Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 13th Congressional District Special Election Survey

PPP (D) FL-13 Special Election Poll

• Alex Sink (D) 48%
• David Jolly (R) 45%
• Lucas Overby (L) 6%
• Undecided 2%

Already Cast Ballot (60%)

• Alex Sink (D) 52%
• David Jolly (R) 45%
• Lucas Overby (L) 3%

Plan to Vote on Election Day (37%) 

• David Jolly (R) 45%
• Alex Sink (D) 41%
• Lucas Overby (L) 10%
• Undecided 4%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Alex Sink 50% / 45% {+5%}
• David Jolly 48% / 45% {+3%}

Survey of 702 likely voters in Florida’s 13th Congressional District was conducted March 7-9, 2014.  Party ID: 41% Republican; 34% Democrat; 24% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Charlie Crist (D) 50%
• Rick Scott (R) 34%

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 81%
• Rick Scott (R) 7%

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 76%
• Charlie Crist (D) 16%

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 49%
• Rick Scott (R) 29%
  

Among Men

• Charlie Crist (D) 49%
• Rick Scott (R) 39%

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 51%
• Rick Scott (R) 29%

If the candidates for Governor next year were Republican Rick Scott and Democrat Alex Sink, who would you vote for?

• Alex Sink 45%
• Rick Scott 34%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Scott is handling his job as Governor?

• Approve 36%
• Disapprove 49%

Do you feel that Rick Scott deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?  

• Yes/Deserves 32%
• No/Does not 55%

In the last three years, Charlie Crist has changed his party affiliation from Republican to Independent to Democrat. Some people say this is a positive thing because it shows he is a pragmatist who can change with the times and issues. Other people say it is a negative thing because it shows he has no core beliefs. Which comes closest to your view of Charlie Crist?

• Positive thing 50%
• Negative thing 40%
  

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Charlie Crist 49% / 30% {+19%]
• Alex Sink 29% / 12% {+17%}
  
• Rick Scott 33% / 46% {-13%}
  

Survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted March 13-18, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 35% Democrat; 27% Republican; 31% Independent; 7% Other.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Charlie Crist (D) 52% {53%} [48%] (45%) {44%} [55%] (51%) {56%}
• Rick Scott (R) 40% {39%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [32%] (38%) {34%}

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 74% {76%} [77%] (69%) {69%} [80%] (83%) {81%}
• Rick Scott (R) 19% {15%} [13%] (15%) {16%} [9%] (9%) {7%}

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 65% {66%} [81%] (77%) {69%} [61%] (72%) {68%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 29% {29%} [12%] (15%) {19%} [25%] (16%) {24%}

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 47% {48%} [47%] (52%) {40%} [52%] (51%) {62%}
• Rick Scott (R) 41% {41%} [41%] (31%) {43%} [32%] (33%) {30%}
  

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (D) 71% {67%} [65%] (55%) {57%} [63%] (68%) {73%}
• Rick Scott (R) 23% {25%} [25%] (33%) {24%} [22%] (21%) {22%}

Among Men

• Charlie Crist (D) 50% {44%} [45%] (42%) {44%} [50%] (48%) {52%}
• Rick Scott (R) 44% {49%} [48%] (46%) {43%} [37%] (39%) {41%}

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 53% {61%} [50%] (47%) {44%} [59%] (54%) {60%}
• Rick Scott (R) 37% {31%} [38%] (39%) {40%} [28%] (37%) {28%}

If the candidates for Governor next year were Republican Rick Scott and Democrat Alex Sink, who would you vote for?

• Alex Sink 45% {47%}
• Rick Scott 40% {40%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Scott’s job performance?

• Approve 33% {33%} [38%] (41%) {39%} (31%) {34%} [26%] (36%) {33%} [32%]
• Disapprove 57% {57%} [48%] (49%) {51%} (56%) {54%} [58%] (52%) {59%} [55%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 23% {21%} [13%] (17%) {13%} (12%) {11%} [8%] (16%) {10%} [11%]
• Disapprove 69% {71%} [73%] (72%) {77%} (79%) {83%} [80%] (79%) {82%} [81%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 46% {49%} [72%] (72%) {64%} (53%) {60%} [46%] (60%) {63%} [57%]
• Disapprove 42% {38%} [18%] (20%) {27%} (31%) {22%} [31%] (23%) {30%} [27%]

Among Independents

• Approve 30% {32%} [31%] (31%) {43%} (26%) {27%} [30%] (35%) {27%} [31%]
• Disapprove 59% {64%} [48%] (54%) {43%} (60%) {60%} [55%] (52%) {64%} [54%]

Among Moderates

• Approve 21% {30%} [25%] (34%) {21%} (18%) {23%} [19%] (25%) {21%} [17%]
• Disapprove 68% {65%} [60%] (57%) {66%} (66%) {64%} [66%] (65%) {71%} [72%]

Among Men

• Approve 34% {40%} [44%] (42%) {41%} (37%) {41%} [30%] (36%) {37%} [39%]
• Disapprove 57% {55%} [44%] (49%) {55%} (52%) {50%} [56%] (52%) {56%} [51%]

Among Women

• Approve 32% {27%} [33%] (39%) {37%} (25%) {27%} [22%] (37%) {29%} [26%]
• Disapprove 57% {60%} [52%] (48%) {47%} (60%) {57%} [59%] (53%) {62%} [59%]

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Charlie Crist?

