Meet the Press Roundtable and PRESS Pass

Face the Nation: Interview with Strickland, McDonnell, Diaz-Balart, and Rendell

This Week Roundtable: This Week in Politics

This Week Roundtable: Obama's Rough Week

Face the Nation Roundtable: Tradition of Compromise "Dying," Hurting Country

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania Political Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania Political Survey

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Joe Sestak 32% / 31% {+1%}
• Arlen Specter 32% / 53% {-21%}
• Ed Rendell 33% / 55% {-22%}

If there was an election today do you think you would vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate for Congress from your district, or are you not sure?

• Democrat 42%
• Republican 36%

Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 30%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 33%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 35%

Among Democrats

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 40%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 30%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 27%

Among Republicans

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 14%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 37%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 47%

Among Independents

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 37%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 31%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 30%

Survey of 593 Pennsylvania voters was conducted April 7-10, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 51% Democrat; 38% Republican; 11% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% Moderate; 23% Somewhat conservative; 19% Somewhat liberal; 17% Very conservative; 8% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Corbett (R) 52% (48%) {48%} [45%] (45%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 45% (46%) {35%} [35%] (32%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 51% (47%) {33%} [31%] (27%) / 32% (34%) {23%} [19%] (20%) {+19%}
• Dan Onorato 37% (45%) {30%} [22%] (15%) / 45% (39%) {28%} [25%] (13%) {-8%} 

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ed Rendell’s job performance?

• Approve 34% (36%) {27%} [35%] (35%)
• Disapprove 53% (54%) {63%} [53%] (51%)

Survey of 772 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 46% (48%) {46%} [50%] (47%) Democrat; 44% (41%) {44%} [42%] (41%) Republican; 10% (11%) {9%} [8%] (12%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 43% (37%) {39%} [43%] (41%) Moderate; 39% (44%) {44%} [39%] (40%) Conservative; 18% (19%) {16%} [17%] (19%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 17-18, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Pennsylvania Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Pennsylvania Senatorial Survey

• Pat Toomey (R) 48% [47%] {47%} (47%) <47%> [45%] {46%} (45%) <45%> [45%] {45%} (42%) <42%> [47%] {42%} (43%) <43%> [44%] {37%} (43%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 45% [43%] {37%} (38%) <37%> [39%] {37%} (39%) <38%> [39%] {38%} (46%) <40%> [36%] {37%} (35%) <35%> [38%] {38%} (35%)

With Leaners

• Pat Toomey (R) 50% [48%] {49%} (49%) <49%> [48%] {48%}
• Joe Sestak (D) 46% [44%] {39%} (40%) <41%> [42%] {40%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Pat Toomey (R) 52% [52%] {55%} (57%) <53%> [57%] {55%}
• Joe Sestak (D) 48% [48%] {45%} (43%) <47%> [43%] {45%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Pat Toomey 55% [55%] {54%} (54%) <57%> [56%] {56%} (57%) <56%> [53%] {55%} (56%) <51%> [54%] {53%} (57%) <57%> [51%] {52%} (54%) / 40% [39%] {36%} (34%) <33%> [34%] {30%} (30%) <29%> [31%] {30%} (25%) <36%> [29%] {33%} (28%) <27%> [29%] {27%} (26%) {+15%}
• Joe Sestak 51% [48%] {43%} (45%) <47%> [43%] {44%} (48%) <50%> [51%] {49%} (52%) <50%> [38%] {40%} (33%) <37%> [36%] {37%} / 46% [46%] {48%} (44%) <42%> [48%] {44%} (42%) <35%> [40%] {40%} (33%) <37%> [39%] {38%} (42%) <37%> [38%] {34%} {+5%}

