Poll Watch: Texas Tribune/UT Texas 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Texas Tribune/UT Texas 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Joe Biden 23%
• Beto O'Rourke 15%
• Elizabeth Warren 14%
• Bernie Sanders 12%
• Pete Buttigieg 8%
• Kamala Harris 5%
• Julián Castro 3%
• Tulsi Gabbard 3%
• Cory Booker 1%
• John Delaney 1%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
• Jay Inslee 1%
• Amy Klobuchar 1%
• Eric Swalwell 1%
• Michael Bennet 0%
• Steve Bullock 0%
• Bill de Blasio 0%
• John Hickenlooper 0%
• Wayne Messam 0%
• Seth Moulton 0%
• Tim Ryan 0%
• Marianne Williamson 0%
• Andrew Yang 0%

Survey of 483 Democratic primary voters was conducted May 31 - June 9, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 4.46 percentage points.

Poll Watch: University of Texas/Texas Politics Project 2016 Presidential Survey

University of Texas/Texas Politics Project 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump (R) 41%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 33%
• Someone else 19%
• Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion 8%

Three-Way Match-Up 

• Donald Trump (R) 39%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 32%
• Gary Johnson (L) 7%
• Someone else 14%
• Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion 8%

Survey of 1,200 registered Texas voters was conducted June 10-20, 2016 for The Texas Tribune. The margin of error is +/- 2.83 percentage points.

Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

UT/TT Texas 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 54% (61%) {53%} [62%] (60%) {64%} [67%] (66%)
• Bernie Sanders 44% (30%) {15%} [5%]

Internet survey of 324 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 12-19, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5.44 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 8, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 5-14, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-15, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UT/TT Texas 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Ted Cruz 37% [27%] (20%) {20%} [27%] (33%) {28%} [32%] (25%)
• Donald Trump 29% [27%] (2%)
• Marco Rubio 15% [9%] (8%) {4%} [3%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (11%)
• John Kasich 5% [1%] (1%) {1%} [0%] 
• Ben Carson 4% [13%] (6%) {9%} [10%] 

Internet survey of 407 registered GOP primary voters was conducted February 12-19, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.48 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 8, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 5-14, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 6-15, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 8, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 7-17, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

UT/TT Texas 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 61% {53%} [62%] (60%) {64%} [67%] (66%)
• Bernie Sanders 30% {15%} [5%]
• Martin O'Malley 1% {1%} [1%] (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%) 

Internet survey of 459 registered Democratic primary voters was conducted October 30 - November 8, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.57 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 5-14, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-15, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UT/TT Texas 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Ted Cruz 27% (20%) {20%} [27%] (33%) {28%} [32%] (25%)
• Donald Trump 27% (2%)
• Ben Carson 13% (6%) {9%} [10%] 
• Marco Rubio 9% (8%) {4%} [3%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (11%)
• Jeb Bush 4% (7%) {9%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [9%] 
• Rand Paul 4% (6%) {4%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
• Carly Fiorina 4% (3%) {0%}
• Mike Huckabee 2% (5%) {5%} [7%] (8%)  
• Chris Christie 1% (1%) {2%} [3%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (8%)
• Rick Santorum 1% (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {4%} [3%] (2%)
• John Kasich 1% (1%) {1%} [0%]
• Bobby Jindal 0% (1%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {6%} [3%] (2%)
• Lindsey Graham 0% (1%) {0%}
• George Pataki 0% (0%)
• Jim Gilmore 0%

Second Choice

• Ted Cruz 19% (16%) {12%}
  
• Ben Carson 19% (5%) {13%}
  
• Donald Trump 15% (2%)
• Marco Rubio 10% (9%) {7%}
• Carly Fiorina 7% (4%) {1%}
• Jeb Bush 6% (5%) {6%}
• Mike Huckabee 5% (7%) {7%}
• Chris Christie 4% (3%) {3%}
• Rand Paul 3% (8%) {7%}
• John Kasich 2% (1%) {2%}
• Bobby Jindal 1% (3%) {5%}
• George Pataki 1% (0%)
• Rick Santorum 1% (2%) {2%}
• Jim Gilmore 0%
• Lindsey Graham 0% (2%) {0%}

