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Inside the numbers:
Matheson is trailing badly among women, who favor Love — Matheson’s first female challenger — by a 54 percent to 38 percent margin, according to the Tribune poll. Matheson has routinely won by double digits among women voters.
Of the nearly 291,000 active voters in the 4th District, more than 78,000 have already cast ballots, either by early voting in person or by mail. Half those are Republicans, 37 percent are unaffiliated and 12 percent are Democrats.
POS (R) Nevada 4th CD 2012 GOP Caucus Poll
- Newt Gingrich 39%
- Mitt Romney 34%
- Ron Paul 6%
- Rick Perry 3%
- Michele Bachmann 2%
- Jon Huntsman 1%
- Rick Santorum 1%
Survey of 328 likely Republican primary voters was conducted November 30 - December 1, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 5.41 percentage points.
Fleming and Associates/WPRI Massachusetts 4th Congressional District Survey
- Barney Frank (D) 49%
- Sean Bielat (R) 37%
- Not sure 12%
Job Performance Rating
Representative Barney Frank
- Excellent 25%
- Good 25%
- Fair 17%
- Poor 30%
President Barack Obama
- Excellent 20%
- Good 30%
- Fair 22%
- Poor 27%
Senator Scott Brown
- Excellent 10%
- Good 37%
- Fair 29%
- Poor 13%
Senator John Kerry
- Excellent 13%
- Good 33%
- Fair 20%
- Poor 29%
Survey of 400 likely voters was conducted October 14-17, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 42% Democrat; 16% Republican; 40% Independent.
