Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

St. Anselm College New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Elizabeth Warren 25.1% [16.7%] (8.7%)
• Joe Biden 24.3% [20.8%] (22.9%)
• Bernie Sanders 11.1% [9.9%] (15.6%)
• Pete Buttigieg 9.7% [11.5%] (10.7%)
• Kamala Harris 5.2% [17.5%] (6.8%)
• Tulsi Gabbard 2.8% [1.0%] (0.6%)
• Amy Klobuchar 2.8% [2.7%] (2.2%)
• Tom Steyer 2.4%
• Andrew Yang 1.7% [4.9%]
• Cory Booker 1.2% [1.2%] (4.4%)
• John Delaney 0.5% (1.2%)
• Steve Bullock 0.2%
• Michael Bennet 0.2%
• Beto O'Rourke 0.2% (6.4%)
• Marianne Williamson 0.2% [1.5%]
• Julián Castro 0.0%
• Other 1.4% (5.6%)
• Undecided 8.7% [11.1%] (13.2%)

Survey of 423 Democratic primary voters was conducted September 25-29, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 10-12, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 3-8, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

St. Anselm College New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Joe Biden 22.9%
• Bernie Sanders 15.6% 
• Pete Buttigieg 10.7%
• Elizabeth Warren 8.7%
• Kamala Harris 6.8%
• Beto O'Rourke 6.4%
• Cory Booker 4.4%
• Amy Klobuchar 2.2%
• John Delaney 1.2%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 0.9%
• Tulsi Gabbard 0.6%
• John Hickenlooper 0.6%
• Jay Inslee 0.3%
• Someone else 5.6%
• No opinion 13.2%

Among Men

• Joe Biden 19.5%
• Bernie Sanders 16.9%
• Kamala Harris 10.2%
• Elizabeth Warren 10.2%
• Pete Buttigieg 9.3%
• Beto O'Rourke 6.8%
• Cory Booker 3.4%
• Amy Klobuchar 2.5%
• Tulsi Gabbard 1.7%
• John Delaney 0.8%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 0.0%
• John Hickenlooper 0.0%
• Jay Inslee 0.0%
• Someone else 6.8%
• No opinion 11.9%

Among Women

• Joe Biden 25.0%
• Bernie Sanders 14.9%
• Pete Buttigieg 11.5%
• Elizabeth Warren 7.7%
• Beto O'Rourke 5.8%
• Cory Booker 4.8%
• Kamala Harris 4.8%
• Amy Klobuchar 1.9%
• John Delaney 1.4%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 1.4%
• John Hickenlooper 1.0%
• Jay Inslee 0.5%
• Tulsi Gabbard 0.0%
• Someone else 5.3%
• No opinion 13.9%

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• Joe Biden 70.3% / 18.3% (+52.0)
• Cory Booker 55.7% / 10.9% (+44.8)
• Kamala Harris 54.4% / 9.9% (+44.5)
• Bernie Sanders 67.2% / 24.9% (+42.3)
• Pete Buttigieg 42.3% / 5.5% (+36.8)
• Beto O'Rourke 46.3% / 16.5% (+29.8)
• Elizabeth Warren 58.3% / 29.7% (+28.6)
• Amy Klobuchar 31.3% / 12.8% (+18.5)
• Julián Castro 24.1% / 7.8% (+16.3)
• Kirsten Gillibrand 32.6% / 18.3% (+14.3)
• John Delaney 16.6% / 7.3% (+9.3)
• John Hickenlooper 14.6% / 9.8% (+4.8)
• Jay Inslee 10.0% / 6.4% (+3.6)
• Tulsi Gabbard 15.7% / 13.2% (+2.5)

Survey of 326 Democratic primary voters was conducted April 3-8, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Bernie Sanders 41% (24%) {18%} [8%] (6%)
• Hillary Clinton 36% (56%) {62%} [56%] (62%) 
• Lawrence Lessig 1%
• Martin O'Malley 0% (2%) {3%} [0%] (1%)
• Lincoln Chafee 0% (1%) {1%} 
• Someone else 1%
• None of the above 2% (4%) {3%} [2%] (2%)
• Not sure 8% (12%) {8%} [11%] (8%)  

Survey of 400 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted October 15-18, 2015 by Purple Strategies.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 19-22, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 2-6, 2015 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Survey

St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 24% {8%} [3%]
• Ben Carson 17% {5%} [6%] (9%)
• Jeb Bush 10% {11%} [16%] (14%)
• Marco Rubio 8% {11%} [5%] 
• Carly Fiorina 7% {3%} [1%]
• John Kasich 7% {1%} [2%]
• Chris Christie 5% {7%} [10%] (16%) 
• Ted Cruz 4% {6%} [3%] (5%)
• Rand Paul 4% {12%} [13%] (16%) 
• Mike Huckabee 1% {4%} [6%] (8%)
• Lindsey Graham 1% {1%}
• Rick Santorum 1% {1%} [2%] 
• Bobby Jindal 0% {1%} [3%] (4%)
• George Pataki 0%
• Jim Gilmore 0%
• Someone else 1% {1%} [1%] (1%)
• None of the above 2% {3%} [2%] (4%)
• Not sure 9% {12%} [14%] (13%)  

Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted October 15-18, 2015 by Purple Strategies.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 2-6, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 56% {62%} [56%] (62%)
• Bernie Sanders 24% {18%} [8%] (6%) 
• Martin O'Malley 2% {3%} [0%] (1%)
• Lincoln Chafee 1% {1%}
• None of the above 4% {3%} [2%] (2%)
• Not sure 12% {8%} [11%] (8%)  

