Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania Political Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Tom Corbett’s job performance?

• Approve 35% [34%]
• Disapprove 46% [44%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 17% [16%]
• Disapprove 65% [61%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 58% [60%]
• Disapprove 22% [22%]

Among Men

• Approve 39% [42%]
• Disapprove 49% [42%]

Among Women

• Approve 31% [28%]
• Disapprove 43% [46%]

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again, would you vote for Democrat Dan Onorato or Republican Tom Corbett?

• Dan Onorato 47% [49%]
• Tom Corbett 44% [44%]

Among Democrats

• Dan Onorato 73% [75%]
• Tom Corbett 18% [18%]

Among Republicans

• Tom Corbett 76% [80%]
• Dan Onorato 16% [14%]

Among Men

• Tom Corbett 49% [47%]
• Dan Onorato 44% [48%]

Among Women

• Dan Onorato 51% [49%]
• Tom Corbett 37% [40%]

Have Tom Corbett’s actions as Governor made it more or less likely that you’ll vote for a Republican for President next year, or has it not made a difference?

• More likely 25%
• Less likely 33%
• Hasn't made a difference 43%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Pat Toomey's job performance?

• Approve 30% [32%]
• Disapprove 29% [31%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 14% [19%]
• Disapprove 44% [44%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 52% [51%]
• Disapprove 12% [15%]

Among Men

• Approve 35% [38%]
• Disapprove 39% [33%]

Among Women

• Approve 26% [26%]
• Disapprove 19% [29%]

If there was an election for the US House today, would you vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate from your district?

• Democrat 46%
• Republican 40%

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

• Legal 38%
• Illegal 51%

Among Democrats

• Legal 53%
• Illegal 32%

Among Republicans

• Legal 15%
• Illegal 76%

Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 32%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 36%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 31%

Among Democrats

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 47%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 32%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 20%

Among Republicans

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 10%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 41%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 48%

Is your favorite pro sports team in Pennsylvania the Philadelphia Eagles, Philadelphia Flyers, Philadelphia Phillies, Philadelphia 76ers, Pittsburgh Penguins, Pittsburgh Pirates, or Pittsburgh Steelers?

• Steelers 30%
• Phillies 22%
• Eagles 12%
• Penguins 12%
• Pirates 6%
• Flyers 4%
• 76ers 2%

Survey of 545 Pennsylvania voters was conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011. No interviews were conducted July 3rd or 4th. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 50% [51%] Democrat; 39% [38%] Republican; 11% [11%] Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% [33%] Moderate; 22% [19%] Somewhat liberal; 21% [23%] Somewhat conservative; 17% [17%] Very conservative; 10% [8%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania Political Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Tom Corbett’s job performance?

• Approve 34%
• Disapprove 44%

Among Democrats

• Approve 16%
• Disapprove 61%

Among Republicans

• Approve 60%
• Disapprove 22%

Among Men

• Approve 42%
• Disapprove 42%

Among Women

• Approve 28%
• Disapprove 46%

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again, would you vote for Democrat Dan Onorato or Republican Tom Corbett?

• Dan Onorato 49%
• Tom Corbett 44%

Among Democrats

• Dan Onorato 75%
• Tom Corbett 18%

Among Republicans

• Tom Corbett 80%
• Dan Onorato 14%

Among Men

• Dan Onorato 48%
• Tom Corbett 47%

Among Women

• Dan Onorato 49%
• Tom Corbett 40%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Pat Toomey's job performance?

