Poll Watch: Monmouth University Delaware Political Survey

Monmouth University Delaware Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Chris Coons (D) 51% [57%]
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 41% [38%]

Among Democrats

• Chris Coons (D) 85% [91%]
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 10% [8%]

Among Republicans

• Christine O'Donnell (R) 71% [67%]
• Chris Coons (D) 19% [26%]

Among Independents

• Christine O'Donnell (R) 47% [41%]
• Chris Coons (D) 42% [51%]

Among Men

• Christine O'Donnell (R) 48% [48%]
• Chris Coons (D) 43% [46%]

Among Women

• Chris Coons (D) 57% [68%]
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 34% [27%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mike Castle 57% [56%] / 29% [29%] {+28%}
• Chris Coons 45% [50%] / 39% [33%] {+6%}
• Christine O'Donnell 34% [31%] / 51% [58%] {-17%}

Is Chris Coons qualified or unqualified to be a United States Senator?

• Qualified 65% [64%]
• Unqualified 25% [25%]

Is Christine O’Donnell qualified or unqualified to be a United States Senator?

• Qualified 35% [35%]
• Unqualified 56% [57%]

CONGRESSIONAL ELECTION

• John Carney (D) 51% [53%]
• Glen Urquhart (R) 44% [44%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Carney 46% [49%] / 28% [24%] {+18%}
• Glen Urquhart 38% [36%] / 27% [25%] {+11%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 43% [44%]
• Disapprove 49% [50%]

Who would you rather see in control of Congress next year – the Democrats, the Republicans, or does it make no difference?

• Republicans 40% [45%]
• Democrats 38% [41%]
• No difference 22% [14%]

Survey of 1,171 likely voters was conducted October 25-27, 2010. The margin of error is + 2.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 36% [34%] Democrat; 30% [32%] Republican; 34% [34%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 8-11, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: FDU PublicMind Delaware Senatorial Survey

FDU PublicMind Delaware Senatorial Survey

• Chris Coons (D) 57% [53%]
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 36% [36%]
• Undecided 5% [8%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Coons 48% [47%] / 36% [27%] {+12%}
• Christine O'Donnell 34% [30%] / 54% [48%] {-20%}

If the election for US Senate were between Chris Coons, the Democrat, and Mike Castle, the Republican, who would you vote for?

• Mike Castle (R) 54% [50%]
• Chris Coons (D) 33% [36%]
• Other 1% [1%]
• Not sure 9% [9%]

When it comes to the recent movement called the Tea Party, do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of Tea Party voters and candidates?

• Favorable 31% [34%]
• Unfavorable 52% [48%]

On the issue of abortion, would you describe yourself as pro-choice or pro-life?

• Pro-choice 54% [53%]
• Pro-life 37% [36%]

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 49% [47%]
• Disapprove 44% [45%]

Survey of 797 likely voters was conducted October 20-26, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 27 - October 3, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Delaware Senatorial Survey

Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Delaware Senatorial Survey

• Chris Coons (D) 54% (54%)
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 38% (39%)
• Other 3% (2%)
• Not sure 5% (5%)

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Chris Coons (D) 49.7%
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 31.5%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Coons 50% / 38% {+12%}
• Christine O'Donnell 33% / 58% {-25%}

Regardless of how you plan to vote, do you think Chris Coons is in touch with people like you?

• Yes 44%
• No 41%

Regardless of how you plan to vote, do you think Christine O’Donnell is in touch with people like you?

• Yes 33%
• No 57%

Suppose the Republicans had nominated Mike Castle. If the election were held today would you vote for Republican Mike Castle or Democrat Chris Coons?

• Mike Castle (R) 50% (48%)
• Chris Coons (D) 33% (33%)
• Other 10% (9%)
• Not sure 7% (10%)

How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

• Strongly support 20% (21%)
• Somewhat support 17% (16%)
• Somewhat oppose 10% (9%)
• Strongly oppose 39% (40%)

Which of the following best describes how the Tea Party movement will affect your vote for Senate this year?

• Your vote will be to express support for the Tea Party movement 26% (26%)
• Your vote will be to express opposition to the Tea Party movement 39% (41%)
• Tea Party movement will not be a factor in your vote 30% (30%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 48% (45%)
• Disapprove 45% (46%)

Which of the following best describes how the policies of the Obama administration will affect your vote for Senate this year?

• Your vote will be to express support for the Obama administration policies 36%
• Your vote will be to express opposition to Obama administration policies 41%
• The policies of the Obama administration will not be a factor in your vote 20%

All in all, would you rather have bigger government that provides more services or smaller government that provides fewer services?