• Favorable 46% {49%} [39%] (36%) {41%} [48%] (51%) [46%]
• Unfavorable 43% {38%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [33%] (34%) [42%]

Among Democrats

• Favorable 60% {70%} [55%] (44%) {50%} [57%] (66%) [59%]
• Unfavorable 28% {16%} [22%] (33%) {31%} [23%] (21%) [28%]

Among Republicans

• Favorable 28% {29%} [19%] (24%) {34%} [38%] (35%) [33%]
• Unfavorable 62% {62%} [69%] (60%) {49%} [44%] (52%) [57%]

Among Independents

• Favorable 49% {38%} [40%] (43%) {36%} [45%] (47%) [44%]
• Unfavorable 40% {44%} [41%] (35%) {44%} [36%] (30%) [44%]

Among Moderates

• Favorable 61% {63%} [51%] (43%) {52%} [54%] (61%) [64%]
• Unfavorable 25% {29%} [30%] (36%) {30%} [27%] (22%) [24%]

Among Men

• Favorable 48% {45%} [39%] (34%) {40%} [45%] (50%) [43%]
• Unfavorable 44% {45%} [48%] (48%) {45%} [35%] (36%) [45%]

Among Women

• Favorable 44% {52%} [39%] (37%) {42%} [49%] (51%) [49%]
• Unfavorable 42% {33%} [39%] (40%) {37%} [31%] (33%) [39%]

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Alex Sink?

• Favorable 31% {37%}
• Unfavorable 30% {22%}

Survey of 500 Florida voters was conducted March 15-18, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 42% {44%} [44%] (41%) {42%} (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [41%] (42%) Democrat; 37% {38%} [36%] (37%) {40%} (40%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (40%) Republican; 22% {18%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {21%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 32% {33%} [34%] (36%) {33%} (33%) {32%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 21% {21%} [25%] (25%) {20%} (25%) {22%} [23%] (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 17% {18%} [16%] (13%) {20%} (16%) {16%} [14%] (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 17% {17%} [15%] (16%) {17%} (16%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 13% {12%} [10%] (9%) {10%} (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Charlie Crist (D) 53% [48%] (45%) {44%} [55%] (51%) {56%}
• Rick Scott (R) 39% [43%] (42%) {41%} [32%] (38%) {34%}

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 76% [77%] (69%) {69%} [80%] (83%) {81%}
• Rick Scott (R) 15% [13%] (15%) {16%} [9%] (9%) {7%}

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 66% [81%] (77%) {69%} [61%] (72%) {68%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 29% [12%] (15%) {19%} [25%] (16%) {24%}

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 48% [47%] (52%) {40%} [52%] (51%) {62%}
• Rick Scott (R) 41% [41%] (31%) {43%} [32%] (33%) {30%}
  

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (D) 67% [65%] (55%) {57%} [63%] (68%) {73%}
• Rick Scott (R) 25% [25%] (33%) {24%} [22%] (21%) {22%}

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 49% [48%] (46%) {43%} [37%] (39%) {41%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 44% [45%] (42%) {44%} [50%] (48%) {52%}

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 61% [50%] (47%) {44%} [59%] (54%) {60%}
• Rick Scott (R) 31% [38%] (39%) {40%} [28%] (37%) {28%}

If the candidates for Governor next year were Republican Rick Scott and Democrat Alex Sink, who would you vote for?

• Alex Sink 47%
• Rick Scott 40%

If the candidates for Governor next year were Republican Rick Scott and Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who would you vote for?

• Debbie Wasserman Schultz 44%
• Rick Scott 42%

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Scott’s job performance?

• Approve 33% [38%] (41%) {39%} (31%) {34%} [26%] (36%) {33%} [32%]
• Disapprove 57% [48%] (49%) {51%} (56%) {54%} [58%] (52%) {59%} [55%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 21% [13%] (17%) {13%} (12%) {11%} [8%] (16%) {10%} [11%]
• Disapprove 71% [73%] (72%) {77%} (79%) {83%} [80%] (79%) {82%} [81%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 49% [72%] (72%) {64%} (53%) {60%} [46%] (60%) {63%} [57%]
• Disapprove 38% [18%] (20%) {27%} (31%) {22%} [31%] (23%) {30%} [27%]

Among Independents

• Approve 32% [31%] (31%) {43%} (26%) {27%} [30%] (35%) {27%} [31%]
• Disapprove 64% [48%] (54%) {43%} (60%) {60%} [55%] (52%) {64%} [54%]

