Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Poll

I'd like to get your feelings toward some of our political leaders and other people who have been in the news. I'll read the name of a person and I'd like you to rate that person using something called the feeling thermometer. You can choose any number between 0 and 100. The higher the number, the warmer or more favorable you feel toward that person, the lower the number, the colder or less favorable.

Mean Score

• Elizabeth Warren 48.6 [50.7] (49.2)
• Hillary Clinton 47.8 [48.5] (52.1) 
• Paul Ryan 47.4 [46.7] (43.0)
• Bobby Jindal 47.1 [49.6] (45.2)
• Scott Walker 46.6 [49.2] (41.1)
• Marco Rubio 46.3 [47.1] (46.5)
• Mike Huckabee 46.1 [51.0]
• Rand Paul 45.7 [47.1] (44.8)
• Chris Christie 45.2 [55.5] (53.1)
• Jeb Bush 44.7 [45.1] (40.4)
• John Kasich 43.6 [49.5]
• Joe Biden 42.7 [43.7] (46.2)
• Ted Cruz 42.5 [43.9] (46.8)
• Peter King 41.6 [39.7] (43.6)
• Andrew Cuomo 41.2 [43.0] (43.9)
• Rick Santorum 40.9 [41.0] (40.7)
• Rick Perry 40.2 [41.2]
• Howard Dean 40.1 [37.2]
• Martin O'Malley 40.0 [42.1] (45.7)
• Brian Schweitzer 37.5 [40.6]

Percent Scoring >50

• Hillary Clinton 49% [47%] (49%) 
• Joe Biden 37% [37%] (39%)
• Paul Ryan 35% [36%] (28%)
• Chris Christie 34% [45%] (37%)
• Jeb Bush 32% [30%] (22%)
• Mike Huckabee 30% [36%]
• Rand Paul 29% [33%] (28%)
• Marco Rubio 27% [28%] (25%)
• Rick Santorum 24% [25%] (24%)
• Ted Cruz 23% [25%] (15%)
• Rick Perry 23% [24%]
• Elizabeth Warren 23% [25%] (21%)
• Scott Walker 20% [20%] (12%)
• Bobby Jindal 20% [19%] (16%)
• Howard Dean 19% [14%]
• Andrew Cuomo 18% [21%] (20%) 
• John Kasich 11% [13%]
• Peter King 10% [9%] (10%)
• Martin O'Malley 5% [6%] (7%)
• Brian Schweitzer 5% [6%]

Haven't Heard Enough About to Form an Opinion

• Brian Schweitzer 81% [82%]
• Martin O'Malley 79% [77%] (78%)
• Peter King 68% [66%] (71%)
• John Kasich 64% [68%]
• Scott Walker 54% [57%] (65%)
• Bobby Jindal 53% [54%] (56%)
• Elizabeth Warren 46% [46%] (51%)
• Andrew Cuomo 41% [38%] (41%)
• Howard Dean 40% [43%]
• Ted Cruz 38% [36%] (60%)
• Marco Rubio 34% [34%] (36%)
• Rick Santorum 30% [28%] (30%)
• Rick Perry 30% [27%]
• Rand Paul 26% [22%] (28%)
• Mike Huckabee 24% [20%] 
• Paul Ryan 20% [18%] (24%)
• Jeb Bush 18% [18%] (20%)
• Chris Christie 18% [17%] (21%)
• Joe Biden 4% [7%] (8%)
• Hillary Clinton 1% [2%] (2%)