• Bigger government that provides more services 32%(35%)
• Smaller government that provides fewer services 54% (53%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 9, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 18, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Delaware Political Survey

Monmouth University Delaware Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Chris Coons (D) 57%
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 38%
• Undecided 5%

Among Democrats

• Chris Coons (D) 91%
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 8%
• Undecided 1%

Among Republicans

• Christine O'Donnell (R) 67%
• Chris Coons (D) 26%
• Undecided 7%

Among Independents

• Chris Coons (D) 51%
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 41%
• Undecided 8%

Among Men

• Christine O'Donnell (R) 48%
• Chris Coons (D) 46%
• Undecided 6%

Among Women

• Chris Coons (D) 68%
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 27%
• Undecided 5%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mike Castle 56% / 29% {+27%}
• Chris Coons 50% / 33% {+17%}
• Democratic Party 43% / 50% { -7% }
• Republican Party 40% / 52% { -12% }
• Tea Party movement 36% / 57% { -21% }
• Christine O'Donnell 31% / 58% { -27% }

Is Chris Coons qualified or unqualified to be a United States Senator?

• Qualified 64%
• Unqualified 25%

Is Christine O’Donnell qualified or unqualified to be a United States Senator?

• Qualified 35%
• Unqualified 57%

CONGRESSIONAL ELECTION

• John Carney (D) 53%
• Glen Urquhart (R) 44%
• Undecided 3%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Carney 49% / 24% {+25%}
• Glen Urquhart 36% / 25% {+11%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 44%
• Disapprove 50%

Who would you rather see in control of Congress next year – the Democrats, the Republicans, or does it make no difference?

• Republicans 45%
• Democrats 41%
• No difference 14%

Survey of 790 likely voters was conducted October 8-11, 2010. The margin of error is + 3.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 34% Democrat; 32% Republican; 34% Independent.

Poll Watch: FDU PublicMind Delaware Senatorial Survey

FDU PublicMind Delaware Senatorial Survey

• Chris Coons (D) 53%
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 36%
• Undecided 8%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Coons 47% / 27% {+20%}
• Christine O'Donnell 30% / 48% {-18%}

If the election for US Senate were between Chris Coons, the Democrat, and Mike Castle, the Republican, who would you vote for?

• Mike Castle (R) 50%
• Chris Coons (D) 36%
• Other 1%
• Not sure 9%

When it comes to the recent movement called the Tea Party, do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of Tea Party voters and candidates?

• Favorable 34%
• Unfavorable 48%

On the issue of abortion, would you describe yourself as pro-choice or pro-life?

• Pro-choice 53%
• Pro-life 36%

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 47%
• Disapprove 45%

Survey of 801 likely voters was conducted September 27 - October 3, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (TP) Delaware Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (TP) Delaware Senatorial Survey

• Chris Coons (D) 49% [53%] (47%) {46%} [39%]
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 40% [42%] (36%) {36%} [41%]
• Mike Castle (R) 5%

[EDITOR'S NOTE: Rasmussen did NOT include Mike Castle's name in the poll question.]

Among Democrats

• Chris Coons (D) 82% [84%] (70%) {75%} [64%]
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 13% [11%] (16%) {11%} [16%]
• Mike Castle (R) 3%

Among Republicans

• Christine O'Donnell (R) 72% [74%] (63%) {66%} [76%]
• Chris Coons (D) 17% [20%] (20%) {15%} [8%]
• Mike Castle (R) 7%

Among Independents

• Christine O'Donnell (R) 43% [50%] (37%) {41%} [51%]
• Chris Coons (D) 32% [46%] (43%) {37%} [26%]
• Mike Castle (R) 7%

Among Liberals

• Chris Coons (D) 77% [92%] (81%) {69%} [66%]
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 13% [8%] (6%) {8%} [5%]
• Mike Castle (R) 6%

Among Moderates

• Chris Coons (D) 64% [66%] (64%) {62%} [52%]
• Christine O'Donnell 27% [26%] (20%) {24%} [34%]
• Mike Castle (R) 2%

Among Conservatives

• Christine O'Donnell (R) 69% [73%] (69%) {72%} [75%]
• Chris Coons (D) 18% [22%] (13%) {13%} [10%]
• Mike Castle (R) 7%

Among Men

• Christine O'Donnell (R) 49% [49%] (43%) {38%} [50%]
• Chris Coons (D) 41% [46%] (44%) {44%} [38%]
• Mike Castle (R) 9%

Among Women

• Chris Coons (D) 57% [59%] (51%) {48%} [41%]
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 32% [36%] (31%) {35%} [35%]
• Mike Castle (R) 2%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Coons 57% [58%] (49%) {51%} [49%] (48%) {43%} [47%] / 36% [34%] (35%) {33%} [28%] (38%) {35%} [30%] {+21%}
• Mike Castle 57% / 38% {+19%}
• Christine O'Donnell 39% [42%] (39%) {41%} [43%] / 56% [54%] (44%) {38%} [33%] {-17%}

How would you rate the job Jack Markell has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 29% [21%] (26%) {28%} [18%] (24%) {18%} [15%] (12%) 
• Somewhat approve 31% [41%] (34%) {37%} [45%] (34%) {43%} [42%] (47%) 
• Somewhat disapprove 21% [23%] (23%) {19%} [21%] (24%) {26%} [24%] (25% 
• Strongly disapprove 13% [12%] (15%) {13%} [10%] (14%) {11%} [12%] (12%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 33% [35%] (30%) {40%} [35%] (40%) {31%} [26%] (35%) 
• Somewhat approve 19% [19%] (20%) {15%} [14%] (14%) {20%} [24%] (19%) 
• Somewhat disapprove 7% [6%] (7%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {11%} [12%] (10%) 
• Strongly disapprove 39% [37%] (43%) {38%} [42%] (40%) {37%} [37%] (35%)

Do you consider yourself part of the Tea Party movement?