How would you rate the job Ed Rendell has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 18% [17%] {14%} (14%) <19%> [12%] {13%} (14%) <16%> [14%] {16%} <13%> [13%] {14%} (14%) <14%> [11%] {9%}
• Somewhat approve 23% [26%] {26%} (28%) <26%> [27%] {26%} (28%) <26%> [26%] {28%} <27%> [29%] {33%} (30%) <29%> [28%] {28%}
• Somewhat disapprove 23% [21%] {20%} (19%) <21%> [23%] {29%} (24%) <25%> [27%] {23%} <25%> [24%] {25%} (22%) <27%> [21%] {24%}
• Strongly disapprove 35% [35%] {38%} (36%) <32%> [37%] {31%} (35%) <32%> [33%] {32%} <33%> [32%] {27%} (32%) <29%> [38%] {37%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly favor 28% [30%] {25%} (27%) <26%> [25%] {26%} (26%) <25%> [26%] {28%} (27%) <26%> [29%] {32%} (28%) <28%> [27%] {32%} (29%)
• Somewhat favor 18% [17%] {14%} (19%) <21%> [17%] {17%} (20%) <20%> [21%] {20%} (20%) <24%> [17%] {16%} (16%) <18%> [23%] {19%} (22%)
• Somewhat oppose 10% [6%] {12%} (7%) <11%> [10%] {11%} (9%) <12%> [13%] {11%} (13%) <8%> [12%] {11%} (11%) <14%> [10%] {10%} (12%)
• Strongly oppose 43% [45%] {48%} (46%) <40%> [48%] {45%} (45%) <42%> [40%] {41%} (39%) <39%> [42%] {40%} (43%) <39%> [38%] {38%} (35%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 41% [43%] {45%} (44%) Democrat; 39% [40%] {37%} (39%) Republican; 20% [17%] {17%} (17%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in angle brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 28, 2010 are in angle brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 14, 2010 are in angle brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 2, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 6, 2010 are in angle brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 18, 2010 are in angle brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 8, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 13, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2009 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers:

Toomey now has the support of 86% of Pennsylvania Republicans, while 82% of the state’s Democrats favor Sestak. Toomey leads by 16 points among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Poll Watch: Reuters/Ipsos Pennsylvania Political Survey

Reuters/Ipsos Pennsylvania Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Pat Toomey (R) 46% [47%]
• Joe Sestak (D) 46% [37%]
• Other 2% [2%]
• Don't know 6% [15%]

Gubernatorial Election

• Tom Corbett (R) 49% [49%]
• Dan Onorato (D) 43% [34%]
• Other 0% [1%]
• Don't know 8% [16%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling his job as Governor of Pennsylvania?

• Approve 42% [43%]
• Disapprove 54% [52%]

Survey of 400 likely voters was conducted October 22-24, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 46% [44%] Republican; 45% [45%] Democrat;  6% [8%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted August 27-29, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Joe Sestak (D) 43% {44%} [38%] (39%)
• Pat Toomey (R) 43% {41%} [45%] (46%)
• Undecided 14% {15%} [14%] (14%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Pat Toomey 36% {34%} [44%] (39%) / 35% {36%} [31% (31%) {+1%}
• Joe Sestak 31% {34%} [37%] (33%) / 34% {34%} [37%] (34%) {-3%}

Gubernatorial Election

• Tom Corbett (R) 49% {47%} [47%] (46%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 40% {40%} [36%] (37%)
• Undecided 11% {14%} [16%] (17%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 42% {40%} [48%] (46%) / 30% {31%} [24%] (19%) {+12%}
• Dan Onorato 34% {32%} [38%] (37%) / 40% {39%} [30%] (28%) {-6%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Barack Obama is doing his job?

• Approve 41% {42%}
• Disapprove 51% {51%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Governor Ed Rendell is doing his job?

• Approve 34% {33%}
• Disapprove 55% {56%}

If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district? The Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?