Survey of 1,578 registered voters was conducted March 26-31, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% [28%] (35%) Democrat; 24% [26%] (23%) Republican; 35% [37%] (33%) Independent; 8% [9%] (8%) Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted January 4-7, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Rand Paul 16% (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)
• Kelly Ayotte 13% [5%] (10%)
• Scott Brown 11% (7%)
• Chris Christie 9% (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
• Paul Ryan 6% (9%) {8%} [11%] (11%) 
• Marco Rubio 6% (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
• Donald Trump 4%
• Jeb Bush 3% (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
• Ted Cruz 3% (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
• Scott Walker 2% (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
• Rick Perry 2% (1%) {4%}
• Peter King 0% (0%)
• Rob Portman 0% (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%)
• Someone else 6% (3%) {3%} [0%] (2%)
• Don't know yet 18% (21%) {20%} [23%] (20%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rand Paul 49% (52%) {57%} [54%] (45%) / 14% (24%) {20%} [19%] (26%) {+35%}
• Marco Rubio 42% (41%) {47%} [59%] (56%) / 11% (18%) {14%} [8%] (6%) {+31%}
• Paul Ryan 48% (54%) {66%} [68%] (61%) / 20% (17%) {18%} [13%] (19%) {+28%}
• Kelly Ayotte 48% [71%] (68%) / 27% [14%] (24%) {+21%}
• Jeb Bush 46% (47%) {53%} [48%] (53%) / 25% (27%) {27%} [34%] (31%) {+21%}
• Scott Walker 30% (29%) {42%} [38%] (37%) / 9% (8%) {13%} [8%] (14%) {+21%}
• Ted Cruz 37% (32%) {29%} [21%] (18%) / 18% (19%) {17%} [12%] (14%) {+19%}
• Scott Brown 45% (59%) / 28% (19%) {+17%}
• Chris Christie 43% (49%) {59%} [56%] (60%) / 33% (23%) {24%} [26%] (21%) {+10%}   
• Rob Portman 15% (14%) {15%} [13%] (20%) / 8% (8%) {19%} [11%] (14%) {+7%}
• Rick Perry 32% (36%) {39%} / 27% (30%) {37%} {+5%}
• Peter King 14% (15%) / 20% (18%) {-6%} 
• Donald Trump 29% / 59% {-30%}

Survey of 246 likely Republican primary voters was conducted January 21-26, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 6.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Poll

I'd like to get your feelings toward some of our political leaders and other people who have been in the news. I'll read the name of a person and I'd like you to rate that person using something called the feeling thermometer. You can choose any number between 0 and 100. The higher the number, the warmer or more favorable you feel toward that person, the lower the number, the colder or less favorable.

Mean Score

• Chris Christie 55.5 (53.1)
• Mike Huckabee 51.0
• Elizabeth Warren 50.7 (49.2)
• Bobby Jindal 49.6 (45.2)
• John Kasich 49.5
• Scott Walker 49.2 (41.1)
• Hillary Clinton 48.5 (52.1)
• Marco Rubio 47.1 (46.5)
• Rand Paul 47.1 (44.8)
• Paul Ryan 46.7 (43.0)
• Jeb Bush 45.1 (40.4)
• Ted Cruz 43.9 (46.8)
• Joe Biden 43.7 (46.2)
• Andrew Cuomo 43.0 (43.9)
• Martin O'Malley 42.1 (45.7)
• Rick Perry 41.2
• Rick Santorum 41.0 (40.7)
• Brian Schweitzer 40.6
• Peter King 39.7 (43.6)
• Howard Dean 37.2
  

Among Independents

• Chris Christie 56.7 (50.6)
• Scott Walker 49.6 (45.9)
• Rand Paul 48.4 (49.1)
• John Kasich 48.3
• Bobby Jindal 48.1 (47.8)
• Hillary Clinton 46.8 (44.2)
• Paul Ryan 46.1 (48.0)
• Elizabeth Warren 46.1 (44.2)
• Mike Huckabee 45.9
• Marco Rubio 44.8 (45.0)
• Martin O'Malley 43.9 (39.2)
• Jeb Bush 42.3 (41.8)
• Joe Biden 41.0 (41.3)
• Ted Cruz 41.0 (50.4)
• Andrew Cuomo 40.5 (41.2)
• Rick Perry 39.1
• Peter King 38.3 (43.6)
• Rick Santorum 37.4 (41.5)
• Brian Schweitzer 35.8
• Howard Dean 32.9
  