Among Moderates

• Approve 30% [25%] (34%) {21%} (18%) {23%} [19%] (25%) {21%} [17%]
• Disapprove 65% [60%] (57%) {66%} (66%) {64%} [66%] (65%) {71%} [72%]

Among Men

• Approve 40% [44%] (42%) {41%} (37%) {41%} [30%] (36%) {37%} [39%]
• Disapprove 55% [44%] (49%) {55%} (52%) {50%} [56%] (52%) {56%} [51%]

Among Women

• Approve 27% [33%] (39%) {37%} (25%) {27%} [22%] (37%) {29%} [26%]
• Disapprove 60% [52%] (48%) {47%} (60%) {57%} [59%] (53%) {62%} [59%]

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Charlie Crist?

• Favorable 49% [39%] (36%) {41%} [48%] (51%) [46%]
• Unfavorable 38% [43%] (44%) {41%} [33%] (34%) [42%]

Among Democrats

• Favorable 70% [55%] (44%) {50%} [57%] (66%) [59%]
• Unfavorable 16% [22%] (33%) {31%} [23%] (21%) [28%]

Among Republicans

• Favorable 29% [19%] (24%) {34%} [38%] (35%) [33%]
• Unfavorable 62% [69%] (60%) {49%} [44%] (52%) [57%]

Among Independents

• Favorable 38% [40%] (43%) {36%} [45%] (47%) [44%]
• Unfavorable 44% [41%] (35%) {44%} [36%] (30%) [44%]

Among Moderates

• Favorable 63% [51%] (43%) {52%} [54%] (61%) [64%]
• Unfavorable 29% [30%] (36%) {30%} [27%] (22%) [24%]

Among Men

• Favorable 45% [39%] (34%) {40%} [45%] (50%) [43%]
• Unfavorable 45% [48%] (48%) {45%} [35%] (36%) [45%]

Among Women

• Favorable 52% [39%] (37%) {42%} [49%] (51%) [49%]
• Unfavorable 33% [39%] (40%) {37%} [31%] (33%) [39%]

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Alex Sink?

• Favorable 37%
• Unfavorable 22%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Debbie Wasserman Schultz?

• Favorable 30%
• Unfavorable 36%

Survey of 501 Florida voters was conducted January 11-13, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 44% [44%] (41%) {42%} (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [41%] (42%) Democrat; 38% [36%] (37%) {40%} (40%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (40%) Republican; 18% [20%] (21%) {19%} (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {21%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% [34%] (36%) {33%} (33%) {32%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 21% [25%] (25%) {20%} (25%) {22%} [23%] (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 18% [16%] (13%) {20%} (16%) {16%} [14%] (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 17% [15%] (16%) {17%} (16%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 12% [10%] (9%) {10%} (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Mason-Dixon Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the 2014 general election for governor were held today, for who would you vote if the candidates were Alex Sink, the Democrat, and Rick Scott, the Republican?

• Alex Sink (D) 47%
• Rick Scott (R) 39%
• Undecided 14%

If the 2014 general election for governor were held today, for who would you vote if the candidates were Charlie Crist, the Democrat, and Rick Scott, the Republican?

• Charlie Crist (D) 44%
• Rick Scott (R) 42%
• Undecided 14%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Alex Sink 35% / 15% {+20%}
• Charlie Crist 32% / 33% {-1%} 
• Rick Scott 30% / 35% {-5%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Rick Scott's job performance as governor? 

• Approve 38%
• Disapprove 50%
  

Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted September 17-19, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida Survey on Governor Rick Scott

PPP (D) Florida Survey on Governor Rick Scott

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Scott’s job performance?

• Approve 26% (36%) {33%} [32%]
• Disapprove 58% (52%) {59%} [55%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 8% (16%) {10%} [11%]
• Disapprove 80% (79%) {82%} [81%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 46% (60%) {63%} [57%]
• Disapprove 31% (23%) {30%} [27%]

Among Independents

• Approve 30% (35%) {27%} [31%]
• Disapprove 55% (52%) {64%} [54%]

Among Moderates

• Approve 19% (25%) {21%} [17%]
• Disapprove 66% (65%) {71%} [72%]

Among Men

• Approve 30% (36%) {37%} [39%]
• Disapprove 56% (52%) {56%} [51%]

Among Women

• Approve 22% (37%) {29%} [26%]
• Disapprove 59% (53%) {62%} [59%]

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again, would you vote for Republican Rick Scott or Democrat Alex Sink?

• Alex Sink 53% (52%) {57%} [56%]
• Rick Scott 37% (41%) {35%} [37%]

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Charlie Crist?