• Republican 43% {44%} [48%] (46%)
• Democrat 40% {39%} [36%] (37%)

Survey of 421 likely voters was conducted October 18-21, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 49% {46%} Republican; 46% {46%} Democrat;  5% {8%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Pennsylvania Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Pennsylvania Senatorial Survey

• Pat Toomey (R) 47% {47%} (47%) <47%> [45%] {46%} (45%) <45%> [45%] {45%} (42%) <42%> [47%] {42%} (43%) <43%> [44%] {37%} (43%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 43% {37%} (38%) <37%> [39%] {37%} (39%) <38%> [39%] {38%} (46%) <40%> [36%] {37%} (35%) <35%> [38%] {38%} (35%)

With Leaners

• Pat Toomey (R) 48% {49%} (49%) <49%> [48%] {48%}
• Joe Sestak (D) 44% {39%} (40%) <41%> [42%] {40%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Pat Toomey (R) 52% {55%} (57%) <53%> [57%] {55%}
• Joe Sestak (D) 48% {45%} (43%) <47%> [43%] {45%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Pat Toomey 55% {54%} (54%) <57%> [56%] {56%} (57%) <56%> [53%] {55%} (56%) <51%> [54%] {53%} (57%) <57%> [51%] {52%} (54%) / 39% {36%} (34%) <33%> [34%] {30%} (30%) <29%> [31%] {30%} (25%) <36%> [29%] {33%} (28%) <27%> [29%] {27%} (26%) {+16%}
• Joe Sestak 48% {43%} (45%) <47%> [43%] {44%} (48%) <50%> [51%] {49%} (52%) <50%> [38%] {40%} (33%) <37%> [36%] {37%} / 46% {48%} (44%) <42%> [48%] {44%} (42%) <35%> [40%] {40%} (33%) <37%> [39%] {38%} (42%) <37%> [38%] {34%} {+2%}

How would you rate the job Ed Rendell has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 17% {14%} (14%) <19%> [12%] {13%} (14%) <16%> [14%] {16%} <13%> [13%] {14%} (14%) <14%> [11%] {9%}
• Somewhat approve 26% {26%} (28%) <26%> [27%] {26%} (28%) <26%> [26%] {28%} <27%> [29%] {33%} (30%) <29%> [28%] {28%}
• Somewhat disapprove 21% {20%} (19%) <21%> [23%] {29%} (24%) <25%> [27%] {23%} <25%> [24%] {25%} (22%) <27%> [21%] {24%}
• Strongly disapprove 35% {38%} (36%) <32%> [37%] {31%} (35%) <32%> [33%] {32%} <33%> [32%] {27%} (32%) <29%> [38%] {37%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly favor 30% {25%} (27%) <26%> [25%] {26%} (26%) <25%> [26%] {28%} (27%) <26%> [29%] {32%} (28%) <28%> [27%] {32%} (29%)
• Somewhat favor 17% {14%} (19%) <21%> [17%] {17%} (20%) <20%> [21%] {20%} (20%) <24%> [17%] {16%} (16%) <18%> [23%] {19%} (22%)
• Somewhat oppose 6% {12%} (7%) <11%> [10%] {11%} (9%) <12%> [13%] {11%} (13%) <8%> [12%] {11%} (11%) <14%> [10%] {10%} (12%)
• Strongly oppose 45% {48%} (46%) <40%> [48%] {45%} (45%) <42%> [40%] {41%} (39%) <39%> [42%] {40%} (43%) <39%> [38%] {38%} (35%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 21, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 43% {45%} (44%) Democrat; 40% {37%} (39%) Republican; 17% {17%} (17%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in angle brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 28, 2010 are in angle brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 14, 2010 are in angle brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 2, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 6, 2010 are in angle brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 18, 2010 are in angle brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 8, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 13, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2009 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers:

Toomey now has the support of 84% of Pennsylvania Republicans, while 80% of the state’s Democrats favor Sestak. Toomey leads by 21 points among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Corbett (R) 49% [54%] (44%) {43%} [45%] (42%) {45%} [47%]
• Dan Onorato (D) 44% [39%] (37%) {37%} [33%] (32%) {30%} [28%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 49% [51%] (44%) {49%} [47%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (38%) / 28% [21%] (11%) {13%} [13%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (6%) {+21%}
• Dan Onorato 43% [40%] (31%) {34%} [21%] (20%) {18%} [17%] (16%) / 33% [24%] (16%) {13%} [11%] (8%) {9%} [11%] (6%) {+10%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling his job as State Attorney General?

• Approve 55% [63%]
• Disapprove 20% [16%]

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think will do a better job rebuilding Pennsylvania's economy?