• Approve 32%
• Disapprove 31%

Among Democrats

• Approve 19%
• Disapprove 44%

Among Republicans

• Approve 51%
• Disapprove 15%

Among Men

• Approve 38%
• Disapprove 33%

Among Women

• Approve 26%
• Disapprove 29%

Survey of 593 Pennsylvania voters was conducted April 7-10, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 51% Democrat; 38% Republican; 11% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% Moderate; 23% Somewhat conservative; 19% Somewhat liberal; 17% Very conservative; 8% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Corbett (R) 52% {49%} [54%] (44%) {43%} [45%] (42%) 
• Dan Onorato (D) 42% {44%} [39%] (37%) {37%} [33%] (32%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 51% {49%} [51%] (44%) {49%} [47%] (43%) / 25% {28%} [21%] (11%) {13%} [13%] (7%) {+26%}
• Dan Onorato 40% {43%} [40%] (31%) {34%} [21%] (20%) / 36% {33%} [24%] (16%) {13%} [11%] (8%) {+4%}

Survey of 1,244 likely voters was conducted October 25-30, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 13-17, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 6-11, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 4-10, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Corbett (R) 52% (48%) {48%} [45%] (45%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 45% (46%) {35%} [35%] (32%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 51% (47%) {33%} [31%] (27%) / 32% (34%) {23%} [19%] (20%) {+19%}
• Dan Onorato 37% (45%) {30%} [22%] (15%) / 45% (39%) {28%} [25%] (13%) {-8%} 

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ed Rendell’s job performance?

• Approve 34% (36%) {27%} [35%] (35%)
• Disapprove 53% (54%) {63%} [53%] (51%)

Survey of 772 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 46% (48%) {46%} [50%] (47%) Democrat; 44% (41%) {44%} [42%] (41%) Republican; 10% (11%) {9%} [8%] (12%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 43% (37%) {39%} [43%] (41%) Moderate; 39% (44%) {44%} [39%] (40%) Conservative; 18% (19%) {16%} [17%] (19%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 17-18, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Corbett (R) 52% [50%] (54%) {53%} [49%] (50%) {48%} [50%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [46%] (52%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 43% [45%] (40%) {41%}  [39%] (37%) {38%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [33%] (36%) {36%} [29%] (26%)

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Tom Corbett (R) 56% [55%] (57%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 44% [45%] (43%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 59% [52%] (57%) {61%} [59%] (60%) {59%} [54%] (56%) {61%} [59%] (57%) {56%} [59%] (67%) / 35% [40%] (32%) {26%} [28%] (29%) {27%} [31%] (26%) {24%} [25%] (26%) {29%} [33%] (15%) {+14%}
• Dan Onorato 49% [47%] (46%) {50%} [47%] (43%) {46%} [48%] (46%) {48%} [45%] (46%) {41%} [36%] (34%) / 47% [45%] (43%) {37%} [32%] (39%) {35%} [32%] (33%) {37%} [35%] (32%) {32%} [36%] (35%) {+2%}

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 28, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 41% [43%] (45%) Democrat; 39% [40%] (37%) Republican; 20% [17%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 28, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 14, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 16, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 18, 2010 are in angle brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 8, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Corbett has the backing of 89% of Republicans in the state, while 79% of Democrats support Onorato. The GOP candidate holds an 19-point lead among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Pat Toomey (R) 45% [46%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {41%} [45%] (46%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 43% [41%] (40%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {44%} [38%] (39%)
• Undecided 12% [12%] (12%) {11%} [13%] (14%) {15%} [14%] (14%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Joe Sestak 38% [37%] (35%) / 35% [40%] (38%) {+3%}
• Pat Toomey 37% [37%] (36%) / 38% [39%] (37%) {-1%}

Gubernatorial Election

• Tom Corbett (R) 50% [52%] (50%) {50%} [49%] (49%) {47%} [47%] (46%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 41% [38%] (39%) {41%} [41%] (40%) {40%} [36%] (37%)
• Undecided 9% [10%] (11%) {9%} [10%] (11%) {14%} [16%] (17%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 46% [46%] (44%) / 29% [29%] (28%) {+17%}
• Dan Onorato 37% [38%] (36%) / 39% [41%] (40%) {-2%}

Survey of 480 likely voters was conducted October 26-29, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 47% Democrat; 45% Republican; 6% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 22-25, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Marist/McClatchy Pennsylvania Political Survey

Marist/McClatchy Pennsylvania Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Pat Toomey (R) 52% [51%]
• Joe Sestak (D) 45% [42%]
• Other 1% [1%]
• Undecided 2% [6%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Pat Toomey 49% [48%] / 35% [34%] {+14%}
• Joe Sestak 45% [46%] / 40% [39%] {+5%}

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• Tom Corbett (R) 51% [53%]
• Dan Onorato (D) 44% [41%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in office as president?