Percent Scoring >50

• Hillary Clinton 47% (49%)
• Chris Christie 45% (37%)
• Joe Biden 37% (39%)
• Mike Huckabee 36%
• Paul Ryan 36% (28%)
• Rand Paul 33% (28%)
• Jeb Bush 30% (22%)
• Marco Rubio 28% (25%)
• Rick Santorum 25% (24%)
• Ted Cruz 25% (15%)
• Elizabeth Warren 25% (21%)
• Rick Perry 24%
• Andrew Cuomo 21% (20%)
• Scott Walker 20% (12%)
• Bobby Jindal 19% (16%)
• Howard Dean 14%
• John Kasich 13%
• Peter King 9% (10%)
• Martin O'Malley 6% (7%)
• Brian Schweitzer 6%

Haven't Heard Enough About to Form an Opinion

• Brian Schweitzer 82%
• Martin O'Malley 77% (78%)
• John Kasich 68%
• Peter King 66% (71%)
• Scott Walker 57% (65%)
• Bobby Jindal 54% (56%)
• Elizabeth Warren 46% (51%)
• Howard Dean 43%
• Andrew Cuomo 38% (41%)
• Ted Cruz 36% (60%)
• Marco Rubio 34% (36%)
• Rick Santorum 28% (30%)
• Rick Perry 27%
• Rand Paul 22% (28%)
• Mike Huckabee 20% 
• Paul Ryan 18% (24%)
• Jeb Bush 18% (20%)
• Chris Christie 17% (21%)
• Joe Biden 7% (8%)
• Hillary Clinton 2% (2%)

Survey of 1,487 registered voters was conducted January 4-7, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 28% (35%) Democrat; 26% (23%) Republican; 37% (33%) Independent; 9% (8%) Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Rand Paul 17% {16%} [15%] (8%)
• Chris Christie 16% {21%} [11%] (14%)
• Paul Ryan 9% {8%} [11%] (11%) 
• Jeb Bush 8% {10%} [5%] (5%)
• Scott Brown 7%
• Ted Cruz 6% {4%} [2%] (1%)
• Marco Rubio 4% {6%} [15%] (12%)  
• Rick Santorum 4% {4%} [4%] (3%)
• Scott Walker 2% {2%} [1%] (3%)
• Rick Perry 1% {4%}
• John Kasich 0% {0%}
• Peter King 0%
• Rob Portman 0% {0%} [1%] (0%)
• Someone else 3% {3%} [0%] (2%)
• Don't know yet 21% {20%} [23%] (20%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Scott Brown 59% / 19% {+40%}
• Paul Ryan 54% {66%} [68%] (61%) / 17% {18%} [13%] (19%) {+37%}
• Rand Paul 52% {57%} [54%] (45%) / 24% {20%} [19%] (26%) {+28%}
• Chris Christie 49% {59%} [56%] (60%) / 23% {24%} [26%] (21%) {+26%}
• Marco Rubio 41% {47%} [59%] (56%) / 18% {14%} [8%] (6%) {+23%}
• Scott Walker 29% {42%} [38%] (37%) / 8% {13%} [8%] (14%) {+21%} 
• Jeb Bush 47% {53%} [48%] (53%) / 27% {27%} [34%] (31%) {+20%}  
• Ted Cruz 32% {29%} [21%] (18%) / 19% {17%} [12%] (14%) {+13%}
• Rick Santorum 39% {44%} [39%] (40%) / 27% {37%} [38%] (42%) {+12%}
• Rick Perry 36% {39%} / 30% {37%} {+6%}
• Rob Portman 14% {15%} [13%] (20%) / 8% {19%} [11%] (14%) {+6%}
• John Kasich 12% {28%} / 9% {16%} {+3%}
• Peter King 15% / 18% {-3%}

Survey of 236 likely Republican primary voters was conducted October 7-16, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 6.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Poll

I'd like to get your feelings toward some of our political leaders and other people who have been in the news. I'll read the name of a person and I'd like you to rate that person using something called the feeling thermometer. You can choose any number between 0 and 100. The higher the number, the warmer or more favorable you feel toward that person, the lower the number, the colder or less favorable.