• Tom Corbett 49% [48%] (44%)
• Dan Onorato 40% [38%] (32%)

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you believe most shares your values?

• Tom Corbett 49% [49%]
• Dan Onorato 42% [38%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling his job as Governor?

• Approve [35%] (42%) {40%} [45%] (43%) {43%} [42%]
• Disapprove [57%] (50%) {51%} [45%] (49%) {49%} [51%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling the economy?

• Approve 39% [33%] (35%) [37%] (36%) {38%} [34%]
• Disapprove 54% [62%] (58%) [53%] (53%) {54%} [60%]

Survey of 1,046 likely voters was conducted October 13-17, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 15-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 6-11, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 4-10, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 8-14, 2009 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-28, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 14-19, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Corbett (R) 48% {48%} [45%] (45%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 46% {35%} [35%] (32%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 47% {33%} [31%] (27%) / 34% {23%} [19%] (20%) {+13%}
• Dan Onorato 45% {30%} [22%] (15%) / 39% {28%} [25%] (13%) {+6%} 

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ed Rendell’s job performance?

• Approve 36% {27%} [35%] (35%)
• Disapprove 54% {63%} [53%] (51%)

Survey of 718 likely voters was conducted October 17-18, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 48% {46%} [50%] (47%) Democrat; 41% {44%} [42%] (41%) Republican; 11% {9%} [8%] (12%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 44% {39%} [43%] (41%) Moderate; 37% {44%} [39%] (40%) Conservative; 19% {16%} [17%] (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Joe Sestak (D) 44% [38%] (39%)
• Pat Toomey (R) 41% [45%] (46%)
• Undecided 15% [14%] (14%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Joe Sestak 34% [37%] (33%) / 34% [37%] (34%) {0%}
• Pat Toomey 34% [44%] (39%) / 36% [31% (31%) {-2%}

Gubernatorial Election

• Tom Corbett (R) 47% [47%] (46%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 40% [36%] (37%)
• Undecided 14% [16%] (17%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 40% [48%] (46%) / 31% [24%] (19%) {+9%}
• Dan Onorato 32% [38%] (37%) / 39% [30%] (28%) {-7%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Barack Obama is doing his job?

• Approve 42%
• Disapprove 51%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Governor Ed Rendell is doing his job?

• Approve 33%
• Disapprove 56%

If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district? The Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?

• Republican 44% [48%] (46%)
• Democrat 39% [36%] (37%)

Survey of 403 likely voters was conducted October 16-19, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 46% Democrat; 46% Republican; 8% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Pennsylvania Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Pennsylvania Senatorial Survey

• Pat Toomey (R) 47% (47%) <47%> [45%] {46%} (45%) <45%> [45%] {45%} (42%) <42%> [47%] {42%} (43%) <43%> [44%] {37%} (43%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 37% (38%) <37%> [39%] {37%} (39%) <38%> [39%] {38%} (46%) <40%> [36%] {37%} (35%) <35%> [38%] {38%} (35%)

With Leaners

• Pat Toomey (R) 49% (49%) <49%> [48%] {48%}
• Joe Sestak (D) 39% (40%) <41%> [42%] {40%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Pat Toomey (R) 55% (57%) <53%> [57%] {55%}
• Joe Sestak (D) 45% (43%) <47%> [43%] {45%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Pat Toomey 54% (54%) <57%> [56%] {56%} (57%) <56%> [53%] {55%} (56%) <51%> [54%] {53%} (57%) <57%> [51%] {52%} (54%) / 36% (34%) <33%> [34%] {30%} (30%) <29%> [31%] {30%} (25%) <36%> [29%] {33%} (28%) <27%> [29%] {27%} (26%) {+18%}
• Joe Sestak 43% (45%) <47%> [43%] {44%} (48%) <50%> [51%] {49%} (52%) <50%> [38%] {40%} (33%) <37%> [36%] {37%} / 48% (44%) <42%> [48%] {44%} (42%) <35%> [40%] {40%} (33%) <37%> [39%] {38%} (42%) <37%> [38%] {34%} {-5%}

