Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 18th Congressional District Survey

PPP (D) Florida 18th Congressional District Poll

• Patrick Murphy (D) 48% (42%)
• Allen West (R) 47% (51%)
• Undecided 5% (8%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Allen West 45% (49%) / 49% (41%) {-4%}

If your member of Congress opposed a woman's right to choose, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for them, or would it make no difference?

• More likely 19%
• Less likely 48%
• Wouldn't make a difference 33%

If your member of Congress voted for Rep. Paul Ryan's budget that would make cuts to Medicare benefits, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for them, or would it make no difference?

• More likely 22%
• Less likely 51%
• Wouldn't make a difference 26%

Survey of 631 likely voters in Florida’s 18th Congressional District was conducted October 25-26, 2012 for the CREDO SuperPAC.  Party ID: 43% (40%) Republican; 35% (32%) Democrat; 21% (29%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-16, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 18th Congressional District Survey

PPP (D) Florida 18th Congressional District Poll

• Allen West (R) 51%
• Patrick Murphy (D) 42%
• Undecided 8%

Among Independents

• Allen West (R) 52%
• Patrick Murphy (D) 34%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Allen West 49% / 41% {+8%}
• Patrick Murphy 34% / 47% {-13%}

Survey of 600 likely voters in Florida’s 18th Congressional District was conducted October 15-16, 2012 for FLDemocracy/WPTV/TCPalm. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 40% Republican; 32% Democrat; 29% Independent/Other.

Inside the numbers:

Allen West has a nine-point lead among women.

West is strongest in Martin County, where he has a 20-point lead, while in St. Lucie County, Murphy trails West by only one percentage point.

The poll found Mitt Romney leading President Barack Obama in District 18 by a 50 percent to 45 percent margin.

Asked about the flood of negative ads in the race, 31 percent said the spots have made them more likely to vote for West, while 27 percent said they have made them more likely to back Patrick Murphy. 

Poll Watch: Kimball Political Consulting (R) Florida 18th Congressional District Survey

KPC (R) Florida 18th Congressional District Poll

• Patrick Murphy (D) 49%
• Allen West (R) 45%
• Undecided 6%

Among Men

• Allen West (R) 55%
• Patrick Murphy (D) 41%
• Undecided 5%

Among Women

• Patrick Murphy (D) 57%
• Allen West (R) 36%
• Undecided 8%

St. Lucie County

• Allen West (R) 47%
• Patrick Murphy (D) 46%
• Undecided 8%

Palm Beach County

• Patrick Murphy (D) 58%
• Allen West (R) 37%
• Undecided 5%

Martin County

• Allen West (R) 52%
• Patrick Murphy (D) 43%
• Undecided 6%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Patrick Murphy 45% / 37% {+8%}
• Allen West 42% / 51% {-9%}

Survey of 408 likely voters in Florida’s 18th Congressional District was conducted September 28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Party ID: 44.6% Democrat; 33.3% Republican; 22.1% Independent. County: 35.3% St. Lucie; 34.3% Palm Beach; 30.4% Martin County.

Inside the numbers: 

Barack Obama holds a seven point lead over Mitt Romney in the 18th Congressional District (52% to 45%). Three percent (3%) were undecided.

Poll Watch: Grove Insight (D) Florida 18th Congressional District Survey

Grove Insight (D) Florida 18th Congressional District Poll

• Patrick Murphy (D) 47%
• Allen West (R) 46%
• Undecided 7%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Allen West 43% / 38% {+5%}

Survey of 400 likely voters in Florida’s 18th Congressional District was conducted August 21-24, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.