• Favorable 48% (51%) [46%]
• Unfavorable 33% (34%) [42%]

Among Democrats

• Favorable 57% (66%) [59%]
• Unfavorable 23% (21%) [28%]

Among Republicans

• Favorable 38% (35%) [33%]
• Unfavorable 44% (52%) [57%]

Among Independents

• Favorable 45% (47%) [44%]
• Unfavorable 36% (30%) [44%]

Among Moderates

• Favorable 54% (61%) [64%]
• Unfavorable 27% (22%) [24%]

Among Men

• Favorable 45% (50%) [43%]
• Unfavorable 35% (36%) [45%]

Among Women

• Favorable 49% (51%) [49%]
• Unfavorable 31% (33%) [39%]

Do you think Charlie Crist should become a Democrat, or not?

• He should 39% (45%) {43%}
• He should not 26% (25%) {26%}

If the candidates for Governor next time were Republican Rick Scott and Charlie Crist, running as a Democrat, who would you vote for?

• Charlie Crist 55% (51%) {56%}
• Rick Scott 32% (38%) {34%}

Survey of 700 Florida voters was conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: (40%) {42%} [41%] Democrat; (37%) {36%} [37%] Republican; (23%) {21%} [22%] Independent/Other. Political ideology: 36% (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 23% (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 19% (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 14% (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 9% (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida Survey on Governor Rick Scott

PPP (D) Florida Survey on Governor Rick Scott

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Scott’s job performance?

• Approve 36% {33%} [32%]
• Disapprove 52% {59%} [55%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 16% {10%} [11%]
• Disapprove 79% {82%} [81%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 60% {63%} [57%]
• Disapprove 23% {30%} [27%]

Among Independents

• Approve 35% {27%} [31%]
• Disapprove 52% {64%} [54%]

Among Moderates

• Approve 25% {21%} [17%]
• Disapprove 65% {71%} [72%]

Among Men

• Approve 36% {37%} [39%]
• Disapprove 52% {56%} [51%]

Among Women

• Approve 37% {29%} [26%]
• Disapprove 53% {62%} [59%]

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again, would you vote for Republican Rick Scott or Democrat Alex Sink?

• Alex Sink 52% {57%} [56%]
• Rick Scott 41% {35%} [37%]

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Charlie Crist?

• Favorable 51% [46%]
• Unfavorable 34% [42%]

Among Democrats

• Favorable 66% [59%]
• Unfavorable 21% [28%]

Among Republicans

• Favorable 35% [33%]
• Unfavorable 52% [57%]

Among Independents

• Favorable 47% [44%]
• Unfavorable 30% [44%]

Among Moderates

• Favorable 61% [64%]
• Unfavorable 22% [24%]

Among Men

• Favorable 50% [43%]
• Unfavorable 36% [45%]

Among Women

• Favorable 51% [49%]
• Unfavorable 33% [39%]

Do you think Charlie Crist should become a Democrat or not?

• He should 45% {43%}
• He should not 25% {26%}

If the candidates for Governor next time were Republican Rick Scott and Charlie Crist, running as a Democrat, who would you vote for?

• Charlie Crist 51% {56%}
• Rick Scott 38% {34%}

Survey of 476 Florida voters was conducted September 22-25, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 40% {42%} [41%] Democrat; 37% {36%} [37%] Republican; 23% {21%} [22%] Independent/Other. Political ideology: 32% {30%} [30%] Moderate; 27% {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 16% {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 14% {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 10% {10%} [7%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida Survey on Governor Rick Scott

PPP (D) Florida Survey on Governor Rick Scott

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Scott’s job performance?

• Approve 33% [32%]
• Disapprove 59% [55%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 10% [11%]
• Disapprove 82% [81%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 63% [57%]
• Disapprove 30% [27%]

Among Independents

• Approve 27% [31%]
• Disapprove 64% [54%]

Among Moderates

• Approve 21% [17%]
• Disapprove 71% [72%]

Among Men

• Approve 37% [39%]
• Disapprove 56% [51%]

Among Women

• Approve 29% [26%]
• Disapprove 62% [59%]

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again, would you vote for Republican Rick Scott or Democrat Alex Sink?

• Alex Sink 57% [56%]
• Rick Scott 35% [37%]

Have Rick Scott’s actions as Governor made it more or less likely that you’ll vote for a Republican for President next year, or has it not made a difference?

• More likely 26%
• Less likely 40%
• Hasn't made a difference 34%

Do you think Charlie Crist should become a Democrat or not?

• He should 43%
• He should not 26%

If the candidates for Governor next time were Republican Rick Scott and Charlie Crist, running as a Democrat, who would you vote for?

