55.1%) {55.0%} [56.8%] (55%) / 44.1% (37.9%) {36.5%} [34.6%] (33%) {+5.4%}

Survey of 761 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted October 31 - November 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.48 percentage points. Party ID: 37.2% (39.4%) {38.4%} [35.2%] (36%) Democrat; 11.3% (11.3%) {11.5%} [12.3%] (14%) Republican; 51.5% (49.3%) {50.1%} [52.5%] (51%) Independent.  Gender: 48.5% (48.8%) Male; 51.5% (51.2%) Female. Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 20, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Kimball Political Consulting (R) Florida 18th Congressional District Survey

KPC (R) Florida 18th Congressional District Poll

• Patrick Murphy (D) 49%
• Allen West (R) 45%
• Undecided 6%

Among Men

• Allen West (R) 55%
• Patrick Murphy (D) 41%
• Undecided 5%

Among Women

• Patrick Murphy (D) 57%
• Allen West (R) 36%
• Undecided 8%

St. Lucie County

• Allen West (R) 47%
• Patrick Murphy (D) 46%
• Undecided 8%

Palm Beach County

• Patrick Murphy (D) 58%
• Allen West (R) 37%
• Undecided 5%

Martin County

• Allen West (R) 52%
• Patrick Murphy (D) 43%
• Undecided 6%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Patrick Murphy 45% / 37% {+8%}
• Allen West 42% / 51% {-9%}

Survey of 408 likely voters in Florida’s 18th Congressional District was conducted September 28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Party ID: 44.6% Democrat; 33.3% Republican; 22.1% Independent. County: 35.3% St. Lucie; 34.3% Palm Beach; 30.4% Martin County.

Inside the numbers: 

Barack Obama holds a seven point lead over Mitt Romney in the 18th Congressional District (52% to 45%). Three percent (3%) were undecided.

Poll Watch: Kimball Political Consulting (R) Massachusetts 2012 Senatorial Survey

KPC (R) Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll

• Scott Brown (R) 48.2% [45.9%] (49%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 46.7% [45.1%] (43%)
• Undecided 5.2% [9.0%] (9%)

Among Independents

• Scott Brown (R) 58.4% [54.4%] (56%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 35.4% [35.5%] (31%)
• Undecided 6.2% [10.1%] (12%)

Among Men

• Scott Brown (R) 52.0% [49.2%] (54%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 44.4% [44.4%] (39%)
• Undecided 3.7% [6.5%] (7%)

Among Women

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 49.0% [45.8%] (46%)
• Scott Brown (R) 44.3% [42.7%] (44%)
• Undecided 6.7% [11.5%] (10%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Scott Brown (R) 58.1% [54.1%] (57%) / 34.2% [34.1%] (31%) {+23.9%}
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 51.3% [54.5%] (49%) / 41.9% [38.4%] (39%) {+9.4%}

Among Independents

• Scott Brown (R) 67.1% [62.2%] (64%) / 23.9% [26.4%] (22%) {+43.2%}
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 41.4% [46.3%] (39%) / 50.1% [46.9%] (47%) {-8.7%}

Among Men

• Scott Brown (R) 64% [56.5%] (60%) / 32% [33.9%] (30%) {+32%}
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 47.6% [52.2%] (42%) / 47.4% [42.2%] (45%) {+0.2%}

Among Women

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 55.0% [56.8%] (55%) / 36.5% [34.6%] (33%) {+18.5%}
• Scott Brown (R) 52.4% [51.8%] (55%) / 37.0% [34.4%] (32%) {+15.4%}

(Among 478 voters who watched or listened to the debate) Who do you think won the debate?

• Senator Scott Brown 50.4%
• Elizabeth Warren 39.7%
• Tie 5.6%
• Undecided 4.2%

Among Independents

• Senator Scott Brown 60.5%
• Elizabeth Warren 29.3%
• Tie 4.3%
• Undecided 5.9%

Among Men

• Senator Scott Brown 56.6%
• Elizabeth Warren 36.8%
• Tie 4.7%
• Undecided 1.9%

Among Women

• Senator Scott Brown 43.2%
• Elizabeth Warren 43.2%
• Tie 6.8%
• Undecided 6.8%

Among Scott Brown Voters

• Senator Scott Brown 93.2%
• Elizabeth Warren 2.0%
• Tie 1.6%
• Undecided 3.2%

Among Elizabeth Warren Voters

• Elizabeth Warren 85.5%
• Senator Scott Brown 2.8%
  
• Tie 9.3%
• Undecided 2.3%

Survey of 868 likely Massachusetts voters, including a subsample of 478 voters who watched or listened to Thursday's debate, was conducted September 20, 2012 between 8:00-8:30pm. The margin of error is +/- 3.25 percentage points. Party ID: 38.4% [35.2%] (36%) Democrat; 11.5% [12.3%] (14%) Republican; 50.1% [52.5%] (51%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Kimball Political Consulting (R) Massachusetts 2012 Presidential Survey