Survey of 400 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted June 19-22, 2015 by Purple Insights.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 2-6, 2015 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll 

• Hillary Clinton 44%
• Marco Rubio 42%
• Not sure 14%

• Hillary Clinton 44% [50%] (47%)
• Jeb Bush 42% [36%] (39%)
• Not sure 14% [14%] (14%)

• Hillary Clinton 46% [48%] (48%)
• Rand Paul 43% [41%] (41%)
• Not sure 11% [11%] (10%)  

• Hillary Clinton 46% [50%]
• Scott Walker 40% [37%]
• Not sure 14% [14%]

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted May 2-6, 2015 by Purple Insights.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 62% [56%] (62%)
• Bernie Sanders 18% [8%] (6%)
• Joe Biden 5% [8%] (5%) 
• Martin O'Malley 3% [0%] (1%)
• Lincoln Chafee 1%
• Jim Webb 1% [0%]
• Someone else 0% [0%] (0%)
• None of the above 3% [2%] (2%)
• Not sure 8% [11%] (8%)  

Survey of 400 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted May 2-6, 2015 by Purple Insights.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Survey

St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Rand Paul 12% [13%] (16%)  
• Scott Walker 12% [12%]
• Jeb Bush 11% [16%] (14%)
• Marco Rubio 11% [5%] 
• Donald Trump 8% [3%]
• Chris Christie 7% [10%] (16%) 
• Ted Cruz 6% [3%] (5%)
• Ben Carson 5% [6%] (9%)
• Mike Huckabee 4% [6%] (8%)
• Carly Fiorina 3% [1%]
• Lindsey Graham 1%
• Bobby Jindal 1% [3%] (4%)
• John Kasich 1% [2%]
• Rick Perry 1% [1%] (3%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [2%]
• Someone else 1% [1%] (1%)
• None of the above 3% [2%] (4%)
• Not sure 12% [14%] (13%)  

Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted May 2-6, 2015 by Purple Insights.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton 48% (48%)
• Rand Paul 41% (41%)
• Not sure 11% (10%)  

• Hillary Clinton 50%
• Scott Walker 37%
• Not sure 14%

• Hillary Clinton 50% (47%)
• Jeb Bush 36% (39%)
• Not sure 14% (14%)

Survey of 503 likely voters was conducted January 31 - February 5, 2015 by Purple Insights.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 12-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 56% (62%)
• Elizabeth Warren 15% (13%)
• Joe Biden 8% (5%)
• Bernie Sanders 8% (6%)
• Martin O'Malley 0% (1%)
• Jim Webb 0%
• Someone else 0% (0%)
• None of the above 2% (2%)
• Not sure 11% (8%)  

Survey of 400 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted January 31 - February 5, 2015 by Purple Insights.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 12-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Survey

St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Jeb Bush 16% (14%)
• Rand Paul 13% (16%)  
• Scott Walker 12%
• Chris Christie 10% (16%)
• Ben Carson 6% (9%)
• Mike Huckabee 6% (8%)
• Marco Rubio 5%
• Ted Cruz 3% (5%)
• Bobby Jindal 3% (4%)
• Donald Trump 3% 
• John Kasich 2%
• Rick Santorum 2%
• Carly Fiorina 1%
• Rick Perry 1% (3%) 
• Mike Pence 0%
• Someone else 1% (1%)
• None of the above 2% (4%)
• Not sure 14% (13%)  

Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted January 31 - February 5, 2015 by Purple Insights.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 12-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton 48%
• Rand Paul 41%
• Not sure 10%  

• Hillary Clinton 47%
• Jeb Bush 39%
• Not sure 14%

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted November 12-18, 2014 by Purple Insights.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 62%
• Elizabeth Warren 13%
• Bernie Sanders 6%
• Joe Biden 5%
• Deval Patrick 2%
• Martin O'Malley 1%
• Someone else 0%
• None of the above 2%
• Not sure 8%  

Survey of 404 Democratic primary voters was conducted November 12-18, 2014 by Purple Insights.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Survey

St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Chris Christie 16%
• Rand Paul 16%
• Jeb Bush 14%
• Ben Carson 9%
• Mike Huckabee 8%
• Paul Ryan 7%
• Ted Cruz 5%
• Bobby Jindal 4%
• Rick Perry 3%
• Someone else 1%
• None of the above 4%
• Not sure 13%  

Survey of 407 Republican primary voters was conducted November 12-18, 2014 by Purple Insights.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Harvard/Saint Anselm New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

Harvard/Saint Anselm New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 38%
• Herman Cain 20%
• Ron Paul 13%
• Newt Gingrich 5%
• Jon Huntsman 4%
• Rick Perry 4%
• Michele Bachmann 3%
• Gary Johnson 1%
• Rick Santorum 1%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 75% / 21% {+54%}
• Ron Paul 57% / 36% {+21%}
• Jon Huntsman 29% / 25% {+4%}
• Rick Perry 43% / 41% {+2%}
• Michele Bachmann 44% / 46% {-2%}

Overall, how satisfied are you with the current group of Republican candidates for President?

• Very satisfied 14%
• Somewhat satisfied 51%
• Not very satisfied 23%
• Not at all satisfied 11%

Survey of 648 likely New Hampshire Republican presidential primary voters was conducted October 2-6, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 58% Republican; 38% Independent.

Inside the numbers:

Only 10% who say they'd likely vote for Romney also say they'll "definitely" vote for him. Race in NH is still wide open.