• Charlie Crist 56%
• Rick Scott 34%

Survey of 848 Florida voters was conducted June 16-19, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 42% [41%] Democrat; 36% [37%] Republican; 21% [22%] Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% [30%] Moderate; 23% [26%] Somewhat conservative; 20% [21%] Very conservative; 17% [16%] Somewhat liberal; 10% [7%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Suffolk University/7NEWS Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

Suffolk University/7NEWS Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

Republican Nomination

• Mitt Romney 33%
• Mike Huckabee 14%
• Newt Gingrich 9%
• Donald Trump 8%
• Sarah Palin 8%
• Haley Barbour 4%
• Tim Pawlenty 3%
• Ron Paul 2%
• Michele Bachmann 1%
• Other 2%
• Undecided 17%

General Election

• Mitt Romney 43%
• Barack Obama 42%

• Barack Obama 44%
• Mike Huckabee 41%

• Barack Obama 47%
• Newt Gingrich 36%

• Barack Obama 41%
• Tim Pawlenty 28%

• Barack Obama 49%
• Donald Trump 34%

• Barack Obama 45%
• Michele Bachmann 30%

• Barack Obama 48%
• Ron Paul 30%

• Barack Obama 52%
• Sarah Palin 34%

• Barack Obama 47%
• Haley Barbour 26%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

• Approve 41%
• Disapprove 48%

Do you generally approve or disapprove of President Obama's handling of the situation in Libya?

• Approve 40%
• Disapprove 44%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Rick Scott is doing as Governor?

• Approve 28%
• Disapprove 49%

Do you agree with how Governor Rick Scott is governing the state?

• Yes 31%
• No 53%

If you had the chance to vote again today would you vote for current Governor Republican Rick Scott, his former opponent Democrat Alex Sink, or someone else?

• Alex Sink 41%
• Rick Scott 31%
• Someone else 21%

Is Governor Rick Scott staying true to his campaign promises?

• Yes 44%
• No 35%

Would you characterize Governor Rick Scott's first 100-days on the job as positive and productive, negative and damaging or as having little impact?

• Negative and damaging 41%
• Positive and productive 26%
• Little impact 20%

Do you feel that Governor Rick Scott's plan to cut corporate taxes and cutting regulations will help bring more jobs to Florida?

• Yes 40%
• No 44%

Recently Governor Rick Scott signed an executive order that requires drug testing for many current state workers and job applicants, do you support or oppose this policy?

• Support 74%
• Oppose 19%

Do you support or oppose Governor Rick Scott's $154 million in state spending cuts for K through 12 education?

• Support 25%
• Oppose 63%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 64% / 28% {+36%}
• Jeb Bush 53% / 33% {+20%}
• Bill Nelson 43% / 24% {+19%}
• Marco Rubio 41% / 30% {+11%}
• Debbie Wasserman-Shultz 22% / 13% {+9%}
• Barack Obama 48% / 44% {+4%}
• Rick Scott 32% / 47% {-15%}

Is the recession over in Florida?

• Yes 7%
• No 88%

Which is more important to you: maintaining state services or cutting state spending?

• Cutting state spending 46%
• Maintaining state services 38%

Do you feel that your federal income taxes are too high, too low or about right?

• Too high 37%
• Too low 7%
• About right 48%

How about corporations, do you feel corporate taxes are too high, too low or about right?

• Too high 23%
• Too low 42%
• About right 15%

What is your opinion of Florida laws on illegal immigrants?

• Too strict 8%
• Too lenient 52%
• About right 18%

Do you think that Florida should adopt an immigration policy similar to that of Arizona?

• Yes 51%
• No 33%

Currently, there are 18 measures before the Florida legislature that deal with abortion. Do you favor tightening Florida's abortion laws, do you favor loosening Florida's abortion laws, or do you think they should stay the same?

• Tighten laws 24%
• Loosen laws 13%
• Stay the same 43%

Should Florida pass a law requiring district school boards to adopt a dress code policy that prohibits students from wearing clothing that exposes underwear or body parts in a specific manner?

• Yes 86%
• No 10%

Survey of 600 Florida registered voters, including a subsample of 217 Republicans, was conducted April 10-12, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 41% Democrat; 36% Republican; 23% Independent.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida Political Survey

PPP (D) Florida Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Scott’s job performance?

• Approve 32%
• Disapprove 55%

Among Democrats

• Approve 11%
• Disapprove 81%

Among Republicans

• Approve 57%
• Disapprove 27%

Among Independents

• Approve 31%
• Disapprove 54%

Among Moderates

• Approve 17%
• Disapprove 72%

Among Men

• Approve 39%
• Disapprove 51%

Among Women

• Approve 26%
• Disapprove 59%

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again, would you vote for Democrat Alex Sink or Republican Rick Scott?

• Alex Sink 56%
• Rick Scott 37%

Among Democrats

• Alex Sink 85%
• Rick Scott 10%

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott 73%
• Alex Sink 21%

Among Independents

• Alex Sink 61%
• Rick Scott 29%

Among Moderates

• Alex Sink 78%
• Rick Scott 15%

Among Men

• Alex Sink 52%
• Rick Scott 41%

Among Women

• Alex Sink 60%
• Rick Scott 33%

In the election for Governor last year did you vote for Democrat Alex Sink or Republican Rick Scott?