KPC (R) Massachusetts 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 55.4% (52%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 39.2% (41%)
• Undecided 5.4% (7%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47.4% (48%)
  
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 44.3% (44%)
• Undecided 8.3% (9%)

Among Men

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 52.7% (47%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 43.3% (49%)
  
• Undecided 4.0% (5%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 58.1% (57%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 35.2% (35%)
• Undecided 6.8% (8%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 56.0% (53%) / 40.1% (42%) {+15.9%}
• Mitt Romney 39.8% (39%) / 54.8% (54%) {-15.0%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 46.9% (46%) / 45.8% (45%) {+1.1%}
• Barack Obama 44.6% (43%) / 48.9% (50%) {-4.3%}

Among Men

• Barack Obama 53.0% (47%) / 43.5% (48%) {+9.5%}
• Mitt Romney 43.3% (46%) / 51.9% (48%) {-8.6%}

Among Women

• Barack Obama 58.9% (59%) / 36.7% (36%) {+22.2%}
• Mitt Romney 36.5% (32%) / 57.6% (60%) {-21.1%}

Survey of 756 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted September 7-9, 2012 by Emerson College. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 35.2% (36%) Democrat; 12.3% (14%) Republican; 52.5% (51%) Independent. Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted August 21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Kimball Political Consulting (R) Massachusetts 2012 Senatorial Survey

KPC (R) Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll

• Scott Brown (R) 45.9% (49%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 45.1% (43%)
• Undecided 9.0% (9%)

Among Independents

• Scott Brown (R) 54.4% (56%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 35.5% (31%)
• Undecided 10.1% (12%)

Among Men

• Scott Brown (R) 49.2% (54%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 44.4% (39%)
• Undecided 6.5% (7%)

Among Women

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 45.8% (46%)
• Scott Brown (R) 42.7% (44%)
• Undecided 11.5% (10%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Scott Brown (R) 54.1% (57%) / 34.1% (31%) {+20.0%}
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 54.5% (49%) / 38.4% (39%) {+16.1%}

Among Independents

• Scott Brown (R) 62.2% (64%) / 26.4% (22%) {+35.8%}
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 46.3% (39%) / 46.9% (47%) {-0.6%}

Among Men

• Scott Brown (R) 56.5% (60%) / 33.9% (30%) {+22.6%}
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 52.2% (42%) / 42.2% (45%) {+10.0%}

Among Women

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 56.8% (55%) / 34.6% (33%) {+22.2%}
• Scott Brown (R) 51.8% (55%) / 34.4% (32%) {+17.4%}

Survey of 756 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted September 7-9, 2012 by Emerson College. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 35.2% (36%) Democrat; 12.3% (14%) Republican; 52.5% (51%) Independent. Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted August 21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Kimball Political Consulting (R) Massachusetts 2012 Senatorial Survey

Kimball Political Consulting (R) Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll

• Scott Brown (R) 49%
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 43%
• Undecided 9%

Among Independents

• Scott Brown (R) 56%
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 31%
• Undecided 12%

Among Men

• Scott Brown (R) 54%
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 39%
• Undecided 7%

Among Women

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 46%
• Scott Brown (R) 44%
• Undecided 10%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Scott Brown (R) 57% / 31% {+26%}
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 49% / 39% {+10%}

Among Independents

• Scott Brown (R) 64% / 22% {+42%}
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 39% / 47% {-8%}

Among Men

• Scott Brown (R) 60% / 30% {+30%}
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 42% / 45% {-3%}

Among Women

• Scott Brown (R) 55% / 32% {+22%}
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 55% / 33% {+22%}

Survey of 592 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted August 21, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 36% Democrat; 14% Republican; 51% Independent. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Kimball Political Consulting (R) Massachusetts 2012 Presidential Survey

Kimball Political Consulting (R) Massachusetts 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 52%
• Mitt Romney 41%
• Undecided 7%

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 48%
  
• Barack Obama 44%
• Undecided 9%

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 49%
  
• Barack Obama 47%
• Undecided 5%

Among Women

• Barack Obama 57%
• Mitt Romney 35%
• Undecided 8%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 53% / 42% {+11%}
• Mitt Romney 39% / 54% {-15%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 46% / 45% {+1%}
• Barack Obama 43% / 50% {-7%}

Among Men

• Barack Obama 47% / 48% {-1%}
• Mitt Romney 46% / 48% {-2%}

Among Women

• Barack Obama 59% / 36% {+23%}
• Mitt Romney 32% / 60% {-28%}

Survey of 592 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted August 21, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 36% Democrat; 14% Republican; 51% Independent. Click here to view crosstabs.