• Approve 43% [41%]
• Disapprove 52% [54%]

Do you think the current economic conditions are mostly something President Obama inherited or are they mostly a result of his own policies?

• Economic conditions mostly inherited 50%
• Economic conditions mostly a result of his own policies 41%

Survey of 461 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 41% Republican; 39% Democrat;  18% Independent. Political ideology: 45% Conservative; 34% Moderate; 21% Liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 26-28, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Pat Toomey (R) 46% (48%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {41%} [45%] (46%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 41% (40%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {44%} [38%] (39%)
• Undecided 12% (12%) {11%} [13%] (14%) {15%} [14%] (14%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Pat Toomey 37% (36%) / 39% (37%) {-2%}
• Joe Sestak 37% (35%) / 40% (38%) {-3%}

Gubernatorial Election

• Tom Corbett (R) 52% (50%) {50%} [49%] (49%) {47%} [47%] (46%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 38% (39%) {41%} [41%] (40%) {40%} [36%] (37%)
• Undecided 10% (11%) {9%} [10%] (11%) {14%} [16%] (17%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 46% (44%) / 29% (28%) {+17%}
• Dan Onorato 38% (36%) / 41% (40%) {-3%}

Survey of 457 likely voters was conducted October 23-26, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 48% Republican; 45% Democrat; 6% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 22-25, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Pat Toomey (R) 48% {46%} [45%] (43%) {41%} [45%] (46%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 40% {43%} [42%] (43%) {44%} [38%] (39%)
• Undecided 12% {11%} [13%] (14%) {15%} [14%] (14%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Pat Toomey 36% / 37% {-1%}
• Joe Sestak 35% / 38% {-3%}

Gubernatorial Election

• Tom Corbett (R) 50% {50%} [49%] (49%) {47%} [47%] (46%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 39% {41%} [41%] (40%) {40%} [36%] (37%)
• Undecided 11% {9%} [10%] (11%) {14%} [16%] (17%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 44% / 28% {+16%}
• Dan Onorato 36% / 40% {-4%}

Survey of 448 likely voters was conducted October 22-25, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Corbett (R) 50% (54%) {53%} [49%] (50%) {48%} [50%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [46%] (52%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 45% (40%) {41%}  [39%] (37%) {38%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [33%] (36%) {36%} [29%] (26%)

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Tom Corbett (R) 55% (57%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 45% (43%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 52% (57%) {61%} [59%] (60%) {59%} [54%] (56%) {61%} [59%] (57%) {56%} [59%] (67%) / 40% (32%) {26%} [28%] (29%) {27%} [31%] (26%) {24%} [25%] (26%) {29%} [33%] (15%) {+12%}
• Dan Onorato 47% (46%) {50%} [47%] (43%) {46%} [48%] (46%) {48%} [45%] (46%) {41%} [36%] (34%) / 45% (43%) {37%} [32%] (39%) {35%} [32%] (33%) {37%} [35%] (32%) {32%} [36%] (35%) {+2%}

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 21, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 43% (45%) Democrat; 40% (37%) Republican; 17% (17%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 28, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 14, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 16, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 18, 2010 are in angle brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 8, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Corbett has the backing of 87% of Republicans in the state, while 79% of Democrats support Onorato. The GOP candidate holds an 8-point lead among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Pat Toomey (R) 46% [45%] (43%) {41%} [45%] (46%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 43% [42%] (43%) {44%} [38%] (39%)
• Undecided 11% [13%] (14%) {15%} [14%] (14%)