• Alex Sink 48%
• Rick Scott 41%

Note: Rick Scott was elected by one percentage point over Alex Sink last fall.

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Marco Rubio's job performance?

• Approve 43%
• Disapprove 31%

Among Democrats

• Approve 17%
• Disapprove 51%

Among Republicans

• Approve 70%
• Disapprove 10%

Among Independents

• Approve 44%
• Disapprove 31%

Among Moderates

• Approve 21%
• Disapprove 47%

Among Men

• Approve 50%
• Disapprove 30%

Among Women

• Approve 35%
• Disapprove 31%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Charlie Crist?

• Favorable 46%
• Unfavorable 42%

Among Democrats

• Favorable 59%
• Unfavorable 28%

Among Republicans

• Favorable 33%
• Unfavorable 57%

Among Independents

• Favorable 44%
• Unfavorable 44%

Among Moderates

• Favorable 64%
• Unfavorable 24%

Among Men

• Favorable 43%
• Unfavorable 45%

Among Women

• Favorable 49%
• Unfavorable 39%

If he seeks office again in the future do you think Charlie Crist should run as a Democrat, Republican, or independent?

• Democrat 39%
• Independent 36%
• Republican 12%

Among Democrats

• Democrat 51%
• Independent 34%
• Republican 8%

Among Republicans

• Democrat 34%
• Independent 30%
• Republican 19%

Among Independents

• Independent 50%
• Democrat 25%
• Republican 8%

Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 28%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 31%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 37%

Among Democrats

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 40%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 25%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 32%

Among Republicans

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 11%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 38%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 49%

Among Independents

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 36%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 32%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 26%

Survey of 500 registered Florida voters was conducted March 24-27, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 41% Democrat; 37% Republican; 22% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% Moderate; 26% Somewhat conservative; 21% Very conservative; 16% Somewhat liberal; 7% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida Gubernatorial Survey

• Alex Sink (D) 44% [45%] (44%) {43%} [33%] (27%) {26%}
• Rick Scott (R) 43% [41%] (45%) {49%} [29%] (29%) {35%}

Among Men

• Alex Sink (D) 43% [44%] (42%) {42%}
• Rick Scott (R) 42% [45%] (48%) {50%}

Among Women

• Alex Sink (D) 44% [46%] (47%) {43%}
• Rick Scott (R) 43% [38%] (41%) {47%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Alex Sink 43% [43%] (42%) {39%} [30%] (25%) {28%} [22%] (24%) {23%} [23%] (25%) / 40% [39%] (37%) {39%} [15%] (15%) {14%} [15%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (7%) {+3%}
• Rick Scott 39% [34%] (39%) {41%} [28%] (29%) {31%} / 50% [50%] (46%) {40%} [40%] (30%) {22%} {-11%}

Survey of 925 likely voters was conducted October 25-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-24, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 6-10, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-28, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11-16, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 22-27, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 1-7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 8-13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 20 – 24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-18, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 12-17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 2-7, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Florida Gubernatorial Survey

• Alex Sink (D) 48% (46%) {41%} [36%]
• Rick Scott (R) 47% (41%) {34%} [30%]
• Undecided 5% (14%) {17%} [26%]

Among Democrats

• Alex Sink (D) 83% (76%) {72%} [62%]
• Rick Scott (R) 13% (13%) {12%} [8%]
• Undecided 4% (11%) {11%} [16%]

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 82% (77%) {57%} [52%]
• Alex Sink (D) 14% (10%) {13%} [10%]
• Undecided 3% (13%) {22%} [25%]

Among Independents

• Alex Sink (D) 47% (53%) {37%} [36%]
• Rick Scott (R) 42% (26%) {28%} [28%]
• Undecided 11% (21%) {23%} [26%]

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 50% (44%) {40%} [36%]
• Alex Sink (D) 46% (46%) {42%} [36%]
• Undecided 4% (10%) {12%} [18%]

Among Women

• Alex Sink (D) 50% (46%) {40%} [36%]
• Rick Scott (R) 44% (38%) {29%} [23%]
• Undecided 6% (17%) {22%} [26%]

Already Voted (41%)

• Alex Sink (D) 49%
• Rick Scott (R) 49%
• Undecided 2%

Did Not Vote Yet (59%)

• Alex Sink (D) 48%
• Rick Scott (R) 46%
• Undecided 6%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Alex Sink 44% (44%) {35%} [24%] / 42% (38%) {23%} [22%] {+2%}
• Rick Scott 34% (33%) {28%} [23%] / 54% (52%) {49%} [41%] {-20%}

If the candidates for Governor had been Republican Bill McCollum and Democrat Alex Sink, who would you have voted for?