Internet survey of 542 registered GOP primary voters was conducted October 30 - November 8, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.21 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 5-14, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 6-15, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 8, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 7-17, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

UT/TT Texas 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 53% [62%] (60%) {64%} [67%] (66%)
• Bernie Sanders 15% [5%]
• Joe Biden 8% [6%] (10%) {8%} [7%] (11%)
• Elizabeth Warren 8% [12%] (13%) {15%} [5%]
• Lincoln Chafee 1%
• Andrew Cuomo 1% (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%)
• Martin O'Malley 1% [1%] (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%) 
• Jim Webb 1% [1%] (1%)

Internet survey of 457 registered Democratic primary voters was conducted June 5-14, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.58 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 6-15, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UT/TT Texas 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Ted Cruz 20% {20%} [27%] (33%) {28%} [32%] (25%)
• Rick Perry 12% {8%} [14%] (7%) {10%} [10%] (10%)
• Scott Walker 10% {19%} [2%] (4%) {6%} [1%]
• Marco Rubio 8% {4%} [3%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (11%)
• Jeb Bush 7% {9%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [9%] 
• Ben Carson 6% {9%} [10%]  
• Rand Paul 6% {4%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
• Mike Huckabee 5% {5%} [7%] (8%)  
• Carly Fiorina 3% {0%}
• Rick Santorum 2% {1%} [1%] (1%) {4%} [3%] (2%)
• Donald Trump 2%
• Chris Christie 1% {2%} [3%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (8%)
• Lindsey Graham 1% {0%}
• Bobby Jindal 1% {1%} [2%] (2%) {6%} [3%] (2%)
• John Kasich 1% {1%} [0%] 
• George Pataki 0%

Internet survey of 504 registered GOP primary voters was conducted June 5-14, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.37 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 6-15, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 8, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 7-17, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

UT/TT Texas 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 62% (60%) {64%} [67%] (66%)
• Elizabeth Warren 12% (13%) {15%} [5%]
• Joe Biden 6% (10%) {8%} [7%] (11%)
• Bernie Sanders 5%
• Jim Webb 1% (1%)
• Martin O'Malley 1% (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%)

Internet survey of 401 registered Democratic primary voters was conducted February 6-15, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.89 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 10-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UT/TT Texas 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Ted Cruz 20% [27%] (33%) {28%} [32%] (25%)
• Scott Walker 19% [2%] (4%) {6%} [1%]
• Jeb Bush 9% [7%] (7%) {8%} [9%] 
• Ben Carson 9% [10%] 
• Rick Perry 8% [14%] (7%) {10%} [10%] (10%)
• Mike Huckabee 5% [7%] (8%) 
• Rand Paul 4% [7%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
• Marco Rubio 4% [3%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (11%)  
• Sarah Palin 3%
• Chris Christie 2% [3%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (8%)
• Bobby Jindal 1% [2%] (2%) {6%} [3%] (2%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [1%] (1%) {4%} [3%] (2%)
• John Kasich 1% [0%] 
• Carly Fiorina 0%
• John Bolton 0%
• Lindsey Graham 0%

Internet survey of 547 registered GOP primary voters was conducted February 6-15, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.19 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 10-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 8, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 7-17, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

UT/TT Texas 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 60% {64%} [67%] (66%)
• Elizabeth Warren 13% {15%} [5%]
• Joe Biden 10% {8%} [7%] (11%)
• Andrew Cuomo 2% {2%} [1%] (1%)
• Brian Schweitzer 1% {1%} [1%] (0%)
• Jim Webb 1%
• Martin O'Malley 0% {0%} [1%] (0%)