Mean Score

• Chris Christie 53.1
• Hillary Clinton 52.1
• Elizabeth Warren 49.2
• Kirsten Gillibrand 47.6
• Ted Cruz 46.8
• Marco Rubio 46.5
• Joe Biden 46.2
• Martin O'Malley 45.7
• Bobby Jindal 45.2
• Rand Paul 44.8
• Andrew Cuomo 43.9
• Peter King 43.6
• Paul Ryan 43.0
• Scott Walker 41.1
• Rick Santorum 40.7
• Jeb Bush 40.4
• Mark Warner 39.4
  

Among Independents

• Chris Christie 50.6
• Ted Cruz 50.4
• Rand Paul 49.1
• Paul Ryan 48.0
• Bobby Jindal 47.8
• Scott Walker 45.9
• Marco Rubio 45.0
• Elizabeth Warren 44.2
• Hillary Clinton 44.2
• Peter King 43.6
• Kirsten Gillibrand 42.1
• Jeb Bush 41.8
• Rick Santorum 41.5
• Joe Biden 41.3
• Andrew Cuomo 41.2
• Mark Warner 39.9
• Martin O'Malley 39.2
  

Percent Scoring >50

• Hillary Clinton 49%
• Joe Biden 39%
• Chris Christie 37%
• Paul Ryan 28%
• Rand Paul 28%
• Marco Rubio 25%
• Rick Santorum 24%
• Jeb Bush 22%
• Elizabeth Warren 21%
• Andrew Cuomo 20%
• Bobby Jindal 16%
• Ted Cruz 15%
• Scott Walker 12%
• Peter King 10%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 9%
• Mark Warner 9%
• Martin O'Malley 7%

Haven't Heard Enough About to Form an Opinion

• Martin O'Malley 78%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 75%
• Peter King 71%
• Scott Walker 65%
• Mark Warner 65%
• Ted Cruz 60%
• Bobby Jindal 56%
• Elizabeth Warren 51%
• Andrew Cuomo 41%
• Marco Rubio 36%
• Rick Santorum 30%
• Rand Paul 28%
• Paul Ryan 24% 
• Chris Christie 21%
• Jeb Bush 20%
• Joe Biden 8%
• Hillary Clinton 2%

Survey of 1,468 registered voters was conducted July 28-31, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% Democrat; 23% Republican; 33% Independent; 8% Other/Don't know.

Carl Levin and Pete King on This Week

Reps. Lynn Woolsey and Pete King Discuss Pros and Cons of Drones

President Obama Delivers Speech at AIPAC

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Giuliani Gearing Up for Return to the Ring

Byron York of the Washington Examiner reports:

Former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani, whose presidential campaign fizzled in 2008, is leaning toward another race for the White House, according to a close associate. New York Republican Rep. Peter King, who has known Giuliani for more than 40 years, says the former mayor "is very close to saying he's going to run." 

"If he were to make the decision today, he would run," says King. 

Speaking at a dinner with reporters in Washington, King, who was an enthusiastic Giuliani supporter in 2008, said the former mayor has been quietly lining up support and exploring strategy. Giuliani has also examined the mistakes his campaign made in '08, when he did not seriously compete in a contest until the Florida primary, by which time he was hopelessly behind in the race.

The National Journal's James Barnes reports:

At a dinner with journalists on Monday night in Washington, Rep. Peter King, R-N.Y., said he thought former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani was leaning toward making another bid for the Republican presidential nomination. 

"I get the impression that he is very close to saying he's going to run," said King, speaking at a dinner hosted by The American Spectator, a conservative monthly. 

King, who was careful to add that he only considers himself on the outer ring of Giuliani's inner circle, said the former mayor and 2008 candidate "has been talking to people on the ground in New Hampshire."

"If he was making his decision today, he'd run," King said.

John DiStaso of the New Hampshire Union Leader reports:

While still undecided on whether he'll run for President, Republican former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani will return to the first-in-the-nation primary state in June, according to his top New Hampshire associate. 