• Yes 15%
• No 72%

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 26, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 2, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 14, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 29, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 22, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 25, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 30, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/Time/Opinion Research Delaware Senatorial Survey

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Delaware Senatorial Survey

• Chris Coons (D) 55%
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 39%

Among Democrats

• Chris Coons (D) 91%
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 6%

Among Republicans

• Christine O'Donnell (R) 77%
• Chris Coons (D) 15%

Among Independents

• Chris Coons (D) 50%
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 43%

Among Conservatives

• Christine O'Donnell (R) 66%
• Chris Coons (D) 26%

Among Moderates

• Chris Coons (D) 74%
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 20%

Among Men

• Chris Coons (D) 49%
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 46%

Among Women

• Chris Coons (D) 61%
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 32%

Now suppose that Mike Castle were the Republican party's candidate. If the election were held today and the candidates were Chris Coons the Democrat, and Mike Castle, the Republican, who would you have been more likely to vote for?

• Mike Castle (R) 55%
• Chris Coons (D) 37%

Among Democrats

• Chris Coons (D) 65%
• Mike Castle (R) 33%

Among Republicans

• Mike Castle (R) 80%
• Chris Coons (D) 8%

Among Independents

• Mike Castle (R) 57%
• Chris Coons (D) 33%

Among Conservatives

• Mike Castle (R) 66%
• Chris Coons (D) 21%

Among Moderates

• Mike Castle (R) 55%
• Chris Coons (D) 42% 

Income Under $50K

• Mike Castle (R) 49%
• Chris Coons (D) 45%

Income $50K+

• Mike Castle (R) 57%
• Chris Coons (D) 36%

Attended College

• Mike Castle (R) 58%
• Chris Coons (D) 34%

No College Education

• Mike Castle (R) 49%
• Chris Coons (D) 45%

Survey of 703 likely voters was conducted September 17-21, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

The Irony of O'Donnell Winning Because She Was Endorsed by the Tea Party

Christine O'Donnell won her primary because the Tea Party crazies came pouring into Delaware like a biblical plague of bed bugs. They infused mountains of cash into her campaign. The talking heads of the Tea Party...Limbaugh, Levin, Hannity, Palin, DeMint...endorsed O'Donnell and spread half-truths and lies about Castle at the last hour to put O'Donnell over the top.

Yet the Tea Party wants to revoke the 17th Amendment, depriving the people the chance to vote directly for their Senators. They believe that the people aren't to be trusted with such matters and that the only people worthy to ascend the heights of Olympus are the state legislators. Of course, the Tea Party really want to be those state legislators so that they can sell Senate seats ala Rod Blagojevich.

What irony, then, that if the 17th Amendment had been repealed prior to the Delaware primary, Castle would have been the Senator from Delaware and not O'Donnell. The state establishment were squarely in his corner. I doubt that O'Donnell would have had one supporter in the Delaware legislature.

Murkowski: I'm Putting Voters Before GOP

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Related:

Mike Castle Versus the Tea Party
How the candidate really feels.
by E.J. Dionne

In GOP Civil War, My Guy Lost
by Gerry Nicholls

Poll Watch: Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Delaware Senatorial Survey

Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Delaware Senatorial Survey

• Chris Coons (D) 54%
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 39%
• Other 2%
• Not sure 5%

Suppose the Republicans had nominated Mike Castle. If the election were held today would you vote for Republican Mike Castle or Democrat Chris Coons?

• Mike Castle (R) 48%
• Chris Coons (D) 33%
• Other 9%
• Not sure 10%

Regardless of how you plan to vote, do you think Chris Coons is qualified to be a U.S. Senator?

• Yes 59%
• No 27%

Regardless of how you plan to vote, do you think Christine O’Donnell is qualified to be a U.S. Senator?

• Yes 33%
• No 60%

How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

• Strongly support 21%
• Somewhat support 16%
• Somewhat oppose 9%
• Strongly oppose 40%

Which of the following best describes how the Tea Party movement will affect your vote for Senate this year?

• Your vote will be to express support for the Tea Party movement 26%
• Your vote will be to express opposition to the Tea Party movement 41%
• Tea Party movement will not be a factor in your vote 30%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 45%
• Disapprove 46%

Have the policies of the Obama administration helped or hurt Delaware's economy, or have they not made much of a difference either way?

• Helped 33%
• Hurt 35%
• No difference 26%

All in all, would you rather have bigger government that provides more services or smaller government that provides fewer services?

• Bigger government that provides more services 35%
• Smaller government that provides fewer services 53%

Thinking about the health care law that was passed earlier this year, would you favor repealing the new law to keep it from going into effect, or would you oppose repealing the new law?

• Favor repealing the health care law 50%
• Oppose repealing the health care law 43%

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted September 18, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.