Internet survey of 429 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted October 10-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.73 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UT/TT Texas 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Ted Cruz 27% (33%) {28%} [32%] (25%)
• Rick Perry 14% (7%) {10%} [10%] (10%)
• Ben Carson 10% 
• Jeb Bush 7% (7%) {8%} [9%]
• Rand Paul 7% (9%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
• Mike Huckabee 7% (8%)
• Paul Ryan 4% (6%) {8%} [7%] (8%)  
• Marco Rubio 3% (6%) {6%} [6%] (11%) 
• Chris Christie 3% (3%) {4%} [4%] (8%)
• Bobby Jindal 2% (2%) {6%} [3%] (2%)
• Scott Walker 2% (4%) {6%} [1%]
• Rick Santorum 1% (1%) {4%} [3%] (2%)
• John Kasich 0%

Internet survey of 560 likely GOP primary voters was conducted October 10-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.14 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 8, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 7-17, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UT/TT Texas 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Ted Cruz 28% [32%] (25%)
• Rick Perry 10% [10%] (10%) 
• Rand Paul 10% [6%] (13%)
• Paul Ryan 8% [7%] (8%) 
• Jeb Bush 8% [9%]
• Bobby Jindal 6% [3%] (2%)
• Scott Walker 6% [1%] 
• Marco Rubio 6% [6%] (11%) 
• Chris Christie 4% [4%] (8%)
• Rick Santorum 4% [3%] (2%)

Survey of 543 GOP primary voters was conducted February 7-17, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.21 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 18-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

UT/TT Texas 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 67% (66%)
• Joe Biden 7% (11%)
• Elizabeth Warren 5%
• Andrew Cuomo 1% (1%)
• Martin O'Malley 1% (0%)
• Brian Schweitzer 1% (0%)
• Mark Warner 1% (1%)
• Kirsten Gillibrand 0% (1%)

Survey of 414 Democratic primary voters was conducted October 18-27, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 6.03 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UT/TT Texas 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Ted Cruz 32% (25%)
• Rick Perry 10% (10%) 
• Jeb Bush 9%
• Paul Ryan 7% (8%)
• Marco Rubio 6% (11%)
• Rand Paul 6% (13%)
• Chris Christie 4% (8%)
• Rick Santorum 3% (2%)
• Bobby Jindal 3% (2%)
• Scott Walker 1%

Survey of 517 GOP primary voters was conducted October 18-27, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.02 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

UT/TT Texas 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 66%
• Joe Biden 11%
• Andrew Cuomo 1%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
• Mark Warner 1%
• Martin O'Malley 0%
• Brian Schweitzer 0%

Survey of 376 Democratic primary voters was conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.89 percentage points.

Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UT/TT Texas 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Ted Cruz 25%
• Rand Paul 13%
• Marco Rubio 11%
• Rick Perry 10%
• Chris Christie 8%
• Paul Ryan 8%
• Rick Santorum 2%
• Bobby Jindal 2%

Survey of 492 GOP primary voters was conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.27 percentage points.

Poll Watch: UT-Austin/Texas Tribune 2012 Presidential Survey

UT-Austin/Texas Tribune 2012 Presidential Poll

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Rick Santorum 48% [1%] (3%)
• Newt Gingrich 17% [8%] (11%)
• Mitt Romney 16% [9%] (7%)
• Ron Paul 14% [12%] (10%)
• Another Republican candidate 6%

GENERAL ELECTION

• Rick Santorum 51%
• Barack Obama 37%

• Mitt Romney 49% [36%]
• Barack Obama 36% [34%]

• Newt Gingrich 49%
• Barack Obama 38%

• Ron Paul 44% [38%]
• Barack Obama 35% [33%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 42% / 31% {+11%}
• Ron Paul 30% / 41% {-11%}
• Barack Obama 40% / 55% {-15%}
• Newt Gingrich 33% / 49% {-16%}
• Mitt Romney 27% / 48% {-21%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has done as president?