Wayne Semprini, the former state GOP chairman who headed Giuliani's New Hampshire campaign in the 2007 run-up to the January 2008 leadoff presidential primary, told the Granite Status that Giuliani was encouraged enough with the reception he received during his visit on May 12 and 13 that he's coming back in early June. 

Semprini said a schedule has yet to be formulated but tentative plans call for a fund-raiser to benefit the state GOP. 

Semprini also said, however, that Giuliani "will not be available" to appear in the June 13 New Hampshire presidential primary debate cosponsored by the New Hampshire Union Leader, WMUR and CNN. 

"He has other obligations," Semprini said, "and he's not going to be a candidate by then, anyway." 

But Semprini said Giuliani, while recently hired by a presidential candidate in Peru to give advice on the development of public safety programs, continues to seriously consider whether to make a second attempt to run for President. 

"He is certainly keeping his eye on the process," Semprini said.

The Boston Globe's Shira Schoenberg reports:

As the Republican presidential field shapes up, “America’s mayor” is considering another shot at becoming America’s president. Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani “is still considering it very definitely,” said Wayne Semprini, Giuilani’s 2008 New Hampshire state chairman. 

Giuliani plans to visit New Hampshire, home of the first primary, next month. It will be his third visit to the state this year. According to Semprini and Giuliani’s New Hampshire spokeswoman, Alicia Preston, Giuliani will meet with Republican groups, reconnect with friends and raise funds for other organizations, but not for his own run. 

Semprini and Preston said Giuliani’s goal is to put a Republican in the White House. “If he saw someone who he felt very definitely was likeable enough and strong enough and tough enough to take on the current president then he would get behind that person,” Semprini said. “Whether he’s seen that person yet, I don’t know. … As of now, he’s still weighing it.” 

Semprini said Giuliani would campaign on his credentials as a fiscal conservative and his record as mayor of reducing crime, improving education and “turning the city around economically.”

Paul Bedard of U.S. News & World Report writes in his Washington Whispers column:

Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani isn't just thinking about running for president next year: It's his obsession and he's already mapping out a strategy to knock off GOP frontrunner Mitt Romney in New Hampshire. 

According to a long-time supporter, New York Rep. Peter King, running and winning this time is "almost a full-time business for him."

What's more, adds King, Giuliani has already been "talking to people in New Hampshire" about his strategy to focus all his early attention there, not the Iowa caucus, because beating Romney in the former Massachusetts governor's political backyard will propel the New Yorker's candidacy into the next two showdowns in South Carolina and Nevada. 

"He would focus on New Hampshire almost entirely," said King at a Monday night dinner organized by the conservative American Spectator magazine. "He is very close to running."

Giuliani ran a poor race in 2008 and King said some of the blame goes to all the strategists the former mayor hired. "They were keeping Rudy from being Rudy," said King. He said one of the political selling points Giuliani has going for him is that "you're a son of a bitch" when it comes to fighting crime, reforming welfare, and cutting taxes. 

Despite being quiet on whether or not he plans to run, Giuliani has polled well. In the most recent Suffolk University poll, he was the third choice of GOP primary voters. 

GOP pollster Frank Luntz said that Giuliani would have to work hard to win back supporters who felt he blew a great chance at the GOP nomination in 2008. “If he were to run, it would have to be all-out and he'd have to show people that he would be a different candidate from 2008. He upset donors because he didn't campaign hard enough. If he wants to almost literally move to New Hampshire, he'd be credible.”

Rudy Giuliani on Aftermath of Japanese Earthquake and the Hearing on Radical Islam

Part 1

Part 2

Gallup: Republicans and Democrats Disagree on Muslim Hearings

52% of Americans say congressional hearings scheduled for Thursday are appropriate

Note: Fifty percent (50%) of Republicans think Muslims living in the U.S. are too extreme in their religious beliefs.  And 38 percent of GOPers say Muslim-Americans are sympathetic to Al Qaeda.