• Alex Sink 46%
• Bill McCollum 45%
• Undecided 10%

Survey of 773 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% (40%) {44%} [40%] Republican; 41% (41%) {42%} [40%] Democrat; 16% (19%) {14%} [20%] Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 41% (40%) {36%} [44%] Moderate; 41% (39%) {41%} [37%] Conservative; 18% (21%) {22%} [19%] Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 9-10, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 21-22, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 16-18, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: New York Times/USF Polytechnic Florida Gubernatorial Survey

New York Times/USF Polytechnic Florida Gubernatorial Survey

• Rick Scott (R) 44% [30%]
• Alex Sink (D) 39% [28%]
• Neither 6%
• Undecided 11% [31%]

Survey of 696 likely voters was conducted October 23-27, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 24-28, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: YouGov Florida Gubernatorial Survey

YouGov Florida Gubernatorial Survey 

• Alex Sink (D) 44.4%
• Rick Scott (R) 41.0%
• Other 1.4%
• Not sure 12.9%

Among Democrats

• Alex Sink (D) 79%
• Rick Scott (R) 6%

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 80%
• Alex Sink (D) 7%

Among Independents

• Alex Sink (D) 54%
• Rick Scott (R) 32%

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 49%
• Alex Sink (D) 42%

Among Women

• Alex Sink (D) 47%
• Rick Scott (R) 34%

Among Whites

• Rick Scott (R) 46%
• Alex Sink (D) 41%

Among Non-Whites

• Alex Sink (D) 57%
• Rick Scott (R) 22%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Strongly approve 22.4%
• Somewhat approve 20.7%
• Somewhat disapprove 9.8%
• Strongly disapprove 45.6% 

Since taking office, do you think Barack Obama has accomplished...

• More than I expected 22.0%
• About what I expected 38.6%
• Less than I expected 37.4%

Do you favor or oppose allowing gays and lesbians to marry legally?

• Favor 42.1%
• Oppose 46.4%

Do you favor or oppose providing a way for illegal immigrants currently in the country to gain legal citizenship if they pass background checks, pay fines, and have jobs?

• Favor 49.4%
• Oppose 41.3%

Do you think abortion should be...

• Legal in all cases 24.3%
• Legal in most cases 34.0%
• Illegal in most cases 28.2%
• Illegal in all cases 6.8%

Who do you think you will vote for in the 2010 election for U.S. House of Representatives?

• Republican 49.9%
• Democrat 35.9%

Survey of 826 likely voters was conducted October 25-28, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon Florida Gubernatorial Survey

Mason-Dixon Florida Gubernatorial Survey

• Alex Sink (D) 46% [44%] {47%} (40%) [38%]
• Rick Scott (R) 43% [40%] {40%} (24%) [36%]
• Other 4%
• Undecided 7% [13%] {11%} (19%) [26%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Alex Sink 44% [38%] {44%} (36%) [26%] / 39% [33%] {23%} (19%) [18%] {+5%}
• Rick Scott 30% [24%] {30%} (18%) [19%] / 52% [45%] {47%} (42%) [8%] {-22%}

Survey of 625 likely voters was conducted October 25-27, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 4-6, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-22, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-11, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-5, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Florida Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Florida Gubernatorial Survey

• Rick Scott (R) 47% (48%) {47%} [42%] (46%) {45%} [41%] (35%) {45%} [41%]
• Alex Sink (D) 44% (42%) {44%} [37%] (41%) {44%} [36%] (31%) {40%} [40%]
• Some other candidate 4% (8%) {6%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [5%] (6%) {3%} [7%]
• Not sure 5% (2%) {3%} [11%] (3%) {2%} [9%] (12%) {12%} [12%]

With Leaners

• Rick Scott (R) 48% (50%) {50%} [46%] (50%) {47%} [45%]
• Alex Sink (D) 45% (44%) {47%} [41%] (44%) {48%} [42%]
• Some other candidate 3% (6%) {3%} [5%] (6%) {4%} [6%]
• Not sure 4% (0%) {0%} [7%] (0%) {1%} [3%]

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Rick Scott (R) 50% (50%) {53%} [54%] (52%) {49%} [44%]
• Alex Sink (D) 49% (48%) {47%} [46%] (48%) {51%} [50%]

Among Democrats

• Alex Sink (D) 85% (80%) {84%} [70%] (80%) {79%} [69%]
• Rick Scott (R) 11% (16%) {15%} [16%] (14%) {18%} [22%]

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 76% (85%) {82%} [78%] (85%) {77%} [74%]
• Alex Sink (D) 19% (11%) {15%} [14%] (12%) {19%} [12%]

Among Independents

• Rick Scott (R) 45% (46%) {44%} [45%] (55%) {37%} [35%]
• Alex Sink (D) 41% (35%) {47%} [41%] (34%) {53%} [46%]

Among Liberals

• Alex Sink (D) 100% (89%) {93%} [83%] (78%) {88%} [67%]
• Rick Scott (R) 0% (10%) {5%} [9%] (17%) {10%} [21%]

Among Moderates

• Rick Scott (R) 51% (31%) {34%} [26%] (34%) {31%} [24%]
• Alex Sink (D) 38% (57%) {60%} [63%] (55%) {62%} [59%]