How would you rate the job Ed Rendell has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 14% (14%) <19%> [12%] {13%} (14%) <16%> [14%] {16%} <13%> [13%] {14%} (14%) <14%> [11%] {9%}
• Somewhat approve 26% (28%) <26%> [27%] {26%} (28%) <26%> [26%] {28%} <27%> [29%] {33%} (30%) <29%> [28%] {28%}
• Somewhat disapprove 20% (19%) <21%> [23%] {29%} (24%) <25%> [27%] {23%} <25%> [24%] {25%} (22%) <27%> [21%] {24%}
• Strongly disapprove 38% (36%) <32%> [37%] {31%} (35%) <32%> [33%] {32%} <33%> [32%] {27%} (32%) <29%> [38%] {37%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly favor 25% (27%) <26%> [25%] {26%} (26%) <25%> [26%] {28%} (27%) <26%> [29%] {32%} (28%) <28%> [27%] {32%} (29%)
• Somewhat favor 14% (19%) <21%> [17%] {17%} (20%) <20%> [21%] {20%} (20%) <24%> [17%] {16%} (16%) <18%> [23%] {19%} (22%)
• Somewhat oppose 12% (7%) <11%> [10%] {11%} (9%) <12%> [13%] {11%} (13%) <8%> [12%] {11%} (11%) <14%> [10%] {10%} (12%)
• Strongly oppose 48% (46%) <40%> [48%] {45%} (45%) <42%> [40%] {41%} (39%) <39%> [42%] {40%} (43%) <39%> [38%] {38%} (35%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 12, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 45% (44%) Democrat; 37% (39%) Republican; 17% (17%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in angle brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 28, 2010 are in angle brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 14, 2010 are in angle brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 2, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 6, 2010 are in angle brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 18, 2010 are in angle brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 8, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 13, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2009 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers:

Toomey now has the support of 86% of Pennsylvania Republicans, while just 72% of the state’s Democrats favor Sestak. Toomey leads by better than four-to-one among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Pennsylvania Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Pennsylvania Senatorial Survey

• Pat Toomey (R) 47% <47%> [45%] {46%} (45%) <45%> [45%] {45%} (42%) <42%> [47%] {42%} (43%) <43%> [44%] {37%} (43%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 38% <37%> [39%] {37%} (39%) <38%> [39%] {38%} (46%) <40%> [36%] {37%} (35%) <35%> [38%] {38%} (35%)

With Leaners

• Pat Toomey (R) 49% <49%> [48%] {48%}
• Joe Sestak (D) 40% <41%> [42%] {40%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Pat Toomey (R) 57% <53%> [57%] {55%}
• Joe Sestak (D) 43% <47%> [43%] {45%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Pat Toomey 54% <57%> [56%] {56%} (57%) <56%> [53%] {55%} (56%) <51%> [54%] {53%} (57%) <57%> [51%] {52%} (54%) / 34% <33%> [34%] {30%} (30%) <29%> [31%] {30%} (25%) <36%> [29%] {33%} (28%) <27%> [29%] {27%} (26%) {+20%}
• Joe Sestak 45% <47%> [43%] {44%} (48%) <50%> [51%] {49%} (52%) <50%> [38%] {40%} (33%) <37%> [36%] {37%} / 44% <42%> [48%] {44%} (42%) <35%> [40%] {40%} (33%) <37%> [39%] {38%} (42%) <37%> [38%] {34%} {+1%}