• Approve strongly 19% [15%] (20%)
• Approve somewhat 20% [18%] (15%)
• Disapprove somewhat 6% [8%] (9%)
• Disapprove strongly 49% [49%] (46%)

Survey of 529 likely voters, including a subsample of 298 likely Republican voters, was conducted February 8-15, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.26 percentage points among all likely voters; +/- 5.68 percentage points among likely GOP primary voters.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-26, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-18, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UT-Austin/Texas Tribune 2012 Presidential Survey

UT-Austin/Texas Tribune 2012 Presidential Survey

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Herman Cain 27%
• Rick Perry 26% (4%)
• Ron Paul 12% (10%)
• Mitt Romney 9% (7%)
• Newt Gingrich 8% (11%)
• Michele Bachmann 2% (7%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% (1%)
• Gary Johnson 1%
• Rick Santorum 1% (3%)
• Someone else 1% (10%)
• Don’t know 11% (14%)

GENERAL ELECTION

• Rick Perry 45%
• Barack Obama 37%
• Someone else 10%
• Don't know 8%

• Herman Cain 40%
• Barack Obama 35%
• Someone else 13%
• Don't know 12%

• Ron Paul 38%
• Barack Obama 33%
• Someone else 17%
• Don't know 13%

• Mitt Romney 36%
• Barack Obama 34%
• Someone else 19%
• Don't know 11%

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has done as president?

• Approve strongly 15% (20%)
• Approve somewhat 18% (15%)
• Disapprove somewhat 8% (9%)
• Disapprove strongly 49% (46%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has done handling the economy?

• Approve strongly 11%
• Approve somewhat 17%
• Disapprove somewhat 8%
• Disapprove strongly 53%

How would you rate the job Rick Perry has done as governor?

• Approve strongly 14% (12%)
• Approve somewhat 25% (29%)
• Disapprove somewhat 13% (14%)
• Disapprove strongly 31% (28%)

How would you rate the job Rick Perry has done handling the Texas economy?

• Approve strongly 19%
• Approve somewhat 23%
• Disapprove somewhat 12%
• Disapprove strongly 29%

Regardless of how you view Rick Perry, do you think his candidacy has helped, hurt, or had no effect on Texas's image among voters outside of the state.

• Helped Texas’s image 19%
• Hurt Texas’s image 37%
• Had no effect on Texas’s image 34%

Some say that Rick Perry’s leadership in promoting policies such as low taxes, lenient regulation, and small government, is the main reason the Texas economy has fared better than the national economy. Others say that long-existing economic policies such as a constitutional requirement for a balanced budget, no income tax, and a lenient regulatory environment, in addition to Texas’ natural resources, have been the main reasons the Texas economy has fared better than the national economy. Which would you say is closer to your own view:

• Rick Perry’s leadership has helped Texas fare better than the rest of the country 21%
• Long-standing policies have helped Texas fare better than the rest of the country 65%

Survey of 800 registered voters, including a subsample of 395 registered Republicans, was conducted October 19-26, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.46 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4.93 percentage points among registered Republicans.  Party ID breakdown: 34% Republican; 29% Democrat; 27% Independent; 6% Other.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-18, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UT-Austin/Texas Tribune 2012 Republican Primary Survey

UT-Austin/Texas Tribune 2012 Republican Primary Survey

• Sarah Palin 12%
• Newt Gingrich 11%
• Ron Paul 10%
• Mike Huckabee 10%
• Mitt Romney 7%
• Michele Bachmann 7%
• Donald Trump 6%
• Tim Pawlenty 4%
• Rick Perry 4%
• Rick Santorum 3%
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Mitch Daniels 1%
• Someone else 10%
• Don’t know 14%

Survey of 388 registered Republicans was conducted May 11-18, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.98 percentage points.