Gubernatorial Election

• Tom Corbett (R) 50% [49%] (49%) {47%} [47%] (46%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 41% [41%] (40%) {40%} [36%] (37%)
• Undecided 9% [10%] (11%) {14%} [16%] (17%)

Survey of 436 likely voters was conducted October 20-23, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Pat Toomey (R) 45% (43%) {41%} [45%] (46%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 42% (43%) {44%} [38%] (39%)
• Undecided 13% (14%) {15%} [14%] (14%)

Gubernatorial Election

• Tom Corbett (R) 49% (49%) {47%} [47%] (46%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 41% (40%) {40%} [36%] (37%)
• Undecided 10% (11%) {14%} [16%] (17%)

Survey of 439 likely voters was conducted October 19-22, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Joe Sestak (D) 43% {44%} [38%] (39%)
• Pat Toomey (R) 43% {41%} [45%] (46%)
• Undecided 14% {15%} [14%] (14%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Pat Toomey 36% {34%} [44%] (39%) / 35% {36%} [31% (31%) {+1%}
• Joe Sestak 31% {34%} [37%] (33%) / 34% {34%} [37%] (34%) {-3%}

Gubernatorial Election

• Tom Corbett (R) 49% {47%} [47%] (46%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 40% {40%} [36%] (37%)
• Undecided 11% {14%} [16%] (17%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 42% {40%} [48%] (46%) / 30% {31%} [24%] (19%) {+12%}
• Dan Onorato 34% {32%} [38%] (37%) / 40% {39%} [30%] (28%) {-6%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Barack Obama is doing his job?

• Approve 41% {42%}
• Disapprove 51% {51%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Governor Ed Rendell is doing his job?

• Approve 34% {33%}
• Disapprove 55% {56%}

If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district? The Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?

• Republican 43% {44%} [48%] (46%)
• Democrat 40% {39%} [36%] (37%)

Survey of 421 likely voters was conducted October 18-21, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 49% {46%} Republican; 46% {46%} Democrat;  5% {8%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Corbett (R) 49% [54%] (44%) {43%} [45%] (42%) {45%} [47%]
• Dan Onorato (D) 44% [39%] (37%) {37%} [33%] (32%) {30%} [28%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 49% [51%] (44%) {49%} [47%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (38%) / 28% [21%] (11%) {13%} [13%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (6%) {+21%}
• Dan Onorato 43% [40%] (31%) {34%} [21%] (20%) {18%} [17%] (16%) / 33% [24%] (16%) {13%} [11%] (8%) {9%} [11%] (6%) {+10%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling his job as State Attorney General?

• Approve 55% [63%]
• Disapprove 20% [16%]

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think will do a better job rebuilding Pennsylvania's economy?

• Tom Corbett 49% [48%] (44%)
• Dan Onorato 40% [38%] (32%)

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you believe most shares your values?

• Tom Corbett 49% [49%]
• Dan Onorato 42% [38%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling his job as Governor?

• Approve [35%] (42%) {40%} [45%] (43%) {43%} [42%]
• Disapprove [57%] (50%) {51%} [45%] (49%) {49%} [51%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling the economy?

• Approve 39% [33%] (35%) [37%] (36%) {38%} [34%]
• Disapprove 54% [62%] (58%) [53%] (53%) {54%} [60%]

Survey of 1,046 likely voters was conducted October 13-17, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 15-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 6-11, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 4-10, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 8-14, 2009 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-28, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 14-19, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Corbett (R) 48% {48%} [45%] (45%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 46% {35%} [35%] (32%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 47% {33%} [31%] (27%) / 34% {23%} [19%] (20%) {+13%}
• Dan Onorato 45% {30%} [22%] (15%) / 39% {28%} [25%] (13%) {+6%} 

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ed Rendell’s job performance?