Among Conservatives

• Rick Scott (R) 47% (83%) {74%} [71%] (79%) {73%} [66%]
• Alex Sink (D) 46% (13%) {24%} [20%] (17%) {23%} [22%]

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 55% (52%) {50%} [51%] (58%) {51%} [46%]
• Alex Sink (D) 40% (40%) {45%} [40%] (36%) {44%} [40%]

Among Women

• Alex Sink (D) 50% (47%) {48%} [43%] (51%) {51%} [43%]
• Rick Scott (R) 41% (48%) {49%} [43%] (42%) {43%} [43%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Scott 48% (44%) {49%} [50%] (53%) {49%} [45%] (38%) {45%} [39%] / 50% (48%) {44%} [42%] (39%) {45%} [46%] (48%) {33%} [28%] {-2%}
• Alex Sink 47% (45%) {45%} [48%] (45%) {54%} [50%] (49%) {41%} [38%]  / 50% (50%) {50%} [43%] (46%) {35%} [38%] (29%) {34%} [32%] {-3%}

How would you rate the job Charlie Crist has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 19% (20%) {15%} [18%] (16%) {19%} [20%]
• Somewhat approve 39% (32%) {34%} [32%] (35%) {39%} [32%]
• Somewhat disapprove 21% (20%) {25%} [25%] (24%) {24%} [25%]
• Strongly disapprove 20% (27%) {26%} [20%] (24%) {17%} [21%]

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 27% (32%) {28%} [28%] (30%) {29%} [27%]
• Somewhat approve 15% (16%) {13%} [15%] (15%) {18%} [19%]
• Somewhat disapprove 11% (4%) {5%} [8%][ (6%) {7%} [9%]
• Strongly disapprove 46% (48%) {52%} [48%] (47%) {47%} [46%]

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 27, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 43% Republican; 31% Democrat; 25% Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 18, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 30, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 1, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 25, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 2, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 7, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 16, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida Gubernatorial Survey

• Alex Sink (D) 45% (44%) {43%} [33%] (27%) {26%}
• Rick Scott (R) 41% (45%) {49%} [29%] (29%) {35%}

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 45% (48%) {50%}
• Alex Sink (D) 44% (42%) {42%}

Among Women

• Alex Sink (D) 46% (47%) {43%}
• Rick Scott (R) 38% (41%) {47%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Alex Sink 43% (42%) {39%} [30%] (25%) {28%} [22%] (24%) {23%} [23%] (25%) / 39% (37%) {39%} [15%] (15%) {14%} [15%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (7%) {+4%}
• Rick Scott 34% (39%) {41%} [28%] (29%) {31%} / 50% (46%) {40%} [40%] (30%) {22%} {-16%}

Survey of 784 likely voters was conducted October 18-24, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 6-10, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-28, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11-16, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 22-27, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 1-7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 8-13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 20 – 24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-18, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 12-17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 2-7, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Sunshine State News (R) Florida Gubernatorial Survey

Sunshine State News (R) Florida Gubernatorial Survey

• Rick Scott (R) 47% (45%) {45%} [44%] (42%)
• Alex Sink (D) 45% (45%) {48%} [42%] (44%)
• Someone else/other 7% (8%)
• Undecided 2% (2%) {6%} [14%] (14%)

Survey of 1,547 likely voters was conducted October 24-25, 2010 by Voter Survey Service.  The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 20, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 3, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 1-5, and September 7, 2010 are in parentheses.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: ABC Action News/Naples Daily News/Zogby Florida Gubernatorial Survey

ABC Action News/Naples Daily News/Zogby Florida Gubernatorial Survey

• Alex Sink (D) 43.1% [41.1%]
• Rick Scott (R) 38.5% [38.5%]
• Other 7.6% [5.3%]
• Undecided 10.8% [15.0%]

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 43.5% [43.8%]
• Alex Sink (D) 40.7% [40.9%]
• Other 9.7% [4.5%]
• Undecided 6.0% [10.8%]

Among Women

• Alex Sink (D) 45.2% [41.4%]
• Rick Scott (R) 34.0% [33.7%]
• Other 5.7% [6.1%]
• Undecided 15.1% [18.8%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Alex Sink 46% [50%] / 40% [31%] {+6%}
• Rick Scott 39% [45%] / 47% [38%] {-8%}

Survey of 802 likely voters was conducted October 18-21, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-29, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Miami Herald/St. Petersburg Times/Ipsos Florida Gubernatorial Survey

Miami Herald/St. Petersburg Times/Ipsos Florida Gubernatorial Survey

• Rick Scott (R) 44% [47%]
• Alex Sink (D) 41% [45%]
• Other 3% [0%]
• Undecided 15% [8%]

Survey of 577 likely voters was conducted October 15-19, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 45% Republican; 40% Democrat; 8% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-12, 2010 are in square brackets.