How would you rate the job Ed Rendell has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 14% <19%> [12%] {13%} (14%) <16%> [14%] {16%} <13%> [13%] {14%} (14%) <14%> [11%] {9%}
• Somewhat approve 28% <26%> [27%] {26%} (28%) <26%> [26%] {28%} <27%> [29%] {33%} (30%) <29%> [28%] {28%}
• Somewhat disapprove 19% <21%> [23%] {29%} (24%) <25%> [27%] {23%} <25%> [24%] {25%} (22%) <27%> [21%] {24%}
• Strongly disapprove 36% <32%> [37%] {31%} (35%) <32%> [33%] {32%} <33%> [32%] {27%} (32%) <29%> [38%] {37%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly favor 27% <26%> [25%] {26%} (26%) <25%> [26%] {28%} (27%) <26%> [29%] {32%} (28%) <28%> [27%] {32%} (29%)
• Somewhat favor 19% <21%> [17%] {17%} (20%) <20%> [21%] {20%} (20%) <24%> [17%] {16%} (16%) <18%> [23%] {19%} (22%)
• Somewhat oppose 7% <11%> [10%] {11%} (9%) <12%> [13%] {11%} (13%) <8%> [12%] {11%} (11%) <14%> [10%] {10%} (12%)
• Strongly oppose 46% <40%> [48%] {45%} (45%) <42%> [40%] {41%} (39%) <39%> [42%] {40%} (43%) <39%> [38%] {38%} (35%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted September 29, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 44% Democrat; 39% Republican; 17% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in angle brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 28, 2010 are in angle brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 14, 2010 are in angle brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 2, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 6, 2010 are in angle brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 18, 2010 are in angle brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 8, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 13, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2009 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers:

Toomey has the support of 81% of Pennsylvania Republicans and leads among voters not affiliated with either party by 39 points. Seventy-three percent (72%) of the state’s Democrats support Sestak.

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Pat Toomey (R) 46%
• Joe Sestak (D) 39%
• Not sure 14%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Pat Toomey 39% / 31% {+8%}
• Joe Sestak 33% / 34% {-1%}

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• Tom Corbett (R) 46%
• Dan Onorato (D) 37%
• Not sure 17%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 46% / 19% {+27%}
• Dan Onorato 37% / 28% {+9%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 37%
• Disapprove 54%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Ed Rendell is doing as governor?

• Approve 35%
• Disapprove 52%

If the election for Congress was being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for?

• Republican 46%
• Democratic 37%

In 2009, Congress passed an $800 billion stimulus bill known as the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act. Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose this action by Congress?

• Strongly support 16%
• Somewhat support 26%
• Somewhat oppose 18%
• Strongly oppose 36%

In 2010, Congress enacted major health care reform in the United States. Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose the health care reform enacted by Congress?

• Strongly support 21%
• Somewhat support 17%
• Somewhat oppose 16%
• Strongly oppose 41%

Survey of 445 likely voters was conducted September 18-23, 2010. The margin of error is +/-5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 47% Republican; 44% Democrat; 9% Independent.; Click here to view full results and crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Corbett (R) 54% (44%) {43%} [45%] (42%) {45%} [47%]
• Dan Onorato (D) 39% (37%) {37%} [33%] (32%) {30%} [28%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 51% (44%) {49%} [47%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (38%) / 21% (11%) {13%} [13%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (6%) {+30%}
• Dan Onorato 40% (31%) {34%} [21%] (20%) {18%} [17%] (16%) / 24% (16%) {13%} [11%] (8%) {9%} [11%] (6%) {+16%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling his job as State Attorney General?

• Approve 63%
• Disapprove 16%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think will do a better job fixing Pennsylvania's economy, Dan Onorato or Tom Corbett?

• Tom Corbett 48% (44%)
• Dan Onorato 38% (32%)

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling Pennsylvania's state budget, Dan Onorato or Tom Corbett?

• Tom Corbett 48%
• Dan Onorato 38%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you trust more to do in office what they say they will do during the campaign, Dan Onorato or Tom Corbett?

• Tom Corbett 46%
• Dan Onorato 35%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you believe most shares your values, Dan Onorato or Tom Corbett?

• Tom Corbett 49%
• Dan Onorato 38%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling his job as Governor?

• Approve 35% (42%) {40%} [45%] (43%) {43%} [42%]
• Disapprove 57% (50%) {51%} [45%] (49%) {49%} [51%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling the economy?

• Approve 33% (35%) [37%] (36%) {38%} [34%]
• Disapprove 62% (58%) [53%] (53%) {54%} [60%]

Survey of 684 likely voters was conducted September 15-19, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 6-11, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 4-10, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 8-14, 2009 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-28, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 14-19, 2009 are in parentheses.