• Approve 36% {27%} [35%] (35%)
• Disapprove 54% {63%} [53%] (51%)

Survey of 718 likely voters was conducted October 17-18, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 48% {46%} [50%] (47%) Democrat; 41% {44%} [42%] (41%) Republican; 11% {9%} [8%] (12%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 44% {39%} [43%] (41%) Moderate; 37% {44%} [39%] (40%) Conservative; 19% {16%} [17%] (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Joe Sestak (D) 44% [38%] (39%)
• Pat Toomey (R) 41% [45%] (46%)
• Undecided 15% [14%] (14%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Joe Sestak 34% [37%] (33%) / 34% [37%] (34%) {0%}
• Pat Toomey 34% [44%] (39%) / 36% [31% (31%) {-2%}

Gubernatorial Election

• Tom Corbett (R) 47% [47%] (46%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 40% [36%] (37%)
• Undecided 14% [16%] (17%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 40% [48%] (46%) / 31% [24%] (19%) {+9%}
• Dan Onorato 32% [38%] (37%) / 39% [30%] (28%) {-7%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Barack Obama is doing his job?

• Approve 42%
• Disapprove 51%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Governor Ed Rendell is doing his job?

• Approve 33%
• Disapprove 56%

If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district? The Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?

• Republican 44% [48%] (46%)
• Democrat 39% [36%] (37%)

Survey of 403 likely voters was conducted October 16-19, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 46% Democrat; 46% Republican; 8% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Corbett (R) 54% {53%} [49%] (50%) {48%} [50%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [46%] (52%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 40% {41%}  [39%] (37%) {38%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [33%] (36%) {36%} [29%] (26%)

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Tom Corbett (R) 57%
• Dan Onorato (D) 43%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 57% {61%} [59%] (60%) {59%} [54%] (56%) {61%} [59%] (57%) {56%} [59%] (67%) / 32% {26%} [28%] (29%) {27%} [31%] (26%) {24%} [25%] (26%) {29%} [33%] (15%) {+25%}
• Dan Onorato 46% {50%} [47%] (43%) {46%} [48%] (46%) {48%} [45%] (46%) {41%} [36%] (34%) / 43% {37%} [32%] (39%) {35%} [32%] (33%) {37%} [35%] (32%) {32%} [36%] (35%) {+3%}

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 12, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 45% Democrat; 37% Republican; 17% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 28, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 14, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 16, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 18, 2010 are in angle brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 8, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Corbett has the backing of 85% of Republicans in the state, while just 70% of Democrats support Onorato. The GOP candidate holds a three-to-one lead among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Corbett (R) 48% (50%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 38% (38%)
• Other 3% (3%)
• Undecided 11% (9%) 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 38% (44%) / 30% (26%) {+8%}
• Dan Onorato 32% (34%) / 32% (26%) {0%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 39% (39%)
• Disapprove 52% (53%)

Survey of 1,766 likely voters was conducted October 10, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 2.3 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 47% Democrat; 43% Republican; 9% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 21, 2010 are in parentheses. 

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Pat Toomey (R) 45% (46%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 38% (39%)

Gubernatorial Election

• Tom Corbett (R) 47% (46%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 36% (37%)

Survey of 577 likely voters was conducted September 28 - October 4, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Marist/McClatchy Pennsylvania Political Survey

Marist/McClatchy Pennsylvania Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Pat Toomey (R) 51%
• Joe Sestak (D) 42%
• Other 1%
• Undecided 6%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Pat Toomey 48% / 34% {+14%}
• Joe Sestak 46% / 39% {+7%}

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• Tom Corbett (R) 53%
• Dan Onorato (D) 41%
• Other 1%
• Undecided 5%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in office as president?

• Approve 41%
• Disapprove 54%

Survey of 468 likely voters was conducted September 26-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.